N-of-1 Clinical Trials in Nutritional Interventions Directed at Improving Cognitive Function.

Longer life expectancy has led to an increase in the prevalence of age-related cognitive decline and dementia worldwide. Due to the current lack of effective treatment for these conditions, preventive strategies represent a research priority. A large body of evidence suggests that nutrition is involved in the pathogenesis of age-related cognitive decline, but also that it may play a critical role in slowing down its progression. At a population level, healthy dietary patterns interventions, such as the Mediterranean and the MIND diets, have been associated with improved cognitive performance and a decreased risk of neurodegenerative disease development. In the era of evidence-based medicine and patient-centered healthcare, personalized nutritional recommendations would offer a considerable opportunity in preventing cognitive decline progression. N-of-1 clinical trials have emerged as a fundamental design in evidence-based medicine. They consider each individual as the only unit of observation and intervention. The aggregation of series of N-of-1 clinical trials also enables population-level conclusions. This review provides a general view of the current scientific evidence regarding nutrition and cognitive decline, and critically states its limitations when translating results into the clinical practice. Furthermore, we suggest methodological strategies to develop N-of-1 clinical trials focused on nutrition and cognition in an older population. Finally, we evaluate the potential challenges that researchers may face when performing studies in precision nutrition and cognition.

Introduction

Population aging has led to a substantial increase in the worldwide prevalence of dementia (1). Currently, around 50 million people live with this condition, a figure that is expected to triple by 2050 (2). Dementia comprises a wide range of medical and neuropsychiatric disorders. It is characterized by a progressive cognitive decline greater than expected in normal aging, strongly affecting the individual's daily living activities and quality of life (3). Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common cause of dementia, accounting for 50–70% of cases (2).

To date, there is a lack of effective disease-modifying therapies for dementia. Since prevention is always better than cure, interventions designed to prevent or delay the onset of dementia represent nowadays an immediate research priority (2). Attention has focused on modifiable risk factors, including obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and physical inactivity (2, 4). Evidence supports the fact that management of these conditions through lifestyle interventions, such as healthy diets and physical activity, may benefit cognitive function and reduce dementia risk and severity (5–8). Indeed, optimal nutrition is a key component for healthy aging. Nutritional preventive interventions present unique advantages in terms of costs, safety, and sustainability for long-term use (9, 10).

Although there is extensive literature discussing nutritional strategies for the prevention of dementia, current evidence presents inconsistent results. The heterogeneity of dementia from a clinical, pathophysiological, and genetic viewpoint suggests that dietary interventions are not universally applicable, but when tailored to individual circumstances and risk profiles might be more effective (8, 11, 12). Recently, the concept of precision medicine for the prevention and management of AD has emerged in the scientific community as a new model for obtaining solid evidence-based medicine (13). An approach that requires accounting for the inter-individual variability in treatment response.

The gold-standard study design for assessing the effectiveness of an intervention are the population-based, parallel-group, randomized-controlled trials (RCTs) (14). However, such effectiveness is commonly assessed using the average treatment effect or type of subgroup analysis, without effectively tackling the individual particular characteristics that may modify treatment response (15). In addition, conventional RCTs seek a high homogeneity within the study population in order to increase the likelihood of demonstrating a true association between intervention exposure and outcomes. As a result of the strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, there is a considerable lack of representativeness of some groups of patients, including those with comorbid conditions or receiving concurrent therapies (16, 17). As a result, evidence from RCTs cannot always be extrapolated in the case of individual treatment decisions (17). In the age of patient-centered care, a patient-oriented research is called for (18, 19).

N-of-1 trials are coming to light in the medical field to address the question of inter-individual variability in treatment response, and the lack of knowledge about treatment effects in patients who are typically excluded in RCTs. An N-of-1 trial refers to a randomized, multiple, crossover trial conducted in a single patient, typically where two or more treatment alternatives are compared to each other or to a control intervention (17, 20). It is noteworthy to mention that the Oxford Center for Evidence-Based Medicine 2011 Levels of Evidence has categorized N-of-1 trials as “level 1” of evidence for assessing treatment efficacy in individual patients (21). For the purpose of valid inference in individual patients, however, in N-of-1 trials, more data needs to be collected from the patient than in conventional RCTs, which focus on between patients rather than within patient variation.

N-of-1 trials are part of the single-case design family (22), which were first carried out in 1945 (23). Since then, they have been widely used in the study of rare diseases (24), in some medical areas such as pain, rheumatism and pediatric oncology (25–30), and in the psychology, social, and educational sciences. A renewed interest in this design has arisen combined with the emergence of precision medicine to tackle inter-individual differences within treatment responses. In parallel, the development of electronic health information technology (e.g., mobile apps and fitness trackers) has facilitated the implementation of tools to intensively follow-up study participants collecting data in a systematic and detailed way (31). Such information enables researchers to precisely determine the effect of an intervention at an individual level (32). Moreover, the development of analytical tools capable of processing all the generated data makes N-of-1 studies a feasible and realistic approach for future precision medicine. In addition, data aggregation from series of N-of-1 trials also makes it possible to estimate effects on a subpopulation that shares certain factors, or even in the population at large (12, 33).

The holistic approach of N-of-1 studies would, therefore, be useful to manage P4 medicine—predictive, preventive, personalized, and participatory (Figure 1) (34–36). Firstly, however, through N-of-1 trials it is possible to obtain information of both between- and within-subject variations on biomarkers, which could play a key role in identifying those that are truly predictive (35). Secondly, intensive data collection over time enables the detection of deviations from the norm which may signal disease onset (35). Thirdly, it is possible to stratify treatments according to the combination of some patient features (e.g., gender, age, culture, socioeconomic status, history of diseases) and the molecular and general-omics profile, which is the basis of personalized or precision medicine (37, 38). Finally, in N-of-1 trials, patients are more likely to participate, as they may directly benefit from the tailored treatment (35).

Figure 1

N-of-1 trials approach for P4 Medicine: Predictive, Preventive, Personalized, and Participatory. Icons made by Freepik from www.flaticon.com.

Dementia Prevention Through Nutritional Interventions

Alzheimer's Dementia Continuum

Dementia is the clinically observable result of the accumulation of structural and functional cerebral damage that has commenced 10–20 years prior to the appearance of the first symptoms (39, 40). Whilst aging is the strongest risk factor, dementia is not an inevitable consequence. Environmental factors (e.g., biological, psychological, and lifestyle factors), genetic susceptibility, and their interaction over the life span contribute to the physiopathological processes and clinical manifestation of dementia (19).

