| Literature DB >> 31594227 |
Harriet J Forbes1, Angel Y S Wong1, Caroline Morton1, Krishnan Bhaskaran1, Liam Smeeth1, Marcus Richards2, Sigrun A J Schmidt3,4, Sinéad M Langan1, Charlotte Warren-Gash1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In the UK, an estimated one third of people with dementia have not received a diagnosis. Good evidence suggests that dementia risk is increased among widowed individuals; however, it is not clear if they are being diagnosed in routine primary care.Entities:
Keywords: Bereavement; Clinical Practice Research Datalink; dementia; diagnosis; epidemiology
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31594227 PMCID: PMC6918907 DOI: 10.3233/JAD-190571
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Alzheimers Dis ISSN: 1387-2877 Impact factor: 4.472
Sensitivity analyses conducted to check our assumptions
| Sensitivity analysis | Justification |
| The primary analysis was repeated excluding patients with memory problems (identified from Read codes) prior to study start. | To reduce the number of patients entering the study with early or undiagnosed dementia. |
| The primary analysis was repeated restricting study start to 1 April 2005. | Recording dementia diagnoses were incentivised through the Quality and Outcomes Framework, a pay-for-performance scheme1, from 2005. |
| The primary analysis was repeated using the latest of two dementia diagnoses on separate dates within one year. | Requiring two dementia diagnoses is in case the first dementia diagnosis was initially misclassified. |
| The primary analysis was repeated restricting to patients with linked data only. | To improve the ascertainment of dementia diagnoses, which may not be as fully captured in primary-care records alone. |
| Predicted risk of death was redefined using terminal disease (identified by primary care and hospital records for terminal disease (as indicated by, e.g., stay at hospice), instead of the Charlson Comorbidity Index. | Charlson comorbidity index was not developed as a tool to predict risk of death, therefore an alternative measure of risk of death was used to substantiate these analyses. |
| We used an alternative control outcome, acute cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke). | To validate the partner bereavement algorithm, as there is a known association between partner bereavement and these outcomes. |
| In a | The rate of dementia diagnosis differs substantially by country (reported proportion with dementia who receive a diagnosis: Wales: 53%, Scotland: 67%, Northern Ireland: 73% and England: 70%)2 therefore we hypothesised that the association may vary by country. |
1. NHS Employers. Quality and outcomes framework. 2. Alzheimer’s Research UK. Dementia statistics hub: Diagnoses in the UK.
Baseline and demographic characteristics by partner bereavement exposure status. Figures are numbers (percentage) unless otherwise stated
| Partner bereavement | No partner bereavement | |
| No of patients | 123793 (100%) | 123793 (100%) |
| CPRD follow-up prior to index date, median (IQR) | 9.8 (6.0–14.0) | 9.4 (5.6–13.7) |
| CPRD follow-up post-index date, median (IQR) | 4.4 (1.9–8.0) | 4.0 (1.7–7.4) |
| Females | 81336 (65.7) | 81336 (65.7) |
| Age in years (median, IQR) | 74.2 (66.9–80.4) | 74.2 (66.9–80.4) |
| Age (years) | ||
| 30–54 | 5681 (4.6) | 5681 (4.6) |
| 55–64 | 19406 (15.7) | 19406 (15.7) |
| 65–75 | 40434 (32.7) | 40434 (32.7) |
| 75–84 | 45536 (36.8) | 45536 (36.8) |
| ≥85 | 12736 (10.3) | 12736 (10.3) |
| Socioeconomic status (practice-level)* | ||
| 1 (least deprived) | 23366 (18.9) | 26265 (21.2) |
| 2 | 21144 (17.1) | 22517 (18.2) |
