| Literature DB >> 31811519 |
Hidetoshi Kawaguchi1, Norikazu Masuda2, Takahiro Nakayama3, Kenjiro Aogi4, Keisei Anan5, Yoshinori Ito6, Shoichiro Ohtani7, Nobuaki Sato8, Shigehira Saji9, Toshimi Takano10, Eriko Tokunaga11, Seigo Nakamura12, Yoshie Hasegawa13, Masaya Hattori14, Tomomi Fujisawa15, Satoshi Morita16, Miki Yamaguchi17, Hiroko Yamashita18, Toshinari Yamashita19, Yutaka Yamamoto20, Daisuke Yotsumoto21, Masakazu Toi22, Shinji Ohno23.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Assessing survival risk is important for discussing treatment options with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) advanced breast cancer (ABC) patients. However, there are few reports from large-scale databases on the survival risk factors in ER+ ABC. The Safari study (UMIN000015168) was a retrospective, multicenter cohort study involving 1072 Japanese patients receiving fulvestrant 500 mg mostly as a second- or later-line endocrine therapy for ER+ ABC. The follow-up data after the Safari study were examined, focusing on any relationship between clinicopathological factors and overall survival (OS) in ER+ ABC patients.Entities:
Keywords: Antineoplastic agents; Breast cancer; Hormones; Overall survival; Post-menopause
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31811519 PMCID: PMC7196081 DOI: 10.1007/s12282-019-01029-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Breast Cancer ISSN: 1340-6868 Impact factor: 4.239
Fig. 1Patient flow diagram. ER estrogen receptor, HER2 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2
Summary of patient characteristics
| Efficacy analysis sets | De novo metastatic or locally advanced | Recurrent metastatic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristic | |||
| Age (ABC diagnosis), years | |||
| Median | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Range | 29–91 | 35–90 | 29–91 |
| Age group (ABC diagnosis), ( | |||
| < 60 | 486 (47.1) | 97 (46.9) | 389 (47.2) |
| ≥ 60 | 545 (52.9) | 110 (53.1) | 435 (52.8) |
| Fulvestrant treatment lines | |||
| 1st | 21 (2.0) | 3 (1.4) | 18 (2.2) |
| 2nd | 232 (22.5) | 50 (24.2) | 182 (22.1) |
| 3rd | 276 (26.8) | 59 (28.5) | 217 (26.3) |
| 4th or more | 502 (48.7) | 95 (45.9) | 407 (49.4) |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use, years | |||
| Median | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Range | 0–26.9a | 0–18.2 | 0–26.9b |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use, group, years | |||
| < 3 | 473 (45.9) | 96 (46.4) | 377 (45.8) |
| ≥ 3 | 557 (54.0) | 111 (53.6) | 446 (54.1) |
| Missing | 1 (0.1) | 0 | 1 (0.1) |
| DFI, years | |||
| Median | NA | NA | 5.5 |
| Range | NA | NA | 0–31.8b |
| DFI, group, years | |||
| < 5 | NA | NA | 380 (46.1) |
| ≥ 5 | NA | NA | 443 (53.8) |
| Missing | NA | NA | 1 (0.1) |
| Visceral metastasis | |||
| No | 588 (57.0) | 106 (51.2) | 482 (58.5) |
| Yes | 443 (43.0) | 101 (48.8) | 342 (41.5) |
| Central nerve metastasis | |||
| No | 1017 (98.6) | 203 (98.1) | 814 (98.8) |
| Yes | 14 (1.4) | 4 (1.9) | 10 (1.2) |
| Histological type | |||
| IDC | 863 (83.7) | 173 (83.6) | 690 (83.7) |
| ILC | 48 (4.7) | 7 (3.4) | 41 (5.0) |
| Other | 120 (11.6) | 27 (13.0) | 93 (11.3) |
| Histological or nuclear grade | |||
| 1 | 314 (30.5) | 48 (23.2) | 266 (32.3) |
| 2 | 240 (23.3) | 54 (26.1) | 186 (22.6) |
| 3 | 125 (12.1) | 28 (13.5) | 97 (11.8) |
| NA | 352 (34.1) | 77 (37.2) | 275 (33.4) |
| Hormonal receptor | |||
| ER(+) PgR(−) | 198 (19.2) | 36 (17.4) | 162 (19.7) |
| ER(+) PgR(+) | 765 (74.2) | 159 (76.8) | 606 (73.5) |
| ER( +) PgR(NA) | 68 (6.6) | 12 (5.8) | 56 (6.8) |
| HER2 | |||
| Negative | 884 (85.7) | 174 (84.1) | 710 (86.2) |
| Positive | 94 (9.1) | 21 (10.1) | 73 (8.9) |
| Missing | 53 (5.1) | 12 (5.8) | 41 (5.0) |
| Prior palliative chemotherapy use | |||
| No | 548 (53.2) | 95 (45.9) | 453 (55.0) |
| Yes | 483 (46.8) | 112 (54.1) | 371 (45.0) |
Results are n (%) unless otherwise noted
ABC advanced breast cancer, DFI disease-free interval, ER estrogen receptor, HER2 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, IDC invasive ductal carcinoma, ILC invasive lobular carcinoma, PgR progesterone receptor
an = 1030
bn = 823
Fig. 2Kaplan–Meier estimates for OS in all cases. OS overall survival
Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models for OS: all patients (n = 1031)
| Characteristic | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysisa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (ABC diagnosis) (≥ 60 years vs. < 60) | 1.59 | 1.36–1.85 | < 0.001 | 1.35 | 1.15–1.58 | < 0.001 |
