| Literature DB >> 32290563 |
Andrzej Maciejczak1,2, Agnieszka Guzik3, Andżelina Wolan-Nieroda3, Marzena Wójcik3, Teresa Pop3.
Abstract
In Poland there is no data related to the impact of halny wind and the related environmental variables on the incidence of cardiac events. We decided to investigate the relationship between this weather phenomenon, as well as the related environmental variables, and the incidence of cardiac events in the population of southern Poland, a region affected by this type of wind. We also decided to determine whether the environmental changes coincide with or predate the event examined. We analysed data related to 465 patients admitted to the cardiology ward in a large regional hospital during twelve months of 2011 due to acute myocardial infarction. All the patients in the study group lived in areas affected by halny wind and at the time of the event were staying in those areas. The frequency of admissions on halny days did not differ significantly from the admissions on the remaining days of the year (p = 0.496). No statistically significant differences were found between the number of admissions on halny days and on the remaining days during halny months (p = 0.084). We have identified a difference in the number of admissions between days with no halny and days immediately preceding onset of halny (p = 0.001). However, no effects of the related environmental variables have been observed in the incidence of cardiac events (p = 0.866, F = 0.37). On the days with halny wind, incidence of cardiac events is similar to that on the remaining days of the year.Entities:
Keywords: environmental variables; foehn wind; halny; myocardial infarction
Year: 2020 PMID: 32290563 PMCID: PMC7215363 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17082638
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Characteristics of the study group.
| Number | Females | Males |
|---|---|---|
| Observed (O) | 168 | 297 |
| % of the total number | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Expected € | 232.5 | 232.5 |
| % of the total number | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Significance level—p | <0.001 | |
Occurrence of halny and number of days affected in year 2011.
| Month | Dates | Number of Halny Days |
|---|---|---|
| January | 6–7 Jan, 26 Jan | 3 |
| March | 12–14 March, 17 March | 4 |
| October | 25–26 Oct | 2 |
| November | 4–6 Nov | 3 |
| December | 5–6 Dec, 8–9 Dec, 12–17 Dec | 10 |
| TOTAL 22 |
Admissions in months with halny wind. Number of admissions on halny days vs. remaining days.
| Sex | Days with Halny Wind | Days without Halny |
|---|---|---|
| Total admissions | 25 (11%) | 202 (89%) |
| Females admitted | 10 (13.3%) | 66 (86.8%) |
| Males admitted | 15 (9.9%) | 136 (90.1%) |
| Chi-square | 0.54 | |
| Degrees of freedom—df | 1 | |
| Significance level—p | 0.46 | |
Number of admissions on halny days and on the remaining days of the year.
| Days | Number of Admissions | Number of Days |
|---|---|---|
| Halny days | 25 | 22 |
| Remaining days | 440 | 343 |
| Total | 465 | 365 |
| Significance level— | 0.496 |
p—level of probability in the test for significance of structure indicators.
Number of admissions on halny days, the remaining days during halny months and one day before onset of halny, and on the remaining days of months with halny.
| Days | Number of Admissions | Number of Days |
|---|---|---|
| Halny days | 25 | 22 |
| Remaining days | 202 | 132 |
| Total | 227 | 154 |
| Significance level— | 0.084 | |
| Days immediately preceding onset of halny | 18 | 8 |
| Remaining days | 209 | 146 |
| Total | 227 | 154 |
| Significance level— | 0.001 |
p—level of probability in the test for significance of structure indicators.
Relationship between the number of cardiac events and environmental variables in the selected periods of time.
| Environmental Variables | Halny Days | Days Preceding Halny | Total Number of Days with Halny and Preceding Halny | Other Days | Total Number of Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean air temperature (°C) | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| Mean atmospheric humidity (%) | |||||
| Mean speed of wind (m/s) | −0.19 | −0.16 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.01 |
| Pressure (hPa) | |||||
| Total daily precipitation (L/m3) | −0.17 | 0.04 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.039 |
| Mean air temperature (°C) | |||||
| Mean atmospheric humidity (%) | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.06 | −0.08 |
| Mean speed of wind (m/s) | |||||
| Pressure (hPa) | −0.29 | −0.37 | −0.30 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
p—level of probability for significance of Pearson’s correlation coefficient.
