| Literature DB >> 32076562 |
Yang Chen1,2, Manuel Gomes3, Jason V Garcia1, Ross J Hunter1, Anthony W Chow1, Mehul Dhinoja1, Richard J Schilling1, Martin Lowe1, Pier D Lambiase1,2.
Abstract
Objective: Catheter ablation is an important treatment for ventricular tachycardia (VT) that reduces the frequency of episodes of VT. We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of catheter ablation versus antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) therapy.Entities:
Keywords: Markov model; VT ablation; incremental cost-effectiveness ratio
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32076562 PMCID: PMC6999675 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2019-001155
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Heart ISSN: 2053-3624
Figure 1Schematic of model structure used in simulation. (A) Represents the model for the ablation arm. (B) Represents the model for the AAD arm. AAD, antiarrhythmic drug.
Summary of RCT-level source data
| Author | Reddy | Kuck | Kuck | Al-Khatib | Sapp | Di Biase |
| Name of trial | SMASH VT | VTACH | SMS | CALYPSO | VANISH | VISTA |
| Sample size | 128 | 110 | 111 | 27 | 259 | 118 |
| Mean age | 67 | 66 | 67 | 64 | 68 | 66 |
| LVEF (%) | 31.8 | 34.0 | 31.2 | 24 | 31.2 | 32.3 |
| Proportion of patients with NYHA class III/IV | 20% | NYHA IV excluded | NYHA IV excluded | 14.8% | 23.6% NYHA III | 34% |
| Control | AAD | AAD | AAD | AAD | AAD | Clinical ablation |
| Intervention | Ablation | Ablation | Ablation | Ablation | Ablation | Substrate ablation |
| Length of follow-up (months) | 22 | 24 | 28 | 6 | 28 | 12 |
| Mortality | 11% (AAD) vs | 7% (AAD) vs | 19% (AAD) vs | 14% (AAD) vs | 28% (AAD) vs | 15% (C-ablation) vs |
| Readmission (%) | 19% (AAD) vs | 55% (AAD) vs | 44% (AAD) vs | 50% (AAD) vs | 31% (AAD) vs | 32% (C-ablation) vs |
| Quality of life | Absent | SF-36 form at 12 and 24 months | SF-36 form at 0 and 23 months | Absent | Substudy with SF-36 form, EQ-5D, HADS, ICDC at 0, 3, 6, 12 months | Absent |
AAD, antiarrhythmic drug; EQ-5D, EuroQol-5 Dimension; HADS, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale; ICDC, ICD Patient Concerns questionnaire; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA, New York Heart Association; RCT, randomised clinical trial; SF-36, Short Form-36 questionnaire; SMS, Substrate Modification Study.
Model inputs for base-case analysis
| Model input | AAD therapy | Ablation therapy | Distribution | Data source |
| Probability of death per cycle | 0.839% | 0.814% | Beta | Weighted average of RCTs |
| Initial ablation operative mortality | n/a | 1% | Beta | RCTs |
| Pooled mean age | 66 | 66 | n/a | RCTs |
| Probability of transition to ‘readmission’ per cycle | 1.666% | 1.332% | Beta | Weighted average of RCTs |
| Probability of transition from ‘readmission’ to ‘repeat ablation’ per cycle | 25% | 19% | Beta | Large registry |
| Cost of initial strategy | £68 | £8124 | Gamma | Internal audit data, NHS and British National FormularyNF reference costs |
| Cost of maintenance of therapy per cycle* | £49 | £10 | Gamma | RCT and British National Formulary |
| Cost of repeat ablation/switch to ablation | £8176 | £8176 | Gamma | Internal audit data |
| Cost of readmission | £2072 | £2072 | Gamma | Retrospective cohort study, NHS reference costs |
| Utility at baseline | 0.781 | 0.771 | Beta | RCTs |
| Disutility of readmission | −0.02 | −0.02 | Beta | From review article and cohort study |
| Disutility of reablation | −0.04 | −0.04 | Beta | Registry |
| Disutility of reablation with adverse event | −0.13 | −0.13 | Beta | Registry, review article |
| Disutility of AAD with adverse event† | −0.06 | −0.06 | Beta | RCT |
| Discount | 3.5% | 3.5% | n/a | NICE |
*Assume 20% of ablation arm also on amiodarone.
