Rasheeda K Hall1,2,3, Hui Zhou4, Kristi Reynolds4, Teresa N Harrison4, C Barrett Bowling2,5. 1. Durham Veterans Affairs Medical Center Healthcare System, Renal Section, Durham, NC. 2. Durham Veterans Affairs Healthcare System, Geriatric Research Education and Clinical Center, Durham VAMC, Durham, NC. 3. Division of Nephrology and, Durham, NC. 4. Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena. 5. Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, NC.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD)-discordant conditions (comorbid conditions with treatment recommendations that potentially complicate CKD management) have higher risk of hospitalization and death. Our goal is to develop a CKD-Discordance Index using electronic health records to improve recognition of discordance. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included Kaiser Permanente Southern California patients aged ≥65 years and older with incident CKD (N = 30,932). To guide inclusion of conditions in the Index and weight each condition, we first developed a prediction model for 1-year hospitalization risk using Cox regression. Points were assigned proportional to regression coefficients derived from the model. Next, the CKD-Discordance Index was calculated as an individual's total points divided by the maximum possible discordance points. The association between CKD-Discordance Index and hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and mortality was accessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model. RESULTS: Overall, mean (SD) age was 77.9 (7.6) years, 55% of participants were female, 59.3% were white, and 32% (n = 9,869) had ≥1 hospitalization during 1 year of follow-up. The CKD-Discordance Index included the following variables: heart failure, gastroesophageal reflux disease/peptic ulcer disease, osteoarthritis, dementia, depression, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma, and having four or more prescribers. Compared to those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0, adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for hospitalization were 1.39 (1.27-1.51) and 1.81 (1.64-2.01) for those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0.001-0.24 and ≥0.25, respectively (ptrend < .001). A graded pattern of risk was seen for emergency department visits and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: A data-driven approach identified CKD-discordant indicators for a CKD-Discordance Index. Higher CKD-Discordance Index was associated with health care utilization and mortality. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America 2019.
BACKGROUND: Older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD)-discordant conditions (comorbid conditions with treatment recommendations that potentially complicate CKD management) have higher risk of hospitalization and death. Our goal is to develop a CKD-Discordance Index using electronic health records to improve recognition of discordance. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included Kaiser Permanente Southern Californiapatients aged ≥65 years and older with incident CKD (N = 30,932). To guide inclusion of conditions in the Index and weight each condition, we first developed a prediction model for 1-year hospitalization risk using Cox regression. Points were assigned proportional to regression coefficients derived from the model. Next, the CKD-Discordance Index was calculated as an individual's total points divided by the maximum possible discordance points. The association between CKD-Discordance Index and hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and mortality was accessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model. RESULTS: Overall, mean (SD) age was 77.9 (7.6) years, 55% of participants were female, 59.3% were white, and 32% (n = 9,869) had ≥1 hospitalization during 1 year of follow-up. The CKD-Discordance Index included the following variables: heart failure, gastroesophageal reflux disease/peptic ulcer disease, osteoarthritis, dementia, depression, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma, and having four or more prescribers. Compared to those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0, adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for hospitalization were 1.39 (1.27-1.51) and 1.81 (1.64-2.01) for those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0.001-0.24 and ≥0.25, respectively (ptrend < .001). A graded pattern of risk was seen for emergency department visits and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: A data-driven approach identified CKD-discordant indicators for a CKD-Discordance Index. Higher CKD-Discordance Index was associated with health care utilization and mortality. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America 2019.
Entities:
Keywords:
Electronic health record; Geriatric nephrology; Hospitalization; Mortality; Multimorbidity
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