| Literature DB >> 31888428 |
Eyal Nof1, Valentina Kutyifa2, Scott McNitt2, Jeffrey Goldberger3, David Huang2, Mehmet K Aktas2, Rosero Spencer2, Ilan Goldenberg2, Roy Beinart1.
Abstract
Background We hypothesized that multiple cardiovascular comorbidities, incorporated in the CHA2DS2-VASc score, may be useful in the assessment of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VTAs) and mortality risk in heart failure (HF) patients. Methods and Results We evaluated the association between the CHA2DS2-VASc score (dichotomized as high at the upper quartile [≥5] and further assessed as a continuous measure) and the risk of VTA and death among 1804 patients enrolled in MADIT-CRT (Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial With Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy). A high CHA2DS2-VASc score (n=464; 26%) was inversely associated with the risk of any VTA (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.64; P=0.001), fast VTA >200 beats/min (HR; 0.51; P<0.001), and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shocks (HR: 0.60; P<0.001). In contrast, a high score was directly correlated with mortality risk (HR: 1.92; P<0.001) and the risk of HF or death (HR: 1.60; P<0.001). Consistently, each 1-U increment in CHA2DS2-VASc was associated with a significant 13% (P=0.003) reduction in VTA risk but a corresponding 33% (P<0.001) increase in mortality risk. Patients with a high CHA2DS2-VASc score and left bundle-branch block derived a pronounced 53% (P<0.001) reduction in the risk of HF or death with cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator versus implantable cardioverter-defibrillator-only therapy. Conclusions Our findings suggest that a high CHA2DS2-VASc score can be used to identify patients with mild HF who have low VTA risk and high morbidity or mortality risk and may derive a pronounced clinical benefit from cardiac resynchronization therapy without a defibrillator. These data suggest a possible role for the CHA2DS2-VASc score in device selection among candidates for biventricular pacing.Entities:
Keywords: CHA2DS2‐VASc; mortality; ventricular tachycardia
Year: 2019 PMID: 31888428 PMCID: PMC6988163 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.119.014353
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 5.501
Figure 1Distribution of CHA 2 DS‐VASc scores in a multicenter automatic defibrillator implantation trial with cardiac resynchronization therapy patients (MADIT‐CRT [Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial With Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy]).
Baseline Characteristics of Patients With CHA2DS2‐VASc Scores ≥5 and <5
| Clinical Characteristics | CHA2DS2‐VASc <5 (n=1333) | CHA2DS2‐VASc ≥5 (n=471) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, y | 61.3±10.2 | 72.9±7.1 | <0.001 |
| Female sex | 290 (22) | 160 (34) | <0.001 |
| CRT‐D | 794 (60) | 285 (61) | 0.719 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 612 (46) | 377 (80) | <0.001 |
| LBBB | 945 (71) | 326 (69) | 0.465 |
| Prior congestive HF admissions | 495 (38) | 174 (38) | 0.979 |
| Cerebrovascular accident | 19 (1) | 97 (21) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 275 (21) | 273 (58) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 712 (53) | 429 (91) | <0.001 |
| Past atrial arrhythmias | 142 (11) | 64 (14) | 0.075 |
| Past ventricular arrhythmias | 97 (7) | 29 (6) | 0.415 |
| Amiodarone | 101 (8) | 27 (6) | 0.180 |
| β‐Blocker | 1254 (94) | 427 (91) | 0.011 |
| Sotalol | 4 (0) | 1 (0) | 1.000 |
| QRS, ms | 158.9±20.2 | 155.7±18.3 | 0.004 |
| Body mass index | 29.0±5.4 | 28.0±5.0 | <0.001 |
| Blood urea nitrogen | 20.8±8.4 | 23.7±9.9 | <0.001 |
| Creatinine | 1.14±0.36 | 1.24±0.38 | <0.001 |
| Glomerular filtration rate | 71.9±20.3 | 61.8±18.8 | <0.001 |
| LVEF | 28.9±3.5 | 29.3±3.2 | 0.053 |
| LVEDV, mL/m2 | 254.1±63.9 | 231.5±51.6 | <0.001 |
| LVESV, mL/m2 | 181.7±51.7 | 164.4±41.3 | <0.001 |
Data shown as mean±SD or n (%). CRT‐D indicates cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator; HF, heart failure; LBBB, left bundle‐branch block; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; LVEDV, left ventricular end‐diastolic volume; LVESV, left ventricular end‐systolic volume.
Figure 2Cumulative probability of ventricular tachyarrhythmia events. A, Ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF). B, VT/VF >200. CHADSVASC indicates CHA2DS2‐VASc score.
Multivariate Models: Association of CHA2DS2‐VASc Score ≥5 Versus <5 With VTA Events
| End Point | HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Any VT/VF | 0.64 | 0.49–0.84 | 0.001 |
| VT/VF >200 beats/min | 0.51 | 0.36–0.74 | <0.001 |
| Appropriate ICD therapy | 0.60 | 0.45–0.79 | <0.001 |
Models adjusted for renal function, left bundle‐branch block, antiarrhythmic medication, race, smoking, left ventricular ejection fraction, and ischemic heart disease. HR indicates hazard ratio; ICD, implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator; VTA, ventricular tachyarrhythmia; VT/VF, ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation.
Multivariate Models: Association of CHA2DS‐VASc Score ≥5 Versus <5 With Non‐VTA Events
| End Point | HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Atrial arrhythmia | 1.01 | 0.63–1.61 | 0.97 |
| Inappropriate ICD therapy | 0.83 | 0.60–1.15 | 0.27 |
| Death | 1.92 | 1.38–2.67 | <0.001 |
| HF or death | 1.60 | 1.29–1.99 | <0.001 |
Models adjusted for renal function, left bundle‐branch block, antiarrhythmic medication, race, smoking, left ventricular ejection fraction, and ischemic heart disease. HF indicates heart failure; HR, hazard ratio; ICD, implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator; VTA, ventricular tachyarrhythmia.
Figure 3Cumulative probability of non–ventricular tachyarrhythmia events. A, Mortality. B, Heart failure (HF) or death.C, Atrial arrhythmias. CHADSVASC indicates CHA2DS2‐VASc score.
Figure 4Cumulative probability of heart failure (HF) or death events in cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator (CRT‐D) or implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator (ICD). A, CHA 2 DS‐VASc score ≥5 group. B, CHA 2 DS‐VASc score <5 group.