| Literature DB >> 31426341 |
Kimberly A Houser1, E Rely Vîlcică2, Christine A Saum3, Matthew L Hiller2.
Abstract
Parole decision-the decision to release an incarcerated individual from prison conditionally-is one of the most critical decisions across justice systems around the world. The decision carries with it significant consequences: for the freedom of the individual awaiting release (the parolee); for the safety of the community in which they will return; and for the correctional system overall, especially its organizational capacity. The current study attempts to add to the parole decision-making literature by specifically analyzing the role that mental health factors may play in explaining parole decisions. Research to date is inconclusive on whether or not mental illness is a risk factor for criminal behavior; despite this, individuals with mental health problems generally fare worse on risk assessment tools employed in justice decisions. The study relies on a 1000+ representative sample of parole-eligible individuals in Pennsylvania, United States. To increase reliability, the analyses test for several mental health factors based on information from different sources (i.e., self-reported mental health history; risk assessment tool employed by the Parole Board; and risk assessment tool employed by the Department of Corrections). To address validity concerns, the study controls for other potential correlates of parole decisions. Although the multivariate models explained a considerable amount of variance in parole decisions, the inclusion of mental health variables added relatively little to model fit. The results provide insights into an understudied area of justice decision making, suggesting that despite the stigmatization of mental illness among criminal justice populations, parole board members in Pennsylvania, United States, appear to follow official guidelines rather than to consider more subjective notions that poor mental health should negate parole release.Entities:
Keywords: United States; mental health; parole decision making; prison release
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31426341 PMCID: PMC6720969 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16162950
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Heuristic of the Pennsylvania parole decision-making process.
Sample (n = 1172).
| Sample Characteristic | Count | % or Mean |
|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||
| Male | 1079 | 92.1% |
| Female | 93 | 7.9% |
| Race a | ||
| Black | 537 | 45.8% |
| Non-Black | 622 | 53.1% |
| Age a | ||
| 35 and under | 577 | 53% |
| Over 35 | 512 | 47% |
a Counts do not add up to 1172 because of missing data on up to 7 percent of cases.
Descriptive statistics and bivariate results for variables screened against parole decisions.
| Descriptive Statistic | Bivariate Relationship with Parole | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | % | Mean (SD) | Chi-Square (χ2)/B Coefficient (SLR) |
|
| Parole Granted | 58.5 | --- | --- | |
|
| ||||
| LSI-R—total score | 24.9 (9.74) | −0.64 | *** | |
| Programming noncompliance | 12.2 | 188.94 | *** | |
| Successful program completion (any) | 45.6 | 200.14 | *** | |
| Violence prevention programing | 23.5 | 90.61 | *** | |
| Institutional misconduct | 17.2 | 213.52 | *** | |
| Misconduct, threat/blackmail | 15.0 | 68.91 | *** | |
|
| ||||
| DOC/warden recommendation | 60.8 | 219.00 | *** | |
| Prior convictions (any) | 60.0 | 3.09 | + | |
| Controlling offense—rape/sexual assault | 8.7 | 76.20 | *** | |
| Controlling offense—robbery | 13.5 | 4.43 | * | |
| Controlling offense—property offense | 18.0 | 5.96 | * | |
| Controlling offense—drug offense | 25.2 | 17.31 | *** | |
| Escape/walk-off attempt | 28.2 | 7.06 | ** | |
| Visitation | 42.7 | 85.95 | *** | |
| Age (over 35) | 47.0 | 3.81 | + | |
| Medium custody level | 38.9 | 9.01 | ** | |
| Close custody level | 19.7 | 58.65 | *** | |
| Prior parole review/denial | 31.2 | 23.92 | *** | |
| Time served (in months) | 48.4 (57.4) | -0.02 | + | |
|
| ||||
| Self-reported mental health problems | 11.6 | 1.98 | + | |
| LSI-R—Moderate interference | 25.5 | 8.39 | ** | |
| LSI-R—Severe interference, psychosis | 5.1 | 2.89 | + | |
| LSI-R—Past mental health treatment | 53.0 | 4.76 | * | |
| LSI-R—Present mental health treatment | 30.4 | 7.86 | ** | |
| LSI-R—Psych assessment indicated | 20.1 | 19.49 | *** | |
| PCRA—Anger management | 24.1 | 33.29 | *** | |
| PCRA—Impulsivity | 38.5 | 23.74 | *** | |
| PCRA—Suicide attempts | 7.7 | 9.28 | ** | |
| PCRA—Hallucinations/delusions | 2.5 | 11.73 | *** | |
| PCRA—Noncompliant with meds | 4.4 | 11.86 | *** | |
Note. The parole decision was coded as 1 = recommended, 0 = not recommended. Results are summarized only from bivariate correlations with an associated significance level of p ≤ 0.25. We relied on crosstabs (Chi-Squares reported) for categorical variables, and simple logistic regression (B coefficients reported) for continuous variables. Relationships tested that did not meet this p ≤ 0.25 threshold are thus not shown here. + p ≤ 0.25, * p ≤ 0.05, ** p ≤ 0.01, *** p ≤ 0.001.
