| Literature DB >> 31997615 |
Yoonhee Shin1, Bomi Park1,2, Hye Ah Lee3, Bohyun Park1, Hyejin Han1, Eun Jeong Choi1, Nam Eun Kim1, Hyesook Park4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Evaluation of mortality and prevalence trends is important for health planning and priority decision-making in health policy. This study was performed to examine disease-specific mortality and prevalence trends for diseases in Korea from 2002 to 2015.Entities:
Keywords: Joinpoint Analysis; Mortality; Prevalence; Republic of Korea; Trend
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 31997615 PMCID: PMC6995809 DOI: 10.3346/jkms.2020.35.e27
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Korean Med Sci ISSN: 1011-8934 Impact factor: 2.153
Trends in age-standardized mortality and prevalence rates for all causes in Korea according to joinpoint analyses, 2002–2015 (per 100,000 population)
| Variables | Joinpoint analyses: 2002–2015 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2015 | Average APC (95% CI) | Trend 1 | Trend 2 | ||||
| Period | APC (95% CI) | Period | APC (95% CI) | |||||
| All causes | ||||||||
| Mortality ratesa | 477.27 | 299.80 | −3.5 (−3.8, −3.3)c | 2002–2007 | −4.0 (−4.6, −3.4)c | 2007–2015 | −3.2 (−3.5, −2.9)c | |
| Prevalence ratesb | 77,421.48 | 145,487.30 | 5.9 (4.1, 7.8)c | 2002–2009 | 10.2 (7.5, 13.0)c | 2009–2015 | 1.1 (−2.0, 4.4) | |
| CMNNs | ||||||||
| Mortality rates | 22.74 | 13.98 | −3.4 (−3.8, −3.0)c | 2002–2015 | −3.4 (−3.8, −3.0)c | - | - | |
| Prevalence rates | 46,585.48 | 61,623.99 | 3.0 (1.2, 4.9)c | 2002–2009 | 5.8 (3.1, 8.6)c | 2009–2015 | −0.2 (−3.4, 3.1) | |
| NCDs | ||||||||
| Mortality rates | 392.32 | 233.86 | −3.9 (−4.1, −3.7)c | 2002–2009 | −4.5 (−4.8, −4.2)c | 2009–2015 | −3.3 (−3.6, −2.9)c | |
| Prevalence rates | 30,836.00 | 83,863.31 | 8.9 (6.9, 10.9)c | 2002–2009 | 14.7 (11.7, 17.8)c | 2009–2015 | 2.4 (−1.0, 5.9) | |
| Injuries | ||||||||
| Mortality rates | 62.21 | 51.96 | −1.5 (−2.5, −0.4)c | 2002–2011 | −0.4 (−1.4, 0.5) | 2011–2015 | −3.8 (−7.0, −0.6)c | |
| Prevalence rates | 1,373.02 (2004) | 1,710.20 (2014) | 2.2 (1.2, 3.3)c | 2004–2006 | 8.2 (2.0, 14.7)c | 2006–2014 | 0.8 (0.2, 1.5)c | |
APC = annual percent change, CI = confidence interval, CMNN = communicable, maternal, neonatal & nutritional disorders, NCD = non-communicable disease.
aAge-standardized mortality rates adjusted to the 2000 Census in Korea; bAge-standardized prevalence rates adjusted to the 2000 Census in Korea; c P < 0.05.
Fig. 1Proportion of deaths from diseases and distribution of the patient numbers by three broad causal categories: CMNNs, NCDs, injuries, 2002–2015.
CMNN = communicable, maternal, neonatal & nutritional disorders, NCD = non-communicable disease.
Fig. 2Age-standardized mortality and prevalence rate for communicable, maternal, neonatal & nutritional disorders in Korea, 2002–2015.
HIV/AIDS = human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immune deficiency syndrome.
