Literature DB >> 31319965

A machine learning-based approach for predicting the outbreak of cardiovascular diseases in patients on dialysis.

Sabrina Mezzatesta1, Claudia Torino2, Pasquale De Meo3, Giacomo Fiumara1, Antonio Vilasi4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND
OBJECTIVE: Patients with End- Stage Kidney Disease (ESKD) have a unique cardiovascular risk. This study aims at predicting, with a certain precision, death and cardiovascular diseases in dialysis patients.
METHODS: To achieve our aim, machine learning techniques have been used. Two datasets have been taken into consideration: the first is an Italian dataset obtained from the Istituto di Fisiologia Clinica of Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche of Reggio Calabria; the second is an American dataset provided by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) repository. From each one we obtained 5 datasets, according to the outcome of interest. We tested different types of algorithm (both linear and non-linear), but the final choice was to use Support Vector Machine. In particular, we obtained the best performances using the non-linear SVC with RBF kernel algorithm, optimizing it with GridSearch. The last is an algorithm useful to search the best combination of hyper-parameters (in our case, to find the best couple (C, γ)), in order to improve the accuracy of the algorithm.
RESULTS: The use of non-linear SVC with RBF kernel algorithm, optimized with GridSearch, allowed to obtain an accuracy of 95.25% in the Italian dataset and of 92.15% in the American dataset, in a timeframe of 2.5 years,in the prediction of Ischaemic Heart Disease. A worse performance was obtained for the other outcomes.
CONCLUSIONS: The machine learning-based approach applied in our study is able to predict, with a high accuracy, the outbreak of cardiovascular diseases in patients on dialysis.
Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Cardiovascular outcomes; ESRD; Machine learning; Prognosis

Year:  2019        PMID: 31319965     DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpb.2019.05.005

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Comput Methods Programs Biomed        ISSN: 0169-2607            Impact factor:   5.428


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