| Literature DB >> 31854118 |
Cassandra K Jones1, Jason Woodworth1, Steve S Dritz2, Chad B Paulk3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: While porcine biological hazards have had the potential to be transmitted through feed and feed mills for decades, the emerging threat of foreign animal disease has elevated the concern that these may enter or be transmitted throughout the domestic swine herd via a feed vehicle.Entities:
Keywords: animal food; bacteria; biological; feed; hazard; virus
Year: 2019 PMID: 31854118 PMCID: PMC7397925 DOI: 10.1002/vms3.227
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Vet Med Sci ISSN: 2053-1095
Classification of severity assessment based on impact on human or animal health
| Classification | Impact on human illness or injury | Impact on animal illness or injury |
|---|---|---|
| Very high | Potential death or serious illness without recovery in humans | — |
| High | Potential minor illness from which full recovery is likely or no possible impact on human health | Potential death of many animals |
| Moderate | No possible impact on human health | Potential death or serious illness without full recovery of many animals |
| Low | No possible impact on human health | Potential death or serious illness without full recovery of few animals or minor illness from which full recovery is likely in many of animals |
| Very Low | No possible impact on human health | Potential minor illness from which full recovery is likely of few animals |
Classification of probability assessment based on likelihood of occurrence
| Classification | History of occurrence | Likelihood of future occurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Almost certain | Is occurring currently | — |
| Likely | Has recently occurred | Probable to occur again |
| Possible | Has not recently occurred | Possible to occur in the next 6 months |
| Unlikely | Has not ever occurred | Unlikely to occur in the next 12 months |
| Remote | Has not ever occurred | Unprecedented and remotely likely to occur in next 36 months |
Classification of risk based on the combination of severity and probability
| Probability | Severity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very high | High | Moderate | Low | Very low | |
| Almost certain | Critical | Critical | Moderate | Moderate | Negligible |
| Likely | Critical | Moderate | Moderate | Negligible | Negligible |
| Possible | Moderate | Moderate | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible |
| Unlikely | Moderate | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible |
| Remote | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible | Negligible |
Assessment risk for feed to be a vehicle for swine pathogen transmission
| Pathogen | Severity | Probability | Overall risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transmissible spongiform encephalopathy | Very high | Remote | Negligible |
|
| High | Unlikely | Negligible |
|
| High | Unlikely | Negligible |
|
| High | Unlikely | Negligible |
|
| Very high | Unlikely | Moderate |
|
| Very low | Almost certain | Negligible |
| Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus | High | Likely | Moderate |
| Porcine deltacoronavirus | Low | Possible | Negligible |
| Senecavirus A | Low | Possible | Negligible |
| Mammalian orthoreovirus 3 | Low | Possible | Negligible |
| Foot and mouth disease virus | High | Unlikely | Negligible |
| Classical swine fever virus | High | Unlikely | Negligible |
| African swine fever virus | High | Possible | Moderate |
| Chinese pseudorabies virus | High | Unlikely | Negligible |