| Literature DB >> 31467891 |
Ao Jiao1,2, Qingpeng Liu1, Feng Li1, Rui Guo1, Bowen Wang1, Xianliang Lu1, Ning Sun1, Chengshuo Zhang1, Xiaohang Li1, Jialin Zhang1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major and severe complication following donation-after-circulatory-death (DCD) liver transplantation (LT) and is associated with increased postoperative morbidity and mortality. However, the risk factors and the prognosis factors of AKI still need to be further explored, and the relativity of intraoperative hepatic blood inflow (HBI) and AKI following LT has not been discussed yet. The purpose of this study was to investigate the correlation between HBI and AKI and to construct a prediction model of early acute kidney injury (EAKI) following DCD LT with the combination of HBI and other clinical parameters.Entities:
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Year: 2019 PMID: 31467891 PMCID: PMC6699273 DOI: 10.1155/2019/4572130
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Biomed Res Int Impact factor: 3.411
Patients characteristics and perioperative parameters by KDIGO classification.
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| non-EAKI (n=74) | EAKI (n=31) |
| non-EAKI (n=21) | EAKI (n=6) |
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| Age, years | 50 [43-57] | 53 [48-58] | 0.066 | 48 [42-53] | 52 [45-60] | 0.458 |
| Female, n | 17 (23.0) | 7 (22.6) | 0.965 | 6 (28.6) | 2 (33.3) | 1.000 |
| Height, cm | 170 [165-175] | 170 [165-175] | 0.816 | 172 [170-176] | 173 [163-177] | 0.716 |
| Weight, kg | 65 [58-77] | 65 [60-75] | 0.737 | 68 [62-74] | 66 [63-69] | 0.533 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 22.9 [20.4-26.1] | 22.2 [21.7-24.4] | 0.645 | 22.3 [21.5-23.8] | 23.3 [22.0-24.3] | 0.971 |
| BSA, m2 | 1.76 [1.63-1.91] | 1.77 [1.65-1.91] | 0.778 | 1.81 [1.72-1.92] | 1.81 [1.69-1.84] | 0.619 |
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| Hypertension, n | 4 (5.4) | 2 (6.5) | 0.802 | 0 (0.0) | 1 (16.7) | 0.222 |
| Diabetes mellitus, n | 9 (12.2) | 6 (19.4) | 0.512 | 4 (19.0) | 2 (33.3) | 0.588 |
| Smoking, n | 16 (21.6) | 9 (29.0) | 0.416 | 6 (28.6) | 2 (33.3) | 1.000 |
| Alcoholic liver cirrhosis, n | 5 (6.8) | 1 (3.2) | 0.802 | 1 (4.8) | 1 (16.7) | 0.402 |
| HBV hepatitis, n | 52 (70.3) | 22 (71.0) | 0.943 | 12 (57.1) | 4 (66.6) | 1.000 |
| HCV hepatitis, n | 7 (9.5) | 2 (6.5) | 0.904 | 2 (9.5) | 1 (16.7) | 0.545 |
| Liver tumor, n | 31 (41.9) | 6 (19.4) | 0.027 | 6 (28.6) | 0 (0.0) | 0.284 |
| Cholestatic disease, n | 6 (8.1) | 5 (16.1) | 0.382 | 2 (9.5) | 0 (0.0) | 1.000 |
| Hepatic encephalopathy, n | 12 (16.2) | 10 (32.3) | 0.065 | 2 (9.5) | 1 (16.7) | 0.545 |
| Serum albumin level, g/L | 31.5 [27.5-36.0] | 30.0 [25.5-32.4] | 0.122 | 36.1 [31.5-38.1] | 32.7 [27.8-37.8] | 0.585 |
| Total bilirubin, | 33.7 [20.1-75.5] | 78.1 [39.3-273.9] | 0.003 | 39.7 [21.9-99.7] | 136.3 [103.5-191.4] | 0.031 |
| Prothrombin time, s | 18.6 [15.7-25.1] | 21.4 [18.3-25.7] | 0.152 | 17.0 [15.3-19.4] | 25.1 [22.3-28.3] | 0.010 |
| MELD score | 12.6 [9.1-20.9] | 17.8 [12.6-21.8] | 0.015 | 13.2 [9.4-18.6] | 21.5 [20.4-24.9] | 0.031 |
| CTP score | 9 [7-11] | 10 [10-11] | 0.003 | 8 [6-9] | 10 [10-11] | 0.012 |
| Child class, n (A/ B/ C) | 16/24/34 | 1/8/22 | 0.020 | 7/9/5 | 0/0/6 | 0.003 |
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| Preoperative serum creatinin, | 62.0 [52.3-74.8] | 65.0 [54.0-78.5] | 0.421 | 61.0 [53.0-95.0] | 56.0 [51.3-57.8] | 0.122 |
| Preoperative estimated | 129.6 | 118.5 | 0.369 | 108.8 | 154.6 | 0.092 |
| GFR, ml/min/1.73 m2 | [105.0-161.7] | [98.9-147.7] | [78.4-152.6] | [139.7-172.7] | ||
| Preoperative blood urea | 5.20 | 4.80 | 0.464 | 5.94 | 3.75 | 0.216 |
