| Literature DB >> 31360866 |
Jingmei Li1,2,3, Keith Humphreys1,3, Peh Joo Ho1, Mikael Eriksson1,3, Eva Darai-Ramqvist1,4, Linda Sofie Lindström1,5, Per Hall1,3,6, Kamila Czene1,3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To understand which breast cancer (BC) risk factors also increase the risk of fibroadenoma and investigate whether these factors have the same effect in BC patients with previous fibroadenoma.Entities:
Year: 2018 PMID: 31360866 PMCID: PMC6650060 DOI: 10.1093/jncics/pky051
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JNCI Cancer Spectr ISSN: 2515-5091
Figure 1.Summary of analytical datasets. Three states were defined as “event-free,” “fibroadenoma,” and “breast cancer,” respectively.
Figure 2.Multistate model used.
Characteristics of the analytical cohort (n = 58 322) from the Karolinska Mammography Project for Risk Prediction of Breast Cancer (KARMA)
| Characteristic | No. (%) | Mean (SD) age at diagnosis, y |
|---|---|---|
| Age at start of follow-up, mean (SD), y | 32.6 (10.0) | |
| Highest education | ||
| Elementary | 7633 (13.1) | |
| Intermediate | 17 922 (30.7) | |
| University | 29 653 (50.8) | |
| Other | 3114 (5.3) | |
| Family history of breast cancer | ||
| No | 47 799 (82.0) | |
| Yes | 7290 (12.5) | |
| Age at menarche, mean (SD), y | 13.1 (1.5) | |
| Body size at age 7 years | ||
| Small | 29 471 (50.5) | |
| Medium | 20 098 (34.5) | |
| Large | 7090 (12.2) | |
| Ever oral contraceptive use | ||
| Progestin-only “mini” pill | 7733 (13.3) | |
| Combination pill | 37 186 (63.8) | |
| Number of children | ||
| 0 | 26 364 (45.2) | |
| 1 | 8127 (13.9) | |
| ≥2 | 22 311 (38.3) | |
| Breast conditions | ||
| Fibroadenoma | 839 (1.4) | 42.6 (8.7) |
| Invasive breast cancer | 3765 (6.5) | 48.3 (9.3) |
Estimated effects associated with breast cancer risk factors in Cox semi-Markov models (adjusted for sojourn time in event-free state)*
| Event-free to breast cancer (state 1 to state 3) (n | Event-free to fibroadenoma (state 1 to state 2) (n | Fibroadenoma to breast cancer (state 2 to state 3) (n | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk factors | HR | L95 | U95 | HR | L95 | U95 | HR | L95 | U95 | ||||||
| Education | .130 | .463 | .798 | ||||||||||||
| Elementary | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| Intermediate | 1.26 | 1.14 | 1.39 | <.001 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.90 | .002 | 1.99 | 0.71 | 5.57 | .189 | |||
| University | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.33 | <.001 | 1.56 | 1.23 | 1.97 | <.001 | 2.13 | 0.82 | 5.58 | .122 | |||
| Family history of breast cancer | .545 | .302 | .418 | ||||||||||||
| No | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| Yes | 1.62 | 1.49 | 1.76 | <.001 | 1.53 | 1.27 | 1.83 | <.001 | 1.16 | 0.61 | 2.22 | .653 | |||
| Age at menarche | .787 | .609 | .565 | ||||||||||||
| <13 y | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| ≥13 y | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.98 | .011 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 1.03 | .124 | 1.06 | 0.59 | 1.90 | .840 | |||
| Body size at age 7 y | .284 | .035 | .099 | ||||||||||||
| Small | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| Medium | 0.92 | 0.86 | 0.99 | .029 | 0.80 | 0.69 | 0.94 | .006 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.79 | .012 | |||
| Large | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.86 | <.001 | 0.74 | 0.58 | 0.93 | .012 | 0.72 | 0.30 | 1.73 | .467 | |||
| Oral contraceptives | .430 | .002 | .001 | ||||||||||||
| No | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| Progestin-only “mini” pill | 1.06 | 0.95 | 1.18 | .279 | 1.02 | 0.83 | 1.26 | .814 | 3.11 | 1.64 | 5.90 | .001 | |||
| Combination pill | 1.04 | 0.96 | 1.12 | .329 | 0.93 | 0.80 | 1.09 | .362 | 2.34 | 1.11 | 4.91 | .025 | |||
| Number of biological children | .842 | .583 | .505 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | 1.00 | Referent | |||||||||
| 1 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.85 | <.001 | 0.76 | 0.61 | 0.94 | .002 | 0.93 | 0.39 | 2.21 | .867 | |||
| ≥2 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.71 | <.001 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 0.73 | <.001 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 1.90 | .877 | |||
HR = hazard ratio; L95 and U95 = lower and upper 95% confidence intervals. P(transition 1, transition 2) denotes two-sided P value from likelihood ratio test testing whether covariate effects can be assumed to be identical across transitions (ie, the same across transitions or transition-specific)
Estimated effects associated with breast cancer risk factors in Cox semi-Markov models, multivariable adjusted (all studied breast cancer risk factors were included in the model)*
| Event-free to breast cancer (n | Event-free to fibroadenoma (n | Fibroadenoma to breast cancer (n | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk factors | HR | L95 | U95 | P | HR | L95 | U95 | P | HR | L95 | U95 | P |
| Education (intermediate vs elementary) | 1.22 | 1.11 | 1.35 | <.001 | 1.38 | 1.07 | 1.78 | .013 | 2.44 | 0.85 | 7.00 | .098 |
| Education (university vs elementary ) | 1.16 | 1.06 | 1.27 | .001 | 1.42 | 1.11 | 1.81 | .005 | 2.47 | 0.92 | 6.69 | .074 |
| Family history of breast cancer (yes vs no) | 1.61 | 1.48 | 1.75 | <.001 | 1.54 | 1.28 | 1.85 | <.001 | 1.05 | 0.56 | 1.97 | .878 |
| Age at menarche (≥13 y vs <13 y) | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.97 | .007 | 0.89 | 0.76 | 1.03 | .111 | 1.11 | 0.60 | 2.04 | .743 |
| Body size at age 7 y (medium vs small) | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.98 | .011 | 0.78 | 0.67 | 0.92 | .002 | 0.31 | 0.13 | 0.72 | .006 |
| Body size at age 7 y (large vs small) | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.84 | <.001 | 0.73 | 0.57 | 0.92 | .009 | 0.86 | 0.36 | 2.09 | .742 |
| Mini pill (yes vs no) | 1.05 | 0.94 | 1.16 | .405 | 1.01 | 0.82 | 1.24 | .927 | 3.11 | 1.62 | 5.94 | .001 |
| Combination pill (yes vs no) | 1.03 | 0.95 | 1.11 | .500 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 1.08 | .325 | 2.48 | 1.16 | 5.30 | .019 |
| Number of biological children (1 vs 0) | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.93 | .001 | 0.80 | 0.64 | 0.99 | .036 | 0.95 | 0.37 | 2.45 | .909 |
| Number of biological children (≥2 vs 0) | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.77 | <.001 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.78 | <.001 | 1.07 | 0.50 | 2.27 | .864 |
| Time spent in event-free state (ie, age at fibroadenoma diagnosis, y) | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.12 | <.001 | ||||||||
HR = hazard ratio; L95 and U95 = lower and upper 95% confidence intervals; P values are two-sided.