Xiliang Cong1, Sen Li2, Yongle Zhang1, Ziyu Zhu1, Yimin Wang1, Shubin Song1, Yan Ma1, Rui Xie3, Yingwei Xue1. 1. Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, China. 2. Department of General Surgery, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China. 3. Department of Digestive Internal Medicine & Photodynamic Therapy Center, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, China.
Gastric cancer is one of the common aggressive malignant tumors, with a high ratio of tumor recurrence and mortality 1, 2. According to the position of the main tumor, gastric cancer is classified into upper, middle or lower third cancers. Although the pathological characteristics are similar, the position of tumor has an influence on the postoperative quality of life and survival of gastric cancerpatients. Adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG), is a representative malignancy located between the esophagus and stomach, and was originally characterized by Siewert 3. It was well-known to have unique clinicopathological features and biological behavior. In recent decades, the incidence rate of AEG gradually rose globally, particularly in the western countries 4, 5. AEG and upper gastric cancer (UGC) patients undergo surgery, a total gastrectomy is usually required. Recent researches have reported that distal gastrectomy provide a better long-term outcome for distal gastric cancerpatients compared with total gastrectomy 6, 7. Besides some studies have indicated that the prognosis for AEG is worse compare with distal gastric cancerpatients 8. Therefore, it is important to search suitable clinical prognostic factors to supply more accurate and precise evaluates of survival, extremely important in high-fatality malignancies such as AEG. This can both enhance outcomes and decrease costs by better choosing patients for eligible treatment 9.Cancer-related systemic inflammatory response plays an important role in the progression and outcome of tumors 10, 11. We previously reported that systemic immune-inflammation score SII (SII=N×P∕L), which was based on neutrophil (N), platelet (P) and lymphocyte (L) counts, had been demonstrated to be a predictive prognostic indicator in patients with advanced gastric cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy 12. Also, several common inflammation-based prognostic scoring systems, such as the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) have been reported to have prognostic value in various cancers 13-16. In addition, the hemostatic also plays a key role in cancer progression and metastasis 17, 18. Liver-produced fibrinogen is a key factor in the hemostatic cascade. Recent studies have confirmed that fibrinogen correlates with cancer progression, poor response to chemotherapy and adverse prognostic outcome in various malignancies 19-21. Recently, several researches analyzed a new scoring system, that is, combining preoperative fibrinogen and the NLR (F-NLR). F-NLR has been demonstrated to be a significant prognostic marker in several types of cancers, such as non-small cell lung cancer, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and gastric cancer 22-24.Therefore, the current study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of F-NLR in patients with AEG and UGC.
Materials and Methods
Patients
Two independent cohorts comprising 356 consecutive patients with AEG or UGC who underwent curative surgery were enrolled into the present retrospective study from Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital. The training set that included 161 consecutive patients was collected between 2007 and 2011, and the validation set that included 195 consecutive patients was collected between 2012 and 2016 with the same enrolment criteria. The patients enrolled this analysis met the following inclusion criteria: 1) pathologically confirmed adenocarcinoma, 2) no neoadjuvant chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy before operation, 3) complete clinicopathologic parameters and outcome. The major exclusion criteria included: 1) multiple primary malignances, 2) hematological disease, bone marrow disease and autoimmune disease, 3) active infection or other inflammatory disease for nearly 1 month before surgery, 4) death within perioperative period. The Siewert classification was introduced to about tumor position 3. According to previous published reports, 25, 26 AEG was well- defined as Siewert type I, II, and III tumors and tumors with the center was situate exceed 5 cm below the gastroesophageal junction within the upper one third stomach as UGC. Clinicopathological parameters and laboratory inspections of the patients were acquired from the medical records, including sex, age, tumor size, tumor location, histologic differentiation, surgical procedure, pTNM stage and blood cell count. The pTNM stage was according to the 8th TNM classification of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual. Permission for this retrospective cohort research was approved by the ethics committee of Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital.
Evaluation of prognostic scores
Hematological laboratory measurements including neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, monocyte count and fibrinogen concentrations, were extracted from the daily blood test administered in the week before surgery. According to the Youden index by Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the most appropriate cutoff threshold was found as 3.09g/L for plasma fibrinogen and 1.84 for NLR in the training cohort, and was then applied to the validation cohort. For these values, an area under the curve (AUC) as 0.650( 95%CI: 0.565-0.735) and 0.615(95% CI:0.527-0.702), respectively. Similarly, the optimal cutoff values of 110, 451 and 3.25 for PLR, SII and LMR also determined by ROC curve. Based on these cut-off values, the F-NLR score was classified as follows: F-NLR score of 2 [both a hyperfibrinogenemia (≥3.09g/L) and high NLR (≥1.84)], 1 [either hyperfibrinogenemia (≥3.09g/L) or high NLR (≥1.84)], 0 [neither hyperfibrinogenemia nor high NLR].
