Giulia Rovesti1, Giulia Orsi1, Andrikou Kalliopi1, Caterina Vivaldi2, Giorgia Marisi3, Luca Faloppi4, Francesco Giuseppe Foschi5, Nicola Silvestris6, Irene Pecora2, Giuseppe Aprile7, Eleonora Molinaro1, Laura Riggi1, Paola Ulivi3, Matteo Canale3, Alessandro Cucchetti8,9, Emiliano Tamburini10, Giorgio Ercolani7,8, Lorenzo Fornaro2, Pietro Andreone11, Patrizia Zavattari12, Mario Scartozzi13, Stefano Cascinu14, Andrea Casadei-Gardini1. 1. Division of Oncology, Department of Oncology and Hematology, University Hospital of Modena, Modena, Italy. 2. Department of Medical Oncology, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy. 3. Biosciences Laboratory, Istituto Scientifico Romagnolo per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori (IRST) IRCCS, Meldola, Italy. 4. Oncology Unit, Macerata Hospital, Macerata, Italy. 5. Department of Internal Medicine, Faenza Hospital, Faenza, Italy. 6. IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II", Bari, Italy. 7. Medical Oncology Unit, Hospital of Vicenza, Vicenza, Italy. 8. Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences-DIMEC, S. Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy. 9. General Surgery, Morgagni-Pierantoni Hospital, Forlì, Italy. 10. Department of Oncology, Ospedale Cardinale G. Panico, Tricase, Italy. 11. Division of Internal and Metabolic Medicine, Baggiovara Hospital, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy. 12. Unit of Biology and Genetics, Department of Biomedical Sciences, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy. 13. Department of Medical Sciences and Public Health, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy. 14. Department of Medical Oncology, Università Vita-Salute, San Raffaele Hospital IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Sorafenib has been established as the standard of care for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since 2007 on the basis of two landmark trials (SHARP and Asia-Pacific). Ten years have passed since then and, despite much research in the field, still no validated real-life prognostic markers are available for HCC patients treated with this drug. Therefore, going through 10 years of research into sorafenib of several Italian Cancer Centers, we conducted a field-practice study aimed at identifying baseline clinical factors that could be significantly associated with overall survival (OS). METHOD: Univariate/multivariate analyses were conducted to retrospectively identify the impact of baseline characteristics on the OS of 398 advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib. RESULTS: Based on univariate analysis, α-fetoprotein (AFP), albumin, AST, bilirubin, Child-Pugh, ECOG, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and portal vein thrombosis were significantly associated with shorter OS. Following adjustment for clinical covariates positive in univariate analysis, the multivariate analysis including AFP, age, etiology, albumin, aspartate transaminase (AST), bilirubin, Child-Pugh, LDH, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, ECOG, ALBI grade, portal vein thrombosis, SII, and BCLC stage identified increase in LDH, age >70 years, no viral etiologies, ECOG >0, albumin <35, ALBI grade 2, and AST >40 as prognostic factors for poorer OS based on the 5% significance level. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights that baseline hepatic function, patient-centered variables, and etiology have prognostic value. These findings might have implications in terms of therapeutic decision-making and patient counseling.
BACKGROUND: Sorafenib has been established as the standard of care for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since 2007 on the basis of two landmark trials (SHARP and Asia-Pacific). Ten years have passed since then and, despite much research in the field, still no validated real-life prognostic markers are available for HCC patients treated with this drug. Therefore, going through 10 years of research into sorafenib of several Italian Cancer Centers, we conducted a field-practice study aimed at identifying baseline clinical factors that could be significantly associated with overall survival (OS). METHOD: Univariate/multivariate analyses were conducted to retrospectively identify the impact of baseline characteristics on the OS of 398 advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib. RESULTS: Based on univariate analysis, α-fetoprotein (AFP), albumin, AST, bilirubin, Child-Pugh, ECOG, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and portal vein thrombosis were significantly associated with shorter OS. Following adjustment for clinical covariates positive in univariate analysis, the multivariate analysis including AFP, age, etiology, albumin, aspartate transaminase (AST), bilirubin, Child-Pugh, LDH, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, ECOG, ALBI grade, portal vein thrombosis, SII, and BCLC stage identified increase in LDH, age >70 years, no viral etiologies, ECOG >0, albumin <35, ALBI grade 2, and AST >40 as prognostic factors for poorer OS based on the 5% significance level. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights that baseline hepatic function, patient-centered variables, and etiology have prognostic value. These findings might have implications in terms of therapeutic decision-making and patient counseling.
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