The eye, the kidney, and cardiovascular disease: old concepts, better tools, and new horizons.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common, with hypertension and diabetes mellitus acting as major risk factors for its development. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death worldwide and the most frequent end point of CKD. There is an urgent need for more precise methods to identify patients at risk of CKD and cardiovascular disease. Alterations in microvascular structure and function contribute to the development of hypertension, diabetes, CKD, and their associated cardiovascular disease. Homology between the eye and the kidney suggests that noninvasive imaging of the retinal vessels can detect these microvascular alterations to improve targeting of at-risk patients. Retinal vessel-derived metrics predict incident hypertension, diabetes, CKD, and cardiovascular disease and add to the current renal and cardiovascular risk stratification tools. The advent of optical coherence tomography (OCT) has transformed retinal imaging by capturing the chorioretinal microcirculation and its dependent tissue with near-histological resolution. In hypertension, diabetes, and CKD, OCT has revealed vessel remodeling and chorioretinal thinning. Clinical and preclinical OCT has linked retinal microvascular pathology to circulating and histological markers of injury in the kidney. The advent of OCT angiography allows contrast-free visualization of intraretinal capillary networks to potentially detect early incipient microvascular disease. Combining OCT's deep imaging with the analytical power of deep learning represents the next frontier in defining what the eye can reveal about the kidney and broader cardiovascular health.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects ∼10% of the world’s population, and its incidence is increasing. Hypertension and diabetes mellitus are also common worldwide, with an estimated prevalence of ∼30% and ∼10%, respectively; both are important risk factors for the development and progression of CKD., These systemic diseases are strongly associated with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD), and their interrelationship contributes to CVD being the most common end point of CKD. The current clinical tools lack precision to detect, stratify, and track individual patients at increased risk of progressive CKD and CVD, and before end-organ damage. Thus, there is an urgent unmet need for simple noninvasive methods to allow earlier identification and risk stratification of patients at increased risk of progressive end-organ injury and subsequent end-stage renal disease and CVD.

Microvessels (luminal diameter <300 μm) regulate tissue perfusion and contribute to systemic vascular resistance. This ability is closely linked to endothelial function. Several pathophysiological processes may contribute to and be a consequence of endothelial dysfunction, with downstream effects on microvessels (Figure 1). Alterations in microvascular structure and function contribute to the development and progression of hypertension, diabetes, CKD, and CVD.5, 6, 7 Importantly, such changes precede the development of end-organ damage and appear modifiable. Moreover, microvascular dysfunction in peripheral beds mirrors dysfunction in visceral beds,, providing a rationale for imaging accessible microvessels, such as those of the eye. Transparency of the ocular media allows direct visualization of the microvasculature that may be affected by systemic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and CKD. Here, we discuss the basis for the eye to act as a window to the kidney and evidence for the microcirculation of the eye to report risk of adverse renal and CVD outcomes.

Figure 1

Initiation and consequences of microvascular disease. Light blue arrows show the additional associations/contribution between insults. Dark blue arrows indicate the sequence of events leading to the development and progression of end-organ dysfunction. CAD, coronary artery disease; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; LVH, left ventricular hypertrophy; SVD, small vessel disease.

The Eye as a Window to the Kidney

The eye and kidney have several structural, developmental, and organizational similarities that support the concept that ocular tissues might reflect renal disease (Figure 2).

Figure 2

The eye as a window to the kidney. The microcirculation of the eye and kidney are characterized by multiple capillary networks, which, although arranged in close proximity, have striking structural and functional differences. (a) Upper panel: cross-sectional diagram of the glomerular capillary. Lower panel: corticomedullary microcirculation organization, oxygen gradients, and actions of renal-angiotensin-aldosterone and endothelin systems. (b) Upper panel: cross-sectional diagram of the choroidal capillary. Lower panel: chorioretinal microcirculation organization, oxygen gradients, and actions of renal-angiotensin-aldosterone and endothelin systems. ?Glial-pericyte signaling, glial-pericyte signaling not proven; AT1R, angiotensin II type 1 receptor; CRA, central retinal artery; CRV, central retinal vein; ET, endothelin; ETAR, endothelin type A receptor; ETBR, endothelin type B receptor; pO2, partial pressure of oxygen; RAAS, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system; RNFL, retinal nerve fiber layer.

Bruch’s membrane and glomerular basement membrane

Bruch’s membrane divides the posterior pole of the eye into the retina (a laminated neurovascular structure) and choroid (an almost entirely vascular structure), collectively termed chorioretinal. Bruch’s membrane and the glomerular basement membrane (GBM) both contain a network of α3, α4, and α5 type IV collagen chains., Thus, inherited or acquired diseases involving type IV collagen can affect both organs; the presence of coexistent nephropathy and retinopathy in Alport syndrome is a well-described example of this (Supplementary Figure S1)., As another example, anti-GBM disease is characterized by the development of IgG autoantibodies directed against the α3 chain, which are deposited on glomerular and alveolar basement membranes triggering a crescentic glomerulonephritis and pulmonary hemorrhage, respectively. Similar linear IgG deposition on Bruch’s membrane has been reported in patients with anti-GBM disease who developed concurrent choroidal ischemia and retinal detachment.,

The arrangement of the choroidal capillary (choriocapillaris) endothelium, Bruch’s membrane, and retinal pigment epithelium mirrors that of the glomerular endothelium, GBM, and podocyte (Figure 2). The pathological relevance of this homology is readily appreciated in membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis type II, in which electron dense deposits are found on the GBM and on Bruch’s membrane. Evidence of complement system dysregulation as a key driver of renal and retinal deposit formation in membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis and drusen deposition on Bruch’s membrane in age-related macular degeneration has extended the link between the eye and the kidney to include immune regulation.,

Chorioretinal and renal microcirculations

Development and ultrastructure

The human retinal circulation develops predominantly by angiogenesis, where new vessels bud from preexisting ones, to supply the inner two-thirds of the retina. In the kidney, the peritubular capillaries and vasa recta populate the medulla and inner cortex in a similar manner. In contrast, the choroidal and glomerular endothelium is reported to develop by vasculogenesis, where clusters of progenitor cells form islands of de novo vessels, giving rise to the choriocapillaris and renal corpuscle, respectively,; although for the glomerulus, this is debated. The choriocapillaris endothelium has ∼80 nm fenestrations allowing fluid exchange within the subretinal space. The glomerular endothelium has similarly sized fenestrations that facilitate ultrafiltration into the Bowman’s capsule.

