Literature DB >> 31923816

A patient-similarity-based model for diagnostic prediction.

Zheng Jia1, Xian Zeng1, Huilong Duan1, Xudong Lu1, Haomin Li2.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To simulate the clinical reasoning of doctors, retrieve analogous patients of an index patient automatically and predict diagnoses by the similar/dissimilar patients.
METHODS: We proposed a novel patient-similarity-based framework for diagnostic prediction, which is inspired by the structure-mapping theory about analogy reasoning in psychology. Patient similarity is defined as the similarity between two patients' diagnoses sets rather than a dichotomous (absence/presence of just one disease). The multilabel classification problem is converted to a single-value regression problem by integrating the pairwise patients' clinical features into a vector and taking the vector as the input and the patient similarity as the output. In contrast to the common k-NN method which only considering the nearest neighbors, we not only utilize similar patients (positive analogy) to generate diagnostic hypotheses, but also utilize dissimilar patients (negative analogy) are used to reject diagnostic hypotheses.
RESULTS: The patient-similarity-based models perform better than the one-vs-all baseline and traditional k-NN methods. The f-1 score of positive-analogy-based prediction is 0.698, significantly higher than the scores of baselines ranging from 0.368 to 0.661. It increases to 0.703 when the negative analogy method is applied to modify the prediction results of positive analogy. The performance of this method is highly promising for larger datasets.
CONCLUSION: The patient-similarity-based model provides diagnostic decision support that is more accurate, generalizable, and interpretable than those of previous methods and is based on heterogeneous and incomplete data. The model also serves as a new application for the use of clinical big data through artificial intelligence technology.
Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Analogy reasoning; Diagnostic prediction; Machine learning; Patient similarity

Mesh:

Year:  2019        PMID: 31923816     DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2019.104073

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Int J Med Inform        ISSN: 1386-5056            Impact factor:   4.046


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