| Literature DB >> 31711553 |
C R Smith1, T Kershaw1, K Johnson2, K Meghnath3.
Abstract
An outbreak of 18 cases of hepatitis A virus infection across five Canadian provinces was investigated. Case onsets occurred between October 2017 and May 2018. A retrospective matched case-control study was conducted to identify the likely source of the outbreak. Three matched controls were recruited for each case using a previously established control bank, supplemented by landline and cell phone call lists. Univariate and multivariate matched analyses were conducted to identify a potential outbreak source. Seventy-two per cent of controls were recruited through the control bank, and required on average 25.5 calls per recruited control; 20% of controls were recruited through a landline sample and 8% of controls were recruited through a cell phone sample, requiring an average of 847.3 and 331.7 calls per recruited control, respectively. Results of the analysis pointed to shrimp/prawns (odds ratio (OR) 15.75, p = 0.01) and blackberries (OR 7.21, p = 0.02) as foods of interest, however, an outbreak source could not be confirmed. The control bank proved to be a more efficient method for control recruitment than random call lists. Expanding the control bank size and using alternative methods, such as online surveys, may prove beneficial for increasing the timeliness of a case-control study during an outbreak investigation.Entities:
Keywords: Hepatitis A; case-control study; outbreaks
Year: 2019 PMID: 31711553 PMCID: PMC6873153 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268819001870
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Epidemiol Infect ISSN: 0950-2688 Impact factor: 2.451
Demographic characteristics of cases in the outbreak and cases included in the case-control study
| Variable | All outbreak cases ( | Cases included in the case-control study ( |
|---|---|---|
| Age | ||
| Mean | 41 | 46 |
| Median | 40 | 48 |
| Range | 3–69 | 12–69 |
| Sex | ||
| Male | 9/18 (50%) | 6/12 (50%) |
| Female | 9/18 (50%) | 6/12 (50%) |
| Province | ||
| 1 | 4/18 (22.2%) | 1/12 (8.3%) |
| 2 | 2/18 (11.1%) | 1/12 (8.3%) |
| 3 | 2/18 (11.1%) | 2/12 (16.7%) |
| 4 | 4/18 (22.2%) | 4/12 (33.3%) |
| 5 | 6/18 (33.3%) | 4/12 (33.3%) |
Numbers of controls recruited and calls made for each recruitment method. Control bank recruitment was exhausted before proceeding to the landline and cell phone samples
| Control bank | Random listed landline sample | Random cell phone sample | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of individuals called (i.e. available in bank) | Number of phone calls made | Number of controls recruited (% of category total) | Average number of individuals called per control | Average number of calls per control | Number of individuals called | Number of phone calls made | Number of controls recruited (% of category total) | Average number of individuals called per control | Average number of calls per control | Number of individuals called | Number of phone calls made | Number of controls recruited (% of category total) | Average number of individuals called per control | Average number of calls per control | |
| Controls recruited ( | |||||||||||||||
| 0–19 females ( | 10 | 104 | 3 (100) | 3.3 | 34.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 0–19 males (N/A) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20–49 females ( | 34 | 209 | 4 (67) | 8.5 | 52.3 | 261 | 349 | 2 (33) | 130.5 | 174.5 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20–49 males ( | 22 | 150 | 4 (44) | 5.5 | 37.5 | 1781 | 4694 | 2 (22) | 890.5 | 2347 | 993 | 995 | 3 (100) | 331 | 331.7 |
| 50–69 females ( | 29 | 145 | 7 (78) | 4.1 | 20.7 | 75 | 147 | 2 (22) | 37.5 | 73.5 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 50–69 males ( | 27 | 54 | 8 (89) | 3.4 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 1 (11) | 3 | 1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Total | 122 | 662 | 26 | 4.7 | 25.5 | 2120 | 5931 | 7 | 302.9 | 847.3 | 993 | 995 | 3 | 331 | 331.7 |
Fig. 1.Reasons for exclusion by method of recruitment.
Food frequencies for cases (n = 12) and controls (n = 36) and matched ORs, confidence intervals and p-values for each food item
| Exposed | Not exposed | % Exposed | OR | Lower confidence limit | Upper confidence limit | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food item | Cases | Controls | Cases | Controls | Cases | Controls | ||||
| Meat and seafood | ||||||||||
| Ham deli meat | 6 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 86 | 86 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 11.93 | 1.00 |
| Shrimp or prawns | 8 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 80 | 19 | 15.75 | 1.90 | 130.20 | 0.01 |
| Vegetables | ||||||||||
| Semi-dried tomatoes | 0 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 11 | x | x | ||
| Green onions | 2 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 72 | 0.27 | 0.05 | 1.49 | 0.13 |
| Bagged salad (lettuce in a salad mix) | 7 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 88 | 75 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 4.95 | 1.00 |
| Other bagged salad (e.g. broccoli slaw or coleslaw) | 6 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 75 | 47 | 2.77 | 0.24 | 32.33 | 0.42 |
| Spinach | 6 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 75 | 61 | x | x | x | x |
| Dairy | ||||||||||
| Yogurt | 5 | 28 | 0 | 8 | 100 | 78 | x | x | x | x |
| Fruit | ||||||||||
| Fruit smoothie | 2 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 42 | 2.77 | 0.24 | 32.33 | 0.42 |
| Dried fruits | 7 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 64 | 64 | x | x | x | x |
| Raisins | 3 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 75 | 44 | 1.40 | 0.38 | 5.20 | 0.61 |
| Figs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 50 | 3 | x | x | x | x |
| Dates | 1 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 50 | 11 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 1.44 | 0.12 |
| Dried cranberries | 3 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 75 | 44 | 1.76 | 0.19 | 16.48 | 0.62 |
| Dried apricots | 1 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 50 | 6 | 3.12 | 0.56 | 17.23 | 0.19 |
| Avocado | 5 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 44 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 5.77 | 1.00 |
| Strawberries | 6 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 92 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.59 | 0.01 |
| Fresh strawberries | 5 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 100 | 89 | x | x | x | x |
| Frozen strawberries | 0 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 19 | x | x | x | x |
| Raspberries | 7 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 64 | 78 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 2.07 | 0.32 |
| Fresh raspberries | 6 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 86 | 72 | 4.07 | 0.34 | 48.23 | 0.27 |
| Frozen raspberries | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 14 | 14 | x | x | x | x |
| Blackberries | 8 | 9 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 25 | 7.21 | 1.46 | 35.60 | 0.02 |
| Fresh blackberries | 7 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 88 | 19 | x | x | x | x |
| Frozen blackberries | 1 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 9.61 | 1.00 |
| Blueberries | 10 | 29 | 1 | 7 | 91 | 81 | 2.28 | 0.17 | 30.72 | 0.53 |
| Fresh blueberries | 9 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 90 | 75 | 2.81 | 0.30 | 26.19 | 0.36 |
| Frozen blueberries | 1 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 10 | 14 | 0.57 | 0.06 | 5.33 | 0.62 |
| Other berries | 1 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 11 | 14 | 0.57 | 0.06 | 5.33 | 0.62 |
| Fresh other berries | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 6 | x | x | x | x |
| Frozen other berries | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | x | x | x | x |
OR, odds ratio; x, odds ratio could not be calculated.