| Literature DB >> 32428034 |
Christopher M Doran1, Irina Kinchin2,3.
Abstract
This research estimates the economic and epidemiological impact of youth suicide in countries with the highest human development index. The study relied on secondary analysis of suicide mortality data for youth aged between 15-24 years in countries with the highest human development index-Norway, Australia, Switzerland, Germany, Denmark, Singapore, Netherlands, Ireland, Canada and the United States. The impact of youth suicide is measured using years of life lost, years of productive life lost and present economic value of lost productivity. Costs are expressed in 2014 International dollars. Future earning potential is estimated using adjusted gross domestic product per capita, employment potential and historical trends in productivity and real interest rates. In 2014, an estimated 6,912 young people living in the most developed countries in the world lost their lives to suicide. These preventable deaths resulted in a loss of 406,730 years of life at a cost of $5.53 billion in lost economic income with the average cost of suicide estimated at $802,939. The United States stands out as a country with the most significant youth suicide problem accounting for 77% of total costs. Reducing youth suicide requires a multifaceted approach and significant investment by governments.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32428034 PMCID: PMC7236997 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0232940
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Selective indicators for top ranking countries according to human development index.
| Country | Human development index score | Life expectancy at birth (years) | GDP per capita (2014 International dollars) | Adjusted GDP per capita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Males | Females | |||
| Norway | 0.949 | 79.6 | 83.6 | $66,015 | $74,896 | $57,135 |
| Australia | 0.939 | 80.7 | 84.6 | $46,880 | $53,187 | $40,574 |
| Switzerland | 0.939 | 81.1 | 85.1 | $61,902 | $70,230 | $53,575 |
| Germany | 0.926 | 78.5 | 83.2 | $47,191 | $53,539 | $40,842 |
| Denmark | 0.925 | 78.4 | 82.3 | $47,901 | $54,345 | $41,457 |
| Singapore | 0.925 | 79.8 | 85.9 | $86,612 | $98,263 | $74,960 |
| Netherlands | 0.924 | 79.8 | 83.5 | $49,233 | $55,856 | $42,610 |
| Ireland | 0.923 | 79.1 | 83.3 | $51,192 | $58,079 | $44,306 |
| Canada | 0.920 | 80.0 | 84.0 | $45,646 | $51,786 | $39,505 |
| United States | 0.920 | 76.8 | 81.5 | $55,033 | $62,436 | $47,630 |
Source: United National Human Development index [19]; World Bank indicators [20]; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development [28].
Country level suicide data for youth aged between 15–24 years.
| Country | Crude suicide mortality rates per 100,000 | Population aged 15–24 years | Number of suicide deaths | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | Female | Persons | Male | Female | Persons | Male | Female | Persons | |
| Norway | 11.04 | 5.23 | 8.22 | 347,445 | 327,942 | 675,387 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
| Australia | 16.57 | 6.31 | 11.58 | 1,620,853 | 1,530,577 | 3,151,430 | 269 | 97 | 365 |
| Switzerland | 10.83 | 3.69 | 7.34 | 486,011 | 465,673 | 951,684 | 53 | 17 | 70 |
| Germany | 8.92 | 2.87 | 5.98 | 4,495,948 | 4,223,785 | 8,719,733 | 401 | 121 | 521 |
| Denmark | 8.37 | 1.98 | 5.24 | 380,498 | 359,706 | 740,204 | 32 | 7 | 39 |
| Singapore | 7.37 | 6.02 | 6.71 | 370,874 | 357,824 | 728,698 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| Netherlands | 8.41 | 3.34 | 5.92 | 1,056,637 | 1,012,302 | 2,068,939 | 89 | 34 | 123 |
| Ireland | 16.11 | 3.46 | 9.94 | 263,688 | 257,182 | 520,870 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
| Canada | 16.17 | 6.08 | 11.23 | 2,361,878 | 2,256,361 | 4,618,239 | 382 | 137 | 519 |
| United States | 17.99 | 4.62 | 11.50 | 22,760,623 | 21,748,724 | 44,509,347 | 4,094 | 1,005 | 5,120 |
Source: WHO mortality database [6]; World Bank indicators [20].
