Increased streamflow in catchments affected by a forest disease epidemic.

Natural disturbances help maintain healthy forested and aquatic ecosystems. However, biotic and abiotic disturbance regimes are changing rapidly. For example, the Swiss needle cast (SNC) epidemic in the Coast Range of Oregon in the U.S. Pacific Northwest has increased in area from 53,050 to 238,705ha over the 1996-2015 period. We investigated whether the hydrologic regime (i.e., annual streamflow, runoff ratio, and magnitude and timing of peak flows and low flows) was affected by SNC in 12 catchments in western Oregon. The catchments ranged in size from 183 to 1834km2 and area affected by SNC from 0 to 90.5%. To maximize the number of catchments included in the study, we analyzed 20years of SNC aerial survey data and 15-26years of stream discharge (Q) and PRISM precipitation (P) and air temperature (Tair) data to test for trends in hydrologic variables for each catchment. As expected, we found that runoff ratios (Q/P) increased in five catchments, all with an area impacted by SNC >10%. This was likely due to the effects of SNC on the hydraulic architecture (i.e., needle retention, sapwood area, sapwood permeability) of affected trees, leading to decreased canopy interception and transpiration losses. Interestingly, two catchments with the greatest area affected by SNC showed no changes in hydrologic regime. The lack of hydrologic response could either be due to compensatory transpiration by vegetation unaffected by the disease or sub-canopy abiotic evaporation, which counteracted reductions in transpiration. This study is the first to illustrate that chronic canopy disturbance from a foliage pathogen can influence catchment scale hydrology.