Multiple logistic regression models predicting parole decisions: control variables, and self-reported, Level of Service Inventory-Revised (LSI-R), and Post-Conviction Risk Assessment (PCRA) mental health measures.
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor | B (SE) | OR | B (SE) | B (SE) | OR | B (SE) | OR | OR | B (SE) | OR |
| LSI-R total score | −0.03 (0.01) | 0.97 ** | −0.04 (0.01) | −0.03 (0.01) | 0.97 * | −0.02 (0.01) | 0.98 | 0.97 ** | −0.02 (0.01) | 0.98 |
| Programming noncompliance | −3.37 (0.53) | 0.03 *** | −3.39 (0.53) | −3.53 (0.54) | 0.03 *** | −3.49 (0.54) | 0.03 *** | 0.03 *** | −3.32 (0.53) | 0.04 *** |
| Successful program completion (any) | 1.15 (0.23) | 3.17 *** | 1.15 (0.23) | 1.16 (0.23) | 3.18 *** | 1.23 (0.24) | 3.41 *** | 3.17 *** | 1.21 (0.23) | 3.36 *** |
| Violence prevention programming | 1.04 (0.29) | 2.83 *** | 1.06 (0.30) | 0.99 (0.30) | 2.70 *** | 0.97 (0.30) | 2.62 *** | 2.88 *** | 0.98 (0.30) | 2.67 *** |
| Institutional misconduct | −2.54 (0.32) | 0.08 *** | −2.54 (0.32) | −2.50 (0.32) | 0.08 *** | −2.49 (0.32) | 0.08 *** | 0.08 *** | −2.52 (0.32) | 0.08 *** |
| Misconduct, threat/blackmail | −0.94 (0.29) | 0.39 *** | −0.93 (0.29) | −0.92 (0.30) | 0.40 ** | −0.94 (0.30) | 0.39 ** | 0.40 ** | −0.96 (0.30) | 0.38 *** |
| DOC/warden recommendation | 0.97 (0.21) | 2.63 *** | 0.97 (0.21) | 0.96 (0.21) | 2.61 *** | 0.99 (0.21) | 2.69 *** | 2.63 *** | 1.00 (0.21) | 2.71 *** |
| Prior convictions (any) | 0.45 (0.19) | 1.57 * | 0.44 (0.19) | 0.51 (0.19) | 1.67 ** | 0.53 (0.20) | 1.69 ** | 1.55 * | 0.47 (0.19) | 1.59 * |
| Controlling—Rape/Sexual Assault | −1.23 (0.38) | 0.29 *** | −1.23 (0.38) | −1.28 (0.38) | 0.28 ** | −1.21 (0.39) | 0.30 ** | 0.29 *** | −1.16 (0.39) | 0.31 ** |
| Controlling—Robbery | 1.22 (0.33) | 3.38 *** | 1.22 (0.33) | 1.28 (0.33) | 3.61 *** | 1.30 (0.34) | 3.66 *** | 3.38 *** | 1.22 (0.33) | 3.40 *** |
| Controlling—Property offense | 0.89 (0.27) | 2.43 *** | 0.89 (0.27) | 0.87 (0.27) | 2.39 *** | 0.87 (0.27) | 2.39 *** | 2.44 ** | 0.88 (0.27) | 2.41 *** |
| Controlling—Drug offense | 0.51 (0.24) | 1.66 * | 0.51 (0.24) | 0.51 (0.25) | 1.66 * | 0.51 (0.25) | 1.70 * | 1.66 * | 0.52 (0.25) | 1.68 * |
| Escape/walk-off attempt | −0.50 (0.20) | 0.61 * | −0.50 (0.20) | −0.52 (0.20) | 0.60 * | −0.57 (0.21) | 0.57 ** | 0.61 * | −0.54 (0.21) | 0.58 ** |
| Visitation | 0.67 (0.20) | 1.96 *** | 0.67 (0.20) | 0.67 (0.20) | 1.95 *** | 0.65 (0.20) | 1.92 *** | 1.96 *** | 0.66 (0.20) | 1.94 *** |