Organization and blood flow

The retinal and medullary circulations each receive <20% of the total ocular and renal blood flow, respectively, despite the high metabolic activity of the retinal photoreceptors and the medullary countercurrent exchange system. Thus, both regions have a lower oxygen tension than do their choroidal and cortical counterparts, creating matched chorioretinal and corticomedullary oxygen gradients (Figure 2). The choroidal circulation receives ∼80% of ocular blood flow and passively oxygenates key visual apparatus including the pigment epithelium and photoreceptors, particularly within the avascular fovea. This role demands blood flow that is 4-fold higher per unit mass than the kidney and 10-fold higher than the brain, indicating the importance of the choroid to global retinal health. Choroidal vascular change may therefore predate the onset of overt retinopathy and, if detectable, might allow earlier identification of incipient disease.

Regulation of blood flow

All components of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system are widely expressed throughout the retinal and choroidal vascular networks (Figure 2). Similar to effects in the kidney, angiotensin II acting via type I receptors leads to chorioretinal vasoconstriction but may also modulate glial-pericyte-vasomotor signaling that maintains retinal neurovascular integrity. Excessive renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system activation contributes to the pathogenesis of diabetic retinopathy and both diabetic and nondiabetic CKD. Moreover, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibition in clinical trials prevents the development and progression of diabetic retinopathy and nephropathy, probably independently of effects on blood pressure (BP).

In the eye, endothelin-1 mediates vasoconstriction via endothelin-A receptors, which are predominantly localized to choroidal and retinal vascular smooth muscle cells. In contrast, endothelin-B receptors appear confined to neuronal and glial structures. Similarly in the kidney, endothelin-A receptors are localized to the vascular smooth muscle of glomeruli and vasa recta whereas endothelin-B receptors are mainly localized to the collecting system (Figure 2). Selective endothelin-A receptor blockade in the eye increases retinal blood flow and reduces both retinal pericyte apoptosis and retinal thinning in a mouse model of type 2 diabetes. These effects are mirrored in the kidney where selective endothelin-A blockade ameliorates intraglomerular hypertension, podocytopathy, and fibrosis to slow CKD progression., Autonomic innervation in the eye is limited to the choroidal circulation where sympathetic activation mediates choroidal vasoconstriction in a similar manner to effects on intrarenal vessels. Thus, the choroidal microvasculature, rather than retinal vessels, may more accurately reflect the renal microvasculature, particularly in diseases characterized by excessive sympathetic activation, such as CKD.

Retinal Imaging, the Kidney, and CVD

Retinal photography

Qualitative retinopathy grading (e.g., microaneurysms, hemorrhages, or focal arteriolar narrowing) and computer-assisted quantitative retinal vessel caliber analysis of digital fundus photographs have been the mainstay of retinal imaging for the last 20 years (Supplementary Figure S2). As retinopathy reflects established end-organ damage, detecting changes in retinal vessel caliber that precede this overt damage may allow earlier identification of at-risk patients. The most established metrics are derived from arteriolar and venular widths from vessels close to the optic disc (Table 1; Supplementary Figure S2). Novel indices of retinal vascular network geometry, such as fractal dimension (Dfs), can be derived from skeletonized vessel maps from retinal photographs (Figure 3). These indices identify suboptimal vascular branching patterns that may reflect and promote microvascular damage in systemic disease., The presence and severity of retinopathy, vessel caliber change, and fractal deviations have been strongly linked to hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and CKD as well as CVD end points.

Table 1

Retinal vascular metrics from retinal photography

Metric	Derivation	Interpretation	Strengths	Weaknesses
CRAE	Widths of the reflective erythrocyte column within the vessel lumen from 6 largest arterioles located in a zone 0.5–1 disc diameters away from the optic disc margin	Summarized surrogate measure of internal arteriolar widths that reflect narrowing or widening	Provides insight into disease affecting arteriolesRelatively easy to obtain and automate	Summarized rather than absolute valuesPotential for magnification and positioning errorsValues are not true vessel widths nor cross-sectional area that may be more relevant to disease
CRVE	Widths of the reflective erythrocyte column within the vessel lumen from 6 largest venules located in a zone 0.5–1 disc diameters away from the optic disc margin	Summarized surrogate measure of internal venular widths that reflect narrowing or widening	Provides insight into disease affecting venulesRelatively easy to obtain and automate	Summarized rather than absolute valuesPotential for magnification and positioning errorsValues are not true vessel widths nor cross-sectional area that may be more relevant to disease
AVR	Ratio of CRAE to CRVE	Changes usually indicative of generalized arteriolar narrowing	Avoids magnification errorsDimensionless	Provides little insight into the underlying pathophysiologyIf used alone, it can lead to incorrect inferences: both CRVE and CRAE narrow with increasing blood pressure, producing a normal AVR masking any association
Df	Images are binarized and vessel maps are broken into short segments (skeletonization)Entire image divided into boxes, and those containing a vessel segment are counted. The process is repeated with different box sizes. The number of boxes with vessel segments is plotted against the total number of boxes in the image	Index of vessel network spatial occupancy (complexity)Reduced (sparse) or increased (dense) complexity relative to health or within a cohort reflects suboptimal vascular network geometry	Based on robust models of the optimality of vascular branchingMay be more sensitive than calibers in reflecting microvascular disease in other organ beds	Less widely studied than calibersSimplifies 3-dimensional vascular networks into 2-dimensional skeletonized maps

AVR, arteriole-to-venule ratio; CRAE; central retinal arteriolar equivalent; CRVE, central retinal venular equivalent; Df, fractal dimension.

Figure 3

Retinal vascular network geometric indices. Retinal photographs (left panels) of the left eye taken using the Canon CR-1 fundus camera (Canon Inc., Tokyo, Japan) with a field of view of 45° in (a) a healthy volunteer and (b) a patient with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Arterial and venous branches are binarized and segmented (middle panels) before being transformed into vessel (arterial) skeleton maps (right panels) for fractal dimension (Df) analyses. The vessel segmentation and skeleton maps demonstrate retinal vessel rarefaction in CKD compared with health, which is not evident from the standard retinal photographs; health Dfarteries = 1.47 and CKD Dfarteries = 1.18. Retinal photographs and segmentation images used under Creative Commons license from https://www5.cs.fau.de/research/data/fundus-images/. Vessel skeleton map images kindly provided by Stephen Hogg (VAMPIRE group, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK). To optimize viewing of this image, please see the online version of this article at www.kidney-international.org.

The retinal circulation: CVD risk factors and outcomes

Hypertension

Retinal arteriolar narrowing is thought to reflect increased systemic vascular tone. Large cross-sectional studies demonstrate strong independent associations between BP and generalized and focal arteriolar narrowing. Longitudinal studies have shown that retinal arteriolar narrowing is associated with a ∼2-fold increased risk of incident hypertension independent of age, sex, baseline BP, and other CVD risk factors (Supplementary Table S1), supporting the concept that retinal microvascular changes precede overt disease and are able to identify at-risk individuals. This paradigm has been challenged more recently by data suggesting a high prevalence of masked hypertension at the time of retinal imaging as detected by ambulatory BP monitoring. Additionally, systolic BP and mean arterial pressure show an inverse linear relationship with Df in keeping with rarefaction.42, 43, 44 This relationship holds true in young children with normal BP (a population that should lack confounding preexisting vascular risk factors) and is independent of retinal arteriolar caliber.

