| Literature DB >> 31555584 |
Tristan Baguet1, Jeroen Verhoeven1, Filip De Vos1, Ingeborg Goethals2.
Abstract
Background and Purpose: Glioblastomas are the most aggressive of all gliomas. The prognosis of these gliomas, which are classified as grade IV tumors by the World Health Organization (WHO), is poor. Combination therapy, including surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy has variable outcomes and is expensive. In light of rising healthcare costs, there are societal demands for the justification of medical expenses. Therefore, we calculated the cost-effectiveness of follow-up [18F] fluoroethyl-L-tyrosine ([18F] FET) positron emission tomography (PET) scans performed on patients with glioblastoma after surgery and before commencing temozolomide maintenance treatment. Materials andEntities:
Keywords: [18F] fluoroethyl-L-tyrosine; cost-effectiveness; glioblastoma; positron emission tomography; temozolomide
Year: 2019 PMID: 31555584 PMCID: PMC6722181 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2019.00814
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Patients' characteristics: MRI and PET data for scans 1 and 2 conducted on each patient [Source: (12)].
| 1 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0 | 2.6 | / | / | 16.1 | 1 | 14.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 14.2 | 22.0 | 0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0 | 9.3 | 0 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 3 | / | 14.8 | / | 3.5 | 4.6 | 0 | 5.6 | 0 | 5.1 | 0 |
| 4 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1 | 22.8 | 1 | 9.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 31.6 | 5.2 | 1 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.9 | 0 | 5.4 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0 | 28.5 | 1 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 7 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1 | 28.5 | 1 | 19.3 | 1 |
| 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 14.8 | 1 | 13.9 | 1 |
| 9 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 0 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0 | 9.3 | 0 | 4.7 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 16.1 | 1 | 5.3 | 0 |
| 11 | 16.8 | 8.7 | 1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 28.7 | 1 | 28.7 | 1 |
| 13 | 5.2 | / | / | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 8.5 | 0 | 5.5 | 0 |
| 14 | 19.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 10.5 | 1 | 5.2 | 0 |
| 15 | 6.8 | / | / | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 14.8 | 1 | 10.3 | 1 |
| 16 | 19.5 | 3.9 | 1 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 1 | 14.3 | 1 | 3.3 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 1 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 15.4 | 1 | 12.9 | 1 |
| 18 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 9.8 | 0 | 7.8 | 1 |
| 19 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 20.9 | 1 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 20 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 8.2 | 0 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 21 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 9.9 | 0 | 5.8 | 0 |
| 22 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0 | 13.8 | 1 | 3.8 | 0 |
| 23 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0 | 15.7 | 1 | 15.7 | 1 |
| 24 | 6.5 | / | / | 2.5 | / | / | 6.8 | 0 | 5.2 | 0 |
| 25 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 13.3 | 1 | 13.3 | 1 |
Criteria for MRI scan: R, Responder (Gd vol 2 < 1); NR, Non-responder (Gd vol 2 > 1). Status 1 = R; Status 2 = NR.
Criteria for PET scan: R, Responder (TBR.
Criteria for OS scan: R, Responder (OS > 10 months); NR, Non-responder (OS < 10 months). Status 1 = R; status 2 = NR.
Criteria for PFS scan: R, Responder (PFS > 6 months); NR, Non-responder (PFS < 6 months). Status 1 = R; status 2 = NR.
/, data not available.
Figure 1Decision tree based on overall survival patients. 23 patients were available for PET analysis and 21 for MRI analysis. N1 & N2 gave chance node to be responder (R) for, respectively, PET and MRI. Chance nodes N3 & N5 gave the chance to be a real responder (RR) with PET and MRI. N4 and N6 gave the chance to be real non-responder (RNR) for PET and MRI. Non-responder (NR); non-real responder (NRR); and non-real non-responder (NRNR) are equal to 1 minus the chance to be R; RR and RNR. N = number patients. P in most right transparent framework gives the total chance to this event (is calculated by multiplying the previous two chance nodes).
Figure 2Decision tree based on progression free survival patients. 23 patients were available for PET analysis and 21 for MRI analysis. N1 & N2 gave chance node to be responder (R) for, respectively, PET and MRI. Chance nodes N3 & N5 gave the chance to be a real responder (RR) with PET and MRI. N4 and N6 gave the chance to be real non-responder (RNR) for PET and MRI. Non-responder (NR); non-real responder (NRR); and non-real non-responder (NRNR) are equal to 1 minus the chance to be R; RR and RNR. N = number patients. P in most right transparent framework gives the total chance to this event (is calculated by multiplying the previous two chance nodes).
