| Literature DB >> 32407577 |
E Marra1, M C J van Rijsingen1, J A C Alkemade2, J M M Groenewoud3, K F Hueskes4, C H M Nij Bijvank4, F A van de Laar5,4, S F K Lubeek1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The rising incidence rates of skin cancer (SC) lead to an enormous burden on healthcare systems. General practitioners (GPs) might play an important part in SC care, but research has shown poor clinical recognition of SC, leading to a high rate of potentially unnecessary referrals.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32407577 PMCID: PMC7983956 DOI: 10.1111/bjd.19214
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Dermatol ISSN: 0007-0963 Impact factor: 9.302
Figure 1Flowchart showing the inclusion of GPs and referral letters (same geographical area in both time periods). DOTP, dermato‐oncological training programme; GP, general practitioner.
‘PROVOKE’ description characteristics
| Description characteristic | TC, | UPC, | UHC, |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatomical localization | 445 (98·7) | 451 (94·7) | 705 (95·9) |
|
| Distribution | 7 (1·6) | 2 (0·4) | 9 (1·2) | 0·08 / 0·63 / 0·15 |
| Size | 146 (32·4) | 142 (29·8) | 152 (20·7) | 0·40 / |
| Shape | 73 (16·2) | 56 (11·8) | 50 (6·8) | 0·05 / |
| Border | 58 (12·9) | 51 (10·7) | 61 (8·3) | 0·31 / |
| Colour | 215 (47·7) | 219 (46·0) | 211 (28·7) | 0·61 / |
| Morphology | 128 (28·4) | 92 (19·3) | 127 (17·3) |
|
aTC vs. UPC/TC vs. UHC/UPC vs. UHC.
TC, trained cohort; UHC, untrained historical cohort; UPC, untrained present cohort.
Bold represents significant outcomes
Comparison of cohort effect on correct diagnoses, based on logistic regressiona
| TC | UPC | UHC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proportion of correct diagnoses per cohort, | 296/421 (70·3%) | 231/411 (56·2%) | 288/558 (51·6%) |
| Comparison between cohorts | OR | 95% CI |
|
| TC vs. UPC, mixed‐model LR | 1·882 | 1·390–2·584 | < 0·001 |
| TC vs. UPC, standard LR | 1·845 | 1·387–2·456 | < 0·001 |
| TC vs. UHC, standard LR | 2·000 | 1·700–2·899 | < 0·001 |
| UPC vs. UHC, standard LR | 1·203 | 0·931–1·554 | 0·157 |
aReferral letters without a diagnosis mentioned were excluded from this analysis.
CI, confidence interval; LR, logistic regression; OR, odds ratio; TC, trained cohort; UHC, untrained historical cohort; UPC, untrained present cohort
Positive predictive value per diagnosis
| Diagnosis | TC (%) | UPC (%) | UHC (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCC | 67·9 | 52·2 | 48·4 |
|
| SCC | 40·8 | 19·2 | 31·6 |
|
| Melanoma ( | 75·4 | 65·3 | 66·7 | 0·14 / 0·77 / 0·87 |
| AK | 60·0 | 50·0 | 73·5 | 0·70 / 0·79 / 0·25 |
| BD | 75·0 | 61·5 | 0·0 | 0·47 / – / – |
| (Atypical) naevus/lentigo | 77·8 | 66·7 | 57·9 | 0·43 / |
| SK | 76·5 | 71·4 | 82·1 | 0·22 / 0·67 / 0·22 |
aTC vs. UPC / TC vs. UHC / UPC vs. UHC.
AK, actinic keratosis; BCC, basal cell carcinoma; BD, Bowen disease; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma; SK, seborrhoeic keratosis; TC, trained cohort; UHC, untrained historical cohort; UPC, untrained present cohort.
Bold represents significant outcomes
Potentially unnecessary referrals per cohort
| Cohort | Unnecessary referrals |
|
|---|---|---|
| TC | 283/451 (62·7%) | < 0·001 |
| UPC | 351/476 (73·7%) | 0·56 |
| UHC | 553/735 (75·2%) |
a P‐value TC vs. UPC and UHC; b P‐value UPC vs. UHC.
TC, trained cohort; UHC, untrained historical cohort; UPC, untrained present cohort