Preclinical pathological events of dementia include the exacerbation of certain age-related processes, such as reduced blood flow due to atherosclerosis, impaired insulin resistance, oxidative stress injury, and widespread, chronic, low-grade inflammation (41). In the preclinical stages of AD, there is also an aberrant deposition of misfolded proteins, called extracellular amyloid β plaques (Aβ) and intracellular tau-based neurofibrillary tangles, which contribute to the pathogenesis of brain atrophic lesions and, hence, cognitive deterioration (Figure 2A) (40, 43).

Figure 2

Conceptual framework for the relevance of nutritional interventions directed at improving cognitive function or slowing down cognitive decline at preclinical stages of AD. (A) Role of nutritional interventions in the interaction between preclinical events of AD and modifiable risk and protective factors of AD. (B) Window of opportunity to study the effect of nutrition interventions in the AD continuum. Adapted from Ávila-Villanueva and Fernández-Blázquez (42).

Preclinical events are grouped under the term subjective cognitive decline (SCD). SCD is considered the precursor to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and potentially the earliest clinical sign of AD (44). SCD implies the subjective expression and experience of daily forgetfulness whilst performance on cognitive tests is normal (45, 46). Not every individual with characteristics suggestive of SCD will necessarily progress to AD. Nevertheless, recognition of the condition has critical clinical implications not only for patients and their physicians, but also for the identification of new target populations for clinical trials in the prevention of AD (47) (Figure 2B). On the other hand, MCI is considered a prodromal stage of AD although it does not strictly imply progression to clinically defined dementia (48). Use of the MCI category has been a matter of debate (9, 49) since it is irregularly defined and some subtypes are more likely to progress to dementia than others (50).

The mechanisms underlying the progress from preclinical AD to the symptomatic or prodromal stage of MCI, and ultimately AD dementia, are not clearly defined (51). In fact, in the 90+ Autopsy Study, nearly 50% of individuals aged 90 years or older with dementia did not have enough neuropathology in their brain to explain their cognitive symptoms (52). In contrast, around 30% of those older adults without dementia or cognitive impairment presented intermediate or high levels of AD pathology (53). Therefore, AD risk factors might contribute to the neuropathological process through mechanisms other than amyloid or tau (8). On the other hand, certain compensatory factors (e.g., maintenance of cardiovascular health, high educational level, social engagement) might capacitate individuals to tolerate considerable amounts of AD pathology without suffering a clear dementia syndrome, even in carriers of susceptibility alleles of genes such as apolipoprotein E (APOE) and the ε4 allele (19, 54).

Large individual differences in rates of age-related cognitive decline exist (55, 56), reflecting the complex interactions between cognitive performance and environmental and genetic factors (57). Evidence from human neuroimaging studies advocate that three mechanisms may partially mediate these differences: reserve, maintenance and compensation (57). Reserve is defined as the accumulation of neuronal resources during the lifespan (e.g., white matter quality of a fiber tract, functional connectivity), which help to mitigate neuronal decline caused by aging or in age-related diseases (57). Maintenance is defined as the preservation of brain resources via constant recovery and repair. Its efficacy depends on the magnitude of decline and the ability to repair (57). Finally, compensation represents the deployment of brain resources in response to task demands (57). Reserve, maintenance and compensation may act at the genetic, cellular and systems levels and can be influenced by several factors (57–67). Table 1 summarizes potential determinants contributing to cognitive reserve or cognition maintenance. These mechanisms can work simultaneously and interact between them. As exemplified by Cabeza et al. (57), education could augment cognitive reserve by increasing synaptic density, but this could only ameliorate cognitive decline if new synapses are well-maintained. Likewise, it is also necessary to deploy these resources during task performance, that is, to engage in compensation. These factors and its related mechanisms could explain the observed inter-individual variability in cognition, contributing to the degree of response to an intervention. For this reason, wherever possible, all these determinants should be measured when performing a clinical study.

Table 1

Examples of potential determinants of the inter-individual variability in cognitive decline.

Determinant	Mechanisms	Example
GenderAgeEducationIntelligence coefficientDevelopment of expertise in a particular domain through trainingBilingualismSocioeconomic factors	Reserve	Education improves neuronal resources during childhood and adulthood and ameliorate age-related cognitive decline in later adulthood. This beneficial effect may be partly mediated by the effects of education on health, stress, lifestyle and profession.
Occupational attainmentCognitive and social engagementPhysical activityDietAlcohol abuseComorbiditiesSmokingStressGenetic factors	Maintenance	Regular physical activity and exercise promotes neurogenesis and beneficial vascular changes which enhance brain maintenance.

The progress of AD from healthy aging to SCD, MCI and Alzheimer's dementia is an example of poor brain maintenance and it is modulated by reserve and compensation (57, 60, 68, 69). Adults with higher scores on reserve proxies (e.g., education or cognitive engagement) have less Aβ plaques, an accepted biomarker of AD (67, 70). Also, in adults with Aβ biomarkers, higher scores on reserve proxies are associated with a lower risk of progression from normal cognition to the onset of clinical symptoms (71).

In the absence of disease course-modifying treatments for AD, prevention is an emerging approach. A large number of modifiable AD risk factors have been identified in observational studies, ranging from environmental ones (e.g., air pollution) (72, 73) to lifestyle protective factors (e.g., physical activity and the Mediterranean diet) (74–78). Diet-related disorders (e.g., diabetes mellitus, obesity, metabolic syndrome, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia) represent a considerable fraction of such modifiable risk factors (8). Therefore, nutrition interventions have the potential to reduce the incidence, delay the onset, and slow down the progression and severity of dementia in a cost-effective manner.

Role of Phenolic Compounds, n-3 PUFAs and Vitamins in Cognitive Function

It is well-known nowadays that certain nutrients such as phenolic compounds, omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 PUFAs), and vitamins, play a key role in the aging brain, possibly leading to better cognitive and motor capacity (79). These compounds are potent antioxidants and anti-inflammatory agents and are directly involved in signaling pathways that support brain plasticity (79).