Diabetes mellitus

Diabetic retinopathy is associated with systemic vascular complications likely reflecting widespread microvascular disease. More so than in hypertension, retinal venular widening is prevalent in diabetes, correlates with the severity of retinopathy, and predicts progression to overt retinopathy, suggesting a different pathophysiological basis for the change in vessel caliber. Wider venules are seen in response to chronic hypoxia and associate with endothelial dysfunction, suggesting that they reflect microvascular stress in response to metabolic derangement. In support of this concept, higher cholesterol level, higher body mass index, and worse glycemic control link to wider retinal venules.49, 50, 51, 52 Moreover, wider venules and smaller arteriole-to-venule ratio predict incident fasting hyperglycemia and diabetes over 5 to 10 years, independent of fasting glucose level, insulin level, body mass index, family history of diabetes, or BP (Supplementary Table S2). Finally, reduced Df in those with diabetes can predict incident neuropathy, nephropathy, and progressive retinopathy, independent of other risk factors for microvascular complications although the strength of these associations is modest.,

CKD

Retinopathy (diabetic, hypertensive, or otherwise) is more prevalent in patients with CKD, independent of standard CVD risk factors including diabetes and proteinuria. Retinopathy severity also shows a graded relationship with declining estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and its presence predicts future decline in renal function., Analysis of ∼1000 patients from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort with serial fundus photographs found that retinopathy progression also tracks CKD progression in a subgroup of patients. However, these initial associations were lost after adjusting for baseline risk factors for progression, suggesting little added benefit of retinal metrics. Both arteriolar narrowing and venular widening have been associated with prevalent CKD, but whether retinal vessel calibers predict incident or progressive CKD is not clear (Table 2). The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study examined retinal photographs of ∼10,000 middle-aged patients and showed that those in the lowest arteriole-to-venule ratio quintile had the greatest increase in serum creatinine level over a 6-year period; this held true after adjusting for baseline vascular risk factors. Analysis of retinal images from ∼4500 patients without baseline CKD from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis found that narrower arterioles predicted the development of CKD in white patients alone. However, other large well-designed studies have failed to find an independent association between any vascular caliber metric and CKD progression.,

Table 2

Retinal vascular metrics to predict incident or progressive CKD

Study	Country	N	Population and mean age	Retinal metric	Clinical outcome	Hypertension	Mean BP	Diabetes	Index serum creatinine level or eGFR	Follow-up duration	Results
Wong et al.58Prospective population-based cohort	United States	10,056	White and African American adults with eGFR>60 ml/min per 1.73 m260 yr	AVR	Incident renal dysfunction: rise in serum creatinine level by ≥35 μmol/l or hospital admission/death coded for renal disease	50%	127/70 mm Hg	22%	80 μmol/l	6 yr	3% developed CKDSmallest AVR associated with a greater change in serum creatinine level (4 μmol/l vs. 2 μmol/l)
Wong et al.61Prospective population-based cohort	United States	557	Type 1 diabetic patients with eGFR >90 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and proteinuria <0.3 g/l31 yr	CRAECRVE	Incident renal insufficiency: eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2Incident gross proteinuria: >0.3 g/l	No data	120/76 mm Hg	100%	No data	16 yr	20% developed CKD33% developed proteinuriaWidest CRVE quartile associated with the increased incidence of CKD and proteinuricCKD: adjusted RR 1.5 (1.05–2.2)Proteinuria: adjusted RR 1.5 (1.2–2.0)No association for CRAE
Edwards et al.62Prospective population-based cohort	United States	1394	Adults aged >65 yr78 yr	AVR	Change in serum creatinine levelDecline in renal function: increase in serum creatinine level by ≥27 μmol/l and fall in eGFR by ≥20%	57%	131/67 mm Hg	17%	89 μmol/l70 ml/min	4 yr	4%–5% had a significant increase in serum creatinine level or fall in eGFRAVR showed no associations with changes in renal functionRetinopathy associated with a higher risk of decline in renal function: adjusted OR 2.8–3.2 vs. no retinopathy
Sabanayagam et al.63Prospective population-based cohort	United States	3199	White adults with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m259 yr	CRAECRVE	Incident CKD: eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and 25% decrease from baseline	45%	130/78 mm Hg	9%	85 ml/min	15 yr	5% developed CKDNo association of CRAE or CRVE with incident CKDNo association with eGFR and incident CRAE narrowing or CRVE widening
Yau et al.64Prospective population-based cohort	United States	4594	Multi-ethnic adults with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m264 yr	CRAECRVE	Incident CKD: eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2	40%	127/71 mm Hg	11%	76 ml/min	4.8 yr	5% developed CKDNarrowest CRAE tertile associated with incident CKD in white patients only: adjusted HR 1.78 (1.01–3.1) vs. widest; increased to 2.95 when analyzing those without hypertension or diabetesNo association with CRVE
Baumann et al.65Prospective	Germany	141	Adults with stage 2–4 CKD61 yr	CRAE	Progression of CKD:50% decline in eGFR or start of RRT	No data	137/76 mm Hg	46%	48 ml/min	3.9 yr	17% had progression of CKDNarrowest CRAE tertile associated with progression of CKD: adjusted OR 3 (1.2–7.5) vs. widest CRAENarrowest CRAE in the presence of albuminuria associated with a 10-fold increased risk of CKD progression as compared with a 3-fold risk seen with narrow CRAE or albuminuria alone
Grunwald et al.66Prospective population-based cohort	United States	1852	Adults with eGFR 20–70 ml/min per 1.73 m262 yr	AVRCRAECRVE	Progression of CKD:ESRD/RRT, change in eGFR slope	90%	130/80 mm Hg	47%	40 ml/min	2.3 yr	8% developed ESRD and overall eGFR decline was 0.53 ml/min per 1.73 m2Higher AVR associated with ESRD and steeper eGFR decline: adjusted HR 3.1 (1.5–6.4)No associations with CRAE and CRVE
Yip et al.67Prospective population-based cohort	Singapore	5763	Malay adults55 yr	AVRCRAECRVEDf	Incident ESRD: defined by start of RRT	55%	140/70 mm Hg	34%	77 ml/min	4.3 yr	0.4% developed ESRDNo associations for vascular metrics and the risk of ESRD in adjusted analysesRetinopathy predicted ESRD
Yip et al.68Prospective population-based cohort	Singapore	1256	Malay adults56 yr	CRAECRVETortuosityDfBranching angles	Incident CKD: eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2	58%	150/80 mm Hg	25%	80 ml/min	6 yr	6% developed incident CKDNarrower CRAE associated with incident CKD: adjusted HR 1.3 (1.00–1.78) as a continuous variableWidest CRVE tertile associated with incident CKD: adjusted HR 2.4 (1.1–5.9) vs. narrowest CRVENo other vascular metrics associated with incident CKD
McKay et al.69Prospective population-based cohort	Scotland	1068	Adults with eGFR ≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m263 yr	CRAECRVETortuosityDfBranching angles	Change in eGFR:Progressors: eGFR <60 ml or ≥15% declineNonprogressors:<10% decline	No data	138/77 mm Hg	100%	94 ml/min	3 yr	31% had progressive CKDNo baseline retinal metric predicted progression of CKD in unadjusted or adjusted analyses

