| Literature DB >> 31690787 |
Bing Yan1, Ya-Xin Yu2, Yin-Ling Chen3, Wei-Juan Su4, Yin-Xiang Huang1, Mu-Lin Zhang4, Bing-Kun Huang4, Li-Li Han5, Hai-Qu Song6, Xue-Jun Li7,8.
Abstract
Our aim is to assess the optimal cutoff value of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in Chinese women at 24-28 weeks' gestation by performing oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) to improve diagnostic rate of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Data were derived from the Medical Birth Registry of Xiamen. A FPG cutoff value of 5.1 mmol/L confirmed the diagnosis of GDM in 4,794 (6.10%) pregnant women. However, a FPG cutoff value of 4.5 mmol/L should rule out the diagnosis of GDM in 35,932 (45.73%) pregnant women. If we use this cutoff value, the diagnosis of GDM to about 27.3% of pregnant women will be missed. Additionally, a 75-g OGTT was performed in pregnant women with FPG values between 4.5 and 5.1 mmol/L, avoiding the performance of formal 75-g OGTT in about 50.37% pregnant women. Meanwhile, according to maternal age and pre-pregnancy BMI categories, with FPG values between 4.5 mmol/L and 5.1 mmol/L, which had high sensitivity, to improve the diagnostic rate of GDM in all groups. Further researches are needed to present stronger evidences for the screening value of FPG in establishing the diagnosis of GDM in pregnant women.Entities:
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Year: 2019 PMID: 31690787 PMCID: PMC6831585 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-52509-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Characteristics of study population.
| N | Median (min-max) or n (%) | |
|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 77,859 | 28 (18–53) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 77,859 | 20.6 (13.3–44.4) |
| Systolic blood pressure, mmHg | 51,788 | 107 (70–160) |
| Diastolic blood pressure, mmHg | 51,794 | 65 (40–105) |
| Education, No. | 68,066 | 100% |
| ≤9 years | 16,900 | 24.83% |
| >9 years | 511,600 | 75.17% |
| Family history of diabetes, No. | 73,670 | 100% |
| Yes | 1,825 | 2.48% |
| No | 71,845 | 97.52% |
| Family history of hypertension, No | 73,670 | 100% |
| Yes | 3,849 | 5.22% |
| No | 69,821 | 94.78% |
| Fasting glucose in first trimester, mmol/L | 46,183 | 4.7 (2.9–8.7) |
| OGTT at week 24–28, mmol/L | ||
| Fasting glucose | 78,572 | 4.5 (3.0–14.3) |
| 1-h glucose | 78,572 | 7.8 (20–23.2) |
| 2-h glucose | 78,572 | 6.6 (2.5–23.9) |
| Parity, No. | 69,559 | 100% |
| 1 | 32,690 | 47.00% |
| ≥2 | 36,869 | 53.00% |
BMI, body mass index; OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test.
Figure 1The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the participants in this study (the area under the ROC curve was 0.752; 95% CI, 0.747–0.757; SE,0.003; P < 0.001).
Fasting glucose plasma cutoff values of gestational diabetes mellitus diagnosis.
| Cut point (mmol/L) | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | Specificity | FPR | FNR | Youden index | PLR | NLR | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 72457 (92.22) | 0.968 | 0.088 | 0.032 | 0.912 | 0.056 | 1.061 | 0.364 | 0.926 | 0.189 |
| 4.1 | 67954 (86.49) | 0.943 | 0.152 | 0.057 | 0.848 | 0.095 | 1.112 | 0.375 | 0.877 | 0.294 |
| 4.2 | 61580 (78.37) | 0.906 | 0.242 | 0.094 | 0.758 | 0.148 | 1.195 | 0.388 | 0.813 | 0.415 |
| 4.3 | 53896 (68.59) | 0.858 | 0.350 | 0.142 | 0.650 | 0.208 | 1.320 | 0.406 | 0.743 | 0.530 |
| 4.4 | 45030 (57.31) | 0.798 | 0.474 | 0.202 | 0.526 | 0.272 | 1.517 | 0.426 | 0.671 | 0.636 |
| 4.5 | 35932 (45.73) | 0.727 | 0.600 | 0.273 | 0.400 | 0.327 | 1.818 | 0.455 | 0.605 | 0.723 |
| 4.6 | 27585 (35.11) | 0.648 | 0.712 | 0.352 | 0.288 | 0.360 | 2.250 | 0.494 | 0.549 | 0.789 |
| 4.7 | 20454 (26.03) | 0.577 | 0.807 | 0.423 | 0.193 | 0.384 | 2.990 | 0.524 | 0.512 | 0.844 |
| 4.8 | 14554 (18.52) | 0.505 | 0.882 | 0.495 | 0.118 | 0.387 | 4.280 | 0.561 | 0.493 | 0.887 |
| 4.9 | 10122 (12.88) | 0.444 | 0.938 | 0.556 | 0.062 | 0.382 | 7.161 | 0.593 | 0.515 | 0.919 |
| 5.0 | 7056 (8.98) | 0.394 | 0.975 | 0.606 | 0.025 | 0.369 | 15.760 | 0.622 | 0.609 | 0.942 |
| 5.1 | 4794 (6.10) | 0.349 | 1 | 0.651 | 0 | 0.349 | — | 0.651 | 1.000 | 0.959 |
FPR, false positive ratio; FNR, false negative ratio; PLR, positive likelihood ratio; NLR, negative likelihood ratio; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
The receiver operation characteristic curve of the participants among different maternal age.
| Age (years) | GDM (n/%) | No-GDM (n) | Area Under ROC curve | 95CI | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤25 | 1837 (9.6) | 17272 | 0.76 | 0.748–0.775 | 0.007 | <0.001 | |
| 26–30 | 6085 (15.9) | 32140 | <0.001 | 0.74 | 0.730–0.746 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
| 31–35 | 3880 (24.8) | 11744 | 0.74 | 0.730–0.750 | 0.005 | <0.001 | |
| >35 | 1766 (36.0) | 3135 | 0.75 | 0.735–0.765 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; ROC, receiver operation characteristic; CI, confidence intervals; SE, standard error.
Fasting glucose plasma cutoff values of gestational diabetes mellitus diagnosis according to age categories.
| Cutoff point (mmol/L) | ≤ 25 years | 26–30 years | 31–35 years | > 35 years | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | |
| 4.0 | 17077 (89.37) | 0.958 | 0.887 | 35198 (92.08) | 0.966 | 0.912 | 14838 (94.97) | 0.974 | 0.942 | 4719 (96.29) | 0.989 | 0.948 |
| 4.1 | 15714 (82.23) | 0.931 | 0.811 | 32978 (86.27) | 0.938 | 0.849 | 14136 (90.48) | 0.952 | 0.889 | 4567 (93.19) | 0.971 | 0.910 |
| 4.2 | 13850 (72.48) | 0.885 | 0.708 | 29828 (78.03) | 0.897 | 0.758 | 13105 (83.88) | 0.922 | 0.811 | 4287 (87.47) | 0.948 | 0.833 |
| 4.3 | 11712 (61.29) | 0.827 | 0.590 | 25993 (68.00) | 0.841 | 0.649 | 11750 (75.20) | 0.880 | 0.710 | 3943 (80.45) | 0.908 | 0.746 |
| 4.4 | 9423 (49.31) | 0.772 | 0.463 | 21575 (56.44) | 0.779 | 0.524 | 10082 (64.53) | 0.818 | 0.588 | 3475 (70.90) | 0.851 | 0.629 |
| 4.5 | 7194 (37.65) | 0.704 | 0.342 | 17123 (44.80) | 0.706 | 0.399 | 8284 (53.02) | 0.749 | 0.458 | 2948 (60.15) | 0.776 | 0.503 |
| 4.6 | 5224 (27.34) | 0.624 | 0.236 | 13037 (34.11) | 0.626 | 0.287 | 6570 (42.05) | 0.673 | 0.337 | 2434 (49.66) | 0.704 | 0.380 |
| 4.7 | 3641 (19.05) | 0.565 | 0.151 | 9515 (24.89) | 0.554 | 0.191 | 5046 (32.30) | 0.594 | 0.233 | 1938 (38.54) | 0.623 | 0.267 |
| 4.8 | 2397 (12.54) | 0.499 | 0.086 | 6725 (17.59) | 0.488 | 0.117 | 3667 (23.47) | 0.507 | 0.145 | 1475 (30.10) | 0.541 | 0.166 |
| 4.9 | 1579 (8.26) | 0.459 | 0.043 | 4592 (12.01) | 0.428 | 0.062 | 2600 (16.64) | 0.437 | 0.077 | 1093 (22.30) | 0.461 | 0.089 |
| 5.0 | 1074 (5.62) | 0.419 | 0.018 | 3087 (8.08) | 0.381 | 0.024 | 1856 (11.88) | 0.384 | 0.031 | 832 (16.98) | 0.402 | 0.039 |
| 5.1 | 629 (3.62) | 0.377 | 0 | 2061 (5.39) | 0.339 | 0 | 1300 (8.32) | 0.335 | 0 | 631 (12.87) | 0.357 | 0 |
The receiver operation characteristic curve of the participants among different BMI.
