| Literature DB >> 31920751 |
Robert Cornish1,2, Alexandra Lewis3, Owen Curwell Parry1,2, Oana Ciobanasu2, Susan Mallett4, Seena Fazel1.
Abstract
Background: Risk assessment informs decisions around admission to and discharge from secure psychiatric hospital and contributes to treatment and supervision. There are advantages to using brief, scalable, free online tools with similar accuracy to instruments currently used. We undertook a study of one such risk assessment, the Forensic Psychiatry and Violence Oxford (FoVOx) tool, examining its acceptability, feasibility, and practicality.Entities:
Keywords: FoVOx; feasibility; forensic psychiatry; recidivism; risk assessment; secure hospital
Year: 2019 PMID: 31920751 PMCID: PMC6928566 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2019.00901
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Psychiatry ISSN: 1664-0640 Impact factor: 4.157
Figure 1Inclusion of discharged patients from secure hospital into study.
Sample characteristics and FoVOx scores.
| Demographics | ||
|---|---|---|
| Male:female Age at discharge (SD) | 73:11 | |
| Median days since discharge (IQR) | 485 (334–643) | |
| Median FoVOx score (range) | 11% (2%–49%) | |
|
| All included patients | Violent recidivists (based on clinician recall) |
| -Low | 12 (14%) | 0 |
| -Medium | 55 (66%) | 8 (67%) |
| -High | 17 (20%) | 4 (33%) |
|
| Yes | No |
| -Accurate? | 56 (67%) | 28 (33%) |
| -Helpful? | 49 (58%) | 35 (42%) |
Qualitative feedback on challenges with FoVOx scoring.
| Theme | Sub theme | FoVOx score is too high | FoVOx score is too low |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| Primary discharge diagnosis—medical treatment | Good response to medication | Poor response to medication |
| Personality disorder diagnosis—psychological treatment | Successful (increased insight, specific work on offence) | Unsuccessful (non-engagement, untreated personality disorder) | |
| Substance misuse diagnosis | No longer using substances | High risk of substance misuse after discharge | |
|
| Supervision | Engaged with community mental health support, use of statutory supervision | Uncooperative with supervision |
| Chronicity of violence | No violence in hospital | Frequent violence in hospital | |
| Psychosocial support | Improved relationships with family, good psychosocial functioning, lifestyle change | Relationship instability | |
| Specific circumstances to index offence | No forensic history prior to index offence, long period of time since index offence, offending could only occur in a specific context | Lengthy past forensic history, unpredictability |
Qualitative feedback on the usefulness of FoVOx scoring.
| Theme | Sub Theme | Helpful | Unhelpful |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| As part of discharge planning | Other agencies more likely to support discharge, e.g. Mental Health Review Tribunals, Parole Board | Could lead the same agencies less likely to discharge, FoVOx score is less relevant if patient is discharged due to circumstances other than a reduction in risk |
| In liaison with third parties | Improved information sharing with accommodation providers, non-forensic mental health services, probation and MAPPA | Negative responses such as not accepting patient for housing. | |
|
| Reassurance | Reassurance if agrees with clinical assessment, reducing anxiety if FoVOx rates risk lower than clinician | No added value if FoVOx and clinician assessment agree, increasing anxiety and leading to review if FoVOx rates risk higher than clinician |
| Changing patient management | Identification of unaddressed risk factors and informing management decisions such as threshold to recall | Over or under-estimates risk due to reliance on historical factors | |
| Existing perceptions of risk assessment | Highlights over-reliance on clinical factors as being predictive of recidivism | Skepticism about the value of any actuarial tool | |
| Need to differentiate between serious and less serious offending | Inability of FoVOx to predict serious, as opposed to any, violent recidivism | ||
| Discharge due to factors other than risk reduction | Discharge was dictated by factors other than a reduction in risk. |
Qualitative feedback on whether clinicians would use FoVOx in the future.
| Reasons for using | Reasons for not using | |
|---|---|---|
|
| Information is easy to find | Based on static, historical risk factors |
| No actuarial tool is of value | ||
| Information can be found quickly | May narrow thinking about risk assessment | |
| Useful adjunct to existing risk assessment | Not wishing to add another tool to existing metrics | |
| Lack of sensitive clinical risk factors (e.g. insight, response to medication) | ||
| Has construct validity | Not yet validated in a UK forensic population | |
| Inability to predict serious, as opposed to any violence | ||
|
| Information sharing with other agencies | |
| Resolves disagreements about risk | ||
|
| Reassurance when agrees with clinical opinion | No added value if agrees with existing risk assessment |
| May provide false reassurance | ||
| Helpful challenge when disagrees with clinical opinion | ||
| Guides community management (e.g. level of supervision) |