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was done using SPSS software version 22 (IBM, Armonk, New York, USA). A two-tailed chi-squared test and Spearman-rho test was used to evaluate differences in categorical variables. Differences between the overall survival (OS) generated by the Kaplan-Meier curves were decided using the log-rank test. OS was defined as the time in months between the date of surgery and the date of death or last follow-up. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out by Cox regression models to clarify the independent prognostic factors. Prognostic value and accuracy of the F-NLR prognostic models was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. All P values were quoted two-sided, and a P value of <0.05 was considered to represent statistically significant.
Results
Patient characteristics
Baseline characteristics clinicopathological of patients are illustrated in Table 1. In the training cohort, 161 patients (126 men [78.3%] and 35 women [21.7%]) were included. The median age was 61 (range 34-76) years. The median and mean follow-up duration were 43.7 and 52.6 months, respectively. In the validation cohort, 195 patients (154 men [79.0%] and 41 women [21.0%]) were included. The median age was 62 (range 32-76) years. The median and mean follow-up duration were 49.8 and 54.7 months, respectively.
Table 1
Clinicopathologic characteristics of AEG and UGC patients.
Training set
Validation set
Combined set
Characteristics
Number
%
Number
%
Number
%
All patients
161
100
195
100
356
100
Sex
Female
35
21.7
41
21.0
76
21.3
Male
126
78.3
154
79.0
280
78.7
Age(years)
<60
72
44.7
73
37.4
145
40.7
≥60
89
55.3
122
62.6
211
59.3
Tumor size(cm)
<5
74
46.0
88
45.1
162
45.5
≥5
87
54.0
107
54.9
194
54.5
Location
UGC
95
59.0
132
67.7
227
63.8
AEG
66
41.0
63
32.3
129
36.2
Differentiation
Well/Moderate
38
23.6
50
25.6
88
24.7
Poor
123
76.4
145
74.4
268
75.3
Surgical procedure
Proxima gastrectomy
92
57.1
124
63.6
216
60.7
Total gastrectomy
69
42.9
71
36.4
140
39.3
NLR
<1.84
77
47.8
83
42.6
160
44.9
≥1.84
84
52.2
112
57.4
196
55.1
Fibrinogen (g/L)
<3.09
76
47.2
94
48.2
170
47.8
≥3.09
85
52.8
101
51.8
186
52.2
PLR
<110
76
47.2
78
40.0
154
43.3
≥110
85
52.8
117
60.0
202
56.7
LMR
<3.25
53
32.9
47
24.1
100
28.1
≥3.25
108
67.1
148
75.9
256
71.9
SII
<451
85
52.8
102
52.3
187
52.5
≥451
76
47.2
93
47.7
169
47.5
pTNM stage
I
19
11.8
30
15.4
49
13.8
II
56
34.8
58
29.7
114
32.0
III
86
53.4
107
54.9
193
54.2
F-NLR
0
45
28.0
49
25.1
94
26.4
1
63
39.1
79
40.5
142
39.9
2
53
32.9
67
34.4
120
33.7
Adjuvant chemotherapy
Yes
77
47.8
91
46.7
168
47.2
No
84
52.2
104
53.3
188
52.8
AEG: adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction; UGC: upper gastric cancer; NLR: neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio; PLR: platelet-lymphocyte ratio; LMR: lymphocyte-monocyte ratio; SII: (SII=N×P/L), which was based on neutrophil (N), platelet (P) and lymphocyte (L) counts; F-NLR: combination of fibrinogen concentration and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio.
Due to the limitation of patient number, we combined the training and the validation cohorts to the combined cohort. The relationship between F-NLR and clinicopathological variables is shown in Supplementary Table S1. There was significant correlation of F-NLR with tumor size, PLR, LMR and SII in all 3 cohorts.