Key parameters used to estimate lost economic productivity.
| Country | Retirement age (years | GDP per capita growth % | Real interest rate % | Adjusted employment rate % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Males | Females | |||
| Norway | 62 | 62 | 0.8% | 4.2% | 44.1% | 38.7% |
| Australia | 66 | 66 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 45.5% | 37.3% |
| Switzerland | 65 | 64 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 45.0% | 37.8% |
| Germany | 66 | 66 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 44.8% | 38.0% |
| Denmark | 65 | 65 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 44.2% | 38.6% |
| Singapore | 62 | 62 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 91.4% | 91.4% |
| Netherlands | 66 | 66 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 45.5% | 37.3% |
| Ireland | 67 | 67 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 45.7% | 37.1% |
| Canada | 65 | 65 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| United States | 66 | 66 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 53.1% | 46.9% |
Source: World Bank indicators [20]; Trading economics [30]
*actual employment rate [20] adjusted downward by 8.6 percentage points [27].
Average economic and epidemiological considerations of youth suicide.
| Country | Average years of life lost | Average years of productive life lost | Present value of average earnings foregone | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | |
| Norway | 60.1 | 64.1 | 42.5 | 42.5 | $1,555,266 | $1,186,434 |
| Australia | 61.2 | 65.1 | 46.0 | 46.0 | $1,222,619 | $932,674 |
| Switzerland | 61.6 | 65.6 | 45.5 | 44.5 | $1,928,023 | $1,453,980 |
| Germany | 59.0 | 63.7 | 46.2 | 46.2 | $1,666,833 | $1,271,542 |
| Denmark | 58.9 | 62.8 | 45.5 | 45.5 | $1,426,884 | $1,088,497 |
| Singapore | 60.3 | 66.4 | 42.5 | 42.5 | $2,134,632 | $1,628,403 |
| Netherlands | 60.3 | 64.0 | 46.5 | 46.5 | $1,734,299 | $1,323,009 |
| Ireland | 59.6 | 63.8 | 47.5 | 47.5 | $1,872,954 | $1,428,782 |
| Canada | 60.5 | 64.5 | 45.5 | 45.5 | $1,634,872 | $1,247,161 |
| United States | 57.3 | 62.0 | 46.5 | 46.5 | $1,681,155 | $1,282,468 |
Total average economic and epidemiological considerations of youth suicide.
| Country | Total years of life lost | Years of adjusted productive years of life lost | Present value of total earnings foregone | Mean cost of suicide | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Persons | Males | Females | Persons | Males | Females | Persons | Persons | |
| Norway | 2,305 | 1,099 | 3,404 | 719 | 282 | 1,001 | $26,305,543 | $7,872,187 | $34,177,730 | $615,831 |
| Australia | 16,441 | 6,289 | 22,730 | 5,623 | 1,658 | 7,280 | $149,441,334 | $33,608,339 | $183,049,672 | $501,169 |
| Switzerland | 3,243 | 1,128 | 4,371 | 1,078 | 289 | 1,367 | $45,679,731 | $9,448,646 | $55,128,377 | $789,332 |
| Germany | 23,651 | 7,722 | 31,373 | 8,292 | 2,127 | 10,418 | $299,341,057 | $58,577,176 | $357,918,232 | $685,543 |
| Denmark | 1,875 | 447 | 2,321 | 640 | 125 | 765 | $20,074,980 | $2,987,618 | $23,062,599 | $592,241 |
| Singapore | 1,648 | 1,430 | 3,078 | 1,062 | 836 | 1,898 | $53,333,292 | $32,050,650 | $85,383,942 | $1,747,170 |
| Netherlands | 5,356 | 2,162 | 7,519 | 1,879 | 586 | 2,465 | $70,094,965 | $16,673,589 | $86,768,554 | $707,645 |
| Ireland | 2,531 | 568 | 3,099 | 922 | 157 | 1,079 | $36,353,003 | $4,716,626 | $41,069,629 | $799,496 |
| Canada | 23,099 | 8,842 | 31,941 | 9,103 | 2,969 | 12,072 | $327,077,621 | $81,383,123 | $408,460,744 | $787,182 |
| United States | 234,576 | 62,317 | 296,893 | 101,082 | 21,920 | 123,003 | $3,654,521,777 | $604,555,294 | $4,259,077,072 | $835,288 |