| Literature DB >> 31583860 |
Apichot So-Ngern1, Sombat Leelasupasri2, Suvatna Chulavatnatol3, Chalermsri Pummangura1, Pakwan Bunupuradah4, Preecha Montakantikul5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Procalcitonin (PCT) is a diagnostic biomarker for bacterial infections in critically-ill patients. However, the cut-off value of PCT for the diagnosis of bacterial infections is unclear and unreliable. This study aimed to determine the optimal cut-off value of PCT for the diagnosis of bacterial infections in critically-ill patients.Entities:
Keywords: Bacterial infections; Critical illness; Diagnosis; Procalcitonin
Year: 2019 PMID: 31583860 PMCID: PMC6779575 DOI: 10.3947/ic.2019.51.3.263
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Infect Chemother ISSN: 1598-8112
Baseline characteristics of patients enrolled in the study
| Variables | Bacterial infections (n = 157) | Non-bacterial infections (n = 154) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male, n (%) | 67 (42.7%) | 63 (40.9%) | 0.752 | |
| Median age, years (IQR) | 75.0 (58.5, 85.0) | 72.5 (60.8, 83.0) | 0.241 | |
| Median length of stay, days (IQR) | 12.0 (6.0, 27.5) | 10.5 (5.8, 19.0) | 0.118 | |
| In-hospital mortality, n (%) | 40 (25.5%) | 20 (13.0%) | 0.005 | |
| Cardiovascular diseases, n (%) | 94 (59.9%) | 92 (59.7%) | 0.981 | |
| Diabetes mellitus, n (%) | 49 (31.2%) | 47 (30.5%) | 0.895 | |
| Cancer, n (%) | 37 (23.6%) | 23 (14.9%) | 0.054 | |
| Solid cancer, n (%) | 34 (21.7%) | 22 (14.3%) | ||
| Hematological cancer, n (%) | 3 (1.9%) | 1 (0.6%) | ||
| Hemodialysis, n (%) | 18 (11.5%) | 15 (9.7%) | 0.621 | |
| Thyroid diseases, n (%) | 9 (5.7%) | 9 (5.8%) | 0.966 | |
| Autoimmune disease, n (%) | 8 (5.1%) | 7 (4.5%) | 0.821 | |
| Asthma or COPD, n (%) | 10 (6.4%) | 12 (7.8%) | 0.625 | |
| Receiving immunosuppressive drugs, n (%) | 32 (20.4%) | 37 (24.0%) | 0.439 | |
| Endotracheal intubation, n (%) | 68 (43.3%) | 66 (42.9%) | 0.935 | |
| Surgical treatment, n (%) | 23 (14.6%) | 36 (23.4%) | 0.050 | |
| Neurosurgery | 9 | 26 | ||
| Abdominal surgery | 7 | 1 | ||
| Orthopedic surgery | 5 | 6 | ||
| Gynecological surgery | 1 | 2 | ||
| Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery | 1 | 1 | ||
| Traumatic patients, n (%) | 2 (1.3%) | 20 (13%) | <0.001 | |
| Median WBC (×103 cells/mm3) (IQR) | 13.8 (9.9, 19.3) | 10.4 (7.9, 13.1) | <0.001 | |
| Having SIRS, n (%) | 139 (88.5%) | 81 (52.6%) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level (ng/mL), (n) (IQR) | (n = 157) 1.90 (0.74, 5.27) | (n = 154) 0.16 (0.08, 0.40) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level in patients with culture-proven infections (ng/mL), (n) (IQR) | (n = 94) 1.71 (0.79, 5.01) | (n = 154) 0.16 (0.08, 0.40) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level in patients with sepsis (ng/mL), (n) (IQR) | (n = 119) 2.66 (1.11, 7.88) | (n = 154) 0.16 (0.08, 0.40) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level in patients with sepsis and positive microbiological culture (ng/mL), (n) (IQR) | (n = 70) 2.01 (1.09, 7.48) | (n = 154) 0.16 (0.08, 0.40) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level in medical patients (n), median (IQR) | (n = 134) 2.05 (0.78, 5.27) | (n = 118) 0.16 (0.09, 0.39) | <0.001 | |
| Median PCT level in surgical patients (n), median (IQR) | (n = 23) 1.52 (0.69, 5.34) | (n = 36) 0.11 (0.07, 0.56) | <0.001 | |
IQR, interquartile range; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases; WBC, white blood cell count; SIRS, systemic inflammation response syndrome; PCT, procalcitonin.
