Contributing Factors to the Clinical and Economic Burden of Patients with Laboratory-Confirmed Carbapenem-Nonsusceptible Gram-Negative Respiratory Infections.

PURPOSE: This study examined patient- and hospital-level predictor variables that contribute to worse clinical and economic outcomes in patients with carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory infections. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Electronic data (January 2013 to September 2015) were from 78 US hospitals. Nonduplicate, gram-negative respiratory isolates were considered carbapenem-nonsusceptible if they tested resistant/intermediate to imipenem, meropenem, doripenem, or ertapenem. Potential predictors of outcomes (in-hospital mortality, 30-day readmission, length of stay [LOS], hospital total cost, and net gain/loss per patient) were examined using univariate analysis and generalized linear mixed models. Statistical significance and model goodness-of-fit criteria were used to identify significant predictors.
RESULTS: A total of 1488 carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory patients were identified. Overall, the mortality rate was 13.7%, 30-day readmission rate was 20.6%, mean LOS was 20 days, mean total cost was $54,158, and mean net loss was $139 per patient. Our models showed that hospital-onset infection, higher clinical severity, mechanical ventilation/intensive care unit status, polymicrobial infection, and underlying diseases were all significant predictors for mortality, LOS, and total cost. Hospital-onset infections were also associated with a significantly greater net loss (P≤.01), and underlying disease significantly impacted readmissions (P=.03). The number of prior admissions, hospital characteristics, and payer type were also found to significantly impact measured outcomes.
CONCLUSION: Carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory infections are associated with a considerable clinical and economic burden. The impact of hospital-onset infections on both clinical and economic outcomes highlights the continued need for action on this modifiable risk factor through antimicrobial stewardship and optimal therapy, thereby reducing the burden in this patient population.

Plain Language Summary

Gram-negative bacteria like Klebsiella and Pseudomonas spp. are a major cause of hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia and ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia. Increasing resistance to antibacterial agents is a global health issue that complicates treatment and increases the burden to both patients and health care systems. Infections that cannot be effectively treated by carbapenem antibacterial agents (nonsusceptible) are associated with poor patient outcomes compared with infections caused by carbapenem-susceptible isolates. In this study, we evaluated patient, infection, and hospital characteristics to identify variables that may lead to worse outcomes in patients with carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory infections. We analyzed data from almost 1500 confirmed gram-negative pneumonia infections over a 2-year period. Patients who required mechanical ventilation, were admitted to the intensive care unit, or who had hospital-acquired infections had the highest risk of mortality. Risk of readmission increased in patients who had previous hospitalizations within the past 90 days. Hospital-onset infection was also the most significant predictor of both length of hospital stay and increased hospital costs. The only modifiable risk factor identified in this study was hospital-onset infection. These findings highlight the importance of infection control measures in lessening patient and economic burden associated with carbapenem-nonsusceptible gram-negative pneumonia.

Introduction

Respiratory infections, including pneumonia, are one of the leading causes of mortality in the United States (US).1 Although hospitalizations and deaths due to pneumonia appear to be declining,1,2 a study of hospitalization rates from 2002 through 2011 found significant increases in infections attributed to the gram-negative pathogens Klebsiella and Pseudomonas spp., with increases of 35% and 23%, respectively (P<.001).3 In the hospital setting, gram-negative bacteria are implicated as the primary causative pathogens in most hospital-acquired or ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia patients.4–6

Numerous antibiotic classes are currently available for the treatment of gram-negative infections; however, the increasing incidence of antibiotic resistance has become a global health problem.7 Antimicrobial surveillance programs of respiratory isolates have documented decreased susceptibility to a variety of antibiotics, including carbapenems.5,8 Although fewer than 10% of respiratory infections in the US are carbapenem-nonsusceptible, the incidence is increasing, especially in hospital-acquired infections.8 For the gram-negative pathogens Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, 50% and 19% of respiratory infections tested carbapenem-nonsusceptible, respectively.9 In general, carbapenem nonsusceptibility is associated with worsened patient outcomes, including prolonged hospital length of stay (LOS),9,10 increased costs,11 and increased risk of mortality,9,10 compared with carbapenem-susceptible pathogens.

Limited data are available on factors that contribute to the clinical and economic burden associated with carbapenem-nonsusceptible gram-negative infections, with existing data typically limited to one setting of care or patient population. This large, retrospective, multicenter analysis examined patient- and hospital-level predictor variables that led to worse outcomes in patients with carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory infections using data from 78 US acute care hospitals.