Prognostic analysis based on plasma fibrinogen, NLR or F-NLR
We conducted the Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test to determine the survival differences between the groups categorized by fibrinogen, NLR or F-NLR. Patients with hyperfibrinogenemia had a much worse OS than those with low fibrinogen (P<0.001 in all 3 sets; Figure S1A-C). Patients with increased NLR had a poorer OS than those with low NLR (P=0.005 in the training set; P=0.014 in the validation set; P<0.001 in the combined set; Figure S1D-F, respectively). Furthermore, further analysis showed that plasma fibrinogen had a positive and significant correlation with NLR (Table S2).As shown in Figure 1A-C, patients with F-NLR 2 showed compromised OS compared to patients with F-NLR 0 or F-NLR 1 in the training (P< 0.001), validation (P< 0.001) and combined sets (P<0.001).When stratified by pathological TNM stages (I, II and III) were analyzed separately, the OS of patients with F-NLR 0 or F-NLR 1 were higher than those with F-NLR 2 in stages I-II (P=0.030 in the training set; P=0.020 in the validation set; P<0.001 in the combined set; Figure 2A-C, respectively) and stage III (P=0.001 in the training set; P<0.001 in the validation set; P<0.001 in the combined set; Figure 2D-F, respectively).
Figure 1
Survival curves of patients with AEG and UGC according to the combination of fibrinogen concentration and NLR (F-NLR). A-C, Overall survival (OS) of patients with F-NLR=0, F-NLR=1, and F-NLR=2 in the A, training set (n = 161, P <0.001); B, validation set (n = 195, P <0.001); and C, combined set (n = 356, P <0.001). D, Receiver operating characteristic of TNM stage (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.700) vs F-NLR (AUC = 0.717) vs TNM stage +F-NLR (AUC = 0.803)
Figure 2
Survival curves based on the F-NLR of AEG and UGC patients (TNM stage I-III). A-C, Overall survival (OS) of patients with TNM stage I-II with F-NLR=0, F-NLR=1, and F-NLR=2 in the A, training set (P =0.030); B, validation set (P =0.020); and C, combined set (P <0.001). D-E, Overall survival (OS) of patients with TNM stage III with F-NLR=0, F-NLR=1, and F-NLR=2 in the A, training set (P=0.001); B, validation set (P <0.001); and C, combined set (P <0.001).
Univariate and multivariate regression analyses
To identify the independent prognostic indexes for OS, we carried out univariate and multivariate analyses with a Cox proportional hazard model. As shown in Table 2, a high F-NLR score confirmed to be a significant negative prognostic factor in all 3 sets (P<0.001). In addition, tumor size (P<0.001 in all 3 sets), pathological TNM stages(P<0.001 in all 3 sets), PLR (P=0.007 in the training set; P<0.001 in the validation set; P<0.001 in the combined set, respectively), LMR (P=0.015 in the training set; P=0.007 in the validation set; P=0.004 in the combined set, respectively) and SII (P=0.014 in the training set; P<0.001 in the validation set; P<0.001 in the combined set, respectively) was also proved to be significantly associated with OS. Moreover, Age (P=0.023) was identified to be significantly correlated with OS in the training set, as was surgical procedure in the validation set (P=0.049) and in the combined set (P=0.043).These indicators were then included into the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, and we found that only F-NLR (P=0.007; P=0.003; P=0.002; Table 3, respectively) and pathological TNM stages (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors for OS in all 3 sets. Tumor size was independent prognostic factor in the validation set (P=0.024) and in the combined set (P=0.042), but not in the training set (P=0.425).
Table 2
Univariate Cox regression analyse for OS.