†Assume 1.29% rate per cycle of adverse event (AE). Costs are in UK sterling as of 2018.
AAD, antiarrhythmic drug; n/a, not applicable; NHS, National Health Service; NICE, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; RCT, randomised clinical trial.
Base-case analysis
| Strategy | Mean total cost | Mean total QALYs | Incremental cost | Incremental QALY | ICER |
| Ablation | £10 483 (€11 741) | 2.801 | £5657 (€6336) | 0.039 | £144 150 (€161 448) |
| AAD | £4826 (€5405) | 2.762 |
AAD, antiarrhythmic drug; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.
One-way sensitivity analysis and effect on ICER
| Variable | Base case | Sensitivity analysis range | Incremental cost | Incremental QALY | ICER | Source of sensitivity analysis range |
| At end of 10 years | – | – | £4669 (€5229) | 0.063 | £74 469 (€84 405) | – |
| At lifetime horizon (until entire cohort is in death state) | – | – | £4342 (€4863) | 0.063 | £68 853 (€77 115) | – |
| Difference in HRQL at end of follow-up | 0.788 (ablation) | 0.802 | £5657 (€6335) | 0.007 | £815 610 (€913 483) | RCT |
| Use of EQ-5D data from VANISH trial as HRQL contribution to calculate QALY | 0.771–0.835 | 0.673–0.788 (ablation) | £5657 (€6335) | 0.097 | £58 208 (€65 193) | RCT |
| Mortality probability at baseline | 0.814% (ablation)−0.839% (AAD) | 0.6% and 1.5% | £5492 (€6151) and £6001 (€6721) | 0.026 and 0.009 | £206 689 (€231 492) and £657 342 (€736 223) | Registry |
| Difference in mortality probability | 0.025% | 0.239% | £5798 (€6494) | 0.202 | £28 631 (€32 067) | Expert opinion |
| Mortality probability incremental rise per year | 0.1% | 0.3% | £5782 (€6476) | 0.033 | £175 290 (€196 325) | Expert opinion |
| Operative mortality of ablation | 0.5% | 0.25% and 3% | £5661 (€6340) and £5604 (€6276) | 0.046 and −0.078 | £123 562 (€138 389) and AAD dominates | Registry |
| Baseline readmission probability per month | 1.332% (ablation) −1.666% (AAD) | 0.23%–2.273% | £3204 (€3588) | 0.052 | £61 254 (€68 604) | RCT* |
| Repeat ablation probability per month | 19% and 24% | 10% and 33% | £5893 (€6600) and £5339 (€5980) | 0.039 and 0.039 | £151 895 (€170 122) and £133 588 (€149 619) | Expert opinion |
| Adverse event probability for ablation | 3% | 6.5% | £5657 (€6335) | 0.039 | £144 093 (€161 384) | Registry |
| Adverse event probability of AAD per month | 1.279% | 3.75% | £5657 (€6335) | 0.042 | £134 711 (€150 876) | Registry |
| Rate of amiodarone use in ablation group | 20% | 10% and 80% | £5454 and £6879 | 0.038 and 0.037 | £141 713 (€158 719) and £182 362 (€204 245) | Registry |
*Range of readmission probability selected from VTACH and SMS-VT to derive the largest difference in readmission between two treatments. Additionally, please see online supplementary appendix A for a two-way sensitivity analysis altering disutility.
AAD, antiarrhythmic drug; EQ-5D, EuroQol-5 Dimension; HRQL, health-related quality of life; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; RCT, randomised clinical trial; SMS, Substrate Modification Study; VT, ventricular tachycardia.
Figure 2Cost-effectiveness plane demonstrating variation in results depending on probabilistic sensitivity analysis, with 95% of results within dotted line. The plane illustrates that the distribution of costs and QALYs lies mostly in the North-East and North-West quadrants. This means that while ventricular tachycardia (VT) ablation appears to be more costly there is more uncertainty about its effectiveness (95% confidence region crosses zero). QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.
Figure 3Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve for catheter ablation of ventricular tachycardia (VT) compared with antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) therapy in patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy and an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD).