| Literature DB >> 31673823 |
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Abstract
We report the results of a survey conducted among ESR members in November and December 2018, asking for expectations about artificial intelligence (AI) in 5-10 years. Of 24,000 ESR members contacted, 675 (2.8%) completed the survey, 454 males (67%), 555 (82%) working at academic/public hospitals. AI impact was mostly expected (≥ 30% of responders) on breast, oncologic, thoracic, and neuro imaging, mainly involving mammography, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance. Responders foresee AI impact on: job opportunities (375/675, 56%), 218/375 (58%) expecting increase, 157/375 (42%) reduction; reporting workload (504/675, 75%), 256/504 (51%) expecting reduction, 248/504 (49%) increase; radiologist's profile, becoming more clinical (364/675, 54%) and more subspecialised (283/675, 42%). For 374/675 responders (55%) AI-only reports would be not accepted by patients, for 79/675 (12%) accepted, for 222/675 (33%) it is too early to answer. For 275/675 responders (41%) AI will make the radiologist-patient relation more interactive, for 140/675 (21%) more impersonal, for 259/675 (38%) unchanged. If AI allows time saving, radiologists should interact more with clinicians (437/675, 65%) and/or patients (322/675, 48%). For all responders, involvement in AI-projects is welcome, with different roles: supervision (434/675, 64%), task definition (359/675, 53%), image labelling (197/675, 29%). Of 675 responders, 321 (48%) do not currently use AI, 138 (20%) use AI, 205 (30%) are planning to do it. According to 277/675 responders (41%), radiologists will take responsibility for AI outcome, while 277/675 (41%) suggest shared responsibility with other professionals. To summarise, responders showed a general favourable attitude towards AI.Entities:
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Machine Learning; Radiologists; Radiology; Surveys and Questionnaires
Year: 2019 PMID: 31673823 PMCID: PMC6823335 DOI: 10.1186/s13244-019-0798-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Insights Imaging ISSN: 1869-4101
Multiple-choice questions related to respondent’s age, sex, radiology subspecialty, most frequently practiced techniques and working status, type of institution, and country
| Question number | Topic | Answers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum number | List | ||
| I | Status | 1 | Medical student, Resident, Radiologist, Engineer/Computer scientist, Physicist, Other |
| II | Working place | 1 | University/Teaching hospital, Hospital, Private practice, Private research centre, Private company, Other |
| III | Gender | 1 | Male, Female |
| IV | Age range | 1 | 18–29 years; 30–39 years; 40–49 years; 50–59 years; 60–69 years; ≥ 70 years |
| V | Home country | 1 | Albania; Austria; Armenia; Belarus; Belgium; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Croatia; Cyprus; Czech Republic; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Georgia; Germany; Greece; Hungary; Iceland; Ireland; Israel; Italy; Kazakhstan; Kosovo; Kyrgyzstan; Latvia; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Macedonia; Malta; Montenegro; Netherlands; Norway; Poland; Portugal; Romania; Russia; Serbia; Slovakia; Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; Turkey; Ukraine; United Kingdom; Uzbekistan |
| VI | Subspecialty | 5 | Breast; Cardiovascular; Emergency; Gastrointestinal/Abdominal; General; Head & Neck; Interventional; Molecular imaging/Nuclear; Musculoskeletal; Neuroradiology; Oncologic imaging; Paediatric; Thoracic; Urogenital |
| VII | Practiced techniques | 5 | Radiography; Mammography; Ultrasound; Angiography/Fluoroscopy; CT; MRI; PET/Nuclear; Hybrid imaging; DXA; Experimental imaging (animal models); Optical imaging; Other |
Multiple-choice questions about user feelings/forecasts in respect to the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) applications in radiological practice in the next 5–10 years
| Question number | Topic | Answers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum number | List | ||
| 1 | Which radiological subspecialties do you foresee will be more influenced by AI in the next 5–10 years? | 3 | Breast; Cardiovascular; Emergency; Gastrointestinal/Abdominal; General; Head & Neck; Interventional; Molecular imaging/Nuclear; Musculoskeletal; Neuroradiology; Oncologic imaging; Paediatric; Thoracic; Urogenital |
| 2 | Which techniques do you foresee will be the most important fields of AI-applications in the next 5–10 years? | 3 | Radiography, Mammography, Ultrasound, Angiography/Fluoroscopy, CT, MRI, PET/Nuclear, Hybrid imaging; DXA; Experimental imaging (animal models); Optical imaging; Other |
| 3 | Which of the following AI applications you think are more relevant as aids to radiological profession? (Up to 3 answers) | 3 | Imaging protocol optimisation; Image post-processing; Detection in asymptomatic subjects (screening); Detection of incidental findings; Lesion characterisation/diagnosis in symptomatic subjects; Staging/restaging in oncology; Support to structured reporting; Quantitative measure of imaging biomarkers; Prognosis; Other |
