| Literature DB >> 31766742 |
Hiroki Nishikawa1,2, Hirayuki Enomoto1, Kazunori Yoh1, Yoshinori Iwata1, Yoshiyuki Sakai1, Kyohei Kishino1, Naoto Ikeda1, Tomoyuki Takashima1, Nobuhiro Aizawa1, Ryo Takata1, Kunihiro Hasegawa1, Noriko Ishii1, Yukihisa Yuri1, Takashi Nishimura1, Hiroko Iijima1, Shuhei Nishiguchi1.
Abstract
Currently, the Japanese society of clinical nutrition (JSCN) defines serum zinc (Zn) level < 60 μg/dL as Zn deficiency and 60 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level < 80 μg/dL as subclinical Zn deficiency, and 80 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level < 130 μg/dL as normal Zn range. We aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of this Zn classification system in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) compared to the Child-Pugh classification and the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grading system (n = 441, median age = 66 years). The Akaike information criterion (AIC) with each evaluation method was tested in order to compare the overall survival (OS). The median serum Zn level was 65 μg/dL. There were 56 patients with normal Zn level, 227 with subclinical Zn deficiency and 158 with Zn deficiency. OS was well stratified among three groups of serum Zn level (p < 0.0001). The AIC value for survival by the Zn classification system was the lowest among three prognostic models (AIC: 518.99 in the Child-Pugh classification, 502.411 in ALBI grade and 482.762 in the Zn classification system). Multivariate analyses of factors associated with OS revealed that serum Zn classification by JSCN was an independent factor. In conclusion, the serum Zn classification proposed by JSCN appears to be helpful for estimating prognosis in LC patients.Entities:
Keywords: ALBI grade; Child–Pugh classification; classification system; liver cirrhosis; prognosis; serum zinc
Year: 2019 PMID: 31766742 PMCID: PMC6947237 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8122057
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.241
Baseline characteristics (n = 441).
| Variables | All Cases ( |
|---|---|
| Age (years) | 66 (59.5, 72.5) |
| Gender, male/female | 239 (54.2)/202 (45.8) |
| Cause of liver disease, HBV/HCV/others | 46 (10.4)/253 (57.4)/142 (32.2) |
| Child–Pugh classification, A/B/C | 317 (71.9)/109 (24.7)/15 (3.4) |
| MELD score | 4.87 (2.20, 7.36) |
| Ascites, yes/no | 59 (13.4)/382 (86.6) |
| Hepatic encephalopathy, yes/no | 6 (1.4)/435 (98.6) |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 23.1 (20.5, 25.7) |
| Total bilirubin (mg/dL) | 1.0 (0.7, 1.5) |
| Serum albumin (g/dL) | 3.7 (3.2, 4.05) |
| ALBI score | −2.31 (−2.67, −1.92) |
| ALBI grade, 1/2/3 | 134 (30.4)/276 (62.6)/31 (7.0) |
| Prothrombin time (%) | 76.9 (66.0, 86.3) |
| Platelet count (×104/mm3) | 9.7 (6.9, 13.6) |
| AST (IU/l) | 39 (27, 60) |
| ALT (IU/l) | 30.5 (20, 49) |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 151.5 (129.25, 177) |
| Fasting blood glucose (mg/dL) | 102 (92.25, 118) |
| Serum creatinine (mg/dL) | 0.67 (0.57, 0.79) |
| Serum sodium (mmol/L) | 140 (138, 141) |
| Serum Zn level (μg/dL) | 65 (54, 74.4) |
| Serum Zn level classification, <130, ≥80 μg/dL/<80, ≥60 μg/dL/<60 μg/dL | 56 (12.7)/227 (51.5)/158 (35.8) |
| Branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio | 4.13 (3.235, 5.375) |
| Serum ammonia (µg/dL) | 40 (29, 62) |
| FIB-4 index | 5.09 (3.18, 7.77) |
Data are expressed as number (%) or median value (interquartile range). HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; ALBI, albumin–bilirubin; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; Zn, zinc
Figure 1Serum Zn level according to the Child–Pugh classification.
Figure 2The number and distribution of the Child–Pugh classification in groups A, B and C (A) and ALBI grade in groups A, B and C (B). Patients with 80 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level <130 μg/dL were defined as group A (normal serum Zn level), those with 60 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level < 80 μg/dL as group B (subclinical Zn deficiency) and those with serum Zn level < 60 μg/dL as group C (Zn deficiency).
Figure 3Cumulative overall survival according to the serum Zn classification proposed by the Japanese society of clinical nutrition. AIC, Akaike information criterion.
Figure 4Cumulative overall survival according to the Child–Pugh classification (A) and ALBI grade (B). ALBI, albumin–bilirubin.