Phenolic compounds are the secondary metabolites of plants found in a wide range of foods, particularly in red wine, olive oil, green tea, and blueberries (80). In both in vitro and in vivo models, phenolic compounds directly regulate amyloidosis, neuroinflammation, and tau aggregation (80–84). Several clinical trials have observed the positive cognitive effects of phenolic supplementation in cognitively healthy older adults (85–91) and those presenting mild to moderate dementia (92–97). Other trials, however, have failed to demonstrate these beneficial effects in the elderly (98–103). The poor bioavailability of phenolic compounds, difficulties in crossing the blood-brain barrier, the heterogeneity of the phenol dosage, and quality of the study design are several explanations for the lack of expected beneficial outcomes from clinical trials (10, 104, 105). Besides, inter-individual differences in the metabolism and bioavailability of these compounds can lead to different outcomes. For example, it is known that microbiota plays an important role in the gut bioactivation of certain phenolic compounds (106). Evidence is scarce, but some studies have associated specific microbiota composition with distinct enterolignan production (107) and with different clinical response to capsaicin supplementation (108).

n-3 PUFAs are structural components of cell membranes that act by displacing cholesterol from the cell membranes. Their function is crucial in maintaining cell integrity and achieving proper cognitive functioning (109). Among the n-3 PUFAs, particular attention has been focused on eicosapentaenoic acid and docosahexaenoic acid from oily fish, and its precursor alpha-linoleic acid from nuts. These n-3 PUFAs cannot be efficiently synthesized by human enzymes and are considered semi-essentials, relying almost exclusively on dietary intake (105). In AD animal models, long-term n-3 PUFAs supplementation has been shown to improve cognition and reduce the amount of deposited beta-amyloid (110, 111). Recently, the European Food Safety Authority has approved a claim on “docosahexaenoic acid and improvement of memory function” (112). However, inconsistent results have been obtained from clinical studies with fish oil supplementation in healthy older adults (113–118) and in patients presenting mild to moderate AD (119–123). One meta-analysis of ten RCTs suggested a protective effect of n-3 PUFAs within specific cognitive domains in patients with milder forms of cognitive impairment, but no effect was observed in healthy or AD subjects (124). In addition, a recent Cochrane review has concluded that n-3 PUFA supplementation cannot affect AD progression when the disease is already established (125). Future RCTs need to clearly define the optimal n-3 PUFA status for the aging brain, and the specific population that might benefit the most from n-3 PUFA supplements (79). The n-3 long chain PUFA biosynthetic pathway presents high inter-individual variability on their efficiency and is subjected to a high genetic diversity. This variability can explain inter-individual differences in the fate of n-3 supplementation and the n-3 daily requirements. As an example, fatty acid desaturase (FADS) regulates a key step on PUFA biosynthetic pathway. Polymorphisms in this enzyme trigger different plasmatic n-3 PUFA proportions in response to an alpha-linoleic acid enriched diet (126).

The role of vitamins on cognitive health has also been extensively studied although there is still a lack of clear conclusions (127). Optimal vitamin status is essential for the correct brain development and function. Deficiencies in several classes of vitamins have been associated with cognitive impairment and higher risk of dementia (128). In the case of vitamin D, the Endocrine Society recommends keeping vitamin D3 concentrations above 75 nmol/L (129). Several intervention studies have addressed the effects of vitamin D3 supplementation on cognition (130–133) with limited positive results (133). Among the vitamin B group, B12, B9 (folic acid), and B6 are involved in homocysteine metabolism, preventing the homocysteine-stimulation of oxidative stress (134) and their deficiency has been associated with cognitive impairment (135). Moreover, some promising results have supported vitamin B supplementation with respect to cognitive function (136), although there is as yet not enough evidence from RCTs to sustain its beneficial effect (137). Concerning vitamin C, MCI and AD patients present lower levels of ascorbic acid in plasma (138, 139). Long-term supplementation with vitamin C, however, has not been shown to be protective against developing AD (140). On the other hand, the supplementation of alpha-tocopherol, the most abundant class of vitamin E in the diet, and which plays a critical role in the protection of cell membranes from peroxidation, (141) has revealed some clinical evidence of potential benefit (142). Nevertheless, more trials are needed to confirm such results (143). Finally, β-carotene (provitamin A) presents anti-amyloid properties in vitro, but its effects in the aging population needs to be further studied (144).

Several clinical trials have addressed the question of whether multi-nutrient supplementation could have an impact on cognitive function. Fortasyn Connect is a patented mix of nutrients that act as precursors and cofactors of neuronal membrane formation. In animal models, it has been described as increasing synaptic function and formation (145, 146). However, a 24-month, double-blind RCT testing the efficacy of Souvenaid, a medical drink that contains Fortasyn Connect, has not been capable of showing an improve in cognitive function in individuals with prodromal AD (147). Nevertheless, in the same RCT with less impaired subjects, promising results were observed with respect to cognitive performance, which further support interest in investigating nutritional interventions in pre-clinical stages of dementia. Other nutraceutical formulations of phenolic compounds, vitamins, and n-3 PUFA have not shown a positive impact on global cognitive function in MCI, AD patients, and cognitively healthy older adults (148–150).

Special precaution should be exercised when analyzing the effects of food additives or supplements on a subject's cognition. Creating false expectations among consumers, as well as unexpected safety problems, should be avoided since the marketing of such products requires very little efficacy and safety evidence (19). Nutrient supplementations in nutraceutical doses may have an opposite effect compared to the nutrients provided in dietary doses. For example, a Cochrane review concluded that the antioxidants vitamin E and vitamin A, taken as supplements, increased mortality in healthy participants and patients with various diseases (151). Therefore, caution should be taken before recommending high-dose supplements of nutrients.

Mediterranean Diet and Cognitive Function

Over the past years, the main focus of research in nutrition has shifted from the study of individual nutrients or single foods to the study of complete dietary patterns which better reflect the whole diet of a population (152). The Mediterranean diet (MeDiet) is a healthy dietary pattern characterized by a high intake of vegetables, fruit, legumes, olive oil, fish, cereals, and nuts, along with moderate red wine consumption during meals (153, 154). These components make MeDiet rich in phenolic compounds, n-3 PUFA, and vitamins that, in conjunction, may contribute to a better neurovascular health, and reduced oxidative stress and chronic inflammation (7, 155). Multiple reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies have underlined the strong association between the traditional MeDiet and improved cognitive function, and reduced risk of cognitive decline and dementia, delayed AD onset, and lower mortality in AD patients (7, 156–158). Further valuable evidence of the effects of MeDiet on cognition comes from the PREDIMED study, a RCT designed to test the cardiovascular effects of MeDiet among older adults at high cardiovascular risk (159). Volunteers who followed a MeDiet enriched with extra virgin olive oil or nuts for up to seven years (median of 4.8 years) were compared with a control group who followed a low-fat diet. Those adhering to a MeDiet for more than 4 years presented lower incidence of stroke (159) and an improved cognitive function (160, 161). Several mechanisms could explain the positive effects of MeDiet on cognitive function. Basically, a reduction of the risk factors that have independently been associated with increased risk of dementia (162).