| 3 | 24207 (19.6) | 25041 (20.2) |
| 4 | 26306 (21.2) | 25119 (20.3) |
| 5 (most deprived) | 28770 (23.2) | 24851 (20.1) |
| Health and lifestyle factors | ||
| Carer | 5952 (4.8) | 1938 (1.6) |
| Marital discord | 1332 (1.1) | 1227 (1.0) |
| BMI category | ||
| Underweight | 3028 (2.4) | 2276 (1.8) |
| Normal Weight | 44690 (36.1) | 45182 (36.5) |
| Overweight | 46941 (37.9) | 49005 (39.6) |
| Obese | 29134 (23.5) | 27330 (22.1) |
| Smoking status | ||
| non-smoker | 54728 (44.2) | 60836 (49.1) |
| current smoker | 19838 (16.0) | 13669 (11.0) |
| ex-smoker | 49227 (39.8) | 49288 (39.8) |
| Alcohol use | ||
| Non-drinker | 14725 (11.9) | 13361 (10.8) |
| Current drinker | 91212 (73.7) | 95118 (76.8) |
| Ex-drinker | 17856 (14.4) | 15314 (12.4) |
| Medical conditions at baseline | ||
| Depression† | 30332 (24.5) | 27500 (22.2) |
| Diabetes | 12933 (10.4) | 11100 (9.0) |
| Hypertension | 57694 (46.6) | 56504 (45.6) |
| Hearing loss | 20656 (16.7) | 20873 (16.9) |
CPRD, Clinical Practice Research Datalink; BMI, body mass index. *Measured by Index of Multiple deprivation score †Measured > 1 year prior to study entry.
Crude rate for dementia diagnosis by exposure to partner bereavement, and unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios, by time since partner bereavement
| No of events | Total person time (person-years) | Crude rate (per 1000 person-years) | Crude HR* (95% CI) | Minimally-adjusted HR** (95% CI) | Adjusted HR† (95% CI) | |
| No partner bereavement | 254 | 30337 | 8.37 (7.40–9.47) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 367 | 30288 | 12.12 (10.94–13.42) | 1.45 (1.23–1.70) | 1.46 (1.24–1.72) | 1.43 (1.20–1.71) |
| No partner bereavement | 497 | 59462 | 8.36 (7.65–9.13) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 626 | 59353 | 10.55 (9.75–11.41) | 1.26 (1.12–1.42) | 1.26 (1.12–1.43) | 1.24 (1.09–1.41) |
| No partner bereavement | 948 | 114201 | 8.30 (7.79–8.85) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 1055 | 114197 | 9.24 (8.70–9.81) | 1.11 (1.02–1.21) | 1.09 (0.99–1.20) | 1.07 (0.97–1.18) |
| No partner bereavement | 1718 | 210785 | 8.15 (7.77–8.55) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 1800 | 212233 | 8.48 (8.10–8.88) | 1.04 (0.97–1.11) | 1.02 (0.95–1.09) | 0.99 (0.92–1.07) |
| No partner bereavement | 3549 | 416015 | 8.53 (8.25–8.82) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 3676 | 428840 | 8.57 (8.30–8.85) | 1.00 (0.96–1.05) | 0.95 (0.90–1.00) | 0.92 (0.87–0.97) |
| Complete follow-up | ||||||
| No partner bereavement | 5697 | 613802 | 9.28 (9.04–9.53) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Partner bereavement | 6520 | 658900 | 9.90 (9.66–10.14) | 1.06 (1.02–1.09) | 0.96 (0.91–1.01) | 0.94 (0.89–0.98) |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval. *Cox model with time in study time scale, and no stratification by matched set. **Cox model with age time scale, stratified by matched set, additionally adjusted for sex, calendar time, IMD and time since bereavement. †Additional adjustment for: BMI, smoking status, alcohol use, depression, diabetes, hearing loss, hypertension and carer status.
Fig.1Adjusted hazard ratios for the association between partner bereavement and diagnosed dementia, by age and calendar time at bereavement and gender of bereaved, stratified by time since bereavement. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval. †Cox model with age timescale, stratified by matched set, additionally adjusted for sex, calendar time, Index of Multiple Deprivation, time since bereavement, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol use, depression, diabetes, hearing loss, hypertension, and carer status.