| Literature DB >> 32244336 |
Seung-Hoon Park1, Min-Kyung Bae2.
Abstract
Pedestrian-vehicle crashes can result in serious injury to pedestrians, who are exposed to danger when in close proximity to moving vehicles. Furthermore, these injuries can be considerably serious and even lead to death in a manner that varies depending on the pedestrian's age. This is because the pedestrian's physical characteristics and behaviors, particularly in relation to roads with moving vehicles, differ depending on the pedestrian's age. This study examines the determinants of pedestrian injury severity by pedestrian age using binary logistic regression. Factors in the built environment, such as road characteristics and land use of the places where pedestrian crashes occurred, were considered, as were the accident characteristics of the pedestrians and drivers. The analysis determined that the accident characteristics of drivers and pedestrians are more influential in pedestrian-vehicle crashes than the factors of the built environmental characteristics. However, there are substantial differences in injury severity relative to the pedestrian's age. Young pedestrians (aged under 20 years old) are more likely to suffer serious injury in school zones; however, no association between silver zones and injury severity is found for elderly pedestrians. For people in the age range of 20-39 years old, the severity of pedestrian injuries is lower in areas with more crosswalks and speed cameras. People in the age range of 40-64 years old are more likely to be injured in areas with more neighborhood streets and industrial land use. Elderly pedestrians are likely to suffer fatal injuries in areas with more traffic signals. This study finds that there are differences in the factors of pedestrian injury severity according to the age of pedestrians. Therefore, it is suggested that concrete and efficient policies related to pedestrian age are required to improve pedestrian safety and reduce pedestrian-vehicle crashes.Entities:
Keywords: built environment; pedestrian safety; pedestrian-vehicle crash; severity of pedestrian injury
Year: 2020 PMID: 32244336 PMCID: PMC7177641 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17072358
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Daegu Metropolitan City and the spatial distribution of pedestrian-vehicle crashes.
Figure 2An example of the 400 m radius around a pedestrian crash.
Construction of the variables used in the analysis and basic statistics.
| Variables | Measurement | Mean (SD) |
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| Severe injury, all pedestrians | 1 = death, fatal injury; | 0.47 (0.50) |
| Severe injury, 0–19-year-old pedestrians | 0.34 (0.47) | |
| Severe injury, 20–39-year-old pedestrians | 0.32 (0.47) | |
| Severe injury, 40–64-year-old pedestrians | 0.48 (0.50) | |
| Severe injury, over-64-year-old pedestrians | 0.67 (0.47) | |
|
| ||
| Individual Characteristics | ||
| Pedestrian Variables | ||
| Pedestrian age | Continuous (year) | 44.07 (22.16) |
| Pedestrian gender | 1 = male; 0 = female | 0.54 (0.50) |
| Driver Variables | ||
| Driver age | Continuous (year) | 44.95 (15.47) |
| Driver gender | 1 = male; 0 = female | 0.73 (0.45) |
| Vehicle type | 1 = van, truck; 0 = passenger car | 0.20 (0.40) |
| Temporal Variables | ||
| Time | 1 = night time (6pm–6am); | 0.50 (0.50) |
| Weather condition | 1 = cloudy, rain, snow, fog, other; 0 = clear | 0.13 (0.33) |
| Neighborhood Characteristics | ||
| Safety Zones | ||
| School zone | Total area of school zones in 0.4 km radius | 259,455 (177,535) |
| Silver zone | Total area of silver zones in 0.4 km radius | 40,951 (78,112) |
| Road Environments | ||
| Bus stop | Number of bus stops in 0.4 km radius | 7.75 (3.24) |
| Crosswalk | Number of crosswalks in 0.4 km radius | 37.43 (18.41) |
| Traffic signal | Number of traffic signals in 0.4 km radius | 32.10 (14.57) |
| Speed camera | Number of speed cameras in 0.4 km radius | 2.46 (3.61) |
| Average posted speed limit | Average of posted speed limits in 0.4 km radius | 54.89 (7.74) |
| Neighborhood street | Total length of neighborhood streets in 0.4 km radius | 101,412 (47,080) |
| Arterial road | Total length of arterial roads in 0.4 km radius | 10,319 (7358) |
| Land Uses | ||
| Residential area | Total area of residential use in 0.4 km radius | 315,527 (137,196) |
| Commercial area | Total area of commercial use in 0.4 km radius | 97,362 (124,992) |
| Industrial area | Total area of industrial use in 0.4 km radius | 15,929 (65,482) |
The results of binary logistic regression.