Due to differences in food production, food availability, and cultural habits, a strict MeDiet cannot be extrapolated to all non-Mediterranean countries. Therefore, besides MeDiet, alternative healthy-dietary patterns have also been associated with better cognitive function and reduced risk of cognitive impairment. The blood pressure lowering DASH diet (Dietary Approach to Systolic Hypertension) was targeted exclusively to lower blood pressure in hypertensive and pre-hypertensive patients. Long-term adherence to the DASH diet (6 years) promoted the maintenance of global cognition and verbal memory in older adults (163). On the other hand, the MIND diet score (Mediterranean-DASH diet Intervention for Neurodegeneration Delay) represents a modified version of MeDiet that captures additional foods and nutrients of DASH diet (e.g., berries or green leafy vegetables) (164). In adjusted models, adherence to the MIND diet slowed cognitive decline (165) and decreased AD risk (166). Finally, the Nordic diet, followed in Scandinavian countries, is a diet rich in phenolic compounds, unsaturated fatty acids, and whole grain products. An observational study concluded that adherence to the Nordic diet was associated with a better cognitive performance in older adults with normal cognition (167).

Multidomain Lifestyle Interventions

Multidomain lifestyle interventions deal with multiple modifiable risk factors of dementia simultaneously, including nutrition, cognitive training, social support, physical activity, and the management of the vascular risk factors (Table 2) (177). These interventions are mainly justified by the heterogeneous etiology and pathogenesis of dementia, including the numerous pathways and domains involved in cognitive performance that may be affected in the brain degeneration process (9, 177). The promotion of adequate brain stimulation through cognitive training and social support is thought to be useful to build new neuronal pathways and retain the remaining ones (177). This, in turn, increases cognitive reserve, defined as the capacity to perform cognitive tasks properly despite neuropathological damage to the brain (178, 179). Another key point of multidomain interventions is caring for nutritional status, as has been previously mentioned, the lack of specific nutrients affects brain degeneration and some dietary patterns are associated with better cognitive performance (177). Finally, adequate blood flow is important in preventing cognitive decline and also facilitates the efficient Aβ clearance from the brain (180). Therefore, physical activity or medications that promote cerebrovascular health are frequently included in multidomain interventions, as they may be helpful even when dementia is already established (177, 181, 182).

Table 2

RCTs of multidomain lifestyle interventions for prevention of cognitive impairment, Alzheimer's disease, and dementia.

Study (Ref) location	N	Inclusion criteria	Multidomain intervention	Control	Duration	Primary outcome	Results (if available)
FINGER (168)Finland	1,260	Cognitive performance at mean level or slightly lower than expected for age 60–75 (CAIDE dementia risk score ≥6)60–77 years	nutritional guidance physical exercise cognitive training and social activity management of metabolic and vascular risk factors	General health advice	2 years + 5 years follow up	Change in cognitive function (NTB)	Significantly positive effects
preDIVA (169)Netherlands	3,526	Unselected population of older people without dementia in general practices70–78 years	nutritional advice physical activity advice vascular care and medical treatment of risk factors	Usual care	6 years	Cumulative incidence of dementia and disability score (ALDS)	No significant effects
MAPT (170)France	1,680	Spontaneous memory complaint (MMSE >24), with frailty (limitation in one instrumental activity of daily living and slow walking speed)≥70 years	nutritional advice physical activity advice cognitive training vascular care and/or 800 mg DHA/day	Placebo	3 years + 2 years follow up	Change in cognitive function (G and B)	No significant effects
Lam et al. (171)Hong Kong	555	MCI≥ 60 years	physical exercise cognitive activity	Social activity or only cognitive activity or only physical exercise	1 year	Change in cognitive function (CDR-SOB)	No significant effects
HATICE (172)Netherlands, Finland, France	2,600	healthy cognitive status (MMSE ≥24), with cardiovascular risk factors≥65 years	Interactive internet platform that stimulates self-management of vascular and life-style related risk factors, with remote support	Static internet platform with basic health info	1.5 years	Composite score based on the average z-score of the difference between baseline and 18 m follow up values of BP, LDL, and BMI	N/A
SYNERGIC (173)Canada	200	MCI 60–85 years	exercise cognitive training vitamin D	BAT, control cognitive training, placebo D	20 weeks + 6 month follow-up	Change in cognitive function (ADAS-Cog 13 and plus)	N/A
LIILAC (174)Australia	148	Healthy cognitive status (MMSE >24)60–90 years	MeDiet exercise	Usual care or only MeDiet or only exercise	6 months	Change in cognitive function (SUCCAB)	N/A
Daly et al. (175)Australia	152	Healthy cognitive status (SPMSQ ≤ 2)≥65 years	progressive resistance training lean red meat vitamin D	Control resistance training, advice to consume carbohydrates and vitamin D	6 months + 6 month follow up	Change in cognitive function (CogState Battery)	N/A
Rovner et al. (176)USA	200	African Americans with MCI≥ 65 years	Behavior activation therapy to help subjects develop strategies to maintain cognitive, social and physical activities	Supportive therapy	2 years	Change in episodic memory (HVLT-R)	N/A

FINGER, Finnish Geriatric Intervention Study; MAPT, Multidomain Alzheimer Prevention Study to Prevent Cognitive Impairment and Disability; preDIVA, Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care; HATICE, Healthy Aging Through Internet Counseling in the Elderly; SYNERGIC, Synchronizing Exercises, Remedies in Gait and Cognition; LIILAC, Lifestyle Intervention in Independent Living Aged Care; ADAS-Cog, Alzheimer Disease Assessment Scale Cognitive 13 and the plus modality; ALDS, Academic Medical Center Linear Disability Score; BAT, balance and toning exercise; BMI, body mass index; BP, systolic blood pressure; CDR-SOB, Clinical Dementia Rating sum of boxes; CogState Battery, CogState Brief Battery computerized tests; G and B, Grober and Buschke; HVLT-R, Hopkins Verbal Learning Test-Revised; LDL, low-density-lipoprotein; MCI, mild cognitive impairment; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; N/A, not available; NTB, Neuropsychological Test Battery; SPMSQ, Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire; SUCCAB, Swinburne University Computerized Cognitive Assessment Battery.

Up to the present, several studies have employed a multidomain lifestyle approach to prevent cognitive decline, dementia, and AD. (Table 2) (168–170, 172–174). In the Finnish Geriatric Intervention Study to Prevent Cognitive Impairment and Disability (FINGER), 1,260 older adults at risk of cardiovascular disease and dementia were included. Participants were randomized to receive a regular health advice or a 2-year lifestyle multidomain intervention which included nutritional guidance, group and individual physical activity, cognitive training, and intensive monitoring of vascular and metabolic risk factors (183). The primary outcome of cognitive performance was measured using the Neuropsychological Test Battery (NTB) total score (168). NTB total score was statistically higher in the intervention group, hence, the multidomain intervention was able to improve global cognition (168). One of the key factors of the FINGER success was thought to be the combination of group and individualized activities, which increased both personal and within-group motivation and enhanced lifestyle changes (6).