Materials and Methods

Data Source

We used electronically captured microbiologic and administrative data from the BD Insights Research Database (Becton, Dickinson and Company; Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA).12–14 The dataset for this study included patient data (ie, age, sex, clinical severity, and number of hospitalizations), microbiologic data (ie, specimen collection time, source, and culture results), census data (ie, care location), and postdischarge administrative data (ie, principal diagnosis, discharge disposition, payer, hospital LOS, total cost, and payment received by the hospital). The study dataset was a deidentified and limited retrospective dataset exempted from patient consent by the New England Institutional Review Board (Wellesley, MA, USA). The study was conducted in compliance with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996. All procedures followed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the Helsinki Declaration.

Study Population

This study included nonduplicate (the first isolate of any species obtained from a patient per 30-day period) respiratory isolates from consecutive adult inpatients who were admitted from January 1, 2013, through September 30, 2015, and had culture-confirmed gram-negative pathogens, from a respiratory source, that were nonsusceptible to carbapenem.

Definition of Carbapenem Nonsusceptibility

Based on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Healthcare Safety Network definition,15 carbapenem-nonsusceptibility was defined as isolates that tested “resistant” or “intermediate” to imipenem or meropenem for P. aeruginosa or A. baumannii, or to imipenem, meropenem, doripenem, or ertapenem for Enterobacteriaceae (Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Proteus mirabilis, Enterobacter cloacae, Enterobacter aerogenes, Serratia marcescens, Citrobacter freundii, or Morganella morganii). Each hospital’s interpretation of the results reported in the laboratory information system dictated the classification of isolates as “resistant” or “intermediate.” Nonduplicate, gram-negative respiratory isolates were classified as community- or hospital-onset based on the specimen collection time (<3 vs ≥3 days from admission, respectively).

Outcomes

In-hospital mortality, 30-day readmission, LOS, hospital total cost, and net gain/loss (total cost minus payment received) per patient were derived from postdischarge administrative data within the administrative database and the hospital financial database.

Statistical Analysis

A univariate analysis was conducted to examine the associations between each potential predictor and each outcome measure. The potential predictor variables included age, sex, location of onset (hospital or community), organism, payer, principal diagnosis-based clinical classification software disease category as a measure of underlying clinical conditions (circulatory system diseases included cerebrovascular diseases, diseases of the heart, and diseases of arteries and arterioles as per the definitions set forth in the Agency for Health Research and Quality’s Clinical Classification Software),16 mechanical ventilation or intensive care unit (ICU) admission status, number of hospital admissions in the 90 days before the index hospitalization, and hospital characteristics (teaching status, number of beds, and geographic location). We also included an aggregated measure of clinical severity using a published Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score (ALaRMS).17 The ALaRMS uses patient demographics and 24 numeric laboratory test results to score the probability of in-hospital mortality. The laboratory results include serum chemistry (albumin, aspartate transaminase, alkaline phosphatase, blood urea nitrogen, calcium, creatinine, glucose, potassium, sodium, and total bilirubin); hematology and coagulation parameters (bands, hemoglobin, partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time international normalized ratio, platelets, and white blood cell count); arterial blood gas (partial pressure of carbon dioxide, partial pressure of oxygen, and pH value); and cardiac markers (brain natriuretic peptide, creatine phosphokinase MB, pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and troponin I or troponin T).

We developed 5 multivariable regression models, one for each outcome measure, using the Statistical Analysis Software (SAS) GLM selection procedure to generate a set of significant covariates and then fit the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) based on the significance of covariates and goodness-of-fit model statistics. We chose to use the GLMM approach because it accounts for variations among hospitals by modeling the hospital as a random effect. Specifically, the 2 binary outcomes (mortality and readmission) were modeled using random intercept logistic regression models, and the continuous outcome measures were modeled using GLMM with appropriate link functions such as log-normal or gamma distributions to handle right-skewed data (LOS, total cost). Reference groups were automatically assigned by SAS and were typically the largest single group. The results were converted back to their original scale (ie, days, US dollars) of measurement by using the ILINK option in the SAS GLIMMIX procedure. All analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Inc.; Cary, NC, USA).

Results

Patient Characteristics

A total of 1488 carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory patients were identified and included in the analysis. Most patients were male (56.4%), and 35.9% of patients were ≥65 years of age (). Medicare was the payer for almost one-half of patients (49.1%), followed closely by private/other insurance (41.7%), with only 9.2% covered by Medicaid. Almost two-thirds of patients had community-onset infections (63.8%). P. aeruginosa (71.8%) was the most common pathogen, followed by polymicrobial infections (≥1 pathogen isolated from the respiratory source; 13.2%), Enterobacteriaceae (10.7%), and A. baumannii (4.4%). The most common polymicrobial combinations were K. pneumoniae AND P. aeruginosa (16% of all patients with polymicrobial infection), followed by A. baumannii AND P. aeruginosa (14%), and E. coli AND P. aeruginosa (14%).