| Age (over 35) | −0.47 (0.22) | 0.63 * | −0.47 (0.22) | −0.46 (0.22) | 0.63 * | −0.47 (0.22) | 0.63 * | 0.63 * | −0.47 (0.22) | 0.62 * |
| Medium Custody Level | −0.40 (0.23) | 0.67 | −0.41 (0.30) | −0.42 (0.23) | 0.66 | −0.51 (0.23) | 0.60 * | 0.67 | −0.48 (0.23) | 0.62 * |
| Close Custody Level | −0.64 (0.30) | 0.53 * | −0.64 (0.30) | −0.67 (0.30) | 0.51 * | −0.76 (0.31) | 0.47 * | 0.53 * | −0.73 (0.31) | 0.48 * |
| Prior Parole Review/Denial | 0.36 (0.23) | 1.44 | 0.36 (0.23) | 0.46 (0.24) | 1.58 | 0.50 (0.24) | 1.64 * | 1.43 | 0.39 (0.23) | 1.48 * |
| Time served (in months) | 0.001 (0.002) | 1.00 | 0.001 (0.002) | 0.002 (0.002) | 1.00 | 0.002 (0.002) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.001 (0.002) | 1.00 |
| Self-Reported Mental Health | --- | --- | 0.19 (0.29) | --- | --- | 0.27 (0.33) | 1.30 | 1.21 | --- | --- |
| LSIR—Moderate Interference | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 0.13 (0.27) | 1.14 | --- | 0.11 (0.27) | 1.12 |
| LSIR—Severe Interference, Psychosis | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 0.29 (0.48) | 1.34 | --- | 0.17 (0.44) | 1.18 |
| LSIR—Past Mental Health Treatment | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | −0.10 (0.22) | 0.90 | --- | −0.06 (0.22) | 0.94 |
| LSIR—Present Mental Health Treat | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | −0.33 (0.26) | 0.72 | --- | −0.32 (0.26) | 0.73 |
| LSIR—Psych Assessment Indicated | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | −0.002 (0.28) | 1.00 | --- | −0.02 (0.27) | 0.98 |
| PCRA—Anger Management | --- | --- | --- | 0.02 (0.27) | 1.02 | 0.03 (0.27) | 1.03 | --- | --- | --- |
| PCRA—Impulsivity | --- | --- | --- | −0.50 (0.24) | 0.61 * | −0.53 (0.24) | 0.59 | --- | --- | --- |
| PCRA—Suicide Attempts | --- | --- | --- | 0.54 (0.38) | 1.72 | 0.48 (0.39) | 1.62 | --- | --- | --- |
| PCRA—Hallucinations/Delusions | --- | --- | --- | −0.86 (0.62) | 0.42 | −0.95 (0.66) | 0.39 | --- | --- | --- |
| PCRA—Noncompliant with Meds | --- | --- | --- | 0.10 (0.44) | 1.11 | 0.13 (0.46) | 1.14 | --- | --- | --- |
|
| 0.27 (0.43) | --- | 0.26 (0.43) | 0.30 (0.44) | --- | 0.06 (0.46) | --- | --- | 0.04 (0.45) | --- |
|
| 1085 | 1085 | 1063 | 1085 | 1063 | |||||
|
| 699.88 | 700.29 | 668.64 | 708.04 | 678.13 | |||||
|
| 19 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 30 | |||||
|
| 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.64 | |||||
|
| 777.18 | 776.77 | 770.48 | 769.02 | 760.99 | |||||
Abbreviations: OR = odds ratios; SE = standard error. *** p ≤ 0.001; ** p ≤ 0.01; * p ≤ 0.05.