| Literature DB >> 31289582 |
Jianfei Fu1, Lunpo Wu2,3, Tiantian Xu4, Dan Li5,6, Mingliang Ying7, Mengjie Jiang8, Ting Jiang9, Wei Fu10, Fan Wang11, Jinlin Du12.
Abstract
The number of reported young breast cancer cases has increased dramatically recently. The impact of age on the outcomes of breast cancers remains controversial. Our study aimed to explore the factors that can stratify the impact of young age on the prognosis of early breast cancer patients. In total, 244,324 patients with early breast cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were identified from 1990 to 2007. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The 5- and 10-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates were calculated using the Life-Table method. Multivariable analyses were used to identify prognosti c variables (without age) to construct the nomograms. The risk score developed from the nomogram was used to classify the cohort into three subgroups (low-, medium- and high-risk subgroup). Approximately 8.89% of women were diagnosed with breast cancer at a young age (≤ 40 years). Clinical nomogram had the potential ability to predict CSS accurately with a well C-index (0.785). Subgroup analysis indicated that the risk score as the sole factor can stratify the impact of young age on the prognosis of early breast cancer patients. Young breast cancer patients had a worse prognosis in the low-risk (HR=0.61; 95% CI: 0.57-0.65; P<0.001) or medium-risk subgroup (HR=0.89; 95% CI: 0.85-0.93; P<0.01) than in the high-risk subgroup (P=0.431). In conclusion, the worse prognosis of young women only appeared in the low- and medium-risk subgroups rather than in the high-risk subgroup. The risk score yielded from the nomogram model can assist clinical decision making for young breast cancer patients.Entities:
Keywords: Age; Breast cancer; Nomogram model; Risk score; Survival
Year: 2019 PMID: 31289582 PMCID: PMC6603374 DOI: 10.7150/jca.30432
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Fig 4Impact of age on cancer-specific survival with stratification analysis by the risk score. A: In the low-risk subgroup, the older women with breast cancer showed a 39% decreased probability of death caused by breast (HR=0.61; 95% CI: 0.57-0.65). B: In the medium-risk subgroup, the older women with breast cancer showed only a 10% decreased probability of death caused by breast cancer (HR=0.89; 95% CI: 0.85-0.93). C: In the high-risk subgroup, young age acted as a favorable factor, and older women with breast cancer showed a 2% increased probability of death caused by breast cancer, without statistical significance (HR=1.02; 95% CI: 0.97-1.07), (P=0.431). D: Forest plot of stratification analysis by the risk score for the probability of breast cancer-specific death in younger and older women with breast cancer. HR: hazard ratio
Clinicopathologic characteristics of 244,324 patients with early breast cancer
| Risk Factors | N (%) | Younger (≤40 yrs) | Older (>40 yrs) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 244324 | 21718(8.89) | 222606(91.11) | ||
| Marital status | <0.001 | ||||
| Married | 154080 | 14806(68.17) | 139274(62.57) | ||
| Single | 30907 | 4914(22.63) | 25993(11.68) | ||
| Divorce | 59337 | 1998(9.20) | 57339(25.76) | ||
| Race | <0.001 | ||||
| White | 202235 | 16474(75.85) | 185761(83.45) | ||
| Black | 21870 | 2840(13.08) | 19030(8.55) | ||
| Others | 20219 | 2404(11.07) | 17815(8.00) | ||
| Location | 0.148 | ||||
| Left breast | 123960 | 10917(50.27) | 113043(50.78) | ||
| Right breast | 120364 | 10801(49.73) | 109563(49.22) | ||
| Histological type | <0.001 | ||||
| IDC | 208867 | 19995(92.07) | 188872(84.85) | ||
| ILC | 15338 | 478(2.20) | 14860(6.68) | ||
| IDC+ILC | 20119 | 1245(5.73) | 18874(8.48) | ||
| Differentiation grade | <0.001 | ||||
| Well | 43628 | 1515(6.98) | 42113(18.92) | ||
| Moderate | 104078 | 7247(33.37) | 96831(43.50) | ||
| Poor | 92067 | 12324(56.75) | 79743(35.82) | ||
| Undifferentiated | 4551 | 632(2.91) | 3919(1.76) | ||
| T Classification A | <0.001 | ||||
| T1 | 153316 | 10467(48.2) | 142849(64.17) | ||
| T2 | 74287 | 8932(41.13) | 65355(29.36) | ||
| T3 | 11219 | 1761(8.11) | 9458(4.25) | ||
| T4 | 5502 | 558(2.57) | 4944(2.22) | ||
| N Classification A | <0.001 | ||||
| N0 | 155166 | 10817(49.81) | 144349(64.85) | ||
| N1 | 59933 | 7020(32.32) | 52913(23.77) | ||
| N2 | 19027 | 2470(11.37) | 16557(7.44) | ||
| N3 | 10198 | 1411(6.50) | 8787(3.95) | ||
| Stage TNM A | <0.001 | ||||
| I | 116511 | 6705(30.87) | 109806(49.33) | ||
| II | 91950 | 10234(47.12) | 81716(36.71) | ||
| III | 35863 | 4779(22) | 31084(13.96) | ||
| ER | <0.001 | ||||
| Negative | 56257 | 7998(36.83) | 48259(21.68) | ||
| Positive | 188067 | 13720(63.17) | 174347(78.32) | ||
| PR | <0.001 | ||||
| Negative | 80849 | 9158(42.17) | 71691(32.21) | ||
| Positive | 163475 | 12560(57.83) | 150915(67.79) | ||
| HoR | <0.001 | ||||
| Negative | 51230 | 7182(33.07) | 44048(19.79) | ||
| Positive | 193094 | 14536(66.93) | 178558(80.21) | ||
| Risk Groups B | <0.001 | ||||
| Low | 134953 | 7656(35.25) | 127297(57.18) | ||
| Medium | 82996 | 10100(46.51) | 72896(32.75) | ||
| High | 26375 | 3962(18.24) | 22413(10.07) |
A Stage TNM T/N classification according to the 7th edition of the AJCC staging system.
