| Literature DB >> 31340780 |
Sandra A N Walker1,2, Melanie Cormier3, Marion Elligsen3, Julie Choudhury4, Asaph Rolnitsky4, Carla Findlater4, Dolores Iaboni4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Clinical and laboratory parameters can aid in the early identification of neonates at risk for bacteremia before clinical deterioration occurs. However, current prediction models have poor diagnostic capabilities. The objective of this study was to develop, evaluate and validate a screening tool for late onset (> 72 h post admission) neonatal bacteremia using common laboratory and clinical parameters; and determine its predictive value in the identification of bacteremia.Entities:
Keywords: Late onset bacteremia; Neonates; Screening tool
Year: 2019 PMID: 31340780 PMCID: PMC6651932 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-019-1633-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pediatr ISSN: 1471-2431 Impact factor: 2.125
Fig. 1Patient Eligibility Flow Chart
Optimal model for Bacteremia in neonates
| Binary logistic regression analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ln (Odds Bacteremia ( | |||
| Variables in Final Binary Logistic Regression Equation | |||
| Independent Variable | Odds Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | CART breakpoint for association with bacteremia when parent node is maximum blood glucose |
| Maximum Blood Glucose (mmol/L) | 2.121 | 1.182–3.806 | > 6 |
| Maximum Heart Rate (bpm) | 1.127 | 1.040–1.221 | > 186 |
| % Bands | 1.114 | 0.574–2.160 | > 2.15 |
| Maximum Neutrophils (× 109/L) | 1.073 | 0.932–1.236 | > 11.7 |
Fig. 2Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Comparing Study Bacteremia Screening Tool to Currently Published Screening Tools [5–14]
Performance comparison of study developed tool to currently published screening tools [5–14]
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Period Prevalence | Positive Post-Test Probability | Negative Post-Test Probability | Positive Likelihood Ratio | Negative Likelihood Ratio | False Positive rate | False Negative Rate | Study Developed Tool Negative Post-Test Probability at Citation Bacteremia Period Prevalence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Study Developed Tool | ||||||||||
| | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.51 | 0.82 | 0.11 | 4.50 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.10 | – |
| Mahieu et al., 2000 [ | ||||||||||
| Score ≥ 8 | 0.95 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.54 | 0.08 | 1.67 | 0.12 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Score ≥ 11 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.41 | 0.72 | 0.25 | 3.75 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.08 |
| Score ≥ 14 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 9999.00 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.08 |
| Score ≥ 11 plus positive culture | 0.72 | 0.87 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 0.18 | 5.50 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| Mahieu et al., 2002 [ | ||||||||||
| Score ≥ 11 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 1.45 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Score ≥ 11 + 3 RFs | 0.82 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 2.48 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Singh et al., 2003 [ | ||||||||||
| Score ≥ 1 | 0.87 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.16 | 1.23 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| Score ≥ 2 | 0.53 | 0.80 | 0.29 | 0.52 | 0.19 | 2.65 | 0.59 | 0.20 | 0.47 | 0.05 |
| Okascharoen et al., 2005 [ | ||||||||||
| Score ≥ 4 | 0.82 | 0.74 | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 3.15 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.02 |
| Score ≥ 5 | 0.70 | 0.82 | 0.17 | 0.44 | 0.07 | 3.89 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.02 |
| Score ≥ 6 | 0.47 | 0.96 | 0.17 | 0.71 | 0.10 | 12.00 | 0.55 | 0.04 | 0.53 | 0.02 |
| Dalgic et al., 2006 [ | ||||||||||
| Score = 6–12 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.28 | 1.93 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.07 |
| Okascharoen et al., 2007 [ | ||||||||||
| Validation Cohort Score ≤ 3 (low risk of sepsis) | 0.97 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 1.6 | 0.07 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Validation Cohort Score 4–7 (medium risk of sepsis) | 0.77 | 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.27 | 1.35 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| Validation Cohort Score ≥ 8 (high risk of sepsis) | 0.2 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.99 | 0.85 | 10 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.8 | 0.06 |
| Kudawla et al., 2008 [ | ||||||||||
| ≥1 clinical signs | 0.90 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 1.17 | 0.43 | 0.77 | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| ≥2 clinical signs | 0.52 | 0.65 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 1.49 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.04 |
| ≥2 markers | 0.48 | 0.70 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 1.60 | 0.74 | 0.30 | 0.52 | 0.04 |
| ≥1 clinical sign + ≥ 2 markers | 0.95 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 1.16 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Rosenberg et al., 2010 [ | ||||||||||
| Score ≥ 1 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.64 | 0.35 | 1.54 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Score ≥ 2 | 0.42 | 0.82 | 0.54 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 2.33 | 0.71 | 0.18 | 0.58 | 0.12 |
| Bekhof et al., 2013 [ | ||||||||||
| 1 of 4 signs present | 0.97 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 1.54 | 0.08 | 0.63 | 0.03 | 0.04 |