| Literature DB >> 32398887 |
Haoyuan Ding1, Yuying Jin2, Kees G Koedijk3, Yunjin Wang2.
Abstract
This paper examines the valuation effect of capital account liberalization. Using an event study approach and the policy announcement for RMB Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (short for RQFII) as the event date, we find that overall, the stock market responded positively to the capital account liberalization announcement. In addition, we provide some heterogeneity that firms with more stringent financing constraints earn higher returns than their counterparts. Finally, existing local institutions play an important role in determining announcement returns.Entities:
Keywords: Capital Account Liberalization; China; Financing Constraints; Market Response; RQFII
Year: 2020 PMID: 32398887 PMCID: PMC7214332 DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2020.102208
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Int Money Finance ISSN: 0261-5606
Summary statistics.
| Variables | Obs. | Mean | SD | Minimum | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR (5, 5) | 1206 | 0.0169 | 0.0617 | −0.2809 | 0.3319 |
| KZ index | 1206 | 0.4608 | 0.8867 | −3.8196 | 4.6114 |
| Dummy_WW index | 1206 | 0.5489 | 0.49781 | 0 | 1 |
| SA index | 1206 | −4.1551 | 1.5175 | −9.7679 | −1.13832 |
| Political_connection | 1206 | −0.9917 | 1.4328 | −10 | 0 |
| Assets | 1206 | −21.846 | 1.2918 | −26.0949 | −18.9761 |
| Age | 1206 | −8.0342 | 0.7251 | −8.8980 | −5.9026 |
| Size | 1206 | 7.5433 | 1.4478 | 2.0794 | 12.560 |
| Leverage | 1206 | 1.4209 | 1.4748 | 0.0530 | 14.642 |
| Ownership | 1206 | 0.6128 | 0.48732 | 0 | 1 |
| ROA | 1206 | 0.0459 | 0.05779 | −0.3890 | 0.2082 |
| Financial_industry | 1206 | 10.8201 | 1.2301 | 5.9 | 12.66 |
| Competition | 1206 | 8.5438 | 2.1491 | −1.87 | 12.1 |
| Protection | 1206 | 5.5232 | 1.6834 | −1.91 | 8.93 |
| Credit_funds | 1206 | 13.0954 | 0.9671 | 10.98 | 14.61 |
Most Relevant News in August 2011.
| Big events | Highest Baidu index |
|---|---|
| RQFII | |
| World Internet Conference (held in China) | 2567 |
| CPI increment | 1171 |
| Culture industry support policy | 611 |
| Private enterprise encouragement policy | 579 |
| GDP growth rate | 135 |
Notes: This table reports the Baidu index for top search phrases during the event month (i.e., August 2011). The bigger the number, the larger the search scale of the event.
Stock market response.
| Benchmark | Average CAR | Positive/all firms |
|---|---|---|
| CAR (5,5) | 0.0169*** | 749/1,206 |
| CAR (5,5)_SHCI | 0.0203*** | 787/1,206 |
| CAR (5,5)_Hushen300 | 0.0242*** | 816/1,206 |
| CAR (5,5)_Zhongzheng100 | 0.0274*** | 846/1,206 |
| CAR (1,1) | 0.0027*** | 3.1328 |
| CAR (2,2) | 0.0033*** | 2.7836 |
| CAR (5,10) | 0.0081*** | 3.7882 |
| CAR (10,5) | 0.0118*** | 5.4361 |
| CAR (10,10) | 0.0028 | 1.1486 |
| CAR (20,20) | −0.0096*** | −2.6434 |
| CAR (40,40) | 0.0083 | 1.3898 |
Note: *, **, and *** denote 10%, 5%, and 1% significance levels, respectively.
Heterogeneous effect of financing constraints.
| Dep. = CAR | Benchmark model | Alternative event window | Alternative market benchmark | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [−5, 5] | [−5, 5] | [−2, 2] | [−5,10] | SHCI | Hushen300 | Zhongzheng100 | |
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
| Financing constraints | 0.0117*** | 0.0068*** | 0.0029* | 0.0078*** | 0.0068*** | 0.0068*** | 0.0069*** |
| (5.731) | (2.995) | (1.796) | (2.758) | (3.009) | (3.011) | (3.034) | |
| Size | −0.0057*** | −0.0011 | −0.0057*** | −0.0057*** | −0.0057*** | −0.0057*** | |
| (−4.318) | (−1.102) | (−3.592) | (−4.317) | (−4.343) | (−4.325) | ||
| Leverage | −0.0003 | 0.0003 | −0.0014 | −0.0003 | −0.0004 | −0.0004 | |
| (−0.262) | (0.408) | (−1.109) | (−0.301) | (−0.360) | (−0.386) | ||
| Ownership | −0.0067* | −0.0038 | −0.0002 | −0.0066* | −0.0063 | −0.0063 | |
| (−1.745) | (−1.425) | (−0.038) | (−1.726) | (−1.644) | (−1.643) | ||
| ROA | −0.0716** | −0.0331 | −0.0842* | −0.0705** | −0.0711** | −0.0696** | |
| (−2.119) | (−1.284) | (−1.891) | (−2.077) | (−2.083) | (−2.029) | ||
| Province FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.0340 | 0.0869** | 0.0535* | 0.0901 | 0.0906** | 0.0955** | 0.0989** |
| (0.735) | (2.019) | (1.912) | (1.360) | (2.106) | (2.181) | (2.243) | |
| Observations | 1209 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 |
| 0.060 | 0.083 | 0.026 | 0.067 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.081 | |
Notes: T-values are reported in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote 10%, 5%, and 1% significance levels, respectively.
