The influence of rainfall on recruitment success and commercial catch for the large sciaenid, Argyrosomus japonicus, in eastern Australia.

Freshwater flows into estuaries influence fish populations through effects on recruitment, growth and mortality. We compared year class strength of a large sciaenid Argyrosomus japonicus with rainfall through a 16-year period in southeastern Australia, to understand the influence of freshwater input on this estuary-dependent and depleted population. Relative year class strength, estimated by back-calculating age composition data from commercial fishery landings, was positively related to rainfall within estuarine catchments (R2 = 52%). Commercial estuarine landings from a separate 29-year dataset were positively related to rainfall two and three years earlier (R2 = 21% and 44%, respectively). Year class strength of a key prey species, the penaeid prawn Metapenaeus macleayi, was also related to year class strength of A. japonicus (R2 = 39%), suggesting that rainfall influences recruitment of A. japonicus by affecting food availability. Several years of above average rainfall may be required to promote recruitment substantial enough to rebuild the population. Crown