| nitrogen, mmol/L | [4.00-7.17] | [4.10-6.29] | [4.83-6.50] | [3.01-5.66] | ||
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| Warm ischemic time, s | 180 [150-180] | 180 [150-195] | 0.623 | 270 [180-300] | 300 [210-300] | 0.630 |
| Cold ischemic time, min | 493 [413-554] | 540 [445-647] | 0.028 | 440 [385-510] | 418 [385-540] | 0.883 |
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| Operation time, min | 533 [480-600] | 590 [530-678] | 0.015 | 540 [480-600] | 570 [518-690] | 0.357 |
| Anhepatic phase, min | 103 [90-116] | 112 [107-136] | 0.002 | 80 [75-92] | 95 [92-103] | 0.152 |
| Norepinephrine use, n | 6 (8.1) | 4 (12.9) | 0.690 | 1 (4.8) | 0 (0.0) | 1.000 |
| pRBC transfusion, mL | 2800 [1275-4400] | 4800 [2200-6450] | 0.005 | 3200 [2000-4800] | 4800 [2650-7400] | 0.255 |
| FFP transfusion, mL | 1000 [600-1950] | 1400 [900-2700] | 0.066 | 1200 [550-2000] | 2650 [1150-4000] | 0.129 |
| Platelet transfusion, units | 0 [0-0] | 0 [0-0] | 0.357 | 0 [0-1] | 0 [0-2] | 0.857 |
| Cryoprecipitate transfusion, units | 0 [0-10] | 10 [0-10] | 0.035 | 0 [0-20] | 15 [3-20] | 0.378 |
| PVF, mL/min | 1730 [1385-2237] | 1444 [1068-1898] | 0.015 | 1670 [1200-2400] | 1122 [1023-1183] | 0.036 |
| PVF/height, mL/min/cm | 10.12 [8.35-13.22] | 8.11 [6.33-10.76] | 0.012 | 9.82 [7.26-13.34] | 6.575 [6.06-7.04] | 0.026 |
| PVF/weight, mL/min/kg | 27.59 [20.26-34.92] | 20.23 [17.45-28.50] | 0.013 | 26.94 [20.40-33.75] | 16.86 [15.48-18.16] | 0.026 |
| PVF/BMI, m2·mL/min/kg | 76.72 [58.29-104.11] | 61.94 [48.33-77.44] | 0.018 | 77.86 [58.54-103.36] | 47.66 [42.70-53.52] | 0.036 |
| PVF/BSA, mL/min/m2 | 1000.0 [779.2-1243.4] | 788.0 [643.1-1029.2] | 0.009 | 970.9 [734.3-1279.9] | 627.7 [588.4-681.2] | 0.015 |
| HAF, mL/min | 149.0 [106.8-214.5] | 165.0 [106.2-215.5] | 0.905 | 226.0 [142.0-280.0] | 167.0 [113.4-214.6] | 0.431 |
| HAF/height, mL/min/cm | 0.86 [0.62-1.24] | 0.98 [0.61-1.23] | 0.905 | 1.28 [0.81-1.60] | 0.94 [0.70-1.20] | 0.254 |
| HAF/weight, mL/min/kg | 2.20 [1.63-3.22] | 2.49 [1.47-3.12] | 0.886 | 3.21 [2.26-4.31] | 2.47 [1.76-3.09] | 0.408 |
| HAF/BMI, m2·mL/min/kg | 6.38 [4.50-8.88] | 7.00 [4.07-9.62] | 0.855 | 9.39 [5.96-12.74] | 7.57 [4.67-10.13] | 0.196 |
| HAF/BSA, mL/min/m2 | 83.38 [58.27-122.63] | 96.13 [54.88-116.29] | 0.902 | 134.64 [74.47-153.37] | 91.16 [66.86-114.27] | 0.260 |
| HBI, mL/min | 1899 [1570-2457] | 1656 [1215-2082] | 0.015 | 2170 [1480-2575] | 1260 [1224-1318] | 0.042 |
| HBI/height, mL/min/cm | 11.32 [9.43-14.32] | 9.30 [7.23-11.99] | 0.010 | 12.76 [9.22-14.97] | 7.62 [7.39-7.80] | 0.036 |
| HBI/weight, mL/min/kg | 30.05 [22.00-38.91] | 24.01 [19.33-31.79] | 0.014 | 29.63 [23.77-36.68] | 19.61 [18.71-20.20] | 0.049 |
| HBI/BMI, m2·mL/min/kg | 86.84 [63.64-111.89] | 68.71 [51.98-88.65] | 0.014 | 94.36 [68.69-111.31] | 54.67 [49.78-58.68] | 0.044 |
| HBI/BSA, mL/min/m2 | 1098.6 [895.2-1377.7] | 850.0 [702.8-1158.1] | 0.006 | 1207.3 [858.9-1418.1] | 731.1 [705.9-762.8] | 0.036 |
| Urine volume, mL | 1300 [800-2000] | 1300 [725-1725] | 0.621 | 1300 [750-2000] | 1000 [650-1180] | 0.515 |
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| Tacrolimus use, n | 71 (95.9) | 31 (100.0) | 0.553 | 20 (95.2) | 6 (100.0) | 1.000 |
| Cyclosporine use, n | 3 (4.1) | 0 (0.0) | 0.553 | 1 (4.8) | 0 (0.0) | 1.000 |
BMI = body-mass index; BSA = body surface area; MELD = model for end-stage liver disease; CTP = Child-Turcotte-Pugh; GFR = glomerular filtration rate; pRBC = packed red blood cells; FFP = fresh frozen plasma; PVF = intraoperative mean portal vein flow; HAF = intraoperative mean hepatic artery flow; HBI = intraoperative mean hepatic blood inflow; Warm ischemic time: from no heartbeat to cold perfusion; Cold ischemic time: from cold perfusion to liver blood supply restored.
