| Literature DB >> 32201623 |
Sima Rugarabamu1,2, Leonard Mboera1, Mark Rweyemamu1, Gaspary Mwanyika1,3, Julius Lutwama4, Janusz Paweska5, Gerald Misinzo1.
Abstract
Introduction: Ebola virus disease (EVD) is one of the deadliest haemorrhagic fevers affecting humans and non-human primates. Thirty-four outbreaks have been reported in Africa since it was first recognised in 1976. This review analysed 42 years of EVD outbreaks and identified various challenges and opportunities for its control and prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa.Entities:
Keywords: challenges; ebola virus; epidemics; opportunities; sub-Saharan Africa
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32201623 PMCID: PMC7061886 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001955
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Glob Health ISSN: 2059-7908
Figure 1PRISMA flow diagram showing the selection process of articles included in the review. PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.
Figure 2Map showing the 11 African countries affected by Ebola virus disease since 1976.
EVD outbreaks, virus type, morbidity, mortality and case fatality rate in affected countries
| Year | Country | Virus | Cases | Deaths | CFR (%)* |
| 1976 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 318 | 280 | 88 |
| 1976 | South Sudan | SUDV | 284 | 151 | 53 |
| 1977 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| 1979 | South Sudan | SUDV | 34 | 22 | 65 |
| 1994 | Gabon | EBOV | 52 | 31 | 60 |
| 1994 | Côte d’Ivoire | TAFV | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1995 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 315 | 250 | 79 |
| 1996 | Gabon | EBOV | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 1996–1997 | Gabon | EBOV | 60 | 45 | 75 |
| 1996 | South Africa | EBOV | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| 2000–2001 | Uganda | SUDV | 425 | 224 | 53 |
| 2001–2002 | Gabon | EBOV | 65 | 53 | 82 |
| 2001–2002 | Republic of Congo | EBOV | 57 | 43 | 75 |
| 2002–2003 | Republic of Congo | EBOV | 143 | 128 | 89 |
| 2003 | Republic of Congo | EBOV | 35 | 29 | 83 |
| 2004 | South Sudan | SUDV | 17 | 7 | 41 |
| 2005 | Republic of Congo | EBOV | 12 | 10 | 83 |
| 2007 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 264 | 187 | 71 |
| 2007–2008 | Uganda | BDBV | 149 | 37 | 25 |
| 2008–2009 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 32 | 15 | 47 |
| 2011 | Uganda | SUDV | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| 2012 | Uganda | SUDV | 11 | 4 | 36 |
| 2012 | Democratic Republic of Congo | Bundibugyo | 36 | 13 | 36 |
| 2012 | Uganda | SUDV | 6 | 3 | 50 |
| 2014 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 69 | 49 | 71 |
| 2014 | Guinea | EBOV | 3814 | 2544 | 67 |
| 2014 | Liberia | EBOV | 10 678 | 4810 | 45 |
| 2014 | Sierra Leone | EBOV | 14 124 | 3659 | 26 |
| 2014 | Nigeria | EBOV | 20 | 8 | 40 |
| 2014 | Mali | EBOV | 8 | 6 | 75 |
| 2017 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 8 | 4 | 50 |
| 2018 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 54 | 33 | 61 |
| 2018–2019 | Democratic Republic of Congo | EBOV | 3220 | 2150 | 67 |
| 2019 | Uganda | EBOV | 4 | 4 | 100 |
| Total | 34 356 | 14 823 |
Source: WHO, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (https://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/history/chronology.html), MacNeil and Rollin,16 Baize et al,6 Nsio et al.30
*On going outbreak
BDBV, Bundibugyo ebolavirus; CFR, case fatality rate; EBOV, Ebola virus; EVD, Ebola virus disease; SUDV, Sudan Ebola virus; TAFV, Taï Forest ebolavirus.
Demographic characteristics and source of EVD infection
| Characteristics | Category | Case | Death | CFR (%) |
| Gender | Male | 15 803 | 6373 | 46 |
| Female | 18 553 | 8449 | 54 | |
| Age group (years) | 0–15 | 7215 | ||
| 15–60 | 24 049 | |||
| 60+ | 2192 | |||
| Type of contact/source of infection | Health facility | 13 742 | ||
| Household | 20 614 | |||
| Occupation | Healthcare worker |
CFR, case fatality rate; EVD, Ebola virus disease.
OR for case fatality rate of Ebola virus disease according to period
| Year of outbreak | ||||
| 1976–1986 | 1987–1997 | 1998–2008 | 2009–2019 | |
| Death (n) | 454 | 348 | 733 | 13 288 |
| Case fatality rate (%) | 71 | 67 | 64 | 62 |
| OR (95% CI) | 1.6 (1.4 to 1.8) | 1.7 (1.5 to 1.9) | 1.4 (1.3 to 1.6) | 1.6 (1.5 to 1.6) |
| P value | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Figure 3Number of Ebola cases and case fatality rate (CFR) in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1976–2019.
Challenges and opportunities for future prevention and control of EVD outbreak
| Factor | Challenge | Opportunity | Action |
| Epidemiological and ecological factors | Ebola viruses are endemic in central and western African rainforests. | Known EVD endemic country. Establishing the magnitude of EVD in endemic countries. | Consolidate knowledge on the magnitude and health determinants of infectious disease epidemics in all endemic and countries at high risk. |
| Health system factors | Limited laboratory capacities. Weak surveillance systems. Lack of effective therapeutics and vaccines. Inadequate budget for the healthcare system. | Availability of molecular and serological laboratory techniques. Adoption of one-health surveillance. Improving self-regulation. Country’s political will and involvement of partners. | Strengthen capacity for detection, identification and response, including laboratory infrastructure and human capacity; implement one-health surveillance; development of early warning systems. Conduct of clinical trial on available and new therapeutic and vaccine candidates. Resource mobilisation. |
| Sociocultural factors | High-risk behaviours. Limited community involvement. | Adoption of one-health approach in engaging communities in most countries. Availability of information and communication technologies. | Strengthen public health education and promotion using various channels, including social media. Empowering individuals and communities. |
EVD, Ebola virus disease.