| Literature DB >> 32429492 |
Eulalia Muria-Subirats1, Josep Lluis Clua-Espuny1, Juan Ballesta-Ors2, Blanca Lorman-Carbo2, Iñigo Lechuga-Duran3, Jose Fernández-Saez4,5,6, Roger Pla-Farnos7.
Abstract
(1) Background: The link between diabetes and hypertension is mutual and reciprocal, increasing the risks for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). The main objective was to develop a prediction model for AF in a population with both diabetes and hypertension at five years of follow-up. (2)Entities:
Keywords: Atrial Fibrillation; Chronic diseases; Cohort study; Stroke; diabetes; hypertensive; risk assessment
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32429492 PMCID: PMC7277633 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17103491
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 4.614
Baseline characteristics with/without atrial fibrillation (AF).
| No AF a | AF a |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| 7809 (94.8%) | 428 (5.2%) | <0.001 |
|
| 4.89 ± 0.71 | 4.61 ± 1.08 | <0.001 |
|
| 77.83 ± 12.01 | 81.36 ± 8.59 | <0.001 |
|
| 3856 (49.4%) | 178 (41.6%) | 0.001 |
|
| 81.04 ± 16.18 | 84.15 ± 16.98 | 0.005 |
|
| 31.10 ± 5.62 | 32.12 ± 5.77 | 0.010 |
|
| 138.87 ± 14.32 | 140.02 ± 14.66 | 0.127 |
|
| 76.23 ± 8.65 | 74.71 ± 8.9 | 0.001 |
|
| 2237 (28.6%) | 128 (29.9%) | 0.583 |
|
| 75.70 ± 11.45 | 72.44 ± 10.77 | 0.001 |
|
| 7.09 ± 1.26 | 6.95 ± 1.07 | 0.035 |
|
| 185 (2.4%) | 6 (1.4%) | 0.247 |
|
| 323 (4.1%) | 29 (6.8%) | 0.013 |
|
| 232 (3%) | 22 (5.1%) | 0.02 |
|
| 186 (2.4%) | 9 (2.1%) | 0.87 |
|
| 73 (0.9%) | 1 (0.2%) | 0.185 |
|
| 4.03 ± 0.99 | 4.26 ± 0.83 | 0.005 |
|
| 249 (3.2%) | 20 (4.7%) | 0.094 |
|
| 203 (2.6%) | 7 (1.6%) | 0.278 |
|
| 1221 (15.6%) | 76 (17.8%) | 0.246 |
|
| 5164 (66.1%) | 338 (79%) | <0.001 |
|
| 1383 (17.7%) | 112 (26.2%) | <0.001 |
|
| 1511 (19.3%) | 124 (29%) | <0.001 |
|
| 5188 (66.4%) | 353 (82.5%) | <0.001 |
|
| 1961 (25.1%) | 154 (36%) | <0.001 |
a Atrial fibrillation. b Student–Fisher t-test for continuous variables and Chi square contrast for categorical variables. c Standard deviation. d Body mass index e Glycated hemoglobin. f Score for estimating the risk of stroke. g Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors-angiotensin receptor blockers.
Figure 1Function for predicting AF risk at 5 years.
AF incidence density according CHA2DS₂VASc score by gender.
| CHA₂DS₂VASc | Number of Patients | Number of AF | ID a Total (95% Confidence Interval, CI) | ID Men | ID Women |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
|
| 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
|
| 693 | 6 | 2.31(1.0–4.26) | 2.31 | 0 | |
|
| 1533 | 62 | 8.21 (6.30–10.53) | 10.8 | 1.05 | <0.001 |
|
| 2988 | 183 | 12.77 (10.99–14.77) | 16.09 | 4.7 | <0.001 |
|
| 2792 | 161 | 12.18 (10.37–14.21) | 113.9 | 1.56 | <0.001 |
|
| 221 | 12 | 11.7 (6.07–20.53) | 0 | 11.7 | |
|
| 10 | 2 | 40 (4.84–144.50) | 0 | 40 | |
|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
a Incidence density. b Value of statistical significance.
Independent prognostic factors related to AF incidence at 5 years.
| HR a | 95% CI b |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
|
| 1 | ||
|
| 0.55 | 0.37–0.82 | 0.004 |
|
| 1.07 | 1.05–1.09 | <0.001 |
|
| 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 | <0.001 |
|
| 0.98 | 0.97–0.99 | <0.001 |
|
| 1.57 | 1.16–2.13 | 0.003 |
a Hazard ratio. b 95% confidence interval. c Statistical Significance Value.
Atrial fibrillation and stroke-incidence density according to risk quartile and gender.
| ID a | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||
| Atrial Fibrillation (95% CI) | 3.8 (2.1–6.2) | 12.4 (8.9–16.7) | 24.4 (18.6–31.4) | 37.6 (25.0–54.4) | 13.7 (11.6–16.1) |
| NNS b | 53 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Stroke (95% CI) | 0.3 (0.0–1.4) | 0.9 (0.2–2.6) | 1.6 (0.4–4.2) | 8.1 (3.0–17.6) | 1.3 (0.7–2.2) |
|
| |||||
| Atrial Fibrillation (95% CI) | 0.7 (0.0–3.9) | 3.3 (1.3–6.7) | 7.4 (4.5–11.5) | 19.7 (15.6–24.5) | 10.4 (8.6–12.6) |
| NNS b | 284 | 60 | 27 | 10 | 20 |
| Stroke (95% CI) | - | 0.5 (0.0–2.6) | 0.4 (0.0–2.1) | 2.7 (1.4–4.8) | 1.3 (0.7–2.2) |
|
| ≤6.88 | ≤7.71 | ≤8.39 | >8.39 | |
| Atrial Fibrillation (95% CI) | 3.0 (1.7–4.5) | 8.9 (6.5–11.7) | 15.5 (12.3–19.3) | 22.5 (18.4–27.1) | 12.1 (10.7–13.7) |
| NNS b | 67 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| Stroke (95% CI) | 0.2 (0.0–1.0) | 0.7 (0.2–1.9) | 1.0 (0.3–2.3) | 3.5 (2.1–5.7) | 1.3 (0.9–1.9) |
a Incidence density. b NNS number-needed-to-screen for one AF case. c IQR interquartile range.