| Literature DB >> 31955295 |
Erling W Rognli1,2, Luxsiya Waraan3, Nikolai O Czajkowski4,5, Ole André Solbakken6, Marianne Aalberg3.
Abstract
Conflict with parents is common among depressed adolescents, interferes with treatment, and may increase risk of recurrence. Parental depressive symptoms have been shown to predict conflict with adolescent children, but an important role for different kinds of parental interpersonal problems, as described by interpersonal circumplex, is also plausible. This study compared parental interpersonal problems to parental depressive symptoms as predictors of parent-adolescent conflict reported by a depressed adolescent child, using multilevel linear regression, leave-one-out cross-validation and model stacking (N = 100 parents, 57 mothers and 43 fathers, of 60 different adolescents). Cross-validation and model stacking showed that including parental interpersonal problems contributes to accurate predictions. Parents reporting more interpersonal problems related to excessive dominance or submissiveness was associated with increased or decreased conflict, respectively. Parental depressive symptoms were found to be negatively associated with parent-adolescent conflict only in father-adolescent relationships.Entities:
Keywords: Adolescent depression; Bayesian data analysis; Interpersonal circumplex; Parent-adolescent conflict; Parental depression
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 31955295 PMCID: PMC7235051 DOI: 10.1007/s10578-020-00955-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Child Psychiatry Hum Dev ISSN: 0009-398X
Prior distributions and reasoning for choices of prior
| Parameter | Prior distribution | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Random intercepts | Hierarchical normal prior, with location 0 and a Half-student’s t (3, 0, 1) hyperprior for scale | Defines random intercepts as deviations from the sample mean of 0, and estimates the variance of the random intercepts from the data, with a weakly informative hyperprior |
IRT-theta (Conflict level) | Normal (0,1) | Fixes the location and scale of the latent conflict variable for model identifiability, and to ensure a standardized dependent variable for interpretability |
IRT-beta (Item difficulty) | Hierarchical normal prior with hyperpriors Normal (0, 3) for location and Half-student’s t (3, 0, 1) for scale | Weakly informative hierarchical prior, as the interdependent IRT-theta parameter has fixed location and scale |
IRT-alpha (Item discrimination) | Gamma (2, 0.5) | Item discrimination parameters for the CBQ assumed to lie between 0 and 10, as the item characteristic curve does not change meaningfully across alphas larger than 10 |
| Error variance in regression model | Half-student’s t (3, 0, 1) | Regularizing prior on the error variance, which still allows for large estimates if warranted by the data |
| Degrees of freedom in Student’s t-distributed likelihood | Gamma (2, 0.1) Constrained to be ≥ 1 | Degrees of freedom for the likelihood between 1 and about 30, allowing for the likelihood to be very near normal, or have a large degree of robustness, as required |
| Regression coefficients | Normal (0, 1) | Regularizing prior on the regression coefficients |
Regression model parameter estimates
| Parameters | Mean | SD | 93% CI | ESS | Ȓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interpersonal problems model | |||||
| Agency | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.07; 0.31 | 3768 | 1 |
| Communion | 0.02 | 0.06 | − 0.08; 0.12 | 5126 | 1 |
| Elevation | 0.08 | 0.07 | − 0.04; 0.21 | 6509 | 1 |
| Adolescent age | − 0.03 | 0.03 | − 0.09; 0.04 | 7081 | 1 |
| Variance of errors | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.18; 0.39 | 1016 | 1 |
| Variance of random effects | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.05; 0.34 | 1214 | 1 |
| Degrees of freedom in t-likelihood | 21.88 | 14.15 | 4.84; 53.70 | 13,611 | 1 |
| Parental depressive symptoms model | |||||
| Intercept | − 0.03 | 0.12 | − 0.24; 0.18 | 840 | 1 |
| Depressive symptoms | − 0.16 | 0.07 | − 0.30; − 0.04 | 4719 | 1 |
| Depressive symptoms × mother | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0; 0.33 | 5495 | 1 |
| Mother | 0.02 | 0.08 | − 0.12; 0.17 | 9331 | 1 |
| Adolescent age | − 0.03 | 0.03 | − 0.10; 0.03 | 8449 | 1 |
| Variance of errors | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.20; 0.41 | 1639 | 1 |
| Variance of random effects | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.02; 0.30 | 1610 | 1 |
| Degrees of freedom in t-likelihood | 20.8 | 13.85 | 4.57; 51.59 | 14,430 | 1 |
Mean = Posterior mean; SD = Posterior standard deviation; 93% CI = 3.5th and 96.5th percentiles of the posterior distribution; ESS = Effective Sample Size, refers to the effective number of samples from the posterior distribution; R̂ = Gelman-Rubin Statistic, indicates convergence of HMC chains at 1
Estimated predictor correlation coefficients (posterior means and 93% CI)
| Parental depression | Agency | Communion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agency | − .42 (− .55; − .27) | ||
| Communion | − .06 (− .26; .15) | − .22 (− .45; .05) | |
| Elevation | .58 (.45; .68) | − .54 (− .67; − .36) | − 0.18 (− .43; .12) |
Fig. 1Test information function for the conflict behaviour. Questionnaire—perception of the Dyad
Results of leave-one-out crossvalidation and model stacking
| Model | Difference | SE | Stacking weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parental interpersonal problems | 0 | 0 | 0.75 |
| Parental interpersonal problems with parent gender interaction | 3.89 | 1.58 | 0 |
| Parental depressive symptoms | 8.35 | 6.21 | 0 |
| Parental depressive symptoms with parent gender interaction | 10.07 | 7.28 | 0.25 |
Difference = Difference in expected log posterior density to model with highest expected log posterior density; SE = Standard error of the difference; Stacking Weight = Model weight in stacking procedure