| Literature DB >> 31737586 |
Jia Ma1,2, Zhixin Zhang2, Wenquan Niu3, Jie Chen4, Sihui Guo4, Shufang Liu1,2, Yanhui Dong5, Zhaogeng Yang5, Wenlai Wang4, Ci Song4, Jun Ma5, Tao Pei4.
Abstract
Backgrounds andEntities:
Keywords: prediction; prevalence; risk factor; short stature; spatial discrepancy
Year: 2019 PMID: 31737586 PMCID: PMC6836719 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2019.00425
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Pediatr ISSN: 2296-2360 Impact factor: 3.418
Figure 1(A) The distribution of short stature standardized prevalence according to WHO growth reference. (B) The distribution of short stature standardized prevalence according to China growth reference. (C) The result of Hotspot Getis-Ord, Gi* about short stature according to WHO growth reference. (D) The result of Hotspot Getis-Ord, Gi* about short stature according to China growth reference. (E) The results of Anselin Local Moran's I about short stature according to WHO growth reference. (F) The results of Anselin Local Moran's I about short stature according to China growth reference. WHO, World Health Organization.
The baseline characteristics of study participants using two different growth references.
| Sex ratio (girls = 100) | 104.97 (103.24, 107.26) | 105.8 (103.27, 108.34) | 0.330 | 105.01 (103.24, 107.28) | 105.79 (103.04, 108.05) | 0.473 |
| Proportion of non-agricultural household registration (%) | 34.17 (26.56, 45.5) | 24.05 (15.82, 33.73) | <0.001 | 34.12 (26.30, 45.50) | 23.88 (15.81, 34.16) | <0.001 |
| Education duration (years) | 9.29 (8.81, 10.09) | 8.75 (7.98, 9.07) | <0.001 | 9.27 (8.81, 10.09) | 8.71 (7.98, 9.17) | <0.001 |
| Altitude (m) | 245.65 (110.99, 1,024.29) | 628.27 (204.24, 1,167.81) | 0.040 | 238.55 (106.84, 1,024.29) | 657.18 (205.74, 1,174.63) | 0.018 |
| Annual mean relative humidity (%) | 64.36 (54.90, 76.2) | 80.27 (75.80, 83.16) | <0.001 | 64.50 (54.89, 76.77) | 80.47 (75.75, 83.16) | <0.001 |
| Annual mean sunshine (hours) | 2,152.05 (1,771.35, 2,560.03) | 1,641.82 (1,368.44, 2,084.11) | <0.001 | 2,142.54 (1,771.35, 2,560.03) | 1,640.15 (1,344.80, 2,086.73) | <0.001 |
| Annual mean temperature (°C) | 12.89 (7.03, 16.29) | 15.79 (12.31, 17.32) | 0.011 | 12.97 (7.03, 16.33) | 15.45 (12.24, 17.24) | 0.026 |
| Annual mean wind speed (m/s) | 22.02 (17.97, 26.36) | 17.31 (15.02, 19.62) | <0.001 | 22.25 (17.97, 26.42) | 17.18 (14.95, 19.60) | <0.001 |
| Annual mean rain (mm) | 709.41 (449.75, 1,541.05) | 1,773.10 (1,405.86, 2,039.10) | <0.001 | 726.71 (449.75, 1,551.53) | 1,743.37 (1,262.15, 2,028.19) | <0.001 |
WHO, World Health Organization. Data are expressed as interquartile range. P-value was calculated by the rank-sum test.
The unadjusted risk prediction by logistic regression according to two growth references.
| Sex ratio | 1.02 | 0.92–1.11 | 0.747 | 1.01 | 0.91–1.11 | 0.882 |
| Non-agricultural household | 0.94 | 0.91–0.97 | 0.001 | 0.94 | 0.91–0.98 | 0.001 |
| Education years | 0.32 | 0.17–0.57 | <0.001 | 0.32 | 0.18–0.57 | <0.001 |
| Altitude | 1.11 | 0.97–1.28 | 0.129 | 1.13 | 0.98–1.30 | 0.090 |
| Humidity | 1.28 | 1.13–1.45 | <0.001 | 1.27 | 1.12–1.44 | <0.001 |
| Sunshine | 0.70 | 0.58–0.85 | <0.001 | 0.70 | 0.58–0.85 | <0.001 |
| Temperature | 1.38 | 1.07–1.78 | 0.013 | 1.31 | 1.02–1.68 | 0.032 |
| Wind speed | 0.35 | 0.21–0.59 | <0.001 | 0.31 | 0.18–0.54 | <0.001 |
| Rain | 1.12 | 1.06–1.20 | <0.001 | 1.11 | 1.05–1.18 | <0.001 |
WHO, World Health Organization; OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
P-values were calculated by unadjusted logistic regression.