| 4 | Do you foresee an AI impact on professional radiologist’s life in terms of amount of job positions in the next 5–10 years? | 1 | No; Yes, job positions will be reduced; Yes, job positions will increase |
| 5 | In the next 5–10 years, the use of AI-based applications will make radiologists’ duties | 1 | More technical; More clinical; Unchanged; Other |
| 6 | Do you think that, in the next 5–10 years, the use of AI-based applications will help to report also examinations outside the field of subspecialisation? | 1 | No, radiologists will be more focused on radiology subspecialties; Yes, radiologists will be less focused on radiology subspecialties; The rate of dedication to subspecialties will remain unchanged |
| 7 | Do you foresee an AI impact on professional radiologist’s life in terms of total reporting workload in the next 5–10 years? | 1 | No; Yes, it will increase; Yes, it will be reduced |
| 8 | In the next 5–10 years, who will take the legal responsibility of AI-system output? | 1 | Radiologists; Other physicians ( |
| 9 | In the next 5–10 years, will patients mostly accept a report from AI applications without supervision and approval by a physician? | 1 | Yes; No; Difficult to estimate at present |
| 10 | How will be the relationship between the radiologist and the patient because of AI introduction? | 1 | More impersonal; More interactive; Unchanged |
| 11 | What will be the role of radiologists in developing/validation AI applications to medical imaging? | 2 | None; Provide labelled images; Help in task definition; Develop AI-based applications; Supervise all stages needed to develop an AI-based application |
| 12 | Should radiologists be educated on | 2 | Technical methods, such as machine/deep learning algorithms; Advantages and limitations of AI applications; Clinical use of AI applications; How to get into the driver seat in using AI; How to avoid the use of AI applications; How to survive to AI revolution |
| 13 | If AI will allow to save working/reporting time, should radiologists use the saved time for interacting with | 1 | AI developers ( |
| 14 | Are you utilising AI-based products or services in your clinical practice? | 1 | Yes; No, but planning to utilise; No |
| 15 | Are you involved in research projects on AI-based application development? | 1 | Yes, testing; Yes, developing; No, but planning to be involved; No |
Fig. 1Distribution of survey responders according to age and sex
Fig. 2Geographic distribution of survey responders
Survey responders by country
| Country | Responders | |
|---|---|---|
| Number | Percentage | |
| Italy | 87 | 12.9% |
| Germany | 59 | 8.7% |
| United Kingdom | 56 | 8.3% |
| Spain | 52 | 7.7% |
| Turkey | 41 | 6.1% |
| Netherlands | 30 | 4.4% |
| Switzerland | 29 | 4.3% |
| Sweden | 28 | 4.1% |
| Belgium | 27 | 4.0% |
| France | 26 | 3.9% |
| Norway | 26 | 3.9% |
| Romania | 23 | 3.4% |
| Greece | 19 | 2.8% |
| Denmark | 15 | 2.2% |
| Hungary | 15 | 2.2% |
| Portugal | 15 | 2.2% |
| Finland | 13 | 1.9% |
| Austria | 12 | 1.8% |
| Ukraine | 12 | 1.8% |
| Ireland | 11 | 1.6% |
| Poland | 10 | 1.5% |
| Russia | 9 | 1.3% |
| Slovenia | 8 | 1.2% |
| Croatia | 7 | 1.0% |
| Slovakia | 7 | 1.0% |
| Czech republic | 5 | 0.7% |
| Georgia | 4 | 0.6% |
| Latvia | 4 | 0.6% |
| Serbia | 4 | 0.6% |
| Bulgaria | 4 | 0.6% |
| Estonia | 3 | 0.4% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2 | 0.3% |
| Iceland | 2 | 0.3% |
| Kosovo | 2 | 0.3% |
| Lithuania | 2 | 0.3% |
| Macedonia | 2 | 0.3% |
| Montenegro | 2 | 0.3% |
| Belarus | 1 | 0.1% |
| USA | 1 | 0.1% |
| Total | 675 | 100.0 % |
Fig. 3Distribution of responders. The grey bars represent the number of responders that practice each subspecialty while the green bars represent those who foresaw an impact of AI on each subspecialty. Subspecialties are sorted according to the difference between values of green and grey bars
Fig. 4Distribution of responders. Grey bars represent the number of responders that practiced each imaging modality, while the orange bars represent those who believe that that modality will be used to develop AI applications. Imaging modalities are sorted according to the difference between values of orange and grey bars. PET: positron emission tomography; DXA: dual X-ray absorptiometry; CT: computed tomography; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging
Applications of artificial intelligence in radiology and their corresponding rates by 675 responders.
| Applications | Preferences | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Detection in asymptomatic subjects (screening) | 406 | 60.1% |
| Staging/restaging in oncology | 314 | 46.5% |
| Quantitative measure of imaging biomarkers | 256 | 37.9% |
| Image post-processing | 242 | 35.9% |
| Support to structured reporting | 188 | 27.9% |
| Lesion characterisation/diagnosis in symptomatic subjects | 184 | 27.3% |
| Detection of incidental findings | 156 | 23.1% |
| Imaging protocol optimisation | 128 | 19.0% |
| Prognosis | 59 | 8.7% |
Fig. 5Distribution of answers related to who should take legal responsibility of AI systems outcome