Assessing Contribution of Higher Order Clinical Risk Factors to Prediction of Outcome in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Patients.

The goal of this study was to investigate the application of machine learning models capable of capturing multiplica tive and temporal clinical risk factors for outcome prediction inpatients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). We examined a cohort of 575 aSAH patients from Emory Healthcare, identified via digital subtraction angiog- raphy. The outcome measure was the modified Ranking Scale (mRS) after 90 days. Predictions were performed with longitudinal clinical and imaging risk factors as inputs into a regularized Logistic Regression, a feedforward Neural Network and a multivariate time-series prediction model known as the long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture. Through extraction of higher-order risk factors, the LSTM model achieved an AUC of 0.89 eight days into hospitaliza tion, outperforming other techniques. Our preliminary findings indicate the proposed model has the potential to aid treatment decisions and effective imaging resource utilization in high-risk patients by providing actionable predictions prior to the development of neurological deterioration. ©2019 AMIA - All rights reserved.