Training set
Validation set
Combined set
Characteristics
HR
95%CI
P
HR
95%CI
P
HR
95%CI
P
Sex
0.463
0.367
0.775
Female
1.00
1.00
1.00
Male
0.812
0.467-1.415
1.284
0.746-2.208
1.058
0.719-1.557
Age(years)
0.023
0.869
0.102
<60
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥60
1.733
1.080-2.780
1.037
0.671-1.603
1.305
0.948-1.795
Tumor size(cm)
0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<5
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥5
2.247
1.376-3.670
3.111
1.941-4.988
2.681
1.909-3.764
Location
0.927
0.088
0.083
UGC
1.00
1.00
1.00
AEG
1.022
0.646-1.615
1.461
0.945-2.260
1.320
0.965-1.807
Differentiation
0.243
0.215
0.094
Well/Moderate
1.00
1.00
1.00
Poor
1.402
0.795-2.470
1.379
0.830-2.293
1.381
0.946-2.015
Surgical procedure
0.415
0.049
0.043
Proxima gastrectomy
1.00
1.00
1.00
Total gastrectomy
1.207
0.768-1.898
1.527
1.002-2.326
1.374
1.010-1.870
NLR
0.006
0.015
<0.001
<1.84
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥1.84
1.941
1.207-3.120
1.737
1.113-2.711
1.820
1.316-2.517
Fibrinogen (g/L)
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<3.09
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥3.09
2.546
1.539-4.212
2.606
1.648-4.122
2.598
1.851-3.645
PLR
0.007
<0.001
<0.001
<110
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥110
1.913
1.190-3.076
2.750
1.669 4.533
2.229
1.592-3.122
LMR
0.015
0.007
0.004
<3.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥3.25
0.568
0.360-0.897
0.536
0.340-0.844
0.620
0.449-0.855
SII
0.014
<0.001
<0.001
<451
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥451
1.771
1.122-2.795
2.272
1.478-3.492
2.020
1.478-2.762
pTNM stage
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
I
1.00
1.00
1.00
II
4.133
0.958-17.833
0.057
6.394
1.497-27.299
0.012
3.631
1.433-9.201
0.007
III
12.370 2.969-51.540
0.001
15.255 3.728-62.423
<0.001
9.580
3.910-23.471
<0.001
F-NLR
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0
1.00
1.00
1.00
1
4.029
1.772-9.163
0.001
3.252
1.511-6.998
0.003
2.506
1.502-4.182
<0.001
2
5.604
2.502-12.554
<0.001
5.534
2.604-11.762
<0.001
4.116
2.496-6.785
<0.001
Adjuvant chemotherapy
0.202
0.146
0.106
Yes
1.00
1.00
1.00
No
1.345
0.853-2.121
1.368
0.896-2.088
1.290
0.868-1.608
OS: overall survival; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; UGC: upper gastric cancer; AEG: adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction; NLR: neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio; PLR: platelet- lymphocyte ratio; LMR: lymphocyte-monocyte ratio; SII:(SII=N×P/L), which was based on neutrophil (N), platelet (P) and lymphocyte (L) counts; F-NLR: combination of fibrinogen concentration and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio.
Table 3
Multivariate Cox regression analyse for OS.
Training set
Validation set
Combined set
Characteristics
HR
95%CI
P
HR
95%CI
P
HR
95%CI
P
Age(years)
0.644
<60
1.00
≥60
1.129
0.675-1.886
Tumor size(cm)
0.425
0.024
0.042
<5
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥5
1.257
0.717-2.202
1.784
1.079-2.949
1.455
1.015-2.088
Surgical procedure
0.959
0.730
Proxima gastrectomy
1.00
1.00
Total gastrectomy
1.012
0.650-1.574
1.057
0.772-1.447
PLR
0.612
0.871
0.327
<110
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥110
1.160
0.654-2.058
1.050
0.580-1.900
1.238
0.807-1.900
LMR
0.052
0.113
0.271
<3.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥3.25
0.600
0.359-1.005
0.674
0.414-1.098
0.820
0.576-1.167
SII
0.320
0.715
0.863
<451
1.00
1.00
1.00
≥451
1.403
0.720-2.736
1.105
0.646-1.890
1.040
0.668-1.618
pTNM stage
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
I
1.00
1.00
1.00
II
3.682
0.834-16.250
0.085
5.045
1.155-22.038
0.031
2.774
1.079-7.134
0.034
III
11.304 2.637-48.455
0.001
10.634 2.489-45.433
0.001
6.118
2.418-15.478
<0.001
F-NLR
0.007
0.003
0.002
0
1.00
1.00
1.00
1
3.394
1.417-8.129
0.006
2.860
1.278-6.397
0.011
1.921
1.124-3.283
0.017
2
4.591
1.776-11.866
0.002
4.432
1.880-10.450
0.001
2.764
1.559-4.900
0.001
OS: overall survival; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; UGC: upper gastric cancer; AEG: adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction; PLR: platelet-lymphocyte ratio; LMR: lymphocyte-monocyte ratio; SII:(SII=N×P/L), which was based on neutrophil (N), platelet (P) and lymphocyte (L) counts; F-NLR: combination of fibrinogen concentration and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio.
Extension and accuracy of prognostic models with FNLR
Because of the distinctly prognostic value, we united F-NLR into the pathological TNM staging system to evaluate the practical application of F-NLR. ROC analysis was applied to assess the prognostic accuracy. As shown in Figure 1D, the AUC of pathological TNM stage alone was 0.700 (95% CI: 0.646-0.754) as compared with 0.717 (95% CI: 0.664-0.770) for the F-NLR. When F-NLR were added into the pTNM staging system, the AUC was elevated to 0.803 (95% CI: 0.758-0.848).
