| Literature DB >> 32408890 |
Tendai Munthali1,2, Charles Michelo3, Paul Mee4, Crispin Moyo5, Andrew Kashoka6, Liswaniso Liswaniso6, Innocent Chiboma6, Jim Todd7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: About 13 years since the introduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for children living with HIV (CLHIV) in Zambia, HIV/AIDS testing and treatment guidelines for children have evolved over the years with limited documentation of long-term trends in the numbers testing HIV positive and initiating ART. We examined trends in HIV testing and ART initiation in Zambia.Entities:
Keywords: ART initiation; Childhood HIV; HIV testing; HIV treatment; HIV trends in Zambia
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32408890 PMCID: PMC7226945 DOI: 10.1186/s12981-020-00277-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: AIDS Res Ther ISSN: 1742-6405 Impact factor: 2.250
Fig. 1Flow diagram showing available records of children from testing to ART initiation from 2004 to 2017 December aged 15 years and below in Zambia
Baseline characteristics of children diagnosed with HIV from 2004 to 2017 in Zambia
| Characteristic | Population | |
|---|---|---|
| N | % | |
| Sex | ||
| Female | 52,209 | 52 |
| Male | 47,483 | 48 |
| Age of the children | ||
| Age at HIV test Median (IQR) | 2 (1–4) | |
| Province | ||
| Lusaka | 25,343 | 25 |
| Copperbelt | 20,701 | 21 |
| Southern | 16,498 | 17 |
| Eastern | 10,312 | 10 |
| Central | 7097 | 7 |
| North-western | 3664 | 4 |
| Northern | 3160 | 3 |
| Luapula | 3458 | 3 |
| Western | 7081 | 7 |
| Muchinga | 2277 | 2 |
| Total | 99,592 | 100 |
Baseline characteristics of children at HIV positive diagnosis in Zambia from 2004 to 2017
| Characteristic | 2004/2006 | 2007/2009 | 2010/2012 | 2013/2015 | 2016/2017 | P-value* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Birth–17 months | 1860 (16) | 8948 (30) | 8140 (28) | 4499 (23) | 1546 (22) | |
| 18 months–4 years | 3391 (29) | 8936 (30) | 7976 (28) | 5431 (28) | 1872 (27) | |
| 5–9 years | 3740 (32) | 7074 (23) | 6989 (24) | 5183 (26) | 1798 (26) | |
| 10–15 years | 2788 (24) | 5227 (17) | 5483 (19) | 4535 (23) | 1823 (26) | |
| Median age (IQR) | 6 (2–10) | 3 (1–8) | 4 (1–9) | 5 (2–10) | 5 (2–11) | |
| Sex n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Male | 5868 (49) | 15,018 (49) | 13,740 (47) | 9446 (47) | 3411 (47) | |
| Female | 6219 (51) | 15,830 (51) | 15,457 (53) | 10,802 (53) | 3801 (53) | |
| Place of testing n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Hospital | 6682 (55) | 16,990 (55) | 13,383 (46) | 7759 (38) | 2658 (37) | |
| Health Centre | 5393 (45) | 13721 (44) | 15477 (53) | 12,149 (60) | 4217 (58) | |
| District type n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Rural | 811 (7) | 3 791 (12) | 4 538 (16) | 3 395 (17) | 836 (12) | |
| Urban | 11,276 (93) | 27,057 (88) | 24,659 (83) | 16,852 (83) | 6376 (88) | |
| ART initiation status n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Initiated on ART | 6217 (52%) | 16,940 (55%) | 19,780 (68%) | 18,768 (93%) | 6925 (97%) | |
IQR interquartile range
*Tested using cuzick non-parametric test for trends
Incidence rate ratios time from testing to ART and incident rates of children living with HIV in Zambia from 2004 to 2017
| Characteristic | Number initiating ART | Median time from Test to ART in days (IQR) | Rates of ART initiation 100 per month | Person time in years | Unadjusted test to ART IRR (CI)* | Adjusted from test to ART IRR (CI)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 33,211 | 10 (1–77) | 14 | 18,909 | 1 | 1 |
| Female | 35,419 | 8 (1–77) | 13.6 | 20,943 | 0.95 (0.93–0.96) | 0.94 (0.93–0.95) |
| Years | ||||||
| 2004–2006 | 6217 | 17 (1–161) | 7 | 9052 | 1 | 1 |
| 2007–2009 | 16,940 | 11 (1–111) | 10 | 14,972 | 1.36 (1.32 –1.39) | 1.34 (1.31–1.38) |
| 2010–2012 | 19,780 | 10 (1–90) | 15 | 10,823 | 1.98 (1.92 –2.02) | 2.02(1.96 –2.07) |
| 2013–2015 | 18,768 | 9 (1–50) | 33 | 3777 | 4.55 (4.43–4.67) | 4.62 (4.50 –4.74) |
| 2016–2017 | 6925 | 1 (1–14) | 106 | 421 | 14.5 (13.9–14.9) | 15.2 (14.7–15.7) |
| Age group at test | ||||||
| Birth to 17 months | 12,141 | 1 (1–55) | 16 | 6278 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 months to 4 years | 18,953 | 8 (1–73) | 14 | 10,860 | 0.91 (0.88 –0.92) | 0.92 (0.90–0.94) |