B The probability of breast cancer-specific death in every variable was predicted as a point on the nomogram. The risk score of CSS was calculated for each patient by summing the points of every variable. Using two cutoff values from the X-tile program, the cohort was classified into three risk groups.
C P values obtained from χ2 test. All statistical tests were two-sided.
Abbreviations: HoR=Hormone receptor; ER= Estrogen receptor; PR= Progesterone receptor; IDC= Infiltrating duct carcinoma; ILC= Infiltrating lobular carcinoma.
Survival analysis of 244,324 patients with early breast cancer
| Risk Factors | Univariate analysis C | Multivariate analysis C | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||||
| Age | |||||
| Younger | 1 | 1 | |||
| Older | 0.62(0.6-0.64) | <0.001 | 0.92(0.89-0.95) | <0.001 | |
| Marital status | |||||
| Married | 1 | 1 | |||
| Single | 1.33(1.29-1.37) | <0.001 | 1.13(1.1-1.16) | <0.001 | |
| Divorce | 1.31(1.28-1.34) | <0.001 | 1.31(1.28-1.35) | <0.001 | |
| Race | |||||
| White | 1 | 1 | |||
| Black | 1.90(1.85-1.96) | <0.001 | 1.32(1.28-1.36) | <0.001 | |
| Others | 0.92(0.89-0.96) | <0.001 | 0.86(0.83-0.9) | <0.001 | |
| Location | |||||
| Left breast | 1 | ||||
| Right breast | 0.96(0.94-0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97(0.95-0.99) | 0.004 | |
| Histological type | |||||
| IDC | 1 | 1 | |||
| ILC | 0.89(0.85-0.93) | <0.001 | 0.98(0.94-1.03) | 0.256 | |
| IDC+ILC | 0.87(0.84-0.91) | <0.001 | 0.95(0.91-0.98) | 0.004 | |
| Differentiation grade | |||||
| Well | 1 | 1 | |||
| Moderate | 2.80(2.66-2.94) | <0.001 | 1.97(1.87-2.07) | <0.001 | |
| Poor | 6.08(5.80-6.37) | <0.001 | 2.74(2.61-2.88) | <0.001 | |
| Undifferentiated | 6.20(5.76-6.67) | 2.92(2.71-3.15) | <0.001 | ||
| T Classification A | |||||
| T1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| T2 | 3.26(3.19-3.34) | <0.001 | 1.92(1.87-1.97) | <0.001 | |
| T3 | 5.66(5.46-5.87) | <0.001 | 2.44(2.35-2.54) | <0.001 | |
| T4 | 10.56(10.14-11) | <0.001 | 3.93(3.76-4.11) | <0.001 | |
| N Classification A | |||||
| N0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| N1 | 2.56(2.49-2.62) | <0.001 | 1.97(1.92-2.02) | <0.001 | |
| N2 | 5.4(5.24-5.56) | <0.001 | 3.32(3.21-3.42) | <0.001 | |
| N3 | 9.66(9.36-9.97) | <0.001 | 5.23(5.05-5.41) | <0.001 | |
| Stage TNM A | |||||
| I | 1 | (-) | |||
| II | 3.18(3.09-3.27) | <0.001 | (-) | ||
| III | 9.70(9.43-9.99) | <0.001 | (-) | ||
| ER | |||||
| Negative | 1 | 1 | |||
| Positive | 0.45(0.44-0.46) | <0.001 | 0.79(0.76-0.81) | <0.001 | |
| PR | |||||
| Negative | 1 | 1 | |||
| Positive | 0.48(0.47-0.49) | <0.001 | 0.77(0.75-0.79) | <0.001 | |
| HoR | |||||
| Negative | 1 | (-) | |||
| Positive | 0.45(0.44-0.46) | <0.001 | (-) | ||
| Risk Groups B | |||||
| Low | 1 | (-) | |||
| Medium | 3.98(3.88-4.09) | <0.001 | (-) | ||
| High | 12.53(12.18-12.89) | <0.001 | (-) | ||
A Stage TNM T/N classification according to the 7th edition of the AJCC staging system.
B The probability of breast cancer-specific death in every variable was predicted as a point on the nomogram. The risk score of CSS was calculated for each patient by summing the points of every variable. Using two cutoff values from the X-tile program, the cohort was classified into three risk groups.
C Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.
Abbreviations: HoR=Hormone receptor; ER= Estrogen receptor; PR= Progesterone receptor; IDC= Infiltrating duct carcinoma; ILC= Infiltrating lobular carcinoma.