| Literature DB >> 32437357 |
Robert C Hampshire1,2, Shan Bao2,3, Walter S Lasecki4, Andrew Daw5, Jamol Pender5,6.
Abstract
By adopting and extending lessons from the air traffic control system, we argue that a nationwide remote monitoring system for driverless vehicles could increase safety dramatically, speed these vehicles' deployment, and provide employment. It is becoming clear that fully driverless vehicles will not be able to handle "edge" cases in the near future, suggesting that new methods are needed to monitor remotely driverless vehicles' safe deployment. While the remote operations concept is not new, a super-human driver is needed to handle sudden, critical events. We envision that the remote operators do not directly drive the vehicles, but provide input on high level tasks such as path-planning, object detection and classification. This can be achieved via input from multiple individuals, coordinated around a task at a moment's notice. Assuming a 10% penetration rate of driverless vehicles, we show that one remote driver can replace 14,840 human drivers. A comprehensive nationwide interoperability standard and procedure should be established for the remote monitoring and operation of driverless vehicles. The resulting system has potential to be an order of magnitude safer than today's ground transportation system. We articulate a research and policy roadmap to launch this nationwide system. Additionally, this hybrid human-AI system introduces a new job category, likely a source of employment nationwide.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32437357 PMCID: PMC7241796 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0232837
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Teleoperations platform by the startup Designated Driver (https://designateddriver.ai/).
Estimated number of remote drivers needed during peak travel time under three arrival types.
| Rank | Metropolitan area | Total annual miles driven in area (Millions) | Number of remote drivers needed (Standard arrivals) | Number of remote drivers needed (Bursty arrivals) | Number of remote drivers needed (Highly bursty arrivals) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York, NY | 93,512 | 103 | 111 | 122 |
| 2 | Los Angeles, CA | 71,791 | 83 | 89 | 100 |
| 3 | Dallas, TX | 50,231 | 62 | 67 | 76 |
| 4 | Chicago, IL | 49,348 | 61 | 66 | 75 |
| 5 | Atlanta, GA | 42,547 | 54 | 59 | 67 |
| 6 | Houston, TX | 42,431 | 54 | 59 | 67 |
| 7 | Washington, DC | 41,199 | 53 | 58 | 66 |
| 8 | Minneapolis, MN | 34,540 | 46 | 51 | 58 |
| 9 | Philadelphia, PA | 32,781 | 44 | 49 | 56 |
| 10 | Phoenix, AZ | 31,408 | 43 | 47 | 54 |
Fig 2Estimated number of remote drivers needed across the United States.
Calculated by time of day in the Erlang-B model. All times normalized to Eastern Standard Time.
Estimated number of remote drivers needed in select cities nationwide during peak travel time, under five staffing models.
| Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA) | Annual Miles Driven (mil.) | Percent National Miles Driven | Erlang B | Erlang C (delay) | Erlang C (mean wait) | Erlang C (excess wait) | Normal Approx. ( | Normal Approx. ( | Normal Approx. ( | Normal Approx. ( | Normal Approx. ( |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell | 42,547 | 2.0 | 54 | 56 | 66 | 66 | 45 | 49 | 53 | 59 | 67 |
| Austin-Round Rock | 18,664 | 0.9 | 29 | 30 | 46 | 46 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 38 |
| Baltimore-Columbia-Towson | 17,217 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 45 | 45 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 36 |
| Birmingham-Hoover | 9,087 | 0.4 | 18 | 18 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 24 |
| Boston-Cambridge-Newton | 25,440 | 1.2 | 36 | 38 | 52 | 52 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 40 | 47 |
| Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls | 5,370 | 0.3 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 18 |
| Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia | 17,968 | 0.9 | 28 | 29 | 45 | 45 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 31 | 37 |
| Chicago-Naperville-Elgin | 49,348 | 2.3 | 61 | 63 | 71 | 71 | 51 | 55 | 60 | 66 | 75 |
| Cincinnati | 17,080 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 45 | 45 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 36 |
| Cleveland-Elyria | 14,238 | 0.7 | 24 | 25 | 42 | 42 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 32 |
| Columbus | 15,759 | 0.7 | 26 | 27 | 44 | 44 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 29 | 34 |
| Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington | 50,231 | 2.4 | 62 | 64 | 72 | 72 | 52 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 76 |
| Denver-Aurora-Lakewood | 18,972 | 0.9 | 29 | 30 | 46 | 46 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 38 |
