| Literature DB >> 31871642 |
Jacob Weil1, Marc Trudel1,2, Strahan Tucker3, Richard D Brodeur4, Francis Juanes1.
Abstract
Determining how energy flows through ecosystems reveals underlying ecological patterns that drive processes such as growth and food web dynamics. Models that assess the transfer of energy from producers to consumers require information on the energy content or energy density (ED) of prey species. ED is most accurately measured through bomb calorimetry, but this method suffers from limitations of cost, time, and sample requirements that often make it unrealistic for many studies. Percent dry weight (DW) is typically used as a proxy for ED, but this measure includes an indigestible portion (e.g., bones, shell, salt) that can vary widely among organisms. Further, several distinct models exist for various taxonomic groups, yet none can accurately estimate invertebrate, vertebrate and plant ED with a single equation. Here, we present a novel method to estimate the ED of organisms using percent ash-free dry weight (AFDW). Using data obtained from 11 studies diverse in geographic, temporal and taxonomic scope, AFDW, DW as well as percent protein and percent lipid were compared as predictors of ED. Linear models were produced on a logarithmic scale, including dummy variables for broad taxonomic groups. AFDW was the superior predictor of ED compared to DW, percent protein content and percent lipid content. Model selection revealed that using correction factors (dummy variables) for aquatic animals (AA) and terrestrial invertebrates (TI) produced the best-supported model-log10(ED) = 1.07*log10(AFDW) - 0.80 (R 2 = 0.978, p < .00001)-with an intercept adjustment of 0.09 and 0.04 for AA and TI, respectively. All models including AFDW as a predictor had high predictive power (R 2 > 0.97), suggesting that AFDW can be used with high degrees of certainty to predict the ED of taxonomically diverse organisms. Our AFDW model will allow ED to be determined with minimal cost and time requirements and excludes ash-weight from estimates of digestible mass. Its ease of use will allow for ED to be more readily and accurately determined for diverse taxa across different ecosystems.Entities:
Keywords: bioenergetics; diet analysis; dry weight; energy density; food webs; percent ash‐free dry weight; predictive model; water content
Year: 2019 PMID: 31871642 PMCID: PMC6912885 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.5775
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Evol ISSN: 2045-7758 Impact factor: 2.912
Figure 1Model comparison for full dataset of literature values reporting percent dry weight (a) and percent ash‐free dry weight (b); both axes on a logarithmic scale
Figure 2Model comparison for trimmed dataset including all hypothesized predictors of energy density: (a) log10 percent ash‐free dry weight, (b) log10 percent dry weight, (c) log10 percent protein content, (d) log10 percent lipid content
Log‐likelihood (LogL) and Akaike's information criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICc) for generalized linear models relating energy density to percent dry weight (DW) and percent ash‐free dry weight (AFDW), including dummy variables (value of 0 or 1) for large taxonomic groups (AA, aquatic animals; AI, aquatic invertebrates; AN, animal; AV, aquatic vertebrates; TI, terrestrial invertebrates; aquatic plants and algae were used in the base model and therefore were not given a dummy value). The number of model parameters (k), cumulative Akaike weights (w), adjusted percent R 2 values and the difference between the given and best‐fitting model (∆) are presented for each candidate model
| Model |
| Log | AICc | ∆ |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFDW + AA + TI | 5 | 273.03 | −535.76 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AI + AV + TI | 6 | 273.40 | −534.37 | 1.39 | 0.27 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AA | 4 | 270.28 | −532.36 | 3.39 | 0.10 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AI + AV | 5 | 270.42 | −530.54 | 5.22 | 0.04 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AN | 4 | 269.28 | −530.36 | 5.39 | 0.04 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AI | 4 | 255.32 | −502.44 | 33.31 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AI + TI | 5 | 255.33 | −500.35 | 35.41 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AV | 4 | 250.15 | −492.09 | 43.67 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AV + TI | 5 | 250.16 | −490.02 | 45.74 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW | 3 | 245.37 | −484.62 | 51.14 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + TI | 4 | 245.92 | −483.63 | 52.13 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| DW + AN | 4 | 90.41 | −172.61 | 363.15 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| DW + AI + AV + TI | 6 | 91.79 | −171.14 | 364.62 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| DW + AA + TI | 5 | 90.59 | −170.87 | 364.88 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| DW + AA | 4 | 83.73 | −159.26 | 376.50 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| DW + AI + AV | 5 | 84.33 | −158.35 | 377.41 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| DW + AV + TI | 5 | 83.15 | −155.99 | 379.76 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| DW + AV | 4 | 80.20 | −152.19 | 383.57 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
| DW + AI + TI | 5 | 80.98 | −151.66 | 384.10 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
| DW + AI | 4 | 78.71 | −149.22 | 386.53 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
| DW + TI | 4 | 78.64 | −149.08 | 386.67 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
| DW | 3 | 77.26 | −148.40 | 387.36 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