Nonetheless, the two other large, long-term, multidomain, lifestyle-based studies failed to obtain successful results. The Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care Trial (PreDIVA) targeted vascular risk factors to prevent the incidence of dementia in 3500 cognitively healthy older adults (169). Despite no statistically significant effects of the intervention in the whole group (hazard ratio was 0.92, 95% CI 0.71–1.19; p = 0.54), certain benefits on dementia incidence were found in at-risk subgroups (169). On the other hand, the Multidomain Alzheimer Preventive Trial (MAPT) included a 3-year n-3 PUFA supplementation (DHA+ EPA) combined with a lifestyle intervention in order to prevent cognitive decline in 1,680 older adults with subjective memory complaints (170). Likewise, only the individuals presenting a higher degree of cognitive impairment benefited from the intervention (170). Findings from these studies suggest that interventions should be specific for risk profiles (6, 184, 185).

Personalized Nutrition

Personalized nutrition is based on the idea that individuals respond differently to dietary components as a result of the interplay between environmental, social, metabolic, and genetic factors. Targeting these variations can have an impact on final health status. Personalized nutrition provides tailored advice adapted to the individual's unique characteristics with the aim of promoting a sustainable change beneficial for health. The basis of personalization has not yet been established. It can be established with biological data such as genotype/phenotype, or with a more behavioral approach, including preferences and socioeconomic determinants such as gender, cultural aspects, and access to food (33). Some authors have suggested “a shared decision-making approach” as a tool for personalizing dietary advices and thus increasing acceptance and adherence (33).

The study conducted by Zeevi et al. (186) represents a proof-of-concept for the feasibility of personalized nutrition. They developed a machine-learning algorithm integrating blood parameters, anthropometric measures, gut microbiome data, and dietary and lifestyle information, in order to predict an individual's postprandial glycemic response. They validated the algorithm in an independent cohort and demonstrated that a dietary intervention based on their prediction lowered postprandial responses. Another study worth highlighting is Food4Me which is, to date, the largest RCT in personalized nutrition (187). It demonstrated that personalized nutrition was more effective than standard population advice in relation to dietary behavior. Personalization was based on weight, physical activity, and dietary intake. Interestingly, the inclusion of phenotypic/genotypic data to define the recommendation did not produce additional benefits (187–189). Experts in the field of nutritional genetics and genomics agree that more research is needed to implement such approaches within the scope of evidence-based nutrition (190, 191).

Nevertheless, no personalized nutritional study has been carried out with the aim of improving cognitive function, slowing cognitive decline, or reducing dementia incidence. The implementation of personalized nutrition in clinical trials faces a considerable number of practical, logistical, and financial challenges. As stated by the epidemiologist Geoffrey Rose, personal lifestyle is socially conditioned, which means that individuals are unlikely to eat very differently from the rest of their families and social circle. Current personalized clinical and preventive nutritional approaches are more designed to help individuals rather than entire populations. The challenge for research will be to define efficient personalization methods for increasing the impact of lifestyle interventions on the global burden of dementia and cognitive decline, as well as reducing health disparities when implemented on a large scale (33).

Methodological Challenges of Nutrition Trials for Dementia Prevention

Despite the increasing interest in the possible relationship between nutrition and cognitive health, evidence indicating the preventive effectiveness of nutritional strategies remains scarce. Encouraging results from in vitro, animal, and epidemiological studies have not been automatically translated into successful results in RCTs. This inconsistency has been attributed to methodological difficulties in performing nutrition preventive RCTs, particularly against cognitive disorders and, more generally, age-related pathological conditions (Table 3) (192, 193).

Table 3

Challenges of traditional clinical trials testing the efficacy of nutritional interventions for dementia prevention.

Main challenges	Risks or consequences
Study Design
Blinding	Control group contamination
Adherence to the intervention	Poor sustainability of the proposed intervention
Dropout rates	Decreased statistical power
	Confounding and selection biases post-baseline
Dietary assessment	Misreporting and underreporting concerns due to memory difficulties of participants experiencing cognitive declineParticipant and researcher burden
Cognition as an outcome
Short interventions	Incapacity to assess effects on primary outcomes (e.g., dementia incidence)Limited clinical relevance of minor cognitive changes
Cognitive assessment tools	Poor sensitivity of cognitive tests to detect subtle changes in cognition
Target population
Heterogeneity of target population  Strict inclusion/exclusion criteria	Inconclusive resultsHealthy subsample of the target populationPotential effects of disclosing to participants a high risk of developing AD

Study Design

Conventional parallel-group RCTs with primary clinical endpoints represent the peak of the study design hierarchy due to their ability to infer causality between an exposure and an outcome. They represent the main basis for medical guidelines and health policies (194). Double blind RCTs minimize confounding and selection biases at baseline through randomizing the allocation of exposure (195), which is a major challenge in observational studies. Therefore, through RCTs it is theoretically possible to carry out a pure comparison between intervention and control arms (195). Although they are a fundamental design in drug efficacy study paradigms, traditional RCTs may not be easily extrapolated to the nutritional field (196).

One major drawback in nutritional clinical studies is that blinding a dietary intervention is not always possible. As a result, the adherence and effect of the intervention can be affected by the possible knowledge of the treatment assignment (195–197). Moreover, dropout rates are usually higher in RCT nutritional interventions compared to drug trials, particularly if the intervention is very demanding or is carried out during a long time period (196). This consequently reduces statistical power and, if a selective dropout occurs between groups, it can lead to confounding and selection biases post-baseline (196). Furthermore, adherence to the assigned intervention is difficult to achieve (and assess) in nutritional trials of long duration or when the assigned intervention substantially differs from the participant's usual diet (194, 196, 197). Such constraints not only affect the study results, but also call into question the sustainability of dietary interventions.

For ethical and methodological reasons, the control group of nutritional RCTs is not typically placebo-controlled, but instead it is often a low-dose group, which can cause poor contrasts among groups (196). In addition, before entering the study, all participants are informed about the potential effects of the intervention. Therefore, there is always the possibility that control subjects look for dietary components that mimic the intervention (195). All these limitations regarding the choice of the control group can mask the true effect of a nutritional intervention (196).

Traditional Dietary Assessment

Accurate dietary assessment is one of the main challenges researchers face when performing nutritional studies. The complexity of measuring diet is increased by the constant introduction of new products and trends which have an impact on consumers' decisions (198). This issue has worse perspectives when dealing with older people. The elderly make up a very heterogeneous group, with a wide range of ages, health and physical status, cognitive situation, and socioeconomic level. Aging is associated with several changes that can affect directly or indirectly dietary intake and nutritional status. There is a loss of smell and taste, difficulties in chewing and swallowing, and changes in living conditions that can all have an impact on dietary intake (199).