| 5–9 years | 18,476 | 14 (1–112) | 12 | 12,730 | 0.76 (0.74–0.77) | 0.78 (0.76–0.80) |
| 10–15 years | 17,215 | 13 (1–77) | 14 | 9898 | 0.86 (0.84–0.87) | 0.86 (0.84 –0.88) |
| Health facility type | ||||||
| Hospital | 31,776 | 7 (1–87) | 12 | 20,878 | 1 | 1 |
| Health centre | 36,177 | 13 (1–69) | 16 | 18,352 | 1.26 (1–1.27) | 0.99 (0.97–1.01) |
| Hospice | 473 | 28 (1–357) | 10 | 502 | 0.64 (0.58– 0.70) | 0.42 (0.38–0.46) |
| Health post | 133 | 1 (1–37) | 14 | 118 | 1.14 (0.99 –1.31) | 0.69 (0.60–0.80) |
| Province | ||||||
| Central | 5174 | 1 (1–42) | 21 | 1977 | 1 | 1 |
| Luapula | 2677 | 1 (1–13) | 24 | 880 | 1.22 (1.16 –1.27) | 1.06 (1.01–1.11) |
| Copperbelt | 15,423 | 1 (1–46) | 14 | 8865 | 0.67 (0.65 –0.70) | 0.59 (0.57–0.61) |
| Eastern | 6758 | 14 (1–115) | 11 | 4734 | 0.55 (0.53–0.57) | 0.45 (0.44–0.47) |
| Lusaka | 17,886 | 19 (1–84) | 12 | 11,114 | 0.62 (0.60 –0.63) | 0.62 (0.61–0.64) |
| Muchinga | 1340 | 1 (1–18) | 18 | 599 | 0.89 (0.84 –0.94) | 0.80 (0.76–0.85) |
| North-western | 2599 | 3 (1–58) | 15 | 1354 | 0.73 (0.69 – 0.76) | 0.61 (0.58–0.64) |
| Northern | 2681 | 1 (1–17) | 19 | 1129 | 0.93 (0.89 – 0.97) | 0.69 (0.66–0.72) |
| Southern | 9424 | 18 (1–136) | 11 | 6684 | 0.57 (0.55 – 0.58) | 0.54 (0.52–0.56) |
| Western | 4668 | 16 (1–91) | 14 | 2513 | 0.72 (0.69 – 0.74) | 0.57 (0.54–0.59) |
IQR Interquartile range, CI Confidence interval
*Tested using Poisson
Fig. 2Graph showing how median time to ART and proportions of children initiated on ART have changed with changing WHO guidelines over the years (2004–2017)
Baseline characteristics of children ART initiation in Zambia from 2004 to 2017
| Characteristic | 2004/2006 | 2007/2009 | 2010/2012 | 2013/2015 | 2016/2017 | P-value* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Birth–17 months | 467 (8) | 2735 (16) | 3 393 (17) | 2 495 (14) | 876 (13) | |
| 18 months–4 years | 1622 (26) | 5235 (31) | 5891 (30) | 4846 (27) | 1706 (26) | |
| 5–9 years | 2137 (35) | 4625 (27) | 5282 (27) | 5379 (30) | 1840 (28) | |
| 10–15 years | 1942 (31) | 4230 (25) | 4945 (25) | 5468 (30) | 2240 (34) | |
| Median age (IQR) | 7 (4–10) | 5 (2–10) | 5 (2–10) | 7 (2–11) | 7 (3–12) | |
| Sex n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Male | 3085 (50) | 8475 (50) | 9569 (48) | 8767 (47) | 3273 (47) | |
| Female | 3103 (50) | 8446 (50) | 10,192 (52) | 9976 (53) | 3641 (53) | |
| Place of testing n (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
| Hospital | 3178 (51) | 8983 (53) | 9188 (47) | 7774 (41) | 2592 (37) | |
| Health centre | 3002 (49) | 7854 (46) | 10,477 (53) | 10,698 (57) | 4105 (59) | |
| District type n (%) | ||||||
| Rural | 394 (6) | 1981 (12) | 2849 (14) | 2807 (15) | 854 (12) | < 0.001 |
| Urban | 5794 (94) | 14,940 (88) | 16,912 (86) | 15,936 (85) | 6060 (88) | |
IQR interquartile range
*Tested using cuzick non-parametric test for trends
Fig. 3UNICEF and UNAIDS reported numbers vs SmartCare numbers of children on ART over the years
Post regression estimates of mean time (in days) between testing HIV positive and ART initiation for children in Zambia between 2004 to 2017
| Characteristic | Average days to ART initiation (CI)* crude estimates | P-value* | Average days to ART initiation (CI)** adjusted estimates | P-value ** |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | ||||
| Birth–17 months | 58 (40–77) | Wald (3) = 2393 P < 0.0001 | 116 (84–148) | Wald (4) = 2412 p < 0.0001 |
| 18 months–4 years | 134 (117–151) | 191 (160–223) | ||
| 5–9 years | 241 (224–258) | 299 (267–330) | ||
| 10–15 years | 262 (245–280) | 320 (288–352) | ||
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 178 (160–196) | Wald (1) = 0.10 p > 0.05 | 111 (85–149) | Wald (5) = 2413 p < 0.0001 |
| Female | 179 (161–197) | 108 (82–147) | ||
| Place of testing | ||||
| Hospital | 175 (141–209) | Wald (1) = 0.08 P > 0.05 | 110 (70–149) | Wald (5) = 2392 p < 0.0001 |
| Health centre | 181 (159–202) | 120 (85–155) | ||
| District type | ||||
| Rural | 209 (175–242) | Wald (1) = 4.35 P < 0.05 | 116 (84–148) | Wald (4) = 2412 p < 0.0001 |
| Urban | 166 (145–187) | 30 (17–57) | ||
Run using multi-level random effects regression clustering at facility level
ICC Intraclass correlation 11% (IRR = 0.117)
*Unadjusted model
**Adjusted for age and district of residence