Characteristics of bacterial infections
| Characteristics of bacterial infections | Total (n = 157) | Culture positive (n = 94) | Culture negative (n = 63) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients with bacteremia, n/N (%) | 17/157 (10.8%) | 17/94 (18.1%) | 0% | |
| Patients with sepsis, n/N (%) | 119/157 (75.8%) | 70/94 (74.5%) | 49/63 (77.8%) | |
| Cause of sepsis | ||||
| Pneumonia, n | 58 | 39 | 19 | |
| Urinary tract infections, n | 27 | 21 | 6 | |
| Intra-abdominal infections, n | 18 | 5 | 13 | |
| Skin and soft tissue infections, n | 6 | 1 | 5 | |
| Central nervous system infections, n | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Unknown sourcea, n | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Blood stream infection, n | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Patients without sepsis, n/N (%) | 38/157 (24.2%) | 24/94 (25.5%) | 14/63 (22.2%) | |
| Pneumonia, n | 18 | 11 | 7 | |
| Intra-abdominal infections, n | 4 | 1 | 3 | |
| Urinary tract infections, n | 9 | 8 | 1 | |
| Central nervous system infections, n | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Skin and soft tissue infections, n | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bronchitis, n | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bone infection, n | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
aAll patients met the criteria for sepsis.
Figure 1Receiver operating characteristic curve of procalcitonin for the diagnosis of bacterial infection in critically-ill patients.
Diagnostic performances of procalcitonin
| Population | AUC (95%CI) | Diagnostic accuracy | Cut-off value of PCT (ng/mL) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 2.0 | |||
| Entire population | 0.874 (0.834, 0.914), | Sensitivity (%) | 89.8 | 87.9 | 86.0 | 84.7 | 82.8 | 80.9 | 78.3 | 73.9 | 71.3 | 70.1 | 63.7 | 56.7 | 48.4 |
| Specificity (%) | 61.7 | 68.2 | 75.3 | 79.9 | 81.8 | 83.8 | 87.0 | 87.7 | 89.0 | 90.9 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 94.2 | ||
| PPV (%) | 70.5 | 73.8 | 78.0 | 81.1 | 82.3 | 83.6 | 86.0 | 85.9 | 86.8 | 88.7 | 87.7 | 88.1 | 89.4 | ||
| NPV (%) | 85.6 | 84.7 | 84.1 | 83.7 | 82.4 | 81.1 | 79.8 | 76.7 | 75.3 | 74.9 | 71.1 | 67.6 | 64.2 | ||
| Patients with culture-proven infections (subgroup analysis) | 0.859 (0.809, 0.909), | Sensitivity (%) | 87.2 | 85.1 | 83.0 | 81.9 | 81.9 | 81.9 | 78.7 | 75.5 | 73.4 | 71.3 | 60.6 | 54.3 | 45.7 |
| Specificity (%) | 61.7 | 68.2 | 75.3 | 79.9 | 81.8 | 83.8 | 87.0 | 87.7 | 89.0 | 90.9 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 94.2 | ||
| PPV (%) | 58.2 | 62.0 | 67.2 | 71.3 | 73.3 | 75.5 | 78.7 | 78.9 | 80.2 | 82.7 | 80.3 | 81.0 | 82.7 | ||
| NPV (%) | 88.8 | 88.2 | 87.9 | 87.9 | 88.1 | 88.4 | 87.0 | 85.4 | 84.6 | 83.8 | 79.1 | 76.8 | 74.0 | ||
| Patients with sepsis (subgroup analysis) | 0.922 (0.890, 0.954), | Sensitivity (%) | 96.6 | 95.8 | 93.3 | 93.3 | 90.8 | 89.9 | 87.4 | 84.0 | 81.5 | 80.7 | 72.3 | 65.5 | 56.3 |