| Variables | Model 1 (All age groups) | Model 2 (Under-20-year-old group) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Odds Ratio |
| Odds Ratio | |||
|
| ||||||
| Pedestrian Variables | ||||||
| Pedestrian age | 0.024 *** | 1.024 | <0.001 | |||
| Pedestrian gender | −0.391 *** | 0.677 | <0.001 | −0.031 | 0.969 | 0.782 |
| Driver Variables | ||||||
| Driver age | 0.009 *** | 1.009 | < 0.001 | 0.009 *** | 1.009 | 0.009 |
| Driver gender | 0.162 *** | 1.176 | 0.005 | 0.055 | 1.056 | 0.670 |
| Vehicle type | 0.004 | 1.004 | 0.951 | −0.069 | 0.933 | 0.655 |
| Time | 0.265 *** | 1.304 | <0.001 | 0.080 | 1.084 | 0.493 |
| Weather condition | 0.194 *** | 1.214 | 0.007 | 0.108 | 1.115 | 0.570 |
|
| ||||||
| Safety Zones | ||||||
| School zone | 0.000 *** | 1.000 | 0.005 | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.030 |
| Silver zone | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.282 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.922 |
| Road Environments | ||||||
| Bus stop | −0.013 | 0.988 | 0.187 | −0.032 | 0.969 | 0.134 |
| Crosswalk | −0.003 * | 0.997 | 0.093 | −0.005 | 0.995 | 0.277 |
| Traffic signal | 0.003 | 1.003 | 0.158 | −0.001 | 0.999 | 0.856 |
| Speed camera | −0.013 * | 0.987 | 0.083 | 0.014 | 1.014 | 0.470 |
| Average posted speed limit | 0.006 * | 1.006 | 0.061 | 0.001 | 1.001 | 0.916 |
| Neighborhood street | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.013 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.211 |
| Arterial road | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.579 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.178 |
| Land Uses | ||||||
| Residential area | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.935 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.953 |
| Commercial area | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.311 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.599 |
| Industrial area | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.019 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.940 |
| Constant | −1.530 *** | 0.217 | <0.001 | −0.401 | 0.670 | 0.453 |
| number of observations | 7881 | 1498 | ||||
| −2 log likelihood | 10,067.93 | 1880.20 | ||||
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01.
The results of binary logistic regression.
| Model 3 (20–39-year-old group) | Model 4 (40–64-year-old age group) | Model 5 (Over-64-year-old age group) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Odds Ratio |
| Odds Ratio |
| Odds Ratio | ||||
|
| |||||||||
| Pedestrian Variables | |||||||||
| Pedestrian gender | −0.394 *** | 0.674 | <0.001 | −0.530 *** | 0.589 | <0.001 | −0.449 *** | 0.638 | <0.001 |
| Driver Variables | |||||||||
| Driver age | 0.010 *** | 1.010 | 0.007 | 0.007 ** | 1.007 | 0.013 | 0.009 *** | 1.009 | 0.004 |
| Driver gender | 0.015 | 1.015 | 0.910 | 0.267 *** | 1.306 | 0.009 | 0.297 *** | 1.346 | 0.008 |
| Vehicle type | 0.006 | 1.006 | 0.969 | 0.101 | 1.107 | 0.355 | −0.082 | 0.921 | 0.454 |
| Temporal Variables | |||||||||
| Time | 0.616 *** | 1.851 | <0.001 | 0.506 *** | 1.658 | <0.001 | 0.218 ** | 1.244 | 0.031 |
| Weather condition | 0.405 *** | 1.499 | 0.005 | 0.132 | 1.141 | 0.264 | 0.270 * | 1.311 | 0.083 |
|
| |||||||||
| Safety Zones | |||||||||
| School zone | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.724 | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.044 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.158 |
| Silver zone | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.889 | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.046 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.692 |
| Road Environments | |||||||||
| Bus stop | −0.022 | 0.979 | 0.322 | −0.001 | 0.999 | 0.939 | −0.014 | 0.986 | 0.450 |
| Crosswalk | −0.008 * | 0.992 | 0.059 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.999 | 0.003 | 1.003 | 0.538 |
| Traffic signal | 0.008 | 1.008 | 0.137 | −0.006 | 0.994 | 0.138 | 0.008 * | 1.008 | 0.087 |
| Speed camera | −0.040 ** | 0.961 | 0.016 | −0.005 | 0.995 | 0.683 | −0.012 | .988 | 0.405 |
| Average posted speed limit | 0.010 | 1.010 | 0.172 | 0.007 | 1.007 | 0.221 | 0.003 | 1.003 | 0.665 |
| Neighborhood street | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.325 | 0.000 *** | 1.000 | 0.005 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.575 |
| Arterial road | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.230 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.639 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.981 |
| Land Uses | |||||||||
| Residential area | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.491 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.286 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.304 |
| Commercial area | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.943 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.350 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.101 |
| Industrial area | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.362 | 0.000 ** | 1.000 | 0.017 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.220 |
| Constant | −1.353 *** | 0.258 | 0.005 | −0.533 | 0.587 | 0.175 | 0.166 | 1.181 | 0.685 |
| number of observations | 1731 | 2452 | 2200 | ||||||
| −2 log likelihood | 2063.61 | 3278.50 | 2727.86 | ||||||
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01.