Food frequency questionnaires (FFQ), food diaries, and 24-h dietary recalls are the three main traditional methods of dietary assessment. The 7-day weighed food record is the technique that can most capture details and variation in the diet compared to the FFQ or 24-h dietary recall (200). However, prolonged recording of 7-day weighed food records has been linked to mis- and under-reporting as it may be too demanding for the participant, and changes in normal behavior and dietary habits (201). The goal of dietary assessment is to achieve a balance between the collection of reliable and accurate data, and the burden for the patient and researcher. In order to do so, the National Cancer Institute has standardized an automated web-based self-administered 24-h recall tool, ASA24. A study has shown that self-administration of at least 3 ASA24 on separate days provided equivalent results to a 4-day food diary. This represented a cost-benefit improvement in terms of data collection and management (202). Nevertheless, methods based on self-reporting data are prone to substantial misreporting. They challenge the participant's memory and capacity to estimate food content and portion size (203) which become even less reliable when participants present cognitive decline. The tendency to under-report in dietary assessment has been not only associated with body weight and BMI, but also with gender, sociodemographics, lifestyle, education, and diet characteristics. It has been reported that the elderly tend to under-report in 24-h dietary recalls due memory difficulties and cognitive loss (203). Traditional dietary assessment methods are currently being re-defined with the development of new technological tools such as m-health, machine learning, and food image recognition models. Simultaneously, the rise of the ‘omics techniques has enabled the development of new biomarkers capable of assessing dietary exposure.

Cognitive Outcomes

The choice of the method used to assess cognitive performance is crucial to obtain successful results. Primary cognitive outcomes should be unambiguous and clinically relevant, such as reducing the incidence of dementia or delaying its onset. Nevertheless, such objectives require large sample sizes with long-term follow-ups when intervening at the age of 60–70 or earlier (192). Short-term preventive interventions are usually unable to evaluate the intervention effects on “hard outcomes.” Instead, they measure cognitive function by means of a composite score that includes a battery of validated cognitive tests administered at discrete intervals. Although cognitive change is an indicator of progression across the disease continuum, the clinical importance of the observed cognitive changes remains unclear (193). In addition, the sensitivity of cognitive tests to detect subtle individual cognitive changes due to nutritional interventions in the earliest stages of dementia has been questioned. There is no consensus about the gold standard tool to measure cognitive decline (204). Experts recommend including functional measures, health-related quality of life, health care utilization, and institutionalization as outcomes for dementia preventive trials.

Target Population

Defining the ideal target population is challenging due to the nature of the development and progression of dementia, as there is a delay between risk exposure, disease onset, and clinical manifestation (192). The optimal age for preventive trials is still unknown: Acting prematurely in the natural history of the disease would require a too long a follow-up to be realistic, while intervening too late might result in too little efficacy (192). The current target population groups for preventive trials are usually cognitively intact individuals or those presenting SCD/MCI.

Such groups are largely heterogeneous and the probability of short-term changes in cognition is low. Consequently, there is the need to increase sample size, length of intervention, and, as a consequence, human and financial resources (49). In order to homogenize study samples, the presence of several biomarkers of cognitive decline is usually reflected in the inclusion criteria, while having comorbidities or poor levels of education are part of the exclusion criteria. However, the disclosure of biomarker positivity among study participants carries potential risks for the individual, including fear or anxiety about the future, which can influence the subsequent neuropsychological testing or perception of clinical decline (205). In addition, compared to pharmacological trials, the use of an extensive inclusion/exclusion criteria is not particularly relevant in nutrition interventions, as contraindications are not a primary concern (49). Strict inclusion/exclusion criteria merely lead to a healthier subsample of the target population (49).

Given the limitations of traditional RCTs, many researchers are expressing the need for novel patient-centered experimental designs such as N-of-1 trials, in order to achieve individualized, targeted treatments, and recommendations for clinical care (8, 195, 206, 207).

N-of-1 Clinical Trials

Rationale

Dementia and AD are characterized by a wide heterogeneity in terms of risk factors and clinical manifestation and progression. Such heterogeneity has been recognized as a critical issue in the current approach to implement preventive strategies and develop new therapies (208). For example, genetics account for more than 50% of the phenotypic variance of late-onset AD (209), and there are gender differences in the phenotype and progression of AD (208). Nutritional interventions also encompass large heterogeneity among individuals because environmental, social, metabolic, and genetic factors influence response to dietary interventions. According to the principle of equifinality, the earlier the disease process is, the higher the inter-individual variability. Therefore, it is essential to explore the heterogeneity involved in nutritional interventions directed toward improving cognitive function in order to achieve the final goal of being able to make individual-based treatment decisions.

Nevertheless, evidence from traditional clinical trials is probabilistic and there is no certainty of individual benefit (33). This is because parallel-group RCTs estimate the average treatment effect of the studied intervention, since randomization theoretically ensures overall comparability among treatment groups. The absence of differences in baseline characteristics among study groups does not exclude the possibility that some individuals respond or benefit to a greater or lesser degree than the reported average. This is referred to as heterogeneity of treatment effects (HTE) (210) which can be attributed to treatment, patient, or environmental factors, and it is usually presented as considerable variations around group means. Examining the HTE is central to patient-centered outcome research and for informing personalized treatment decisions (211).

The most common approaches to exploring HTE in clinical trials are subgroup analyses, the stratification of patients according to risk profiles, and meta-analysis (18, 210). Subgroup analyses are typically performed to detect characteristics among the study population that are associated with a greater benefit from the intervention, no benefit, and even with harm (212). Nevertheless, subgroup analyses may not be able to detect clinically significant differences in treatment effects among participants when multiple factors determine the risk (213). One alternative is to consider risk-stratified analyses. Participant stratification, using a multivariate risk model, makes it possible to compare the treatment effect across a broader range of risk factors or patient attributes than a conventional one-variable-at-a-time subgroup analysis (213). Nevertheless, such stratification is not always feasible in RCTs that target dementia or AD, since the available biomarkers only detect the presence of the disease, but not its onset and progression. In addition, although some risk scores exist (214, 215), there is a limited understanding of the interplay among individual dementia risk factors during the life course, and how they affect the pathophysiology of the disease and impact on the brain health (216). Finally, regarding meta-analysis, it is difficult to pool multiple RCTs due to differences in the diagnostic procedure and criteria for dementia and AD, as well as variations in the measures used, anticipated outcomes, and study design. N-of-1 trials can overcome the difficulties of parallel group RCTs in determining HTE as they focus on individuals in order to establish their optimal treatment.

Design and Indications

The design of an N-of-1 clinical trial is determined by the research question to be answered, in other words, by the nature of the intervention and the characteristics of the outcome to be measured. In the case of nutritional studies, the intervention can range from a single-compound intervention to a complete change of dietary pattern or a multidomain intervention. The first group of studies could adopt a more pharmacological N-of-1 approach whereas the second group of interventions would require a more complex study design including behavioral changes, learning, and habituation periods.

Traditional N-of-1 Approach

To perform a traditional N-of-1 design, several assumptions must be met. First, it is indicated when there is uncertainty regarding the comparative effectiveness of an individual's treatment, and when significant individual differences in intervention response are expected (20, 217). Second, the study disease must be chronic, stable, or slowly progressing, with evaluable symptoms or valid biomarkers to allow monitoring during the course of the study (20, 217). Finally, interventions must be reversible, have rapid efficacy and minimal carryover, tolerate wash-out periods (if necessary), and multiple-crossovers (20, 217).

In the case of a single-compound, nutritional intervention, a traditional N-of-1 approach can be followed as in drug efficacy N-of-1 studies. The participant undergoes two or more nutritional interventions in a random order (e.g., A-B-A, A-B-A-B, or A-B-A-C-A-D), and this process may be repeated several times (in series of N-of-1 trials) (17). Therefore, the individual treatment effects can be re-estimated after each intervention period. The number of time-series conducted can be pre-specified or adapted in order to stop the trial when there is reasonable statistical certainty to identify the most effective treatment for the participant (18). The aggregation of data from series of N-of-1 trials allows the possibility of controlling for random or patient fixed effects, as well as covariates, sequence or center effects (18). Ultimately, this design enables the identification of individuals who share a response profile tackling the similarities between them (206, 218). Thus, this single-person, multiple crossover, randomized trial design is able to provide direct and objective evidence about the value of a particular single-compound or nutritional intervention for the patient, and also for the general population (217).

An example of this traditional N-of-1 approach is the recently started Personalized Research on Diet in Ulcerative Colitis and Crohn's Disease (PRODUCE) trial (NCT03301311). Using series of N-of-1 trials, patients will cross-alternate between two different carbohydrate diets in order to determine their effects in reducing symptoms and inflammatory burden at both individual and population level.

Modified N-of-1 Design for Studying Cognitive Decline Preventive Interventions

In the field of dementia prevention, current evidence points towards multidomain interventions addressed to individuals at high risk. These types of interventions imply behavioral changes that are difficult to reverse, so it is hard to imagine the possibility of conducting multiple crossovers in a single person. In addition, cognitive outcomes are not susceptible to short-term changes and there are not currently sensitive biomarkers of disease progression.

Our proposal is a modified N-of-1 approach, which would start with a “baseline phase A” where a participant would undergo through an extensive evaluation of his or her lifestyle habits, socioeconomic status, medical history, and laboratory and cognitive assessments (219). Baseline data should appear stable before the implementation of the intervention in order to ensure that cognitive function changes when, and only when, the multidomain intervention is introduced for all participants. During “intervention phase B,” researchers would repeatedly assess adherence to the targeted behavior and the evolution of participant's cognitive status, making use of the latest technological devices for recording continuous health data (Figure 3).

Figure 3

(A) Individual-level analysis of the intervention effect in N-of-1 nutritional studies directed at improving cognitive function. Baseline observational phase A duration is randomized among volunteers. Multimodal intervention phase B triggers a different response to each individual. (B) Population-level analysis of the intervention effect. Individuals are aggregated according to their response. High respondents and moderate respondents improved their cognitive performance following the intervention. Low respondents maintained cognitive performance with the intervention. Finally, cognitive decline progressed in non-respondents despite the intervention.

As the intervention effect estimation is based on comparisons between the intervention phase B and the baseline phase A, the estimation is susceptible to bias when events other than intervention cause shifts in the time-series (220). In these occasions, the assurance of the stability of the baseline period is crucial. Moreover, the use of a multiple baseline design can improve the accuracy of the baseline phase by raising awareness among researchers about the presence of potential threats to internal validity (220). In the case of AB study designs, the combination of several AB experiments in multiple subjects and the addition of multiple-baseline increases the power of the observations (221). In such cases, the length of the baseline period varies systematically and is randomized for each participant. As exemplified in Figure 3, participant 1 would start the multidomain intervention after 1 baseline month, another after 1.5 baseline months, then 2, and so on. The staggered introduction of the intervention allows for separation of intervention effects from those of maturation, experience, learning, and practice (220, 222). Consequently, multiple baseline designs are strongly recommended in single-case intervention studies when reversal designs are not feasible (221).

Concerning the statistical analysis, it is recommended to, first, perform a visual analysis (e.g., by means of a spaghetti plot) in order to determine whether there is a functional relation between the intervention and the outcome. The visual analysis includes the evaluation of the level (mean score of the data within a phase), the trend (the slope of the best-fitting straight line for the data within phase), and the variability (the fluctuation of the data around the mean) (222). If there is a potential functional relationship between intervention and outcome, a second step is to perform a quantitative analysis, firstly at the individual level and secondly at the population level (between-subjects). As there is not a consensus about which quantitative methods are more appropriate, some authors recommend to conduct a sensitivity analysis and to report multiple effect size estimators (222). If there is consistency across different effect size estimators, there is stronger evidence for the efficacy of the intervention (222).

Therefore, the aggregation of data from multiple N-of-1 trials studying the same lifestyle interventions could be used to explore trends in data that may reveal the characteristics of participants responding to the intervention, as well as confounding factors that could be incorporated into the analysis of the intervention effects and future trials (207). The meta-analysis of multiple N-of-1 trials would therefore take advantage of the continuous and intensive follow-up of participants. It could thus be possible to obtain sufficiently detailed information from each participant to achieve a high level of evidence of the intervention effects for both the individual and the population.

Second Step N-of-1 Studies

The proposed N-of-1 study approach could also be applied as a second step in the analysis of large concluded intervention studies (e.g., FINGER, preDIVA, or MAPT). This would allow the examination of the size of the intervention effect at an individual level. This approach would enable sub-group identification of treatment respondents and non-respondents and the classification of factors that could be influencing treatment response and treatment adherence. Furthermore, the sub-group data aggregation would allow the accurate analysis of biomarker trends and changes within the study to better understand the disease progression within sub-groups. Nevertheless, to do so, N-of-1 assumptions would need to be met before performing the analysis. Firstly, to have performed a continuous monitoring of the volunteers' treatment adherence and response to be able to detect and predict changes in treatment responses. Secondly, a complete characterization of the volunteers is needed to understand the heterogeneity of the obtained results. Lastly, the stability of the studied condition before treatment initiation should be ensured. In the case that stability cannot be warranted, causality could also be determined when changes are observed in a sub-group only in the treatment intervention but not in the control intervention. In this situation, the power associated to within-subject comparison would be lost. This second step N-of-1 analysis would provide valuable information to personalize treatment and to predict and prevent condition evolution. This would be an exploratory approach, and based on the acquired knowledge, it could be used as preliminary data to perform a confirming first step N-of-1 trial.

