| Literature DB >> 31423346 |
Anisur Rahman1, Monjur Rahman1, Jesmin Pervin1, Abdur Razzaque2, Shaki Aktar1, Jamal Uddin Ahmed3, Katarina Ekholm Selling4, Pernilla Svefors4, Shams El Arifeen1, Lars Åke Persson5.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Preterm birth is the major cause of under-five mortality. Population-based data on determinants and proportions of children born preterm are limited, especially from low-income countries. This study aimed at assessing time trends and social, reproductive and environmental determinants of preterm births based on a population-based pregnancy cohort over 25 years in rural Bangladesh.Entities:
Keywords: education; parity; preterm birth; prevented fraction; time trend
Year: 2019 PMID: 31423346 PMCID: PMC6688682 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001462
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Glob Health ISSN: 2059-7908
Figure 1Study profile.
Characteristics of the study women and frequencies of term and preterm live births in 5-calendar year periods from 1990 to 2014 in Matlab, Bangladesh
| Characteristics | Time period | |||||
| 1990–1994 | 1995–1999 | 2000–2004 | 2005–2009 | 2010–2014 | Total | |
| Women’s age at delivery (years) | n (%) | n (%) | n (%) | n (%) | n (%) | n (%) |
| <20 | 2118 (16) | 1996 (16) | 2361 (18) | 2381 (20) | 2640 (22) | 11 496 (18) |
| 20–24 | 4683(36) | 4080 (32) | 4036 (30) | 3927 (32) | 3879 (33) | 20 605 (33) |
| 25–29 | 3732 (28) | 3654 (28) | 3446 (26) | 2993 (25) | 2839 (24) | 16 664 (26) |
| 30–34 | 1781 (14) | 2266 (18) | 2401 (18) | 1801 (15) | 1616 (14) | 9865 (16) |
| ≥35 | 771(6) | 802 (6) | 1127 (8) | 964 (8) | 769 (7) | 4433 (7) |
| Parity | ||||||
| 0 | 3840 (29) | 3980 (31) | 4550 (34) | 4516 (37) | 4960 (42) | 21 846 (35) |
| 1 | 2952 (23) | 3222 (25) | 3556 (27) | 3613 (30) | 3682 (31) | 17 025 (27) |
| 2 | 2285 (17) | 2424 (19) | 2565 (19) | 2214 (18) | 2029 (17) | 11 517 (18) |
| ≥3 | 4008 (31) | 3172 (25) | 2700 (20) | 1723 (14) | 1072 (9) | 12 675 (20) |
| Women’s education (years) | ||||||
| 0 | 5999 (46) | 4186 (33) | 2771 (21) | 1581 (13) | 574 (5) | 15 111 (24) |
| 1–5 | 3408 (26) | 3227 (25) | 2681 (20) | 2856 (24) | 2293 (19) | 14 465 (23) |
| ≥6 | 3678 (28) | 5385 (42) | 7919 (59) | 7629 (63) | 8876 (76) | 33 487 (53) |
| Live births | ||||||
| Term (GW≥37) | 9244 (70.6) | 9601 (75) | 10 630 (79.5) | 10 253 (85) | 10 449 (89) | 50 177 (79.6) |
| Late preterm (GW 34–36) | 2812 (21.5) | 2316 (18.1) | 1963 (14.7) | 1311 (10.9) | 993 (8.5) | 9395 (14.9) |
| Moderate preterm (GW 32–33) | 763 (5.8) | 546 (4.3) | 444 (3.3) | 294 (2.4) | 193 (1.6) | 2240 (3.6) |
| Very preterm (GW<32) | 266 (2.0) | 335 (2.6) | 334 (2.5) | 208 (1.7) | 108 (0.9) | 1251(2) |
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GW, gestational week.
Figure 2Preterm birth proportions (gestational age at birth <37 weeks, <32 weeks, 32–33 weeks and 34–36 weeks, respectively) by year in the study area in Matlab, Bangladesh. The linear trend equation indicated 2.3% (y=−0.0629x+2.78), 3.3% (y=−0.2037x+6.14) and 2.8% (y=−0.6605x+23.3) annual reduction of very preterm, moderate preterm and late preterm births, respectively.
Figure 3Decomposition of additive time series analysis of occurrence of preterm births in Matlab, Bangladesh. The observed data, the time trend (p<0.001), the seasonal variation and the remaining random variation are displayed.
Figure 4Proportion of preterm births (graphs to the left) stratified by age, parity and educational levels in 5-year calendar period from 1990 to 2014, in Matlab, Bangladesh. The distributions (per cent) of these stratifying characteristics are given for the same intervals of calendar periods (graphs to the right).
The risk of preterm birth in different sociodemographic groups and the prevalence of these characteristics in the study periods 1990–1994, 1995–1999, 2000–2004, 2005–2009 and 2010–2014
| Characteristics | Calendar period | |||||||||
| 1990–1994 | 1995–1999 | 2000–2004 | 2005–2009 | 2010–2014 | ||||||
| n=13 085 | n=12 798 | n=13 371 | n=12 066 | n=11 743 | ||||||
| ORa (95% CI) | P | ORa (95% CI) | P | ORa (95% CI) | P | ORa (95% CI) | P | ORa (95% CI) | P | |
| Parity | ||||||||||
| <3 | 0.80 (0.73 to 0.87) | 69 | 0.71 (0.65 to 0.78) | 75 | 0.60 (0.54 to 0.67) | 80 | 0.57 (0.50 to 0.64) | 86 | 0.60 (0.49 to 0.71) | 91 |
| ≥3 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| Education (years) | ||||||||||
| <6 | 1 | 72 | 1 | 58 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
| ≥6 | 0.79 (0.72 to 0.87) | 28 | 0.84 (0.77 to 0.92) | 42 | 0.73 (0.66 to 0.80) | 59 | 0.78 (0.69 to 0.87) | 63 | 0.84 (0.73 to 0.97) | 76 |
Adjusted for women’s age, parity, education in years and household wealth index
Prevalence is provided as per ccent
CI, confidence interval; ORa, odds ratio adjusted; P, prevalence.
Figure 5Proportion preterm births in 5-year calendar periods from1990 to 2014 and the prevented fractions (PF) related to changes in parity and educational levels across these periods. Figures based on the ORs for parity <3 and education ≥6 years and the change in the prevalence of these characteristics.