Assessment of the number of cardiac events/number of admissions relative to the environmental variables on all days of the halny months.
| Environmental Variables vs. Number of Cardiac Events | Multiple Regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Adjusted R2 | F | b | Partial Correlation |
| ||
| Mean air temperature (°C) | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 0.866 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.586 |
| Mean atmospheric humidity (%) | −0.00 | −0.01 | 0.873 | ||||
| Mean speed of wind (m/s) | −0.00 | −0.04 | 0.613 | ||||
| Pressure (hPa) | −0.01 | −0.07 | 0.413 | ||||
| Total daily precipitation (L/m3) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.962 | ||||
R2—regression model. Adjusted R2—regression model disregards extreme values. F—result of Fisher’s test. b—regression coefficient. Partial correlation—the variable Xi is correlated with the variable Y after effect of all the other independent variables is taken into account (concurrent effect of all the four factors). p—significance level.
Assessment of the number of cardiac events/number of admissions relative to the environmental variables from 1 to 14 December.
| Environmental Variables vs. Number of Cardiac Events | Multiple Regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Adjusted R2 | F | b | Partial Correlation |
| ||
| Mean air temperature (°C) | 0.39 | 0.02 | 1.05 | 0.451 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.753 |
| Mean atmospheric humidity (%) | 0.05 | 0.38 | 0.283 | ||||
| Mean speed of wind (m/s) | 0.68 | 0.45 | 0.197 | ||||
| Pressure (hPa) | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0,970 | ||||
| Total daily precipitation (L/m3) | −0.11 | −0.22 | 0.546 | ||||
R2—regression model. Adjusted R2—regression model disregards extreme values. F—result of Fisher’s test. b—regression coefficient. Partial correlation—the variable Xi is correlated with the variable Y after effect of all the other independent variables is taken into account (concurrent effect of all the four factors). p—significance level.
Example rows of time series data from the Tarnów dataset showing daily levels of environmental variables and daily number of cardiac events.
| Date | Mean Air Temperature (°C) | Mean Atmospheric Humidity (%) | Mean Speed of Wind (m/s) | Pressure (hPa) | Total Daily Precipitation (L/m3) | N Cardiac Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dec. 11 | 4.20 | 85.00 | 1.30 | 1026.80 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 2 Dec. 11 | 4.00 | 73.90 | 2.90 | 1016.80 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 3 Dec. 11 | 3.10 | 83.00 | 1.40 | 1014.90 | 0.20 | 1 |
| 4 Dec. 11 | 8.10 | 71.10 | 2.60 | 1005.10 | 0.20 | 3 |
| 5 Dec. 11 | 7.10 | 76.60 | 2.50 | 999.10 | 1.90 | 2 |
| 6 Dec. 11 | 2.00 | 72.50 | 0,90 | 1009.10 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 7 Dec. 11 | 2.40 | 80.30 | 2.50 | 1008.30 | 3.90 | 3 |
| 8 Dec. 11 | 2.90 | 87.40 | 2.90 | 1011.00 | 4.40 | 2 |
| 9 Dec. 11 | 2.90 | 71.90 | 2.90 | 1014.20 | 6.50 | 1 |
| 10 Dec. 11 | 2.40 | 88.10 | 0.90 | 1013.80 | 0.30 | 1 |
| 11 Dec. 11 | 0.20 | 80.30 | 0.80 | 1021.00 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 12 Dec. 11 | 3.10 | 81.90 | 1.50 | 1016.10 | 1.90 | 1 |
| 13 Dec. 11 | 4.70 | 92.60 | 1.10 | 1014.30 | 0.40 | 2 |
| 14 Dec. 11 | 6.80 | 73.60 | 3.00 | 1012.40 | 0.00 | 2 |
Figure 1Changes in mean daily air temperature, atmospheric humidity and speed of wind for the period from 1 to 14 December 2011.
Figure 2Changes in mean pressure, total daily precipitation and number of cardiac events for the period from 1 to 14 December 2011.
Assessment of the number of cardiac events/number of admissions relative to the environmental variables from January 2011 to December 2011.
| Month | Environmental Variables vs Number of Cardiac Events | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Adjusted R2 | F |
| |
| January * | 0.31 | 0.09 | 0.52 | 0.760 |
| February | 0.51 | 0.26 | 1.52 | 0.226 |
| March * | 0.46 | 0.21 | 1.36 | 0.274 |
| April | 0.41 | 0.17 | 1.04 | 0.415 |
| May | 0.54 | 0.29 | 2.04 | 0.107 |
| June | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 0.945 |
| July | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.93 | 0.476 |
| August | 0.50 | 0.25 | 1.64 | 0.187 |
| September | 0.44 | 0.19 | 1.15 | 0.360 |
| October * | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.84 | 0.533 |
| November * | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.44 | 0.818 |
| December * | 0.33 | 0.11 | 0.63 | 0.679 |
R2—regression model. Adjusted R2—regression model disregards extreme values. F—result of Fisher’s test. p—significance level. * months with halny.