Figure 1EAKI predictors screened in the development cohort using LASSO regression. (a) Selection of tuning parameter (λ) in the LASSO regression via 10-fold cross-validation in the development cohort. Binomial deviances from the LASSO regression's cross-validation procedure were plotted as a function of log(λ). λ is the tuning parameter. Y-axis indicates binomial deviances. The lower x-axis indicates log(λ). Numbers along the upper x-axis represent the average number of predictors. Red dots indicate average deviance values for each model with given λ, and vertical bars through the red dots show the upper and lower values of the deviances. The vertical black lines define the optimal values of λ, where the model provides its best fits to the data. Lambda.min corresponds to the λ which minimizes mean squared error and was used for variable selection. Lambda.1se corresponds to the λ that is one standard error from the lambda.min. (b) LASSO coefficients produced by the regression analysis (in (a)). A vertical line at x-axis with log (λ) = -2.434 was generated based on the one standard error criteria in 10-fold cross-validation procedure. The 6 resulting predictors with nonzero coefficients were indicated in the plot.
Prediction model.
| Variables from LASSO | Model A | Model B | |||||||
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| Coef | 95%CI | p-value | Coef | 95%Cl | p-value | Coef | 95%Cl | p-value |
| CTP score | 0.32 | (0.12, 0.55) | 0.003 | 0.29 | 0.05, 0.56 | 0.022 | 0.26 | (0.03, 0.52) | 0.033 |
| CIT / 100 | 0.45 | (0.10, 0.83) | 0.015 | 0.30 | -0.16, 0.78 | 0.211 | |||
| AP /10 | 0.30 | (0.12, 0.50) | 0.002 | 0.16 | -0.07, 0.41 | 0.185 | 0.27 | (0.07, 0.50) | 0.014 |
| HBI / h | -0.17 | (-0.30, -0.05) | 0.008 | -0.28 | -0.47,-0.13 | 0.001 | -0.26 | (-0.45, -0.11) | 0.002 |
| OT / 100 | 0.58 | (0.19, 1.01) | 0.005 | 0.37 | -0.18, 0.99 | 0.212 | |||
| pRBC /1000 | 0.20 | (0.07, 0.35) | 0.005 | 0.19 | 0.01, 0.39 | 0.051 | 0.21 | (0.03, 0.40) | 0.027 |
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| 101.54 | 101.84 | |||||||
Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness of fit (GOF) test.
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| X-squared | df | p-value | |
| Model A | 8.068 | 8 | 0.427 |
| Model B | 5.473 | 8 | 0.706 |
Figure 2ROC curves for prediction of EAKI by the models. (a) Development cohort. The C-index of each model is 0.847 [95% CI, 0.765-0.928] in model A; 0.823 [95% CI, 0.738-0.908] in model B. (b) Validation cohort. The C-index of each model is 0.921 [95% CI, 0.809-1.000] in model A; 0.921 [95% CI, 0.816-1.000] in model B.
The C-index of the models.
| Model | Development cohort | Validation cohort |
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| C-index (95%CI) | C-index (95%CI) | |
| Model A | 0.847 (0.765-0.928) | 0.921 (0.809-1.000) |
| Model B | 0.823 (0.738-0.908) | 0.921 (0.816-1.000) |
| Comparison of AUC | 0.167 | 1.000 |
Figure 3Calibration curves of models. (a-d) A calibration curve was plotted to compare the agreement between observed outcomes (Y-axis) and the predictions of the model (X-axis). (a) Calibration curves of model A in the development cohort. (b) Calibration curves of model A in the validation cohort. (c) Calibration curves of model B in the development cohort. (d) Calibration curves of model B in the validation cohort.
Figure 4The nomogram of model B for predicting incidence of EAKI following DCD LT. CTP score, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score; AP, anhepatic phase, min; pRBC, packed red blood cells transfusion, ml; HBI/h, hepatic blood inflow indexed by height, ml/min/cm. Draw an upward vertical line to the “Points” bar to calculate points. Based on the sum, draw a downward vertical line from the “Total Points” line to calculate EAKI possibility after DCD LT.