AVR, arteriole-to-venule ratio; BP, blood pressure; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CRAE, central retinal arteriolar equivalent, CRVE, central retinal venular equivalent; Df, fractal dimension; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; ESRD, end-stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio; OR, odds ratio; RR, risk ratio; RRT, renal replacement therapy.

All values are mean.

Albuminuria, an established marker of renal microvascular injury and an independent risk factor for CKD progression and incident CVD, may better reflect retinal vascular changes. Cross-sectional studies have shown that a narrower central retinal arteriolar equivalent is independently associated with higher albuminuria and more severe glomerulopathy on histology in early diabetic CKD, linking retinal and renal microvascular pathology. Additionally, baseline and subsequent arteriolar narrowing predicts worsening albuminuria and histological disease progression as well as decline in eGFR in both diabetic and nondiabetic CKD.,, Importantly, using central retinal arteriolar equivalents in conjunction with albuminuria allowed better stratification of individuals at increased risk of CKD progression than did the use of albuminuria alone.

Studies exploring fractals in CKD are few and conflicting. A small study from Singapore (n = 260) found a modest U-shaped relationship between Df and CKD, suggesting that increased vascular branching complexity, potentially due to neovascularization as is often seen in diabetic retinopathy, is also indicative of increased risk. A larger Malay study (n = 3280) subsequently found lower Df to be strongly associated with lower eGFR and higher proteinuria. In contrast, large studies of both diabetic and nondiabetic CKD found no relationship between either baseline or change in Df and the presence or progression of CKD (Table 2).,

The lack of a consistent retinal vascular metric for the detection of incident and prevalent CKD may reflect the heterogeneity of the study populations, underlying etiologies, metabolic abnormalities, and treatments, such as immunosuppression and erythropoietin-stimulating agents. It may also suggest that retinal photography has limited sensitivity to reveal a reliable metric among these competing influences.

CVD outcomes

Retinal arteriolar narrowing, in contrast to venular widening, shows stronger associations with atherothrombotic rather than metabolic CVD risk factors, but both link to CVD outcomes. Large epidemiological studies and meta-analyses have shown that retinopathy, narrower arterioles, and wider venules are common in patients with known ischemic stroke disease.75, 76, 77 Moreover, their presence predicts incident ischemic stroke and stroke mortality, independent of other baseline CVD risk factors (Supplementary Table S3).78, 79, 80 These same metrics are also independent predictors of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease morbidity and mortality, which appear stronger for women than men (Supplementary Table S3)., A lower Df showed a linear relationship with worsening severity of coronary vessel stenosis in ∼1700 patients with ischemic heart disease and also associated with prevalent stroke. In large prospective studies, a suboptimal Df conferred a 40% increased risk of stroke over a 5-year period and a 50% increased risk of death from coronary artery disease over a 14-year period (Supplementary Table S3). These analyses included adjustment for standard CVD risk factors and retinal vessel calibers, suggesting a better predictive ability of Df.

The presence of retinal microvascular disease may also stratify patients at future risk of CVD as demonstrated by a recent study of >3500 patients with microalbuminuria. Here, a wider central retinal venular equivalent predicted incident CVD over 6 years. Furthermore, the presence of a single retinal microvascular abnormality, in conjunction with microalbuminuria, increased the risk of incident CVD 2-fold, and this rose to >6-fold if multiple vascular abnormalities were present. Finally, and importantly, the use of retinal vascular metrics such as arteriolar narrowing and venular widening can provide added benefit over current atherosclerotic CVD risk prediction tools as demonstrated for ischemic stroke and coronary artery disease.

These data provide robust evidence of the potential clinical utility of retinal imaging–based CVD risk assessment. Transition into clinical practice is still awaited and may have been hindered by inherent limitations (Table 1). The use of novel imaging modalities to target deeper vascular networks such as the choroidal circulation, which may reflect microvascular disease earlier and more accurately, might overcome some of these challenges. This is now possible through retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT).

Retinal OCT

Retinal OCT provides high-resolution tomographic (cross-sectional) imaging of the eye with near histological detail. The advent of retinal OCT has transformed clinical ophthalmology. In 2010, an estimated 16 million OCT scans were performed in the United States alone, more than all other ocular imaging modalities combined. This rapid expansion has provided novel insights into the role of the chorioretinal microvasculature in the pathogenesis of age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy, and glaucoma, eye diseases that have an increased prevalence in CKD. The technical principles underpinning OCT are analogous to those of ultrasound but measure light reflections rather than sound echoes (Supplementary Figure S3). The measurement of small variations (interference) in light waves over short distances is made possible through the use of interferometry. In the current generations of OCT, a Fourier transform analyzes multiple interference signals simultaneously via a spectrometer (spectral domain OCT) or a tunable laser (swept-source OCT), resulting in extremely fast image acquisition. Swept-source OCT may also provide better tissue penetration than does spectral domain OCT, allowing better identification of deep structures such as the choroid.

The ultrahigh resolution (typically 2–8 μm) of OCT allows identification and automated segmentation of retinal layers, providing measures of global and regional retinal thickness, volume, and nerve fiber layer thickness, allowing detection of retinal neurodegeneration (Table 3 and Figure 4; Supplementary Figure S4 and Supplementary Movies S1 and S2). Importantly, OCT devices are capable of eye tracking and image coregistration for accurate longitudinal imaging. Another key strength of OCT is the potential to image the previously inaccessible choroid, which is almost entirely composed of the blood vessels of the choroidal circulation (Figure 4). OCT-derived metrics of choroidal structure have been shown to be reproducible, correlate well with histology, and may be surrogate measures for microvascular density with thinning, suggestive of rarefaction.92, 93, 94 In addition, the cross-sectional nature of the OCT image allows vessel wall/lumen analyses. OCT devices can also acquire en face retinal images for vessel caliber assessment to complement choroidal imaging (Supplementary Figure S2). In short, OCT allows comprehensive structural assessment of the entire chorioretinal circulation and its dependent tissue in vivo within a single platform.