Univariate Analysis of Associated Outcomes

For the overall population, the mortality rate was 13.7% (n=204/1488) and the readmission rate was 20.6% (n=265/1284 live discharges). The mean (standard deviation [SD]) LOS was 20 (27) days, mean (SD) total cost per patient in US dollars was $54,158 ($98,312), and the mean (SD) net gain/loss per patient was –$139 ($92,329; a loss of $139).

Multivariable Analysis of Associated Outcomes

In the multivariable analysis, predictor variables significantly associated with the greatest increase in risk of mortality included ALaRMS in the fourth quartile (odds ratio [OR], 3.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.06–5.25; P<.001), mechanical ventilation or ICU admission status (OR, 2.92; 95% CI, 1.75–4.86; P<.001), ages 55 to 64 years (OR, 2.79; 95% CI, 1.09–7.10; P=.03), hospital-onset infection (OR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.60–3.45; P<.001), and the hospital located in the South geographic region (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.23–4.30; P=.01) (Figure 1). Other predictor variables significantly associated with increased risk included infectious and parasitic diseases as the principal diagnosis, polymicrobial organisms as the causative pathogens, and ALaRMS in the second and third quartiles.

Figure 1

Multivariable analysis: mortality model.

Notes: Dashed line denotes unity (the line of no effect). Odds ratios for predictor variables are relative to a reference population for each variable grouping. Statistical significance (P<.05) is indicated in bold text. aInfectious diseases were predominantly septicemia.

Abbreviations: ALaRMS, Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score; CI, confidence interval; ICU, intensive care unit; P, p value.

For 30-day readmission, the predictor variable significantly associated with the greatest increase of risk was more than one hospital admission in the 90 days before the index hospitalization (OR, 3.71; 95% CI, 2.19–6.28; P<.001) (Figure 2). Other significant predictors associated with increased risk included diseases of the circulatory system (OR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.08–6.02; P=.03) and infectious and parasitic diseases (OR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.07–3.39; P=.03) as the principal diagnosis. Two predictor variables were significantly associated with a decreased risk of 30-day readmission: no hospital admissions in the 90 days before the index hospitalization (OR, 0.004; 95% CI, 0.001–0.19; P<.001) and teaching hospital status (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.43–0.89; P=.01)

Figure 2

Multivariable analysis: 30-day readmission model.

Notes: Dashed line denotes unity (the line of no effect). Odds ratios for predictor variables are relative to a reference population for each variable grouping. Statistical significance (P<.05) is indicated in bold text. aInfectious diseases were predominantly septicemia.

Abbreviations: ALaRMS, Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score; CI, confidence interval; P, p value.

Predictor variables significantly associated with the greatest increase in LOS included hospital-onset infections (estimated LOS of 23.3 days [95% CI, 20.4–26.7; P<.001] vs 9.5 days [95% CI, 8.4–10.8] for those with community-onset infections), polymicrobial infection (estimated LOS of 20.3 days [95% CI, 17.1–24.1; P<.001] vs 15.0 days [95% CI, 13.7–16.3] for P. aeruginosa infection), mechanical ventilation or ICU admission status (estimated LOS of 17.4 days [95% CI, 15.2–20.0; P<.001] vs 12.7 days [95% CI, 11.3–14.4] for those without mechanical ventilation/ICU admission), and South geographic location (estimated LOS of 17.0 days [95% CI, 15.2–19.1; P<.001] vs 12.6 days [95% CI, 11.3–14.0] for Midwest geographic location) (Figure 3). Other predictors associated with significantly increased LOS included the principal diagnosis (diseases of the circulatory system, endocrine/nutritional/metabolic/immunity disorders, and injury and poisoning), ALaRMS in the fourth quartile, hospital size of >300 beds, and West geographic location. Age groups of 35–44 and >85 years and A. baumannii infection were predictor variables significantly associated with decreased LOS.

Figure 3

Multivariable analysis: LOS model.

Notes: aInfectious diseases were predominantly septicemia. Statistical significance (P<.05) is indicated in bold text.

Abbreviations: ALaRMS, Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score; CI, confidence interval; ICU, intensive care unit; LOS, length of stay; P, p value.

Predictor variables significantly associated with the highest total cost were hospital-onset infections ($73,921 vs $24,691 for community-onset infections; P<.001), diseases of the circulatory system as the principal diagnosis ($60,439 vs $34,384 for respiratory diseases; P<.001), polymicrobial infection ($60,337 vs $41,701 for P. aeruginosa; P<.001), and mechanical ventilation or ICU admission status ($59,429 vs $30,712 without mechanical ventilation/ICU admission; P<.001) (Figure 4). Other independent predictors significantly associated with higher total cost included teaching hospital status, West geographic location, ALaRMS in the third or fourth quartiles, and principal diagnosis of injury or poisoning.

Figure 4

Multivariable analysis: hospital total cost model.

Notes: aInfectious diseases were predominantly septicemia. Statistical significance (P<.05) is indicated in bold text.

Abbreviations: ALaRMS, Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score; CI, confidence interval; ICU, intensive care unit; P, p value; USD, United States dollars.

For net loss to the hospital, although the overall loss appeared reasonably low at –$139, the magnitude of gain/loss was greater when individual variables were analyzed. Predictor variables significantly associated with greater losses included Medicaid as the payer (–$47,553 vs $14,653 gain for private insurance/other payer; P=.02), more than one hospital admission in the 90 days before the index hospitalization (–$25,279 vs –$10,900 for 1 admission; P<.01), hospital-onset infections (–$20,460 vs –$11,031 for community-onset infections; P=.01), and Medicare as the payer (–$14,337 vs $14,653 gain for private insurance/other payer; P=.02) (Figure 5).

Figure 5

Multivariable analysis: net gain or loss model.

Notes: Statistical significance (P<.05) is indicated in bold text.

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; P, p value; USD, United States dollars.

Discussion

The clinical and economic burden associated with respiratory infections is relatively well documented; however, few studies have focused on the identification of contributory factors, particularly for carbapenem-nonsusceptible gram-negative infections. In this study, we conducted univariate and multivariate analyses to identify patient- and hospital-level predictor variables associated with increased mortality, 30-day readmission, LOS, total cost of care, and net gain or loss. Our findings show several predictors with a significant effect on multiple outcomes, including those relating to the onset setting, clinical severity, infecting organism, and underlying disease(s).

Hospital-onset infection was the predictor variable with a significant impact on the most outcome measures evaluated (4 of 5) and corresponded with approximately double the risk of mortality, an increased LOS of ~14 days, ~$49,000 increased total cost, and an ~$9000 additional loss per patient compared with community-onset infections. Our findings of increased clinical and economic burden for hospital-onset infections within this relatively large sample are consistent with the published literature for healthcare-associated pneumonia in general, particularly in patients with carbapenem-nonsusceptible gram-negative respiratory infections.9,11,18,19 The overall mortality rate, LOS, and total cost observed for patients with hospital-onset infection were among the highest observed in the univariate analysis of predictor variables and therefore reinforce the need for hospitals to align with recent action plans to improve infection control and prevention in the hospital setting.20,21

ALaRMS in the fourth quartile was significantly associated with an ~3-fold increased mortality risk, increased LOS of ~3 days, and ~$17,000 increased total cost compared with values in the first quartile. The significant association between disease severity, as measured by objective laboratory test results, and worse clinical and economic outcomes is also consistent with the literature. Previous studies have observed a significant association between higher scores for the Charlson Comorbidity Index, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and increased mortality risk or mortality rates in patients hospitalized with pneumonia;22–25 however, few studies have examined the association of these prognostic tools with economic outcomes and, to our knowledge, no other studies have estimated the net loss per patient for each risk factor for the study population. A retrospective study by Lye et al identified a positive association of higher APACHE II scores and higher LOS among patients with healthcare-associated and nosocomial gram-negative bacteremia.26 Although the higher observed LOS could be expected to result in increased total cost, the authors did not report directly on costs.

Patients hospitalized with carbapenem-resistant gram-negative infections are much more likely to be treated in the ICU or require mechanical ventilation.27,28 In our study, positive mechanical ventilation/ICU admission status was significantly associated with an ~3-fold increased mortality risk, increased LOS of ~5 days, and ~$29,000 increased total cost compared with negative mechanical ventilation/ICU status. Mechanical ventilation and ICU admission status are well-known predictors of increased mortality in patients with respiratory infections regardless of pathogen or presence of carbapenem resistance.29 In terms of LOS and economic burden, 2 retrospective studies of patients admitted to the ICU who developed ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) observed significantly increased LOS (~12 to 13 days) and increased hospital charges per patient (~$40,000) compared with patients without VAP.30,31 However, these studies did not limit the population of interest to those with laboratory-confirmed carbapenem-nonsusceptible infections. Nonetheless, the overall body of evidence supports the inclusion of mechanical ventilation and ICU status in risk assessment algorithms, highlighting the need to ensure that high-risk patients are promptly and adequately treated upon ICU admission and that the mechanical ventilation procedure is optimally managed to prevent VAP.