Robustness checks.
| Dep. = CAR (5, 5) | Composite index | Single index | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Dummy_WW index | SA index | Political_connection | Assets | Age |
| Financing constraints | 0.0156*** | 0.0085*** | 0.0036*** | 0.0102*** | 0.0080** |
| (3.719) | (5.379) | (3.327) | (5.395) | (2.944) | |
| Control variables | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Province FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.0764* | 0.0929** | 0.1035*** | 0.2795*** | 0.1757*** |
| (4.048) | (2.439) | (2.700) | (5.002) | (3.232) | |
| Observations | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 |
| 0.087 | 0.095 | 0.082 | 0.096 | 0.083 | |
Notes: T-values are reported in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote 10%, 5%, and 1% significance levels, respectively.
Role of local institutions.
| Dep. = CAR (5, 5) | Financial_industry | Competition | Protection | Credit_funds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
| Financing constraints | −0.0269* | −0.0067 | −0.0047 | −0.0045 |
| (−1.773) | (−1.133) | (−0.805) | (−0.173) | |
| Marketization index | −0.0000 | 0.0005 | 0.0013 | −0.0044* |
| (−0.012) | (0.505) | (0.890) | (−1.843) | |
| Interaction | 0.0032** | 0.0017** | 0.0022** | 0.0009 |
| (2.175) | (2.270) | (2.032) | (0.431) | |
| Control variables | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Province FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry FEs | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.0796 | 0.0745 | 0.0703 | 0.1455*** |
| (1.551) | (1.546) | (1.395) | (2.684) | |
| Observations | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 | 1206 |
| 0.087 | 0.088 | 0.089 | 0.085 |
Notes: T-values are reported in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote 10%, 5%, and 1% significance levels, respectively.
| Variable | Index | Description | Data source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financing constraints | KZ index | A composite index of five variables, namely, cash flow/asset ( | CSMAR |
| WW index | Based on the KZ index, sales growth rates at firm and industry levels are also included in the calculation of the WW index. The WW index dummy variable equals 1 if the WW index is larger than the median, and 0 otherwise. | CSMAR | |
| SA index | We estimate an ordered logistic model in which a firm’s financing constraint status is modeled as a linear and quadratic term function for firm size and age. | CSMAR | |
| Political_Connection | A count variable that counts the number of total political ties (firms’ board members holding a secretarial position in the CPC or its branches) | CSMAR | |
| Assets | Denotes the logarithm of firms’ total assets | CSMAR | |
| Age | Denotes the logarithm of firms’ age in days from first listing to Dec. 31, 2010, which is the last accounting date before the RQFII announcement | CSMAR | |
| Stock return | Stock_Return | Daily comparable closing returns (with reinvested cash dividend) | CSMAR |
| Market benchmarks | Market_Return | Daily aggregated market returns (with reinvested cash dividend) | CSMAR |
| Return_SHCI | Shanghai Composite Index daily value-weighted average return | CSMAR | |
| Return_Hushen300 | Hushen 300 Index daily value-weighted average return | CSMAR | |
| Return_Zhongzheng100 | Zhongzheng 100 Index daily value-weighted average return | CSMAR | |
| Firm size | Size | Denotes the logarithm of firms’ employees + 1 | CSMAR |
| Leverage | Leverage | Ratio of total debts to total assets | CSMAR |
| Ownership | Ownership | A dummy variable that equals 1 if the firm is registered as a state-owned firm, and zero otherwise | CSMAR |
| ROA | ROA | Return on assets | CSMAR |
| Marketization | Financial_Industry | Denotes marketization of the financial industry, which is a weighted value of Competition (70.8%) and Creadit_Funds (29.2%) | NERI ( |
| Competition | Denotes competition among the financing institutions of a province, which is the ratio of non-stated institutions’ deposits to all deposits | ||
| Protection | Denotes protection of producers’ legitimate rights and interests, which is measured by two indices, that is, number of legal cases (economic disputes) and court’s efficiency in resolving legal cases (economic disputes); the higher the value, the stronger the legal protection | ||
| Credit_Funds | Denotes marketization of credit fund allocation, which is the ratio of non-stated sectors’ short-term loans to all short-term loans. |