| Treatment line of fulvestrant (4th or more vs. 3rd vs. 1st and 2nd) | 0.68 | 0.61–0.75 | < 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.90–1.12 | 0.965 |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use (≥ 3 years vs. < 3) | 0.16 | 0.13–0.19 | < 0.001 | 0.14 | 0.12–0.18 | < 0.001 |
| Prior palliative chemotherapy (yes vs. no) | 0.78 | 0.67–0.90 | 0.001 | 1.44 | 1.21–1.71 | < 0.001 |
| Histological or nuclear grade | ||||||
| (2 vs. 1) | 1.74 | 1.45–2.08 | < 0.001 | |||
| (3 vs. 1) | 2.30 | 1.86–2.85 | < 0.001 | |||
| Visceral metastasis (yes vs. no) | 0.97 | 0.83–1.13 | 0.685 | |||
| PgR (positive vs. negative) | 1.17 | 0.98–1.39 | 0.089 | 1.29 | 1.06–1.59 | 0.013 |
| HER2 (positive vs. negative) | 0.84 | 0.65–1.09 | 0.200 | |||
OS overall survival, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, ABC advanced breast cancer, PgR progesterone receptor HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2
an = 1030 in the multivariate analysis (one patient was excluded because date of recurrence was unknown. Histological/nuclear grade data were not included in this analysis because one-third of the data were missing
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models for OS using a dataset of all cases had grade information (n = 679)
| Characteristic | HR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (ABC diagnosis), (≥ 60 vs. < 60 years) | 1.16 | 0.96–1.40 | 0.130 |
| Treatment line of fulvestrant (4th or more vs. 3rd vs. 1st and 2nd) | 1.02 | 0.90–1.16 | 0.754 |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use (≥ 3 vs. < 3 years) | 0.18 | 0.14–0.24 | < 0.001 |
| Prior palliative chemotherapy (yes vs. no) | 1.37 | 1.12–1.67 | 0.002 |
| PgR (positive vs. negative) | 1.20 | 0.95–1.53 | 0.131 |
| Histological or nuclear grade | |||
| (2 vs. 1) | 1.28 | 1.04–1.59 | 0.021 |
| (3 vs. 1) | 1.78 | 1.39–2.28 | < 0.001 |
OS overall survival, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, ABC advanced breast cancer, PgR, progesterone receptor
Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models for OS using a dataset of recurrent metastatic cases (n = 824)
| Characteristic | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysisa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (ABC diagnosis), (≥ 60 vs. < 60 years) | 1.66 | 1.40–1.98 | < 0.001 | 1.42 | 1.19–1.70 | < 0.001 |
| Treatment line of fulvestrant (4th or more vs. 3rd vs. 1st and 2nd) | 0.70 | 0.62–0.78 | < 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.89–1.13 | 0.992 |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use (≥ 3 vs. < 3 years) | 0.16 | 0.13–0.19 | < 0.001 | 0.14 | 0.11–0.18 | < 0.001 |
| Prior palliative chemotherapy (yes vs. no) | 0.78 | 0.66–0.93 | 0.004 | 1.45 | 1.20–1.76 | < 0.001 |
| Histological or nuclear grade | ||||||
| (2 vs. 1) | 1.73 | 1.41–2.12 | < 0.001 | |||
| (3 vs. 1) | 2.58 | 2.03–3.27 | < 0.001 | |||
| Visceral metastasis (yes vs. no) | 0.99 | 0.83–1.17 | 0.898 | |||
| PgR (positive vs. negative) | 1.14 | 0.94–1.38 | 0.200 | |||
| HER2 (positive vs. negative) | 0.87 | 0.65–1.17 | 0.360 | |||
| DFI (≥ 5 vs. < 5 years) | 1.00 | 0.84–1.18 | 0.950 | |||
OS overall survival, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, ABC advanced breast cancer, PgR progesterone receptor HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, DFI disease-free interval
an = 823 in the multivariate analysis (one patient was excluded because the date of recurrence was unknown. Histological/nuclear grade data were not included in this analysis because one-third of the data were missing
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models for TTF using a dataset of recurrent metastatic cases that had grade information (n = 549)
| Characteristic | HR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (ABC diagnosis), (≥ 60 vs. < 60 years) | 1.27 | 1.03–1.57 | 0.026 |
Treatment line of fulvestrant (4th or more vs. 3rd vs. 1st and 2nd) | 1.00 | 0.87–1.14 | 0.964 |
| ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use (≥ 3 vs. < 3 years) | 0.18 | 0.13–0.24 | < 0.001 |
| Prior palliative chemotherapy use (yes vs. no) | 1.41 | 1.12–1.77 | 0.003 |
| Histological or nuclear grade | |||
| (2 vs. 1) | 1.21 | 0.95–1.53 | 0.122 |
| (3 vs. 1) | 1.95 | 1.48–2.57 | < 0.001 |
OS overall survival, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, ABC advanced breast cancer, PgR progesterone receptor HER2
aHistological or nuclear grade data are included (n = 558)