E P Hui1, W F Li2, B B Ma1, W K J Lam3, K C A Chan3, F Mo1, Q Y H Ai4, A D King4, C H Wong1, R Guo2, D M C Poon1, M Tong1, L Li1, T K H Lau1, K C W Wong1, D C M Lam1, Y M D Lo3, J Ma2, A T C Chan5. 1. Department of Clinical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Translational Oncology, Sir YK Pao Cancer Center, Hong Kong Cancer Institute, Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong. 2. Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China. 3. Department of Chemical Pathology, State Key Laboratory of Translational Oncology, Sir YK Pao Cancer Center, Hong Kong Cancer Institute, Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong. 4. Department of Imaging and Interventional Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Translational Oncology, Sir YK Pao Center for Cancer, Hong Kong Cancer Institute, Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong. 5. Department of Clinical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Translational Oncology, Sir YK Pao Cancer Center, Hong Kong Cancer Institute, Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong. Electronic address: anthonytcchan@cuhk.edu.hk.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: After curative radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation (CRT), there is no validated tool to accurately identify patients for adjuvant therapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Post-RT circulating plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA can detect minimal residual disease and is associated with recurrence and survival independent of TNM (tumor-lymph node-metastasis) stage. We aimed to develop and validate a risk model for stratification of NPC patients after completion of RT/CRT to observation or adjuvant therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The prospective multicenter 0502 EBV DNA screening cohort (Hong Kong NPC Study Group 0502 trial) enrolled from 2006 to 2015 (n = 745) was used for model development. For internal validation, we pooled independent patient cohorts from prospective clinical studies enrolled from 1997 to 2006 (n = 340). For external validation, we used retrospective cohort of NPC patients treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from 2009 to 2012 (n = 837). Eligible patients had histologically confirmed NPC of Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) 7th Edition stage II-IVB who completed curative RT/CRT with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy, had post-RT EBV DNA tested within 120 days after RT and received no adjuvant therapy. The primary end point was overall survival (OS). We used recursive-partitioning analysis (RPA) to classify patients into groups of low, intermediate, and high risk of death. RESULTS: Combining post-RT EBV DNA level (0, 1-49, 50-499, and ≥500 copies/ml) and TNM stage (II, III, IVAB), RPA model classified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups with 5-year OS of 89.4%, 78.5% and 37.2%, respectively. The RPA low-risk group had comparable OS to TNM stage II (5-year OS 88.5%) but identified more patients (64.8% versus stage II 28.1%) that could potentially be spared adjuvant therapy toxicity. The RPA model (c-index 0.712) showed better risk discrimination than either the TNM stage (0.604) or post-RT EBV DNA alone (0.675) with improved calibration and consistence. These results were validated in both internal and external cohorts. CONCLUSION: Combining post-RT EBV DNA and TNM stage improved risk stratification in NPC.
BACKGROUND: After curative radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation (CRT), there is no validated tool to accurately identify patients for adjuvant therapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Post-RT circulating plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA can detect minimal residual disease and is associated with recurrence and survival independent of TNM (tumor-lymph node-metastasis) stage. We aimed to develop and validate a risk model for stratification of NPCpatients after completion of RT/CRT to observation or adjuvant therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The prospective multicenter 0502 EBV DNA screening cohort (Hong Kong NPC Study Group 0502 trial) enrolled from 2006 to 2015 (n = 745) was used for model development. For internal validation, we pooled independent patient cohorts from prospective clinical studies enrolled from 1997 to 2006 (n = 340). For external validation, we used retrospective cohort of NPCpatients treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from 2009 to 2012 (n = 837). Eligible patients had histologically confirmed NPC of Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) 7th Edition stage II-IVB who completed curative RT/CRT with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy, had post-RT EBV DNA tested within 120 days after RT and received no adjuvant therapy. The primary end point was overall survival (OS). We used recursive-partitioning analysis (RPA) to classify patients into groups of low, intermediate, and high risk of death. RESULTS: Combining post-RT EBV DNA level (0, 1-49, 50-499, and ≥500 copies/ml) and TNM stage (II, III, IVAB), RPA model classified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups with 5-year OS of 89.4%, 78.5% and 37.2%, respectively. The RPA low-risk group had comparable OS to TNM stage II (5-year OS 88.5%) but identified more patients (64.8% versus stage II 28.1%) that could potentially be spared adjuvant therapy toxicity. The RPA model (c-index 0.712) showed better risk discrimination than either the TNM stage (0.604) or post-RT EBV DNA alone (0.675) with improved calibration and consistence. These results were validated in both internal and external cohorts. CONCLUSION: Combining post-RT EBV DNA and TNM stage improved risk stratification in NPC.
Authors: Rong Tan; Sean Kean Ann Phua; Yoke Lim Soong; Lynette Lin Ean Oon; Kian Sing Chan; Sasidharan Swarnalatha Lucky; Jamie Mong; Min Han Tan; Chwee Ming Lim Journal: Cancer Commun (Lond) Date: 2020-09-28