| Literature DB >> 31413464 |
Abstract
This article provides a theoretical and empirical insight on the study of population aging in India, with the special reference to the causes that have made it extremely significant. It evidently looks into the factors that are extensively associated with the process of population aging and have contributed to the Indian society. Demographically speaking, in the Indian context, the process of demographic transition has resulted from a falling birth rate, a slowing death rate, and spike in life expectancy. In the context of developing countries, the concept of population aging has been brought from developed countries. Initially, the outcomes of demographic transition had been experienced by developed regions followed by the rest of the world. Finally, it examines the consequences of complications that arise due to growth in life expectancy at birth, and further suggests the probable remedies to both strategy developers and policy-makers.Entities:
Keywords: Aging; demographic transition; life expectancy; longevity; remedies
Year: 2019 PMID: 31413464 PMCID: PMC6659526 DOI: 10.4103/IJPC.IJPC_20_19
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Indian J Palliat Care ISSN: 0973-1075
Population aged 60 years or above for the world regions: 2000, 2015, 2030 and 2050
| Region | Person aged 60 years or above (Million) | Percentage change | Distribution of older persons (Percentage) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2015 | 2030 | 2050 | 2000-2015 | 2015-2030 | 2000 | 2015 | 2030 | 2050 | |
| Africa | 42.4 | 64.4 | 105.4 | 220.3 | 51.9 | 63.5 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 10.5 |
| Asia | 319.5 | 508.0 | 844.5 | 1293.7 | 59.0 | 66.3 | 52.6 | 56.4 | 60.2 | 61.8 |
| Europe | 147.3 | 176.5 | 217.2 | 242.0 | 19.8 | 23.1 | 24.3 | 19.6 | 15.5 | 11.6 |
| Latin America and Caribbean | 42.7 | 70.9 | 121.0 | 200.0 | 66.1 | 70.6 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| Oceania | 4.1 | 6.5 | 9.6 | 13.2 | 56.2 | 47.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| North America | 51.0 | 74.6 | 104.8 | 122.7 | 46.4 | 40.5 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 5.9 |
Source: World Population Ageing 2015 (ST/ESA/SER.A/390)
Distribution of elderly population in total population in India by sex and place of residence: 1961-2011
| Census year | Place of residence | Sex | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person | Male | Female | ||
| 1961 | Total | 5.63 | 5.46 | 5.81 |
| Rural | 5.82 | 5.71 | 5.95 | |
| Urban | 4.62 | 4.42 | 5.11 | |
| 1971 | Total | 5.97 | 5.94 | 5.99 |
| Rural | 6.54 | 6.26 | 6.17 | |
| Urban | 4.89 | 4.73 | 5.26 | |
| 1981 | Total | 6.42 | 6.23 | 6.41 |
| Rural | 7.03 | 7.55 | 6.85 | |
| Urban | 5.02 | 5.08 | 5.69 | |
| 1991 | Total | 6.55 | 6.69 | 6.71 |
| Rural | 7.51 | 7.21 | 7.03 | |
| Urban | 5.34 | 5.59 | 6.01 | |
| 2001 | Total | 7.45 | 7.61 | 7.83 |
| Rural | 7.74 | 7.43 | 8.06 | |
| Urban | 6.7 | 6.25 | 7.21 | |
| 2011 | Total | 8.58 | 8.20 | 8.98 |
| Rural | 8.79 | 8.42 | 9.19 | |
| Urban | 8.10 | 7.17 | 8.52 | |
Source: Census of India, 1961-2011
Distribution of elderly population by five-year age group in India: 2001-2011