Main Challenges of N-of-1 Trials

Lack of Control Group

In the proposed modified N-of-1 approach, there is no control intervention, just a baseline phase, which is used to determine the size of the effect. In our proposed N-of-1 study design, determination of treatment causality would require first, a stable baseline, and second, an observable change coinciding with the intervention. Causal determination would be reinforced by the replication of the results in further subjects (223). As previously stated, the multiple baseline design and the continuous follow-up of participants can improve the internal validity of the results. However, the lack of a control group makes it difficult to match non-specific effects of the intervention such as expectation or attention.

Monitoring Behavior Over Time

In N-of-1 trials it is necessary to measure behavior over time in order to obtain a representative picture of each participant's lifestyle habits. The monitoring process can itself produce changes in behavior due to the awareness of being monitored, which is known as participant reactivity. This can lead to inaccurate baseline data, jeopardizing the determination of the intervention effects (224). In addition, whilst future technology promises high quality objective dietary and cognitive monitoring, current approaches still need to overcome some challenges.

Continuous diet assessment

N-of-1 nutritional studies seek a continuous and intensive monitoring of the volunteers in order to examine dietary choices and assess the response to specific dietary components. At present, traditional diet assessment methods do not enable continuous assessment, technology is thus aiming to improve and adapt these tools. Technology-based approaches have great potential, reducing both patient and investigator burden, as well as decreasing economic and time investment (198, 225, 226). For instance, image-assisted dietary assessment tools have appeared in order to estimate energy and nutrient intake. Several pilot studies have demonstrated that images provide improved self-reported dietary intake by decreasing the unreported/misreported errors. However, food image recognition fails when there are hidden ingredients, and cooking methods and cultural aspects that change nutritional composition (227). Consequently, whilst image-assisted dietary assessments improve dietary error they still need to be supported by additional information. Likewise, special consideration needs to be given to the use of technology-based tools for dietary assessment in older adults as most of these approaches have been tested with younger people. The elderly may be reticent in the use of computer-based technology, encountering difficulties in its management, which may lead to unreliable diet information.

Dietary biomarkers have appeared as the optimal way to measure exposure to a certain food item or nutrient, they however, require equipment and expertise (198). Moreover, they may need invasive specimens such as blood or feces. Biomarkers can change their concentrations depending on individual characteristics including gender, absorption, metabolism, genetics, microbiota, and environment (228).

The development of high-throughput, technology-based –omics research, especially metabolomics, has appeared as a new tool to assess an overall picture of dietary intake. Food metabolomics can identify novel diet-related biomarkers and investigate the mechanism of action behind nutritional interventions through changes in metabolic pathways. The food metabolome is highly complex and variable, nevertheless, it provides a unique and rich source of information regarding an individual's diet (229). Inter-subject variation, and the short life of certain metabolites which may not represent usual intakes, need to be taken into consideration. A biomarker has to be sensitive to intake, food specific, and easy to measure. A single measurement of the metabolome is not sufficient to provide an overview of a long-term dietary pattern (228). Efforts have been made in order to identify the metabolomics fingerprint associated with different dietary patterns, going beyond single-food or single-nutrient biomarkers (229–231). These studies have been able to detect and identify new biomarkers associated with food patterns in free-living populations. Nevertheless, food metabolomics is still at an initial stage and represents a complement rather than a replacement of traditional diet assessment methods (232).

Continuous cognitive monitoring

Neuropsychological test batteries have high specificity and sensitivity for the detection of the current cognitive state. They do, however, require considerable resources and are quite time-consuming with respect to continuously monitoring alterations in the cognitive status during a clinical trial. New computerized cognitive tests are being developed for longitudinal cognitive monitoring (233). They have the potential to use random elements and alternate sequences to minimize learning effects, and they can adapt the testing difficulty to the baseline cognitive performance of each individual. In addition, traditional pencil-based or computerized self-reported cognitive tests can be combined with real-time sampling methods in a participant's natural environment (e.g., ecological momentary assessment–EMA) which could reduce retrospective reporting biases (224). Finally, web-based platforms of cognitive stimulation games can be used to longitudinally evaluate and monitor each participant's performance in specific cognitive domains.

Statistical Design and Analytic Considerations for N-of-1 Trials

The relevance and importance of N-of-1 trials is increasing and, as a result, there is an abundance of literature on statistical methodology (25, 206, 234). The importance of these trials is also reflected by the fact that the CONSORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) statement has been extended for these type of studies (17). Several of the methodological challenges that N-of-1 trials encounter are the following:

The determination of the number of observations needed for valid inference requires a careful planning of each trial. It will depend on the block design (i.e., the number and order of blocks per treatment) and prior knowledge of both the within and between-block variation. In addition, if several N-of-1 trials are planned with the purpose of pooling the results, between-patient variance will also play a key role to determine the number of parallel N-of-1 trials (20).

Moreover, the computation of the number of measurements needed has to account for the fact that the data of N-of-1 trials have a time-series structure, which implies autocorrelation (31).

Variables that can be recorded constantly by means of mobile applications, which provide individual time-series, can be analyzed with standard statistical techniques such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models. However, the inclusion of the information of such time-series as a covariate in a regression model is not straightforward and various possibilities should be considered. For example, a time-series on physical activity could be summarized by means of the mean activity per day, the cumulative activity, or a moving average over several days.

Pooling the results of several N-of-1 trials can be carried out in different ways and will depend on the data at hand. On one hand, the results from several trials could be jointly analyzed by means of linear mixed models or meta-analysis (25). However, there might be substantial differences among the patients of several N-of-1 trials and this data heterogeneity could complicate such an analysis. Another approach is to identify patients with similar response profiles and subsequently study what they have in common (206). For this purpose, graphical inspections of the resulting time series in the case of continuously recorded variables could be used.

Conclusion

Advances in the field of dementia prevention require the integration of evidence from multiple study designs, technologies, and methodologies with complementary strengths and weaknesses (235). We propose N-of-1 or single person clinical trials to address some of the current shortcomings of dementia prevention trials. They can provide knowledge concerning individual differences in the response to dietary interventions, which may reveal insights of the mechanisms behind interventions. In addition, the longitudinal personal data acquisition will increase the value of each participant's contribution in the trial by improving the characterization of previously unmeasured confounders (236). N-of-1 trials also offer the potential to evaluate and predict intervention effects in populations that are typically excluded from clinical trials, such as the elderly with multiple comorbidities or individuals from low socioeconomic groups. This approach, we believe, offers an exciting opportunity to optimize trial efficiency and create future designs to maximize the benefit of interventions in an equitable and sustainable way.

Author Contributions

NS-D, AB, and KL wrote the manuscript. RdlT conceived, wrote and critically revised the manuscript. All authors read and approved the manuscript.

Conflict of Interest Statement

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.