Figure 5(A) Serum ammonia level according to the serum Zn classification proposed by the Japanese society of clinical nutrition. (B) The FIB-4 index according to the serum Zn classification proposed by the Japanese society of clinical nutrition. (C) Branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio (BTR) according to the serum Zn classification proposed by the Japanese society of clinical nutrition. BTR, Branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio.
Correlation between serum Zn level and baseline data.
| Variables |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age | −0.10 | 0.0420 |
| Body mass index | −0.04 | 0.4015 |
| Total bilirubin | −0.27 | <0.0001 |
| Serum albumin | 0.62 | <0.0001 |
| ALBI score | −0.62 | <0.0001 |
| Prothrombin time | 0.35 | <0.0001 |
| Platelet count | 0.14 | 0.0031 |
| AST | −0.27 | <0.0001 |
| ALT | −0.13 | 0.0050 |
| Total cholesterol | 0.19 | <0.0001 |
| Fasting blood glucose | −0.06 | 0.1909 |
| Serum creatinine | −0.02 | 0.6695 |
| Serum sodium | 0.27 | <0.0001 |
| BTR | 0.42 | <0.0001 |
| Serum ammonia | −0.34 | <0.0001 |
| MELD score | −0.29 | <0.0001 |
| FIB-4 index | −0.32 | <0.0001 |
ALBI, albumin–bilirubin; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; BTR, branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease.
Figure 6Correlation between serum Zn level and serum albumin level (A) and ALBI score (B).
Univariate analyses of factors linked to overall survival.
| Variables |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age ≥ 66 years, yes/no | 234/207 | 0.0010 |
| Gender, male/female | 239/202 | 0.1605 |
| HBV/HCV/others | 46/253/142 | 0.0140 |
| Child–Pugh classification, A/B/C | 317/109/15 | <0.0001 |
| Body mass index ≥ 23.1 kg/m2, yes/no | 221/220 | 0.0366 |
| Total bilirubin ≥ 1.0 mg/dL, yes/no | 253/188 | 0.0177 |
| Serum albumin ≥ 3.7 g/dL, yes/no | 232/209 | <0.0001 |
| ALBI grade, 1/2/3 | 134/276/31 | <0.0001 |
| MELD score ≥ 4.87, yes/no | 220/221 | 0.0003 |
| Prothrombin time ≥ 76.9%, yes/no | 221/220 | 0.0020 |
| Platelet count ≥ 9.7 × 104/mm3, yes/no | 223/216 | 0.0065 |
| AST ≥ 39 IU/l, yes/no | 224/216 | 0.4417 |
| ALT ≥ 30.5 IU/l, yes/no | 220/220 | 0.3604 |
| Total cholesterol ≥ 151.5 mg/dL, yes/no | 216/216 | 0.0969 |
| Fasting blood glucose ≥ 102 mg/dL, yes/no | 226/206 | 0.5393 |
| Serum creatinine ≥ 0.67 mg/dL, yes/no | 223/218 | 0.0010 |
| Serum sodium ≥ 140 mmol/L, yes/no | 266/175 | 0.0070 |
| Zn, <130, ≥ 80 μg/dL/<80, ≥ 60 μg/dL/<60 μg/dL | 56/227/158 | <0.0001 |
| BTR ≥ 4.13, yes/no | 220/217 | 0.0149 |
| Serum ammonia ≥ 40 μg/dL, yes/no | 227/199 | <0.0001 |
| FIB-4 index ≥ 5.09, yes/no | 220/219 | <0.0001 |
HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; ALBI, albumin–bilirubin; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; Zn, zinc; BTR, branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio.
Multivariate analyses of factors linked to overall survival.
| Variables | Multivariate Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | ||
| Serum ammonia level ≥ 40 µg/dL | 1.995 | 1.540–2.583 | <0.0001 |
| FIB-4 index ≥ 5.09 | 1.210 | 0.926–1.582 | 0.1622 |
| MELD score ≥ 4.87 | 1.139 | 0.880–1.473 | 0.3234 |
| Serum sodium ≥ 140 mmol/L | 0.870 | 0.672–1.126 | 0.2894 |
| ALBI grade | |||
| Grade 1 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Grade 2 | 1.127 | 0.524–2.429 | 0.7600 |
| Grade 3 | 1.540 | 1.163–2.041 | 0.0026 |
| Child–Pugh classification | |||
| Child–Pugh A | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Child–Pugh B | 1.042 | 0.715–1.519 | 0.8309 |
| Child–Pugh C | 2.409 | 0.791–7.339 | 0.1219 |
| Serum Zn classification by JSCN | |||
| Group A | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Group B | 2.003 | 1.438–2.790 | <0.0001 |
| Group C | 2.533 | 1.640–3.911 | <0.0001 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; ALBI, albumin–bilirubin; Zn, zinc; JSCN, Japanese society of clinical nutrition.