Gesa von Olshausen1, Alicia Uijl2,3,4, Mats Jensen-Urstad1, Jonas Schwieler1, Nikola Drca1, Hamid Bastani1, Jari Tapanainen1, Ott Saluveer1, Tara Bourke1, Göran Kennebäck1, Per Insulander1, Isabel Deisenhofer5, Frieder Braunschweig1. 1. Heart and Vascular Division, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. 2. Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. 3. Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, The Netherlands. 4. Health Data Research UK London, Institute for Health Informatics, University College London, London, United Kingdom. 5. Deutsches Herzzentrum München, Klinik für Herz- und Kreislauferkrankungen, Technische Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Abstract
AIMS: To investigate the significance of early recurrence (ER) of atrial tachyarrhythmias after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) on the development of late recurrence (LR) and to redefine the blanking period during which an ER is considered nonspecific. METHODS: Data of 713 patients undergoing their first PVI for paroxysmal or persistent atrial fibrillation between January 2012 and December 2017 were included. All patients were followed-up for 12 months according to clinical and outpatient routine and were screened for any atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting >30 seconds occurring during the first 3 months postablation (ER) and after the 3 months blanking period (LR). RESULTS: Patients with ER compared to those without ER had significantly more LR (74.5% vs 16.5% vs, P < .001). The occurrence of ER during the first, second and third months showed increasing LR rates of 35.2%, 67.9%, and 94.8%, respectively (P < .001). Receiver operator characteristic analysis revealed a blanking period of 46 days with the highest sensitivity (68.1%) and specificity (96.5%). Later timing and longer time span of ER were independent predictors for LR in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: ER is a strong predictor for LR. Our study advocates a shortening of the post-PVI blanking period followed by a "gray zone" up to 3 months where individualized therapeutic decisions based on additional risk factors should be considered. We suggest that the ER time span might serve as such a predictor identifying patients at the highest risk for LR.
AIMS: To investigate the significance of early recurrence (ER) of atrial tachyarrhythmias after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) on the development of late recurrence (LR) and to redefine the blanking period during which an ER is considered nonspecific. METHODS: Data of 713 patients undergoing their first PVI for paroxysmal or persistent atrial fibrillation between January 2012 and December 2017 were included. All patients were followed-up for 12 months according to clinical and outpatient routine and were screened for any atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting >30 seconds occurring during the first 3 months postablation (ER) and after the 3 months blanking period (LR). RESULTS:Patients with ER compared to those without ER had significantly more LR (74.5% vs 16.5% vs, P < .001). The occurrence of ER during the first, second and third months showed increasing LR rates of 35.2%, 67.9%, and 94.8%, respectively (P < .001). Receiver operator characteristic analysis revealed a blanking period of 46 days with the highest sensitivity (68.1%) and specificity (96.5%). Later timing and longer time span of ER were independent predictors for LR in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: ER is a strong predictor for LR. Our study advocates a shortening of the post-PVI blanking period followed by a "gray zone" up to 3 months where individualized therapeutic decisions based on additional risk factors should be considered. We suggest that the ER time span might serve as such a predictor identifying patients at the highest risk for LR.