Anh Dam Tran1, Gerald Fogarty2, Anna K Nowak3,4, Vakaramoko Diaby5, Angela Hong6, Caroline Watts6,7, Rachael L Morton8,6. 1. Health Economics, National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, 22-32 King street, Sydney, NSW, 2031, Australia. anh.tran@unsw.edu.au. 2. St Vincent's Department of Radiotherapy, St Vincent's Hospital, Darlinghurst, NSW, 2010, Australia. 3. Medical School, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, 6009, Australia. 4. Department of Medical Oncology, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Nedlands, WA, 6009, Australia. 5. Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy (POP), College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, 1225 Center Drive, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA. 6. Melanoma Institute Australia, University of Sydney, North Sydney, NSW, Australia. 7. Kirby Institute, UNSW, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia. 8. Health Economics, National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, 22-32 King street, Sydney, NSW, 2031, Australia.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A randomized phase III trial comparing whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) to observation following definitive local treatment of intracranial melanoma metastases withneurosurgery and/or stereotactic surgery (SRS) is underway. OBJECTIVE: We sought to assess the pre-trial cost-effectiveness of WBRT, hippocampal-avoidant WBRT (HA-WBRT), and observation (SRS or surgery alone) for this population to guide trial data collection efforts and reduce decision uncertainty. METHODS: A time-dependent Markov model followed patients treated with neurosurgery or SRS who received subsequent WBRT, HA-WBRT or observation over a 5-year time horizon. Model inputs were sourced from published literature and results tested for robustness using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Value of information (VOI) analysis was undertaken to guide data collection for the randomized trial. RESULTS: Over 5 years, the WBRT strategy produced 1.74 QALYs (2.38 life-years) at a mean cost of $40,128 (costs in 2017 Australian dollars); HA-WBRT produced 1.88 QALYs (2.38 life-years) and cost $42,977; and SRS/surgery alone produced 1.65 QALYs (2.13 life-years) at a cost of $46,281. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed HA-WBRT was the preferred strategy in 77% of simulations. Cost-effectiveness results were most sensitive to utilities of the controlled-disease health state in the WBRT group, and costs of HA-WBRT. The EVPI for a randomized trial was estimated at $6,888 per person. CONCLUSIONS:HA-WBRT may be cost-effective for the treatment of melanoma brain metastases. The results predicted in our model can be validated with prospective trial data when available.
RCT Entities:
BACKGROUND: A randomized phase III trial comparing whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) to observation following definitive local treatment of intracranial melanoma metastases with neurosurgery and/or stereotactic surgery (SRS) is underway. OBJECTIVE: We sought to assess the pre-trial cost-effectiveness of WBRT, hippocampal-avoidant WBRT (HA-WBRT), and observation (SRS or surgery alone) for this population to guide trial data collection efforts and reduce decision uncertainty. METHODS: A time-dependent Markov model followed patients treated with neurosurgery or SRS who received subsequent WBRT, HA-WBRT or observation over a 5-year time horizon. Model inputs were sourced from published literature and results tested for robustness using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Value of information (VOI) analysis was undertaken to guide data collection for the randomized trial. RESULTS: Over 5 years, the WBRT strategy produced 1.74 QALYs (2.38 life-years) at a mean cost of $40,128 (costs in 2017 Australian dollars); HA-WBRT produced 1.88 QALYs (2.38 life-years) and cost $42,977; and SRS/surgery alone produced 1.65 QALYs (2.13 life-years) at a cost of $46,281. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed HA-WBRT was the preferred strategy in 77% of simulations. Cost-effectiveness results were most sensitive to utilities of the controlled-disease health state in the WBRT group, and costs of HA-WBRT. The EVPI for a randomized trial was estimated at $6,888 per person. CONCLUSIONS: HA-WBRT may be cost-effective for the treatment of melanoma brain metastases. The results predicted in our model can be validated with prospective trial data when available.
Authors: Anh Dam Tran; Angela M Hong; Mai T H Nguyen; Gerald Fogarty; Victoria Steel; Elizabeth Paton; Rachael L Morton Journal: Pharmacoecon Open Date: 2022-05-05