Equations and correction factors (CF) for all generalized linear models relating energy density (kJ/g wet weight) to both percent dry weight (DW) and percent ash‐free dry weight (AFDW) including dummy variables (value of 0 or 1) for large taxonomic groups; AA, aquatic animals; AI, aquatic invertebrates; AN, animals; AV, aquatic vertebrates; TI, terrestrial invertebrates. The difference between the given and best‐fitting model (∆) and adjusted percent R 2 values are presented for each candidate model
| Model | ∆ | Equation | CF |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFDW + AA + TI | 0 | log10(ED) = 1.07*log10(AFDW) − 0.80 | AA = 0.09, TI = 0.04 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AA | 3.39 | log10(ED) = 1.08*log10(AFDW) − 0.79 | AA = 0.07 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AN | 5.39 | log10(ED) = 1.05*log10(AFDW) − 0.78 | AN = 0.08 | 0.98 |
| AFDW + AI | 33.31 | log10(ED) = 1.08*log10(AFDW) − 0.77 | AI = 0.05 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AI + TI | 35.41 | log10(ED) = 1.08*log10(AFDW) − 0.77 | AI = 0.05, TI = 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AV | 43.67 | log10(ED) = 1.04*log10(AFDW) − 0.71 | AV = 0.04 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + AV + TI | 45.74 | log10(ED) = 1.04*log10(AFDW) − 0.71 | AV = 0.04, TI = 0.00 | 0.97 |
| AFDW + TI | 52.13 | log10(ED) = 1.06*log10(AFDW) − 0.72 | TI = −0.02 | 0.97 |
| DW + AN | 363.2 | log10(ED) = 1.21*log10(DW) − 1.15 | AN = 0.14 | 0.87 |
| DW + AI + AV + TI | 364.6 | log10(ED) = 1.18*log10(DW) − 1.10 | AI = 0.12, AV = 0.18, TI = 0.17 | 0.87 |
| DW + AA + TI | 364.9 | log10(ED) = 1.20*log10(DW) − 1.14 | AA = 0.14, TI = 0.16 | 0.87 |
| DW + AA | 376.5 | log10(ED) = 1.24*log10(DW) − 1.13 | AA = 0.09 | 0.86 |
| DW + AI + AV | 377.4 | log10(ED) = 1.22*log10(DW) − 1.10 | AI = 0.08, AV = 0.12 | 0.86 |
| DW + AV + TI | 379.8 | log10(ED) = 1.13*log10(DW) − 0.96 | AV = 0.10, TI = 0.10 | 0.86 |
| DW + AV | 383.6 | log10(ED) = 1.17*log10(DW) − 1.00 | AV = 0.08 | 0.85 |
| DW + AI + TI | 384.1 | log10(ED) = 1.21*log10(DW) − 1.07 | AI = 0.06, TI = 0.09 | 0.85 |
| DW + AI | 386.5 | log10(ED) = 1.23*log10(DW) − 1.08 | AI = 0.04 | 0.85 |
| DW + TI | 386.7 | log10(ED) = 1.17*log10(DW) − 1.00 | TI = 0.07 | 0.85 |
| DW | 387.4 | log10(ED) = 1.19*log10(DW) − 1.02 | – | 0.85 |
Regression statistics, log‐likelihood (LogL) and Akaike's information criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICc) for generalized linear models of a trimmed dataset comparing energy density values to percent ash‐free dry weight (AFDW), percent dry weight (DW), percent protein content, and percent lipid content including dummy variables (value of 0 or 1) for large taxonomic groups (AA, aquatic animals; AI, aquatic invertebrates; AV, aquatic vertebrates; aquatic plants and algae were used in the base model and therefore were not given a dummy value). The number of model parameters (k), cumulative Akaike weights (w), adjusted percent R 2 values and the difference between the given and best‐fitting model (∆) are presented for each candidate model
| Model |
| Log | AICc | ∆ |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFDW + AA | 4 | 45.66 | −81.42 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 0.99 |
| AFDW + AI + AV | 5 | 46.49 | −79.97 | 1.45 | 0.32 | 0.99 |
| AFDW + AI | 4 | 42.40 | −74.89 | 6.54 | 0.02 | 0.99 |
| AFDW | 3 | 39.07 | −71.05 | 10.37 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| AFDW + AV | 4 | 39.15 | −68.40 | 13.03 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| DW | 3 | 24.44 | −41.79 | 39.63 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| DW + AI | 4 | 24.85 | −39.80 | 41.62 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| DW + AA | 4 | 24.64 | −39.37 | 42.05 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| DW + AV | 4 | 24.60 | −39.30 | 42.12 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| DW + AI + AV | 5 | 24.87 | −36.74 | 44.68 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| Protein + AA | 4 | −1.02 | 11.94 | 93.36 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Protein + AI + AV | 5 | −0.88 | 14.76 | 96.18 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Protein | 3 | −5.74 | 18.56 | 99.98 | 0.00 | 0.59 |
| Protein + AI | 4 | −4.73 | 19.36 | 100.78 | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Protein + AV | 4 | −5.71 | 21.33 | 102.75 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| Lipid + AI | 4 | −12.48 | 34.87 | 116.29 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Lipid + AI + AV | 5 | −12.47 | 37.95 | 119.37 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Lipid + AV | 4 | −14.32 | 38.55 | 119.98 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Lipid | 3 | −17.46 | 42.00 | 123.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lipid + AA | 4 | −17.28 | 44.47 | 125.89 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
Negative adjusted R 2 was obtained by fitting a model with low multiple R 2, using multiple predictors.
Figure 3Frequency distribution of root mean squared errors (RMSE) from iterative (n = 10,000) cross‐validation between a training (80%) and testing (20%) dataset for the top five best supported models to estimate energy density (ED) from Table 2. (a) ED = AFDW + AA + TI, (b) ED = AFDW + AI + AV + TI, (c) ED = AFDW + AA, (d) ED = AFDW + AI + AV, (e) ED = AFDW + AN
Figure 4Relationship between observed and predicted values for the energy density of passerine birds investigated in Holmes (1976) and Myrcha and Pinowski (1970). Predicted values estimated using the percent ash‐free dry weight to energy density model including a correction factor for animals as: log10(ED) = 1.05*log10(AFDW) − 0.78 + 0.08. 1:1 line plotted in Figure