Table 3

Chortioretinal layer metrics from optical coherence tomography

Metric	Derivation	Interpretation	Strengths	Weaknesses
Retinal thickness	Calculated from the number of A-scan pixels between the internal limiting membrane and Bruch’s membraneSequential A scans in the horizontal or vertical plane generate a 2-dimensional thickness profile across the retina: the B scan	Average thickness of peripheral and central retinal subfieldsThinning predominantly reflects neuronal loss. May also reflect intraretinal capillary rarefactionThickening reflects accumulation of edema, vascular exudates, or cellular debris	Can allow detection of differential patterns of retinopathy: global thinning vs. predominantly central or peripheral subfield thinningEasy to obtain, automated, and highly reproducibleSegmentation of retinal sublayers can provide a novel insight into pathogenesis such as GC layer thinning	Layer and subfield boundaries not standardized across devicesOverall thickness may miss sublayer thinning or thickeningCannot differentiate between neuronal or vascular structures
Macular volume	Calculated as a product of retinal thickness and scan area. The scan area can be subdivided into the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study map of 6, 3, and 1 mm concentric rings centered on the fovea, producing 9 subfields	Global and regional volumes of the key region for visionThinning predominantly reflects neuronal loss. May also reflect intraretinal capillary rarefactionThickening reflects accumulation of edema, vascular exudates, or cellular debris	Can allow early detection and tracking of differential patterns of maculopathySegmentation of sublayers can provide a novel insight into pathogenesisEasy to obtain, automated, and highly reproducible	Accuracy dependent on the total number of stacked horizontal B scans within the scan areaLayer boundaries and B-scan protocols not standardized across devices
RNFL thickness	Calculated from the number of A-scan pixels between the internal limiting membrane and the GC layerSequential A scans in the horizontal, vertical, or circular plane centered on the optic disc generate a thickness profile	Global and regional assessments of the GC axon numberThinning reflects GC axonal lossThickening reflects axonal edema seen in inflammation, ischemia, or intracranial hypertension	Specific biomarker of optic neuropathy and wider central neurological diseaseAllows earlier detection and tracking of differential patterns of neuropathyEasy to obtain, automated, and highly reproducibleStandardized normative range available for glaucoma and neurological disease	Blood vessels (and glial cells) within the RNFL are included in measurement, so not truly representative of the GC axon populationSegmentation errors can occurSusceptible to confounding by optical biometrics such as axial length, disc size, and disc-fovea angle
Choroidal thickness	No precise definition or standard methodology. Calculated from the number of A-scan pixels from Bruch’s membrane to the choroidoscleral interfaceOften manually measured at several discrete locationsNewer devices provide automatic segmentation to automatically calculate regional choroidal thickness and volume in a manner similar to that for retinal thickness and volume	Coarse measure of a dense vascular layer containing arterioles, capillaries, venules, and veinsThinning reflects vascular changes including reduced blood flow, vasoconstriction, or rarefaction. Contribution of nonvascular components unclearThickening may be due to increased blood flow, vasodilatation, or edema. Contribution of nonvascular components unclear	Easy to obtain, increasingly automated, and reproducibleAssess critical vascular supply to the retina and reveals a novel insight into macular disease	Inaccessible location continues to limit comprehensive vascular assessmentDoes not differentiate between vascular and nonvascular structuresSusceptible to confounding by optical biometrics such as axial lengthNo standardized normative range

GC, ganglion cell; RNFL; retinal nerve fiber layer.

Figure 4

Deep imaging with optical coherence tomography (OCT).En face confocal scanning laser ophthalmoscope (CLSO; left panels) and OCT (right panels) images of the right eye taken using the SPECTRALIS spectral domain OCT machine (SD-OCT; Heidelberg Engineering, Heidelberg, Germany) in (a–c) a healthy volunteer and (d) a patient with chronic kidney disease (CKD) with enhanced depth imaging (c,d). Bars = 200 μm. (a) SD-OCT enables the identification of specific cell layers within the retina in high resolution. Left panel: an en face CLSO image centered over the macula. The green line represents the level and direction of the cross section of the corresponding OCT image running from left to right. Right panel: an OCT image demonstrating individual layers within the retina. Retinal thickness is defined as the area bounded by the internal limiting membrane (ILM) and Bruch’s membrane (BM). (b) Left panel: a CLSO image centered over the optic nerve head, with the line of the cross section (green) circled around the peripapillary region. The dark blue line defines the distance from the optic disc to the fovea. Right panel: an OCT image demonstrating retinal thickness from the circular cross section around the optic nerve head in the left image. The green line running from left to right corresponds to the direction of the cross section of the green circle in the left panel. Retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness is defined as the area bordered by red and cyan lines. (c) CSLO (left panel) and OCT with enhanced depth imaging (EDI) (right panel) in a healthy subject. EDI enables the identification of deeper structures, including the highly vascularized choroid. We measured choroidal thickness at 3 locations: I = 2 mm nasal to the fovea, II = subfoveal, and III = 2 mm temporal to the fovea. The corresponding locations on the macula are indicated by yellow arrows. (d) CLSO (left panel) and OCT with EDI (right panel) in an age- and sex-matched subject with CKD demonstrating comparative thinning of the choroid at all 3 locations. The corresponding locations on the macula are indicated by yellow arrows. To optimize viewing of this image, please see the online version of this article at www.kidney-international.org.

The chorioretinal circulation: CVD risk factors and outcomes

We have used OCT to prospectively examine chorioretinal thickness in patients with established hypertension and age- and sex-matched healthy subjects. We excluded patients with a history of eye disease, diabetes, or overt CVD. We found no differences in OCT metrics between these carefully matched groups. Two larger studies have produced contrasting results. The Beijing Eye Study imaged ∼3000 adults and reported small increases in choroidal thickness with increasing diastolic BP but not systolic BP. Paradoxically, the presence of hypertension was characterized by choroidal thinning. A subsequent cross-sectional study from Korea found that patients with hypertension (n = 140) had significant retinal thinning in nearly all regions assessed as compared with those without hypertension (n = 687). Notably, the hypertensive group was older with a higher prevalence of CVD risk factors. More recently, a single-center study from Italy of 100 patients with hypertension found consistent retinal and choroidal thinning in hypertensive patients with coexistent CKD (defined as an eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and/or moderate albuminuria) as compared with hypertensive patients with preserved renal function. These differences persisted after adjustments for age, antihypertensive use, and glycemia. The lack of a matched healthy control group in this otherwise well-designed study limits wider generalizability to CVD risk.

OCT also enables cross-sectional assessment of retinal vessels. Muraoka et al. reported a greater arteriolar and venular wall thickness in 106 hypertensive patients than in 132 patients without hypertension. Given that the lumen size remained normal, the findings of Muraoka et al. suggested outward vascular remodeling.