| Detroit-Warren-Dearborn | 26,001 | 1.2 | 37 | 38 | 52 | 52 | 30 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 48 |
| Grand Rapids-Wyoming | 7,866 | 0.4 | 16 | 17 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 22 |
| Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford | 7,843 | 0.4 | 16 | 17 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 22 |
| Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land | 42,431 | 2.0 | 54 | 56 | 66 | 66 | 45 | 48 | 53 | 59 | 67 |
| Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson | 10,398 | 0.5 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 26 |
| Jacksonville | 8,134 | 0.4 | 17 | 17 | 37 | 37 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 23 |
| Kansas City | 10,969 | 0.5 | 20 | 21 | 40 | 40 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 |
| Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise | 8,809 | 0.4 | 17 | 18 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 24 |
| Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim | 71,791 | 3.4 | 83 | 86 | 90 | 90 | 72 | 76 | 82 | 89 | 100 |
| Louisville/Jefferson County | 10,274 | 0.5 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 26 |
| Memphis | 6,386 | 0.3 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 20 |
| Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach | 28,918 | 1.4 | 40 | 42 | 55 | 55 | 32 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 51 |
| Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis | 9,509 | 0.5 | 18 | 19 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 |
| Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington | 34,540 | 1.6 | 46 | 48 | 59 | 59 | 38 | 41 | 45 | 51 | 58 |
| Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro–Franklin | 12,120 | 0.6 | 21 | 22 | 41 | 41 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| New Orleans-Metairie | 5,528 | 0.3 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 18 |
| New York-Newark-Jersey City | 93,512 | 4.4 | 103 | 107 | 108 | 108 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 111 | 122 |
| Oklahoma City | 11,237 | 0.5 | 20 | 21 | 40 | 40 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford | 16,728 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 44 | 44 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 35 |
| Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington | 32,781 | 1.6 | 44 | 46 | 58 | 58 | 36 | 39 | 43 | 49 | 56 |
| Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale | 31,408 | 1.5 | 43 | 44 | 57 | 57 | 35 | 38 | 42 | 47 | 54 |
| Pittsburgh | 11,955 | 0.6 | 21 | 22 | 40 | 40 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro | 17,096 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 45 | 45 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 36 |
| Providence-Warwick | 9,966 | 0.5 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 26 |
| Raleigh | 12,675 | 0.6 | 22 | 23 | 41 | 41 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 30 |
| Richmond | 10,501 | 0.5 | 19 | 20 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 26 |
| Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario | 25,856 | 1.2 | 37 | 38 | 52 | 52 | 29 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 47 |
| Rochester | 6,792 | 0.3 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 20 |
| Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade | 16,946 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 45 | 45 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 36 |
| Salt Lake City | 6,616 | 0.3 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| San Antonio-New Braunfels | 16,679 | 0.8 | 27 | 28 | 44 | 44 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 35 |
| San Diego-Carlsbad | 22,605 | 1.1 | 33 | 35 | 49 | 49 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 37 | 43 |
| San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward | 28,735 | 1.4 | 40 | 41 | 54 | 54 | 32 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 51 |
| San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara | 13,442 | 0.6 | 23 | 24 | 42 | 42 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 31 |
| Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue | 17,773 | 0.8 | 28 | 29 | 45 | 45 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 31 | 37 |
| St. Louis | 19,770 | 0.9 | 30 | 31 | 47 | 47 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 34 | 40 |
| Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater | 22,121 | 1.1 | 33 | 34 | 49 | 49 | 26 | 28 | 32 | 36 | 43 |
| Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News | 8,893 | 0.4 | 18 | 18 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 24 |
| Washington-Arlington-Alexandria | 41,199 | 2.0 | 53 | 55 | 65 | 65 | 44 | 47 | 52 | 58 | 66 |