| Specificity (%) | 61.7 | 68.2 | 75.3 | 79.9 | 81.8 | 83.8 | 87.0 | 87.7 | 89.0 | 90.9 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 94.2 | ||
| PPV (%) | 66.1 | 69.9 | 74.5 | 78.2 | 79.4 | 81.1 | 83.9 | 84.0 | 85.1 | 87.3 | 86.0 | 86.7 | 88.2 | ||
| NPV (%) | 96.0 | 95.5 | 93.5 | 93.9 | 92.0 | 91.5 | 89.9 | 87.7 | 86.2 | 85.9 | 80.9 | 77.6 | 73.6 | ||
| Patients with sepsis and positive microbiological culture (subgroup analysis) | 0.909 (0.870, 0.949), | Sensitivity (%) | 94.3 | 92.9 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 87.1 | 82.9 | 81.4 | 80.0 | 65.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 |
| Specificity (%) | 61.7 | 68.2 | 75.3 | 79.9 | 81.8 | 83.8 | 87.0 | 87.7 | 89.0 | 90.9 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 94.2 | ||
| PPV (%) | 52.8 | 57.0 | 62.4 | 67.0 | 69.2 | 71.6 | 75.3 | 75.3 | 77.0 | 80.0 | 76.7 | 77.8 | 79.5 | ||
| NPV (%) | 96.0 | 95.5 | 94.3 | 94.6 | 94.7 | 94.9 | 93.7 | 91.8 | 91.3 | 90.9 | 85.4 | 83.5 | 80.6 | ||
| Medical patients (subgroup analysis) | 0.873 (0.828, 0.919), | Sensitivity (%) | 88.8 | 88.1 | 85.8 | 84.3 | 82.1 | 80.6 | 79.1 | 74.6 | 71.6 | 70.1 | 64.2 | 57.5 | 50.7 |
| Specificity (%) | 61.0 | 67.8 | 77.1 | 82.2 | 83.9 | 85.6 | 89.0 | 89.0 | 90.7 | 91.5 | 91.5 | 92.4 | 94.1 | ||
| PPV (%) | 72.1 | 75.6 | 81.0 | 84.3 | 85.3 | 86.4 | 89.1 | 88.5 | 89.7 | 90.4 | 89.6 | 89.5 | 90.7 | ||
| NPV (%) | 82.8 | 83.3 | 82.7 | 82.2 | 80.5 | 79.5 | 78.9 | 75.5 | 73.8 | 73.0 | 69.2 | 65.7 | 62.7 | ||
| Surgical patients (subgroup analysis) | 0.876 (0.790, 0.962), | Sensitivity (%) | 95.7 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 82.6 | 73.9 | 69.6 | 69.6 | 69.6 | 60.9 | 52.2 | 34.8 |
| Specificity (%) | 63.9 | 69.4 | 69.4 | 72.2 | 75.0 | 77.8 | 80.6 | 83.3 | 83.3 | 88.9 | 88.9 | 91.7 | 94.4 | ||
| PPV (%) | 62.9 | 64.5 | 64.5 | 66.7 | 69.0 | 70.4 | 70.8 | 72.7 | 72.7 | 80.0 | 77.8 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||
| NPV (%) | 95.8 | 89.3 | 89.3 | 89.7 | 90.0 | 87.5 | 82.9 | 81.1 | 81.1 | 82.1 | 78.0 | 75.0 | 69.4 | ||
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves; CI, confidence interval; PCT, procalcitonin; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of data from 311 patients
| Independent variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | ||||
| Independent variables associated with PCT level ≥0.5 ng/mL | |||||
| Sepsis | 36.39 (16.61, 79.71) | <0.001 | 24.08 (10.30, 56.34) | <0.001 | |
| Hemodialysis | 5.85 (2.19, 15.58) | <0.001 | 8.89 (2.88, 27.51) | <0.001 | |
| Pneumonia | 9.23 (4.52, 18.84) | <0.001 | 3.41 (1.35, 8.62) | 0.009 | |
| Having SIRS | 3.64 (2.16, 6.14) | <0.001 | 1.46 (0.71, 3.02) | 0.303 | |
| Urinary tract infections | 3.58 (1.58, 8.13) | 0.001 | 1.72 (0.55, 5.37) | 0.350 | |
| WBC ≥12,000 cells/mm3 | 2.03 (1.29, 3.19) | 0.002 | 1.06 (0.55, 2.06) | 0.861 | |
| Cancer | 1.12 (0.64, 1.97) | 0.695 | |||
| Surgery | 0.91 (0.52, 1.61) | 0.747 | |||
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; PCT, procalcitonin; SIRS, systemic inflammation response syndrome; WBC, white blood cell count.