| Census year | Age-group | Total | Rural | Urban | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | ||
| India (2001) | 60-64 | 35.9 | 36.0 | 35.9 | 36.0 | 35.8 | 36.1 | 35.8 | 36.6 | 35.1 |
| 65-69 | 25.9 | 25.1 | 26.6 | 25.8 | 24.9 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 25.5 | 26.5 | |
| 70-74 | 19.2 | 19.9 | 18.5 | 19.4 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 18.7 | 18.9 | 18.4 | |
| 75-79 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.9 | |
| 80+ | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 11.1 | |
| India (2011) | 60-64 | 36.3 | 36.6 | 35.9 | 35.9 | 35.9 | 35.8 | 37.2 | 38.3 | 36.2 |
| 65-69 | 25.5 | 25.3 | 25.6 | 25.8 | 25.6 | 26.0 | 24.7 | 24.8 | 24.6 | |
| 70-74 | 18.5 | 18.9 | 18.1 | 18.8 | 19.4 | 18.3 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 17.6 | |
| 75-79 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 9.5 | |
| 80+ | 10.9 | 10.3 | 11.4 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 12.1 | |
Source: Census of India, 2001-2011
Declining trends in birth and death rates in India 1997-2013
| Year | Birth rate | Death rate | Natural growth rate | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Rural | Urban | Total | Rural | Urban | Total | Rural | Urban | |
| 1997 | 27.2 | 28.9 | 21.5 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 18.3 | 19.2 | 15.0 |
| 1999 | 26.1 | 27.6 | 20.8 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 17.4 | 18.2 | 14.5 |
| 2000 | 25.8 | 27.5 | 20.7 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 17.3 | 18.3 | 14.4 |
| 2001 | 25.4 | 27.1 | 20.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 17.0 | 18.0 | 13.9 |
| 2002 | 25.4 | 27.1 | 20.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 17.0 | 18.0 | 13.9 |
| 2003 | 24.8 | 26.4 | 19.8 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 16.8 | 17.8 | 13.8 |
| 2004 | 24.1 | 25.9 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 5.8 | 16.6 | 17.8 | 13.3 |
| 2005 | 23.8 | 25.6 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 16.3 | 17.5 | 13.1 |
| 2006 | 23.5 | 25.2 | 18.8 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 17.2 | 12.8 |
| 2007 | 23.1 | 24.7 | 18.6 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 15.7 | 16.8 | 12.7 |
| 2008 | 22.8 | 24.4 | 18.5 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 15.4 | 16.5 | 12.6 |
| 2009 | 22.5 | 24.1 | 18.3 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 15.2 | 16.3 | 12.5 |
| 2010 | 22.1 | 23.7 | 18.0 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 12.2 |
| 2011 | 21.8 | 23.3 | 17.6 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 14.7 | 15.7 | 11.9 |
| 2012 | 21.6 | 23.1 | 17.4 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 11.8 |
| 2013 | 21.4 | 22.9 | 17.3 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 5.6 | 14.4 | 15.4 | 11.7 |
Source: Various Reports Published by Sample Registration System, 1997-2013
Expectancy of life at birth by sex and residence in India: 1990-94 to 2010-14
| Year | Total | Rural | Urban | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | |
| 1990-94 | 60.0 | 59.4 | 60.4 | 58.6 | 58.2 | 58.7 | 65.4 | 64.1 | 66.7 |