F-NLR as a predictor for the choice of postoperative treatment patter in AEG and UGC patients
In the subgroup analysis, we assessed the association between postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and OS. In patients with F-NLR 0/1 could not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in training, validation and combined sets (P=0.827, P=0.483, P=0.500, Figure 3A-C, respectively). However, those patients with F-NLR 2 could benefit greatly from adjuvant chemotherapy (P=0.020, P=0.005, P<0.001, Figure 3D-F, respectively).
Figure 3
Relationship between F-NLR and benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in patents with F-NLR 0-1 and F-NLR 2. Patients with F-NLR 0-1 in the A, training set (P=0.827); B, validation set (P=0.483); and C, combined set (P=0.500). Patients with F-NLR 2 in the D, training (P=0.020) set; E, validation set (P=0.005); and F, combined set (P<0.001).
Discussion
Although with the rapid developments in surgical techniques and adjuvant treatments, the median survival of gastrointestinal malignancies remains unsatisfactory 27. A proper prognostic factor can allow patients with tumors to have an appropriate risk classification and allow for the adequate treatment to be assigned. Cancer progression and prognosis are not just determined by clinical and pathological features of the tumor. Personalized factors can also play a central role in estimate of survival. In our current retrospective study, we investigated the prognostic value of F-NLR score and the relationship between F-NLR and clinicopathological features in the patients with pTNM stages I-III AEG and UGC.Inflammation and immune cells are essential components of the tumor microenvironments. By creating a favorable microenvironment and inhibiting anti-tumor immunity, systemic inflammatory responses of tumor cells are important in tumor growth, progression and metastasis 28. A growing of evidence suggests that systemic inflammation responses are key prognostic indicators 29, 30. The systemic inflammatory response disrupts balance of circulating white blood cell components 31. Thus, it affects the number of neutrophils and lymphocytes in leukocyte during cancer progression. The neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been recognized as a representative prognostic indicator in various malignancies, including gastric cancer 32-34.In addition, more and more studies have demonstrated that the association between haemostatic system and cancer progression in recent years 17, 18. Increasing evidence performs that the activation of the haemostatic cascade plays a crucial pathophysiological role in tumor aggressiveness 35. Fibrinogen is a main acute-phase protein and as an important component of the haemostatic system, has been shown to be a necessary regulator of the systemic inflammatory state and malignancy progression 36.It may mediate the original adhesion of white blood cells to endothelial cells and the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines, thus induce cancer cell proliferation and progression 37. Hyperfibrinogenemia has been confirmed to be a significant prognostic predictor with tumor progression and poor response to chemotherapy in various malignancies 19-21.Therefore, the combination serum fibrinogen and NLR (F-NLR) provides a good prognostic marker for cancerpatients. Fibrinogen alone or NLR may have a limited effect on tumor progression. F-NLR increases the adverse effects of fibrinogen and NLR, ultimately increasing the predictive significance of cancerpatients. Recently, the prognostic value of F-NLR was further demonstrated in various studies. Huang et al 22, proved that preoperative F-NLR scores can be a valuable prognostic marker for patients with early resectable non-small cell lung cancer. Kijima et al 23, reported that the F-NLR score is promising to be a predictor of therapeutic effects and prognosis in patients undergoing esophagectomy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Liu et al 24, demonstrated that F-NLR score independently predicts outcomes of patients with gastric cancer underwent curative surgery, consistent with the findings of our study. In the current study, we proved F-NLR as an independent prognostic factor for OS in AEG and UGCpatients and integrated it into the pathological TNM staging system to improve its prognostic value. When the patients with different pathological TNM stages were analyzed separately, the F-NLR score still displayed potential prognostic value. Furthermore, we also found that the high-risk patients according to F-NLR 2 may benefit from postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Thus, to evaluate the pathological situation of tumor progression, preoperative FNLR levels counted from blood samples should be assessed. The fact that F-NLR score can be obtained from the routine blood sample makes it practical and inexpensive.This study had several shortages. First of all, this study was a single institute, retrospective analysis and could not avoid the bias in population selection. Second, although we restricted some possible mixed factors, the hematologic cell counts can be influenced by several factors. Third, we were short of the follow-up information for disease-free survival, and our conclusions may be reinforced by using other methods of survival.
Conclusion
The preoperative F-NLR score is an independent predictor of survival in patients who underwent curative surgery for AEG and UGC. As it is objectively measured and daily available, which may be a useful clinical biomarker for identifying patients at high prognostic risk and planning individualized treatment strategies for patients with AEG and UGC.Supplementary figure and tables.Click here for additional data file.
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