| BMI (kg/m2) | GDM (n) | No-GDM (n) | Area Under ROC curve | 95CI | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <18.5 | 1511 (10.5) | 12841 | 0.66 | 0.647–0.680 | 0.008 | <0.001 | |
| 18.5–23.9 | 8657 (16.6) | 43595 | <0.001 | 0.74 | 0.731–0.744 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
| 24.0–27.9 | 2743 (29.1) | 6674 | 0.81 | 0.794–0.815 | 0.005 | <0.001 | |
| ≥28.0 | 657 (35.7) | 1181 | 0.83 | 0.811–0.854 | 0.011 | <0.001 |
BMI, body mass index; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; ROC, receiver operation characteristic; CI, confidence intervals; SE, standard error.
Fasting glucose plasma cutoff values of gestational diabetes mellitus diagnosis according to body mass index categories.
| Cutoff point (mmol/L) | <18.5 kg/m2 | 18.5–23.9 kg/m2 | 24–27.9 kg/m2 | ≥28.0 kg/m2 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | At or above the value, n (%) | Sensitivity | 1-Specificity | |
| 4.0 | 12677 (88.33) | 0.932 | 0.878 | 48318 (92.47) | 0.970 | 0.916 | 9036 (95.95) | 0.989 | 0.948 | 1801 (97.99) | 0.991 | 0.974 |
| 4.1 | 11557 (80.53) | 0.879 | 0.797 | 45349 (86.79) | 0.942 | 0.853 | 8729 (92.69) | 0.981 | 0.905 | 1760 (95.76) | 0.986 | 0.942 |
| 4.2 | 10042 (69.97) | 0.815 | 0.686 | 41123 (78.70) | 0.904 | 0.764 | 8212 (87.20) | 0.962 | 0.835 | 1693 (92.11) | 0.977 | 0.890 |
| 4.3 | 8323 (58.03) | 0.728 | 0.563 | 35920 (68.74) | 0.850 | 0.655 | 7557 (80.25) | 0.935 | 0.748 | 1593 (86.67) | 0.963 | 0.813 |
| 4.4 | 6499 (45.28) | 0.639 | 0.431 | 29912 (57.25) | 0.786 | 0.530 | 6684 (70.98) | 0.894 | 0.634 | 1460 (79.43) | 0.927 | 0.721 |
| 4.5 | 4788 (33.36) | 0.549 | 0.308 | 23695 (45.35) | 0.708 | 0.403 | 5760 (61.17) | 0.847 | 0.515 | 1306 (71.06) | 0.893 | 0.609 |
| 4.6 | 3402 (23.70) | 0.457 | 0.211 | 17950 (34.35) | 0.625 | 0.288 | 4781 (50.77) | 0.785 | 0.394 | 1132 (61.59) | 0.845 | 0.489 |
| 4.7 | 2246 (15.65) | 0.370 | 0.131 | 13049 (25.06) | 0.549 | 0.191 | 3845 (40.83) | 0.720 | 0.280 | 955 (51.96) | 0.798 | 0.365 |
| 4.8 | 1404 (9.78) | 0.300 | 0.074 | 9101 (17.42) | 0.476 | 0.114 | 2974 (31.58) | 0.637 | 0.184 | 785 (42.71) | 0738 | 0.254 |
| 4.9 | 846 (5.89) | 0.255 | 0.036 | 6166 (11.80) | 0.412 | 0.060 | 2214 (23.51) | 0.570 | 0.097 | 638 (34.71) | 0.680 | 0.162 |
| 5.0 | 504 (3.51) | 0.216 | 0.014 | 4141 (7.93) | 0.363 | 0.023 | 1692 (17.97) | 0.511 | 0.043 | 512 (27.86) | 0.635 | 0.080 |
| 5.1 | 288 (2.01) | 0.191 | 0 | 2759 (5.28) | 0.319 | 0 | 1257 (13.35) | 0.335 | 0 | 380 (20.67) | 0.578 | 0 |