Joinpoint analysis of age-standardized mortality and prevalence trends in Korea, 2002–2015
| Variables | Mortality ratesa | Prevalence ratesb | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | APC (95% CI) | Period | APC (95% CI) | ||
| CMNNs | |||||
| HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis | 2002–2015 | −5.7 (−6.2, −5.2)c | 2002–2006 | 3.8 (0.2, 7.5)c | |
| 2006–2015 | −2.3 (−3.3, −1.3)c | ||||
| Diarrhea, lower respiratory infections, meningitis, and other common infectious diseases | 2002–2015 | −2.5 (−3.0, −2.0)c | 2002–2009 | 5.6 (2.9, 8.4)c | |
| 2009–2015 | −0.3 (−3.5, 3.0) | ||||
| Neglected tropical diseases and malaria | 2002–2015 | −1.2 (−2.0, −0.4)c | 2002–2005 | 32.7 (7.4, 64.0)c | |
| 2005–2015 | −3.5 (−6.6, −0.3)c | ||||
| Maternal disorders | 2002–2015 | 2.0 (−0.4, 4.5) | 2002–2010 | 3.8 (2.4, 5.2)c | |
| 2010–2015 | 0.4 (−2.3, 3.2) | ||||
| Neonatal disorders | 2002–2015 | −2.1 (−2.9, −1.3)c | 2002–2008 | 36.7 (27.2, 46.8)c | |
| 2008–2015 | 0.2 (−5.3, 6.0) | ||||
| Nutritional deficiencies | 2002–2006 | −6.9 (−9.5, −4.3)c | 2002–2008 | 15.2 (13.5, 16.9)c | |
| 2006–2015 | −1.0 (−1.8, −0.2)c | 2008–2015 | 1.8 (0.6, 3.0)c | ||
| Other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders | 2002–2015 | −1.0 (−2.8, 0.9) | 2002–2015 | 7.7 (5.0, 10.4)c | |
| NCDs | |||||
| Neoplasms | 2002–2005 | −2.0 (−3.1, −1.0)c | 2003–2012 | 7.0 (5.6, 8.3)c | |
| 2005–2015 | −2.9 (−3.0, −2.7)c | 2012–2015 | −0.3 (−6.9, 6.9) | ||
| Cardiovascular and circulatory disease | 2002–2015 | −5.5 (−5.8, −5.3)c | 2002–2007 | 13.7 (11.3, 16.1)c | |
| 2007–2015 | 0.7 (−0.3, 1.8) | ||||
| Chronic respiratory diseases | 2002–2009 | −6.2 (−7.3, −5.2)c | 2002–2009 | 15.1 (11.0, 19.4)c | |
| 2009–2015 | −3.0 (−4.3, −1.6)c | 2009–2015 | 1.8 (−2.8, 6.6) | ||
| Cirrhosis of the liver | 2002–2007 | −9.0 (−10.1, −7.8)c | 2002–2007 | 8.9 (7.1, 10.8)c | |
| 2007–2015 | −4.7 (−5.3, −4.1)c | 2007–2015 | 1.2 (0.4, 2.0)c | ||
| Digestive diseases (except cirrhosis) | 2002–2015 | −2.0 (−2.7, −1.3)c | 2002–2010 | 8.8 (6.3, 11.4)c | |
| 2010–2015 | −0.3 (−5.0, 4.6) | ||||
| Neurological disorders | 2002–2005 | −5.6 (−11.7, 1.0) | 2002–2010 | 18.1 (16.4, 19.9)c | |
| 2005–2015 | 2.3 (1.3, 3.4)c | 2010–2015 | 2.2 (−0.9, 5.3) | ||
| Mental and behavioral disorders | 2002–2011 | −6.8 (−7.9, −5.6)c | 2002–2008 | 14.1 (12.2, 16.1)c | |
| 2011–2015 | −2.0 (−6.1, 2.2) | 2008–2015 | 3.1 (1.7, 4.6)c | ||
| Diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine diseases | 2002–2015 | −4.4 (−4.8, −3.9)c | 2002–2008 | 18.6 (15.0, 22.2)c | |
| 2008–2015 | 2.1 (−0.3, 4.6) | ||||
| Musculoskeletal disorders | 2002–2005 | −14.3 (−21.3, −6.6)c | 2002–2011 | 18.1 (15.7, 20.6)c | |
| 2005–2015 | −4.4 (−5.6, −3.1)c | 2011–2015 | 0.8 (−6.2, 8.3) | ||
| Other non-communicable disease | 2002–2005 | −5.9 (−9.9, −1.7)c | 2002–2009 | 16.5 (11.5, 21.7)c | |
| 2005–2015 | 0.1 (−0.6, 0.7) | 2009–2015 | 1.9 (−3.6, 7.6) | ||
| Injuriesd | |||||
| Transport injuries | 2002–2015 | −5.1 (−5.5, −4.8)c | 2004–2007 | 5.1 (2.0, 8.3)c | |
| 2007–2014 | −1.5 (−2.3, −0.7)c | ||||
| Unintentional injuries other than transport injuries | 2002–2009 | −3.3 (−4.3, −2.2)c | 2004–2014 | 3.5 (2.3, 4.7)c | |
| 2009–2015 | 1.0 (−0.4, 2.4) | ||||
| Self-harm and interpersonal violence | 2002–2011 | 3.5 (1.4, 5.7)c | 2004–2014 | −2.7 (−3.5, −1.9)c | |
| 2011–2015 | −6.5 (−12.9, 0.4) | ||||
| Forces of natures, war, and legal intervention | 2002–2015 | −6.8 (−9.0, −4.5)c | 2004–2014 | 2.8 (−11.8, 19.8) | |
APC = annual percent change, CI = confidence interval, CMNN = communicable, maternal, neonatal & nutritional disorders, HIV/AIDS = human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immune deficiency syndrome, NCD = non-communicable disease.
aAge-standardized mortality rates adjusted to the 2000 Census in Korea; bage-standardized prevalence rates adjusted to the 2000 Census in Korea; c P < 0.05; devaluated from 2004 to 2014.
Fig. 3Age-standardized mortality and prevalence rates for non-communicable disease causes in Korea, 2002–2015.
Fig. 4Age-standardized mortality and prevalence rates for injury causes in Korea, 2002–2015.