Interpreting the broader significance of these contrasting results in hypertension is difficult as different ethnic groups were studied, imaging devices were varied, medication and comorbidity data were inconsistently reported, and those with diabetes were variably included. Large prospective studies that take such factors into account are needed to clarify any relationship and explore causality.

The studies using OCT to assess retinal thickness between patients with and without diabetes overall have shown significant thinning of the nerve fiber and ganglion cell layers (GCLs) even when retinopathy is absent or mild.101, 102, 103 Retinal ganglion cells are interneurons that transmit visual information from photoreceptor cells to the visual cortex via the optic nerve. Ganglion cell apoptosis is an early hallmark of retinal neurodegeneration that manifests as thinning of the GCL on OCT. Such GCL thinning is not observable by standard retinal photography or scanning laser ophthalmoscopy. Studies using OCT in types 1 and 2 diabetes, with no or minimal clinically observable retinopathy, have found selective GCL thinning as compared with health., The degree of thinning correlates strongly with the duration of type 1 diabetes. Studies of the choroid also show that patients with diabetes have thinner choroids than do age- and sex-matched controls, even in the absence of retinopathy., Recent work suggests that greater reductions in choroidal thickness and choroidal vascular density occur with worsening retinopathy in keeping with progressive microvascular damage. Whether choroidal thinning contributes to, or indeed is a result of, retinal vascular disease needs further study. The choroid may therefore reflect early systemic vascular changes in diabetes, such as glomerular hyperfiltration and hypertension.

Predialysis CKD

We showed, for the first time, that patients with varying degrees of nondiabetic predialysis CKD exhibit ∼5% retinal and ∼25% choroidal thinning as compared with both age- and sex-matched healthy subjects and patients with hypertension (Figure 4). The highly vascular nature of the choroid suggests that thinning here is likely to represent changes in microvascular structure or function. Supporting this, we found that the choroid was thinner in those with a lower eGFR and higher proteinuria, both strongly associated with microvascular dysfunction., Also, those with a thinner choroid had higher circulating endothelin-1 and plasma asymmetric dimethylarginine (an endogenous inhibitor of nitric oxide synthesis) levels, further supporting this association. Importantly, we linked chorioretinal thinning with renal histology, showing that the severity of glomerular injury reflected the degree of choroidal thinning. Recent data using different OCT platforms have confirmed our results. The previously discussed Italian study found that lower eGFR and higher microalbuminuria were associated with choroidal thinning using swept-source OCT in 100 hypertensive patients. Moreover, with respect to eGFR, this association was independent of age and other vascular risk factors. These results are interesting as eGFR was preserved (∼70 ml/min per 1.73 m2) and proteinuria was low, suggesting only modest microvascular damage. This contrasts with our work, where patients with CKD had moderate-to-severe renal disease (mean eGFR ∼37 ml/min per 1.73 m2; proteinuria equivalent to ∼2 g/d). Another recent study included patients with more advanced CKD and found a consistent relationship between lower eGFR, higher protein leak, and a thinner choroid. The differences in OCT metrics between CKD, hypertension, and health, as well as their associations with CKD severity, provide the initial evidence of the potential of OCT to identify and stratify individuals at increased CVD risk. Whether these metrics reflect systemic microvascular damage better than standard tools should be tested in future studies. Finally, the consistency of these findings across different OCT devices using different technology and segmentation algorithms at least supports the fidelity of the relationship. Studies exploring whether this relationship can predict CKD outcomes are awaited.

End-stage renal disease

CVD risk is highest in those with end-stage renal disease and on maintenance dialysis. Hemodialysis is associated with repetitive subclinical myocardial injury, which has been linked to microvascular dysfunction that likely contributes to this risk. A simple noninvasive method of assessing microvascular disease in this very high risk group would be useful. In keeping with our data, studies have shown that patients on dialysis have global retinal thinning as compared with healthy controls. Additionally, a few small clinical studies in these patients have assessed how OCT metrics may be influenced by dialysis per se (Table 4). Collectively, these studies suggest that the choroid, and the retina to a lesser extent, thins after dialysis, with the greatest reductions seen in patients with diabetic retinopathy. Whether thinning occurs because of changes in BP (altering chorioretinal perfusion), solute clearance, fluid removal, or change in intraocular pressure is unclear, and the studied cohorts are probably too small and/or heterogeneous to assess these relationships in detail. Retinal nerve fiber layer thinning has been associated with neurodegenerative disease such as Alzheimer disease and Parkinson disease, suggesting that OCT can act as a window to the brain and cognition. Similar thinning has been found in patients on hemodialysis and supports recent data linking intradialytic cerebral hypoperfusion to progressive cognitive impairment. There are no robust OCT studies in renal transplant recipients, but the available data suggest that retinopathy and nerve fiber layer thinning are common.

Table 4

Hemodialysis and OCT metricsa

Study	Year	Country	Device	N	Age (yr)	Proportion with diabetes (%)	Dialysis vintage (yr)	Achieved UFVolume (L)	ΔWeight	ΔBP	ΔIOP	ΔRetinal thickness	ΔChoroidal thickness	ΔRNFL	ΔVessel density
Shin et al.113	2019	South Korea	DRI Triton (Topcon, Tokyo, Japan)	32	56	∼66	6	3	↓2.6 kg	↓SBP ∼12 mm Hg	No change	–	↓∼5%	–	–
Shin et al.114	2018	South Korea	DRI OCT1 (Topcon)Atlantis	29	56	∼52	5.8	3	↓2.7 kg	↓SBP ∼10 mm Hg	No change	No change	↓∼7%	–	↓∼3%
Zhang et al.115	2018	China	AngioVue (OptoVue, CA)	77	53	∼50	4.5	2.5	–	↓SBP ∼7 mm Hg	No change	↓∼2%	No change	–	↓∼3%
Chen et al.116	2018	China	Cirrus HD (Carl Zeiss AG, Jena, Germany)	90	58	∼13	5.8	–	–	↓SBP ∼10 mm Hg↓DBP ∼7 mm Hg	No change	No change	↓∼12%	↑∼3%	–
Chang et al.117	2017	South Korea	SPECTRALIS with EDI (Heidelberg Engineering, Heidelberg, Germany)	54	60	∼60	5	–	↓2.3 kg	↓SBP ∼15 mm Hg↓DBP ∼4 mm Hg	↓∼10%	–	↓∼10%	No change	–
Ishibazawa et al.118	2015	Japan	RetinaScan (Nidek, Gamagori, Japan)No EDI	77	67	∼50	4.7	2.5	↓2.2 kg	↓SBP ∼14 mm Hg↓DBP ∼4 mm Hg	No change	No change	↓∼10%	–	–
Jung et al.119	2014	South Korea	SPECTRALIS (Heidelberg Engineering)No EDI	19	51	∼50	3.5	–	↓2.1 kg	↓SBP ∼16 mm Hg	No change	–	↑∼5%	–	–
Yang et al.120	2013	South Korea	SPECTRALIS with EDI (Heidelberg Engineering)	34	58	∼25	6	–	↓2.8 kg	No change	↓∼10%	No change	↓∼6%	No change	–
Ulas et al.121	2013	Turkey	SPECTRALIS with EDI (Heidelberg Engineering)	21	61	–	2.4	3	–	No change	No change	No change	↓∼10%	–	–
Jung et al.122	2013	South Korea	SPECTRALISNo EDI (Heidelberg Engineering)	30	54	∼40	4.3	–	↓1.9 kg	↓SBP ∼17 mm Hg↓DBP ∼7 mm Hg	↓∼15%	↓∼2%	–	–	–
Theodossiadis et al.123	2012	Greece	OCT3 Stratus (Carl Zeiss AG)	72	62	100	2.8	–	↓2.5 kg	No change	–	↓∼4%	–	–	–
Demir et al.124	2009	Turkey	OCT3 Stratus (Carl Zeiss AG)	36	41	–	3.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	No change	–

↑, increase; ↓, decrease; BP, blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; EDI, enhanced depth imaging; IOP, intraocular pressure; OCT, optical coherence tomography; RNFL, retinal nerve fiber layer; SBP, systolic blood pressure; UF, ultrafiltration.

Studies examining OCT metrics before and after a hemodialysis session in patients on long-term renal replacement therapy.

All values are mean.

Studies linking OCT-derived metrics to prevalent CVD are beginning to emerge. Altinkaynak et al. studied 56 patients with heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction and found choroidal thinning of ∼30% as compared with age- and sex-matched healthy controls. A thinner choroid was strongly associated with a worse ejection fraction in unadjusted analyses, which may reflect choroidal vasoconstriction secondary to reduced cardiac output. No data on possible confounders such as renal function, diabetic status, CVD risk factors, and concomitant drugs were reported.

Choroidal but not retinal thinning has been shown in patients with established coronary artery disease (defined by angiographic coronary artery stenosis, a positive stress test, and/or previous coronary revascularization or myocardial infarction) compared with healthy subjects in small studies., However, limited reporting of CVD risk factors, the inclusion patients with diabetes, and a high CVD risk control group weaken these associations., A recent study using spectral domain OCT examined a subgroup of 764 elderly patients (mean age 82 years; two-thirds female patients) from a French population-based study (>9000 participants) and found no associations between subfoveal choroidal thickness and previous CVD, current CVD risk factors, or estimated future CVD risk according to a clinical scoring tool. A large amount of missing data, recall bias from patient-declared medical history, and a single manual measure of choroidal thickness may have contributed to these negative results.

There are no data linking OCT metrics to incident CVD to extend the relevance of the associations presented. These data are likely to appear soon, and whether OCT-derived metrics can outperform photography-derived metrics in predicting CKD and CVD outcomes is an important test of their potential utility. An additional area that warrants exploration is the extent to which retinal OCT metrics are modifiable by interventions such as lowering BP, reducing proteinuria, or restoring kidney function. Such data might allow OCT-derived metrics to be developed from biomarkers into easily assessable surrogate end points for clinical trials.

OCT angiography

Retinal OCT angiography (OCT-A) combines structural and functional imaging by analyzing the changing variance in light speckle created by erythrocyte flow over multiple scans. This generates a contrast-free angiogram down to the capillary level and surrogate indices of perfusion (Figure 5). Most OCT-A platforms have integrated software that automatically segments the OCT images alongside angiographic data to report global and regional vessel density for each retinal layer (Supplementary Figure S5 and Supplementary Movies S3 and S4). OCT-A images can also be used to assess Df and the geometry of the foveal avascular zone, with widening indicative of capillary dropout (Figure 5). Visualization of these terminal branches of the vascular tree may allow earlier, more precise detection of local and systemic microvascular disease. Small clinical studies of age-related macular degeneration and diabetic retinopathy have used OCT-A to demonstrate novel structural vessel pathology with an apparent reduction in perfusion. Limitations of OCT-A include a susceptibility to movement artifact degradation and a lack of true perfusion indices. Doppler OCT, which detects the frequency shift of backscattered light from erythrocytes, allowing determination of blood flow velocity alongside vessel dimensions, may overcome the latter issue.

Figure 5

Optical coherence tomography (OCT) angiography in health and chronic kidney disease (CKD).En face OCT angiograms of the right eye centered on the macula taken using the AngioVue Imaging System (Optovue, Inc., Freemont, CA) in (a) a healthy volunteer and (b) an age- and sex-matched patient with proteinuric CKD. Left and middle panels: perimacular superficial and deep capillary plexuses with the foveal avascular zone (FAZ) represented by the central black circular region. Compared with a healthy volunteer, a wider FAZ and a disorganized branching pattern are evident in the patient with CKD and are suggestive of rarefaction and microvascular damage. Right panels: perimacular superficial retinal vessels and the FAZ with color map overlays of software-calculated vessel density. Red denotes high vessel density; green denotes moderate vessel density; and blue/navy denotes low vessel density. There are fewer regions with high/moderate vessel density (red/green regions) in the patient with CKD than in the healthy volunteer. Note that these images are not from the same subjects as the images in the left and middle panels. To optimize viewing of this image, please see the online version of this article at www.kidney-international.org.

Hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and CKD

Data supporting a potential role of OCT-A in systemic diseases are emerging. A study of Asian patients with hypertension found that those with poor BP control (assessed by 24-hour ambulatory monitoring) had a lower deep capillary plexus vessel density than did those with optimal BP control. These groups were well matched in terms of age, sex, CVD risk factors, and renal function (mean eGFR ∼90 ml/min per 1.73 m2), but the poorly controlled group had higher microalbuminuria. In adjusted analyses, suboptimal BP control, increasing BP, and worsening eGFR were associated with worse capillary rarefaction. An Italian study extended these findings by using OCT-A in 120 hypertensive patients with and without CKD to report a lower vessel density in both superficial and deep capillary plexuses in those with CKD. The inclusion of patients with more severe renal impairment and higher proteinuria in this study may explain the more extensive retinal vessel rarefaction seen as compared with the Singapore study. However, it is important to note that different OCT-A devices were used by each center.

In diabetes, larger foveal avascular zone area, lower retinal capillary density, and reduced Df have been shown to predict progression of diabetic retinopathy. A recent study using OCT-A has suggested a potential vascular basis for GCL thinning in diabetes. Patients with no detectable retinopathy, with a short duration of diabetes (∼8 years) and normal renal function, had significant GCL thinning that was independently associated with lower retinal capillary density and perfusion, suggesting a structural or functional vascular origin. This hypothesis is countered by preclinical and clinical data, suggesting that GCL thinning can occur without alterations in histologically assessed capillary density. In summary, GCL thinning appears early in diabetes, potentially before structural vascular changes but convincingly before overt target organ damage. The earliest functional changes in the diabetic kidney are glomerular hyperfiltration and hypertension, and detecting this would be useful in guiding intervention and treatment efficacy. Whether GCL thinning or changes in GCL perfusion can act as an early marker of tissue dysfunction in diabetes such as glomerular hyperfiltration and hypertension warrants further detailed study. There are few data in diabetic CKD, but a recent study using OCT-A in 184 patients with type 2 diabetes suggested that a reduced retinal capillary density independently predicted coexisting CKD and its severity.

Given the association with risk factors for CKD progression, data linking OCT-A to long-term renal outcomes should soon emerge. However, identifying patients at risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) is also important as AKI confers an increased risk of future CKD and CVD. OCT-A–derived retinal vessel density was recently shown to predict the risk of contrast-induced AKI after angiography for acute coronary syndrome. Moreover, the addition of OCT-A metrics to the current contrast-induced AKI risk assessment tools improved prediction of AKI by ∼10%.

As with OCT, data linking OCT-A metrics to incident CVD are lacking. With respect to prevalent CVD, a study of 246 patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome found that these patients had reduced inner retinal vessel density as compared with a limited number of age- and sex-matched controls. In addition, more severe rarefaction correlated with a higher CVD risk as defined by the American Heart Association and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events scoring systems.

Dynamic functional imaging

Laser Doppler flowmetry and flicker response imaging can assess retinal vascular endothelial function in a dynamic manner. Studies examining laser flicker–induced vascular responses have shown impaired retinal endothelium–dependent vasodilatation in patients with CVD risk factors including albuminuria, prediabetes, early hypertension, preeclampsia, and hypercholesterolemia. In addition, a recent study reported worsening retinal endothelial function (as measured by the degree of laser flicker–induced vasodilatation) between healthy subjects, those at risk of CVD, and those with overt CVD, supporting the potential to stratify patients. Limitations of these techniques include the need for mydriasis, longer acquisition time compared to other imaging techniques, and assessment of retinal vessels alone.

Visions for the Future

Preclinical OCT

Preclinical OCT allows simultaneous noninvasive longitudinal imaging of the eye in disease models and may provide novel insights into the underlying mechanisms. We have used OCT to explore the links between the eye and the kidney and shown that mice with hypertension alone had no choroidal thinning whereas mice with matched hypertension but with coexisting renal injury developed significant thinning. This technology is being refined but has been used to perform detailed structural, functional, and biochemical assessments in various models of retinopathy.

Big data

The recognition of the potential power of OCT beyond eye disease is evidenced by its inclusion in the UK Biobank study between 2006 and 2010. The UK Biobank obtained OCT images from >67,000 participants (of whom >35,000 were healthy) along with sociodemographic, cognitive, CVD, and renal risk measures. This could provide novel robust epidemiological data to establish healthy ranges and generate evidence of OCT metrics as prognostic disease biomarkers. The expansion of OCT out-of-hospital settings and into the community is already in progress, with the leading optometry chain in the United Kingdom announcing a rollout of OCT devices across all outlets.

Deep learning

Machine learning involves programming computers to detect patterns in raw data on the basis of explicit parameters set by the operator. Such techniques have been used to automate the classification of diabetic retinopathy from fundus photographs but can be intensive to engineer and supervise. Deep learning is an extension of machine learning whereby predictive patterns are learned and refined by the machine itself by using an algorithm developed from a large example data set such as a bank of graded retinal images. Multiple levels of increasingly abstract pattern recognition enable the algorithm to develop complex neural networks that are highly accurate, require minimal engineering, and can match expert human performance as shown recently with diabetic retinopathy.

Recent work in this field has used retinal photographs and clinical data from >280,000 patients to train an algorithm to predict a range of CVD risk factors from 2 separate banks of retinal photographs totaling ∼13,000 patients. The algorithm displayed impressive accuracy: sex (area under the curve, 0.97), smoking status (area under the curve 0.71), age (mean absolute error ∼3 years), and systolic BP (mean absolute error ∼11 mm Hg). For predicting incident CVD risk, the algorithm offered little improvement over a conventional CVD risk scoring tool but encouragingly showed similar power. More recently, one of the authors of this review (PAK) coled the development of a deep learning algorithm that allows triage and diagnosis of the commonest sight-threatening retinal diseases from OCT scans. When applied to a large retrospective data set, this algorithm demonstrated diagnostic accuracy equivalent to that of specialist ophthalmologists. Prospective clinical trials of this algorithm are now planned. Importantly, the algorithm also creates an intermediate representation of the retinal anatomy/pathology and thus addresses, in part, the concerns raised by clinicians regarding artificial intelligence systems that can be often perceived as black boxes dictating clinical care. This approach will likely be readily transferable from ophthalmic to systemic disease, offering novel insights and generating new hypotheses.

Challenges

The real-world utility of the retinal vascular metrics for CVD risk profiling over currently available tools is uncertain. Well-designed studies show that such metrics can offer a small benefit (∼10%) over current tools in identifying high-risk patients.,, Whether this is sufficient for integration into clinical practice is not known, nor is how best to act on them. The high fidelity and granular nature of OCT data may yield novel metrics that extend risk stratification beyond what retinal photography has achieved. Preclinical and clinical studies with longitudinal imaging and data linkage, currently available in only a few countries, will be required to confirm this. However, the highly competitive commercial interest in retinal OCT has led to the emergence of several devices each with unique retinal layer segmentation algorithms and so metrics are not interchangeable across devices., Finally, maximizing the yield of data from complex OCT and OCT-A images will require similar advancement and investment in imaging analysis methodology, which, given the advent of artificial intelligence in health care, is an exciting field in itself.

Conclusions

The eye offers a well-defined target organ whose microvessel network is homologous to that in kidney in both health and disease. The chorioretinal microvasculature can now be precisely mapped, measured, and tracked. Quantitative vessel analysis of retinal photographs has provided a strong rationale for the eye to report and stratify CVD risk, but this is yet to transition into clinical practice. Novel modalities such as OCT have undergone rapid clinical expansion and have shown potential in detecting microvascular changes that are associated with surrogate markers of increased renal and CVD risk. Advances in data analysis and machine learning may soon enable clinicians to generate individualized chorioretinal risk scores to identify patients at risk of adverse outcomes on the basis of precise segmented OCT metrics. The advancement of multimodal functional retinal imaging has brought the previously distant goal of noninvasive functional microvascular assessment into sharp focus and the near-term.

Disclosure

All the authors declared no competing interests.