| 1991-95 | 60.3 | 59.7 | 60.9 | 58.9 | 58.5 | 59.3 | 65.9 | 64.5 | 67.3 |
| 1992-96 | 60.7 | 60.1 | 61.4 | 59.4 | 58.9 | 59.8 | 66.3 | 64.9 | 67.7 |
| 1993-97 | 61.1 | 60.4 | 61.8 | 59.9 | 59.3 | 60.2 | 66.6 | 65.1 | 68.0 |
| 1994-98 | 61.4 | 60.6 | 62.2 | 60.1 | 59.5 | 60.5 | 66.8 | 65.3 | 68.2 |
| 1995-99 | 61.5 | 60.8 | 62.3 | 60.3 | 59.7 | 60.9 | 66.4 | 65.1 | 67.9 |
| 1996-2000 | 61.9 | 61.2 | 62.7 | 60.7 | 60.1 | 61.3 | 66.7 | 65.4 | 68.3 |
| 1997-01 | 62.3 | 61.4 | 63.3 | 61.1 | 60.3 | 61.9 | 67.1 | 65.7 | 68.7 |
| 1998-02 | 62.9 | 61.9 | 64.0 | 61.6 | 60.7 | 62.5 | 67.6 | 66.1 | 69.2 |
| 1999-03 | 63.4 | 62.3 | 64.6 | 62.2 | 61.1 | 63.2 | 68.0 | 66.5 | 69.7 |
| 2000-04 | 63.9 | 62.8 | 65.2 | 62.7 | 61.6 | 63.8 | 68.4 | 66.9 | 70.0 |
| 2001-05 | 64.3 | 63.1 | 65.6 | 63.0 | 61.9 | 64.2 | 68.6 | 67.2 | 70.3 |
| 2002-06 | 64.7 | 63.5 | 66.1 | 63.5 | 62.3 | 64.7 | 68.9 | 67.4 | 70.6 |
| 2003-07 | 65.0 | 63.7 | 66.5 | 63.8 | 62.6 | 65.2 | 69.0 | 67.5 | 70.7 |
| 2004-08 | 65.4 | 64.0 | 66.9 | 64.2 | 62.9 | 65.7 | 69.0 | 67.5 | 70.8 |
| 2005-09 | 65.7 | 64.3 | 67.2 | 64.5 | 63.2 | 66.0 | 69.2 | 67.6 | 71.0 |
| 2006-10 | 66.1 | 64.6 | 67.7 | 64.9 | 63.5 | 66.5 | 69.6 | 68.0 | 71.4 |
| 2007-11 | 66.5 | 64.9 | 68.2 | 65.3 | 63.8 | 67.0 | 70.1 | 68.4 | 71.9 |
| 2008-12 | 67.0 | 65.4 | 68.8 | 65.8 | 64.2 | 67.6 | 70.6 | 69.0 | 72.4 |
| 2009-13 | 67.5 | 65.8 | 69.3 | 66.3 | 64.6 | 68.1 | 71.2 | 69.6 | 73.0 |
| 2010-14 | 67.9 | 66.4 | 69.6 | 66.7 | 65.1 | 68.4 | 71.5 | 70.0 | 73.5 |
Source: Various Reports Published by Sample Registration System: 1990-94 to 2010-14
Expectancy of life in selected age groups, India: 2014
| Age-group | Total | Rural | Urban | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | Person | Male | Female | |
| 0-1 | 67.9 | 66.4 | 69.6 | 66.7 | 65.1 | 68.4 | 71.5 | 70.0 | 73.2 |
| 1-5 | 70.0 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 69.0 | 67.3 | 70.9 | 72.6 | 71.0 | 74.4 |
| 5-10 | 66.7 | 64.9 | 68.8 | 65.9 | 63.9 | 68.0 | 68.9 | 67.3 | 70.8 |
| 10-15 | 62.0 | 60.1 | 64.1 | 61.2 | 59.2 | 63.4 | 64.1 | 62.4 | 65.9 |
| 15-20 | 57.2 | 55.3 | 59.3 | 56.4 | 54.5 | 58.6 | 59.2 | 57.6 | 61.1 |
| 20-25 | 52.5 | 50.6 | 54.6 | 51.8 | 49.8 | 53.9 | 54.5 | 52.9 | 56.4 |
| 25-30 | 47.9 | 46.1 | 50.0 | 47.2 | 45.2 | 49.4 | 49.8 | 48.2 | 51.7 |
| 30-35 | 43.4 | 41.5 | 45.4 | 42.7 | 40.7 | 44.8 | 45.2 | 43.6 | 46.9 |
| 35-40 | 38.8 | 37.0 | 40.7 | 38.1 | 36.3 | 40.2 | 40.5 | 39.0 | 42.2 |
| 40-45 | 34.3 | 32.7 | 36.1 | 33.7 | 31.9 | 35.6 | 35.9 | 34.6 | 37.4 |
| 45-50 | 29.9 | 28.4 | 31.6 | 29.4 | 27.7 | 31.1 | 31.5 | 30.3 | 32.8 |
| 50-55 | 25.7 | 24.4 | 27.2 | 25.2 | 23.7 | 26.8 | 27.1 | 26.1 | 28.3 |
| 55-60 | 21.7 | 20.5 | 23.0 | 21.2 | 19.9 | 22.6 | 23.0 | 22.1 | 23.9 |
| 60-65 | 17.9 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 17.5 | 16.5 | 18.6 | 19.1 | 18.4 | 19.9 |
| 65-70 | 14.5 | 13.7 | 15.4 | 14.2 | 13.2 | 15.1 | 15.5 | 14.9 | 16.1 |
| 70-75 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 12.2 | 11.3 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 12.3 | 11.8 | 12.7 |
| 75-80 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.2 | 9.8 |
Source: Sample Registration System: 2014