Chance node intervals for decision tree 1 based on the overall survival rate and for decision tree 2 based on the progression-free survival rate developed for the one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis.
| N1 | 0.2848 | 0.5848 | 0.2848 | 0.5848 |
| N2 | 0.5167 | 0.8167 | 0.5167 | 0.8167 |
| N3 | 0.9250 | 1.0000 | 0.6250 | 0.7750 |
| N4 | 0.6173 | 0.7673 | 0.4635 | 0.6135 |
| N5 | 0.6393 | 0.7893 | 0.4250 | 0.5750 |
| N6 | 0.3536 | 0.5036 | 0.0679 | 0.2179 |
| # scans | 5,062 | 6,189 | 5,062 | 6,189 |
An interval of 30 percent points was chosen for chance nodes one and two while an interval of 15 percent points was chosen for chance nodes three and four.
Input variables used in a Monte Carlo analysis.
| # scans | 5,626 | 287 | 5,626 | 287 |
| N1 | 0.4348 | 0.0750 | 0.4348 | 0.0750 |
| N2 | 0.6667 | 0.0750 | 0.6667 | 0.0750 |
| N3 | 1.0000 | 0.0375 | 0.7000 | 0.0375 |
| N4 | 0.6923 | 0.0375 | 0.5385 | 0.0375 |
| N5 | 0.7143 | 0.0375 | 0.5000 | 0.0375 |
| N6 | 0.4286 | 0.0375 | 0.1429 | 0.0375 |
Calculated values and their standard deviations are shown for each variable applied in the cost-effectiveness analysis.
Effect of the number of scans performed annually on the cost of [18F] FET-based follow-up therapy.
| Number of scans | 5,063 | 6,189 |
| Cost [18F] fluoroethyl-L-tyrosine | 813.20 euros | 735.74 euros |
Data used for decision tree 1 (overall survival rate) and decision tree 2 (progression-free survival rate) in the one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis.
| N1 | 0.2848 | 0.5848 | 0.2848 | 0.5848 |
| P event | 0.5714 | 0.5714 | 0.6934 | 0.4353 |
| N2 | 0.5167 | 0.8167 | 0.5167 | 0.8167 |
| P event | 0.4161 | 0.7481 | 0.4891 | 0.6397 |
| N3 | 0.9250 | 1.0000 | 0.6250 | 0.7750 |
| P event | 0.4945 | 0.5714 | 0.5262 | 0.6318 |
| N4 | 0.6173 | 0.7673 | 0.4635 | 0.6135 |
| P event | 0.5714 | 0.5714 | 0.5426 | 0.6017 |
| N5 | 0.6393 | 0.7893 | 0.4250 | 0.5750 |
| P event | 0.6273 | 0.4958 | 0.5895 | 0.5561 |
| N6 | 0.3536 | 0.5036 | 0.0679 | 0.2179 |
| P event | 0.6178 | 0.5316 | 0.6365 | 0.5211 |
A change in effectiveness was observed for every change in a chance node.
Figure 3Tornado diagram of the cost-effectiveness ratio for decision tree one (left), based on overall survival (OS) and two (right), based on progression free survival (PFS).
Figure 4Monte Carlo simulation of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for decision tree one (left), based on overall survival and two (right), based on progression free survival. The chart shows the relative frequency of the probability on a certain incremental cost-effectiveness.
Data obtained from the Monte Carlo analysis conducted for decision tree 1.
| Average | 781.2 | 0.5582 | 1,444 |
| Maximum | 851.2 | 0.9207 | 3,531 |
| Minimum | 726.8 | 0.2242 | 837 |
| Standard deviation | 15.2 | 0.0957 | 273.5 |
Average, maximum values, minimum values, and their standard deviations, were obtained for the following parameters: cost of [.
Data obtained from the Monte Carlo analysis conducted for decision tree 2.
| Average | 781.1 | 0.5704 | 1,405 |
| Maximum | 846.2 | 0.8208 | 3,083 |
| Minimum | 733.4 | 0.2458 | 948 |
| Standard deviation | 15.3 | 0.0862 | 241.8 |
The average, maximum, and minimum values, and their standard deviations, were obtained for the following parameters: cost of [.