Literature DB >> 32427759

Model-Informed Bayesian Estimation Improves the Prediction of Morphine Exposure in Neonates and Infants.

Joshua C Euteneuer1,2, Tomoyuki Mizuno3,4, Tsuyoshi Fukuda3,4, Junfang Zhao5, Kenneth D R Setchell5,4, Louis J Muglia1,4, Alexander A Vinks3,4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Pain control in infants is an important clinical concern, with potential long-term adverse neurodevelopmental effects. Intravenous morphine is routinely administered for postoperative pain management; however, its dose-concentration-response relationship in neonates and infants has not been well characterized. Although the current literature provides dosing guidelines for the average infant, it fails to control for the large unexplained variability in morphine clearance and response in individual patients. Bayesian estimation can be used to control for some of this variability. The authors aimed to evaluate morphine pharmacokinetics (PKs) and exposure in critically ill neonates and infants receiving standard-of-care morphine therapy and compare a population-based approach to the model-informed Bayesian techniques.
METHODS: The PKs and exposure of morphine and its active metabolites were evaluated in a prospective opportunistic PK study using 221 discarded blood samples from 57 critically ill neonates and infants in the neonatal intensive care unit. Thereafter, a population-based PK model was compared with a Bayesian adaptive control strategy to predict an individual's PK profile and morphine exposure over time.
RESULTS: Among the critically ill neonates and infants, morphine clearance showed substantial variability with a 40-fold range (ie, 2.2 to 87.1, mean 23.7 L/h/70 kg). Compared with the observed morphine concentrations, the population-model based predictions had an R of 0.13, whereas the model-based Bayesian predictions had an R of 0.61.
CONCLUSIONS: Model-informed Bayesian estimation is a better predictor of morphine exposure than PK models alone in critically ill neonates and infants. A large variability was also identified in morphine clearance. A further study is warranted to elucidate the predictive covariates and precision dosing strategies that use morphine concentration and pain scores as feedbacks.

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Year:  2020        PMID: 32427759      PMCID: PMC7501088          DOI: 10.1097/FTD.0000000000000763

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ther Drug Monit        ISSN: 0163-4356            Impact factor:   3.118


  55 in total

1.  Some suggestions for measuring predictive performance.

Authors:  L B Sheiner; S L Beal
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2.  Influence of MRP3 Genetics and Hepatic Expression Ontogeny for Morphine Disposition in Neonatal and Pediatric Patients.

Authors:  David Hahn; Tsuyoshi Fukuda; Joshua C Euteneuer; Tomoyuki Mizuno; Alexander A Vinks; Senthilkumar Sadhasivam; Chie Emoto
Journal:  J Clin Pharmacol       Date:  2020-02-24       Impact factor: 3.126

3.  The population approach to pharmacokinetic data analysis: rationale and standard data analysis methods.

Authors:  L B Sheiner
Journal:  Drug Metab Rev       Date:  1984       Impact factor: 4.518

4.  Age-dependent changes in sirolimus metabolite formation in patients with neurofibromatosis type 1.

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6.  Functional magnetic resonance imaging can be used to explore tactile and nociceptive processing in the infant brain.

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Review 7.  Neonatal pain management: still in search for the Holy Grail.

Authors:  Karel Allegaert; John N van den Anker
Journal:  Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther       Date:  2016-07       Impact factor: 1.366

8.  Medication use in the neonatal intensive care unit.

Authors:  Emily M Hsieh; Christoph P Hornik; Reese H Clark; Matthew M Laughon; Daniel K Benjamin; P Brian Smith
Journal:  Am J Perinatol       Date:  2013-12-17       Impact factor: 3.079

9.  Development of a Pediatric Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model for Sirolimus: Applying Principles of Growth and Maturation in Neonates and Infants.

Authors:  C Emoto; T Fukuda; T N Johnson; D M Adams; A A Vinks
Journal:  CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol       Date:  2015-02-04

10.  NONMEM Tutorial Part I: Description of Commands and Options, with Simple Examples of Population Analysis.

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Journal:  CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol       Date:  2019-05-06
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