We do some conversion of data when we running logistic regression analysis, the details as follows: altitude/250, humidity/3, sunshine/200, temperature/3, rain/100, wind speed/5.
The results of forward, backward, stepwise and adjusted risk prediction by logistic regression.
| Education | 0.44 | 0.23–0.84 | 0.013 | Education | 0.49 | 0.25–0.95 | 0.033 |
| Rain | 1.14 | 1.05–1.25 | 0.003 | Humidity | 1.24 | 1.05–1.48 | 0.013 |
| Altitude | 1.24 | 1.02–1.51 | 0.033 | Altitude | 1.22 | 1.01–1.48 | 0.042 |
| Humidity | 1.34 | 1.14–1.57 | <0.001 | Humidity | 1.24 | 1.05–1.48 | 0.013 |
| Altitude | 1.25 | 1.03–1.52 | 0.025 | Education | 0.49 | 0.25–0.95 | 0.033 |
| Education | 0.40 | 0.21–0.78 | 0.007 | Altitude | 1.22 | 1.01–1.48 | 0.042 |
| Humidity | 1.34 | 1.14–1.57 | <0.001 | Humidity | 1.24 | 1.05–1.48 | 0.013 |
| Altitude | 1.25 | 1.03–1.52 | 0.025 | Education | 0.49 | 0.25–0.95 | 0.033 |
| Education | 0.40 | 0.21–0.78 | 0.007 | Altitude | 1.22 | 1.01–1.48 | 0.042 |
| Education | 0.40 | 0.22–0.74 | 0.003 | Education | 0.42 | 0.22–0.77 | 0.006 |
| Humidity | 1.26 | 1.03–1.54 | 0.024 | Humidity | 1.26 | 1.02–1.55 | 0.029 |
| Altitude | 1.61 | 1.20–2.17 | 0.002 | Altitude | 1.54 | 1.15–2.05 | 0.004 |
WHO, World Health Organization; OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval. P-values were calculated by logistic regression.
We do some conversion of data when we running logistic regression analysis, the details as follows: altitude/250, humidity/3, sunshine/200, temperature/3, rain/100, wind speed/5.
In multivariable adjusted model, risk prediction of each adjusted factor was calculated by adjusting for the other factors (sex, sunshine, wind speed, temperature).
The interaction between humidity, education and altitude in predicting short stature.
| Altitude ≤ 400 m/Education>9 years | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Altitude ≤ 400 m/Education ≤ 9 years | 4.00 | 1.16–13.82 | 0.028 | 3.38 | 0.97–1.78 | 0.057 |
| Altitude>400 m/Education>9 years | 3.43 | 0.95–12.39 | 0.060 | 3.43 | 0.95–12.39 | 0.060 |
| Altitude>400 m/Education ≤ 9 years | 8.40 | 2.41–29.23 | 0.001 | 8.40 | 2.41–29.23 | 0.001 |
| Education>9 years/Humidity ≤ 70% | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Education ≤ 9 years/Humidity ≤ 70% | 1.56 | 0.34–7.15 | 0.565 | 1.56 | 0.34–7.15 | 0.565 |
| Education>9 years/Humidity>70% | 2.96 | 0.79–11.09 | 0.107 | 2.96 | 0.79–11.09 | 0.107 |
| Education ≤ 9 years/Humidity>70% | 13.89 | 3.72–51.81 | <0.001 | 11.88 | 3.22–43.75 | <0.001 |
| Altitude ≤ 400 m/Education>9 years | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Altitude ≤ 400 m/Education ≤ 9 years | 2.94 | 0.78–11.14 | 0.112 | 2.32 | 0.61–8.84 | 0.217 |
| Altitude>400 m/Education>9 years | 9.34 | 1.49–58.49 | 0.017 | 6.45 | 1.06–39.42 | 0.043 |
| Altitude>400 m/Education ≤ 9 years | 13.35 | 2.50–71.30 | 0.002 | 9.64 | 1.86–50.05 | 0.007 |
| Education>9 years/Humidity ≤ 70% | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Education ≤ 9 years/Humidity ≤ 70% | 1.37 | 0.28–6.71 | 0.699 | 1.33 | 0.27–6.64 | 0.729 |
| Education>9 years/Humidity>70% | 2.13 | 0.39–11.64 | 0.385 | 2.19 | 0.39–12.31 | 0.372 |
| Education ≤ 9 years/Humidity>70% | 7.18 | 1.23–41.88 | 0.028 | 6.23 | 1.05–36.93 | 0.044 |
WHO, World Health Organization; OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
Figure 2The prediction nomograms of short stature according to the WHO and China references. WHO, World Health Organization.