| Literature DB >> 32287566 |
Peter J van Baalen1, Paul C van Fenema2.
Abstract
In this paper we build a multi-theoretical and multi-level framework for analyzing Global Crisis Networks (GCN). These information-centric, heterarchically structured networks are instantiated in response to major disasters with global impact. The instantiation of GCN is conceived as a problem of collective action. Its success depends on multi-level preparedness, and network orchestration and participation. With this framework we analyze the SARS outbreak in 2002 and its successful containment in 2003. We analyze two individual country cases, Canada and China and discuss the role of the network orchestrator, the World Health Organizations. The paper concludes with implications for research and practice.Entities:
Keywords: Global Crisis Networks; Global decision making; Global diseases; Network coordination; Network instantiation
Year: 2009 PMID: 32287566 PMCID: PMC7114350 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2009.05.005
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Decis Support Syst ISSN: 0167-9236 Impact factor: 5.795
Crisis probability and impact.
| Probability of crises | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | High | ||
| Consequences of crises | Low | Rare event, limited impact (e.g. geographical scope), limited repertoire. | Predictable crises with limited impact. Focused preparation suffices. |
| High | Rare event, massive, often global, impact. Early signals ignored or misinterpreted. Anticipation hardly feasible, limited connectivity and repertoire. Central role for technologies and information processing. Fusion of action, understanding, learning and frame development. | Predictable crises with large scale impact. Anticipation is feasible, early signals are interpreted correctly. Elaborate information infrastructures are connected and available. Emphasis on action within existing frames. | |
Fig. 1A multi-level framework for Global Crisis Network (GCN) instantiation.
Fig. 2Epidemic curve SARS worldwide.
SARS cases worldwide (November 1, 2002–July 31, 2003).
| Areas | Date onset first probable case | Date onset last probable cases | Infected female | Infected male | Infected total | Number of deaths | CFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 26-Feb-2003 | 1-Apr-2003 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Canada | 23-Feb-2003 | 12-Jun-2003 | 151 | 100 | 251 | 43 | 17 |
| China | 16-Nov-2002 | 3-Jun-2003 | 2674 | 2607 | 5281 | 349 | 7 |
| China, Hong Kong SAR | 15-Feb-2003 | 31-May-2003 | 977 | 778 | 1755 | 299 | 17 |
| China, Macao SAR | 5-May-2003 | 5-May-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| China, Taiwan | 25-Feb-2003 | 15-Jun-2003 | 218 | 128 | 346 | 37 | 11 |
| France | 21-Mar-2003 | 3-May-2003 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| Germany | 9-Mar-2003 | 6-May-2003 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| India | 25-Apr-2003 | 6-May-2003 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Indonesia | 25-Apr-2003 | 6-May-2003 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Italy | 13-Mar-2003 | 20-Apr-2003 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kuwait | 9-Apr-2003 | 9-Apr-2003 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Malaysia | 14-Mar-2003 | 22-Apr-2003 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 40 |
| Mongolia | 31-Mar-2003 | 6-May-2003 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| New Zealand | 20-Apr-2003 | 20-Apr-2003 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Philippines | 25-Feb-2003 | 5-May-2003 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| Rep of Ireland | 27-Feb-2003 | 27-Feb-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Rep of Korea | 19-Mar-2003 | 19-Mar-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Russian Federation | 5-May-2003 | 5-May-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Singapore | 25-Feb-2003 | 5-May-2003 | 161 | 77 | 238 | 33 | 14 |
| South Africa | 3-Apr-2003 | 3-Apr-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Spain | 26-Mar-2003 | 26-Mar-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sweden | 28-Mar-2003 | 23-Apr-2003 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Switzerland | 9-Mar-2003 | 9-Mar-2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thailand | 11-Mar-2003 | 27-May-2003 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 22 |
| United Kingdom | 1-Mar-2003 | 1-Apr-2003 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| United States | 24-Feb-2003 | 13-July-2003 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| Vietnam | 23-Feb-2003 | 14-Apr-2004 | 39 | 24 | 63 | 5 | 8 |
| Total | 8050 | 774 |
Source: Adapted from [1].
Case fatality ratio.