Polymicrobial infections occurred in ~13% of patients in our study population and were significantly associated with an ~2-fold higher mortality risk, increased LOS of ~5 days, and ~$19,000 increased total cost compared with the reference population of P. aeruginosa infections. Polymicrobial bacterial infections are estimated to comprise almost one-third of all patients of ventilator-associated tracheobronchitis, a precursor to VAP.29 Polymicrobial respiratory infections are also common in patients with other comorbidities such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cystic fibrosis, and cancer.32–34 Although several observational studies have investigated the burden associated with tracheobronchitis and VAP, these studies considered monomicrobial and polymicrobial infections together, so it is difficult to make direct comparisons to our findings on burden.33,35

A variety of predictor variables in the underlying diseases category were also significantly associated with worse burden. Diseases of the circulatory system were significantly associated with increased risk of 30-day readmission (~3-fold higher), increased LOS (~4 additional days), and increased total cost (~$26,000 higher) compared with the reference population of diseases of the respiratory system. The predictor variable of infectious and parasitic diseases, predominately sepsis pneumonia patients, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality and 30-day readmission (both ~2-fold higher), and injury and poisoning was significantly associated with increased LOS (~2 days) and increased total cost (~$9000 higher). Carbapenem-nonsusceptible, gram-negative respiratory infections are serious and complicated infections to treat and manage, and our observations highlight that existing underlying diseases compound the burden to the patient and increase the need for hospital resources.

The age groupings that were analyzed as predictor variables were not significantly or consistently associated with worse outcomes or increased burden. For example, 55–64 years was the only age group significantly associated with an increased mortality risk (OR, 2.79; P=.03) while the highest age group (>85 years) was not (OR, 2.65; P=.06). In addition, hospital LOS was significantly decreased rather than increased for age >85 years, and total costs were significantly decreased for all age groups, relative to the reference population of age 18–34 years. The lack of a consistent independent effect of age might be due to the correlations of covariates in the model with other variables that already accounted for the effect of advanced age. For example, older age was positively correlated with greater disease severity as measured by ALaRMS, ICU status, mechanical ventilation, and exposure time (length of stay prior to the onset of infection; correlation coefficients ranged from 0.20 to 0.60, all P<.0001).

This study is strengthened by inclusion of data from a large number of patients with laboratory-confirmed, nonduplicate, carbapenem-nonsusceptible respiratory isolates obtained from 78 US acute care hospitals. The inclusion of hospital cost data (as opposed to claims data) for the calculation of net gain/loss provides additional value from the providers’ perspective. Limitations include the retrospective nature of the study, which can be subject to potential biases and confounding. In addition, despite inclusion of data from 78 hospitals, the study population is not necessarily representative of patients from across the US. During the period of our analysis (2013–2015), the CDC definition of CRE transitioned. For our study, we utilized the older definition that included strains with either resistant [R] or intermediate [I] susceptibilities to imipenem, meropenem, or doripenem; however, the newer definition only includes Enterobacteriaceae that test R to imipenem, meropenem, doripenem, or ertapenem.15 According to data presented by Weiner and colleagues, very few isolates were categorized with I susceptibility and they comprised only a small proportion of the total isolates in their study.15 Therefore, we do not anticipate that use of the updated CRE definition in our analysis would appreciably impact the predictive models. Additionally, the definition of carbapenem nonsusceptibility that we used for Enterobacteriaceae includes P. mirabilis and M. morganii, which have intrinsically elevated MICs to imipenem. However, only 1.8% of the study population had P. mirabilis and only 0.9% of the study population had M. morganii. Therefore, the inclusion of these patients is unlikely to have a significant impact on the model fit.

Conclusion

These data confirm that carbapenem-nonsusceptible gram-negative respiratory infections are associated with a considerable clinical and economic burden. Patients with certain key characteristics (hospital-onset infection, greater clinical severity, need for mechanical ventilation or ICU admission, polymicrobial infection, and certain major underlying diseases) may be at increased risk of mortality, longer LOS, and higher costs. Hospital-onset infection was associated with the most significantly impacted outcomes (ie, mortality, LOS, total cost, and net loss), underscoring the need for continued efforts in hospital infection prevention and antimicrobial stewardship to ensure optimal coverage of pathogens. Given that hospital-onset infection was the only modifiable risk factor identified in this study, a focused effort on prevention represents the best opportunity to reduce the clinical and economic burden associated with these infections.