| Literature DB >> 31564051 |
Colleen L Seymour1,2, Lindsey Gillson3, Matthew F Child4,5, Krystal A Tolley4,6, Jock C Curie4,7, Jessica M da Silva4,8, Graham J Alexander9, Pippin Anderson10, Colleen T Downs11, Benis N Egoh12, David A Ehlers Smith11, Yvette C Ehlers Smith11, Karen J Esler13, Patrick J O'Farrell14,15, Andrew L Skowno4,3, Essa Suleman16,17, Ruan Veldtman4,18.
Abstract
A horizon scan was conducted to identify emerging and intensifying issues for biodiversity conservation in South Africa over the next 5-10 years. South African biodiversity experts submitted 63 issues of which ten were identified as priorities using the Delphi method. These priority issues were then plotted along axes of social agreement and scientific certainty, to ascertain whether issues might be "simple" (amenable to solutions from science alone), "complicated" (socially agreed upon but technically complicated), "complex" (scientifically challenging and significant levels of social disagreement) or "chaotic" (high social disagreement and highly scientifically challenging). Only three of the issues were likely to be resolved by improved science alone, while the remainder require engagement with social, economic and political factors. Fortunately, none of the issues were considered chaotic. Nevertheless, strategic communication, education and engagement with the populace and policy makers were considered vital for addressing emerging issues.Entities:
Keywords: Biodiversity futures; Consensus and scientific knowledge; Delphi approach; Future scenarios; Step changes; Threats and opportunities
Mesh：
Year: 2019 PMID： 31564051 PMCID： PMC7128016 DOI： 10.1007/s13280-019-01252-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ambio ISSN： 0044-7447 Impact factor: 5.129