Vanessa Puig-Barrachina1, Maica Rodríguez-Sanz2, María Felicitas Domínguez-Berjón3, Unai Martín4, Miguel Ángel Luque5, Miguel Ruiz6, Glòria Perez7. 1. Health Information Systems Service, Barcelona Agency of Public Health, Barcelona, Spain. 2. Area of Research and Teaching, Public Health Agency of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Experimental and Health Sciences, University Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain. 3. Health and Research Report Service, General Directorate of Public Health, Department of Health, Autonomous Community of Madrid, Madrid, Spain. 4. Department of Sociology II, University of País Vasco UPV/EHU, Leioa, Bizkaia, Spain. 5. Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom. 6. Department of Health, Autonomous Community of Andalucia, Sevilla, Spain. 7. Health Information Systems Service, Barcelona Agency of Public Health, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Experimental and Health Sciences, University Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain; Biomedical Research Institute Saint Pau, Barcelona, Spain; CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Spain. Electronic address: gperez@aspb.cat.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To describe trends in fertility in Spain before (pre-recession; 1998-2008) and during (recession period; 2009-2013) the economic crisis of 2008, taking into account women's age and regional unemployment in 2010. METHOD: The study consisted of a panel design including cross-sectional ecological data for the 17 regions of Spain. We describe fertility trends in Spain in two time periods, pre-recession (1998-2008) and recession (2009-2013). We used a cross-sectional, ecological study of Spanish-born women to calculate changes in fertility rates for each period using a linear regression model adjusted for year, period, and interaction between them. RESULTS: We found that compared to the pre-recession period, the fertility rate in Spain generally decreased during the economic recession. However, in some regions, such as the Canary Islands, this decrease began before the onset of the recession, while in other regions, such as the Basque country, the fertility rate continued to grow until 2011. The effects of the recession on the fertility rate are clearly observed in women aged 30-34 years. CONCLUSIONS: The current economic recession has disrupted the positive trend in fertility that began at the start of this century. Since Spain already had very low fertility rates, the further decline caused by the economic recession could jeopardize the sustainability of welfare-state systems.
OBJECTIVE: To describe trends in fertility in Spain before (pre-recession; 1998-2008) and during (recession period; 2009-2013) the economic crisis of 2008, taking into account women's age and regional unemployment in 2010. METHOD: The study consisted of a panel design including cross-sectional ecological data for the 17 regions of Spain. We describe fertility trends in Spain in two time periods, pre-recession (1998-2008) and recession (2009-2013). We used a cross-sectional, ecological study of Spanish-born women to calculate changes in fertility rates for each period using a linear regression model adjusted for year, period, and interaction between them. RESULTS: We found that compared to the pre-recession period, the fertility rate in Spain generally decreased during the economic recession. However, in some regions, such as the Canary Islands, this decrease began before the onset of the recession, while in other regions, such as the Basque country, the fertility rate continued to grow until 2011. The effects of the recession on the fertility rate are clearly observed in women aged 30-34 years. CONCLUSIONS: The current economic recession has disrupted the positive trend in fertility that began at the start of this century. Since Spain already had very low fertility rates, the further decline caused by the economic recession could jeopardize the sustainability of welfare-state systems.
Authors: Deirdre Maria König-Castillo; Johannes Ott; Daniel König; Marlene Hager; Maike Katja Kahr; Georg Dorffner Journal: J Clin Med Date: 2022-02-22 Impact factor: 4.241
Authors: Kun Chu; Ronghui Zhu; Yi Zhang; Wenjuan Pang; Xu Feng; Xiang Wang; Cheng Wu; Ningxia Sun; Wen Li Journal: Front Public Health Date: 2022-06-21